1. A Predictive Nomogram for Development of Lymph Node Metastasis in Muscle-Invasive Bladder Cancer Following Neoadjuvant Therapy.
- Author
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Harada GK, Seyedin SN, Heutlinger O, Azizi A, Hsu A, Rezazadeh A, Daneshvar M, Gin GE, Uchio EM, Giannico GA, Harris JP, Simon AB, Kuo JV, and Mar N
- Abstract
Purpose: Pelvic lymph node metastases (ypN+) after multiagent neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) is a poor prognostic sign in nonmetastatic muscle-invasive bladder cancer (nmMIBC). We sought to create a nomogram predicting probability of ypN+ after NAC for cN0 nmMIBC and determine association with overall survival (OS)., Methods and Materials: We reviewed the National Cancer Database for patients with cT2-4N0M0 urothelial carcinoma of the bladder receiving multiagent NAC and surgery from 2004 to 2020. Following a data split, univariate logistic regression identified variables associated with ypN+ at P < .05. Eligible variables were used for multivariate logistic regression and nomogram generation. A threshold for 95% sensitivity defined high- and low-risk groups for ypN+. Fine-Gray models assessed ypN+ risk group and OS, accounting for competing risks of surgical mortality., Results: A total of 6194 patients were identified with a median follow-up of 39.5 months (interquartile range [IQR], 20.5-67.2 months). Most patients had high-grade (97.7%) cT2 disease (70.8%) with nonpapillary urothelial histology (67.3%) and initiated NAC at a median of 41.0 days after diagnosis (IQR, 28.0-59.0 days).The nomogram included age in decades (odds ratio [OR], 0.94; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.87-1.03; P = .172), weeks from diagnosis to NAC (OR, 1.02; 95% CI, 1.01-1.04; P = .004), nonpapillary histology (OR, 1.17; 95% CI, 0.99-1.39; P = .068), and clinical T-stage. Within the testing cohort, ypN+ was found in 392 (22.8%) high-risk and 12 (8.0%) low-risk patients ( P < .001), with median OS of 36.1 and 74.0 months, respectively ( P < .001). High-risk patients had worse OS despite competing risks of 30-day (subdistribution hazard ratio [SHR], 1.80; 95% CI, 1.49-2.18; P < .001) and 90-day surgical mortality (SHR, 1.68; 95% CI, 1.39-2.04; P < .001)., Conclusions: This is the first study to provide a tool for predicting ypN+ and prognosticate worse OS in primarily high-grade nmMIBC and could select patients for alternative neoadjuvant therapy and facilitate future study., Competing Interests: Arash Rezazadeh reports a relationship with ECOM Medical that includes: equity or stocks. Arash Rezazadeh reports a relationship with Exelixis Inc that includes: consulting or advisory, funding grants, speaking and lecture fees, and travel reimbursement. Arash Rezazadeh reports a relationship with AstraZeneca Pharmaceuticals LP that includes: consulting or advisory, funding grants, speaking and lecture fees, and travel reimbursement. Arash Rezazadeh reports a relationship with Bayer Corporation that includes: consulting or advisory, funding grants, and travel reimbursement. Arash Rezazadeh reports a relationship with Pfizer that includes: consulting or advisory, funding grants, and travel reimbursement. Arash Rezazadeh reports a relationship with Novartis that includes: consulting or advisory, speaking and lecture fees, and travel reimbursement. Arash Rezazadeh reports a relationship with Genentech that includes: consulting or advisory, funding grants, speaking and lecture fees, and travel reimbursement. Arash Rezazadeh reports a relationship with Bristol Myers Squibb Co that includes: consulting or advisory, funding grants, and speaking and lecture fees. Arash Rezazadeh reports a relationship with EMD Serono Inc that includes: consulting or advisory and speaking and lecture fees. Arash Rezazadeh reports a relationship with Immunomedics that includes: consulting or advisory and funding grants. Arash Rezazadeh reports a relationship with Gilead Sciences Inc that includes: consulting or advisory and speaking and lecture fees. Arash Rezazadeh reports a relationship with Janssen Pharmaceuticals Inc that includes: funding grants, speaking and lecture fees, and travel reimbursement. Arash Rezazadeh reports a relationship with Astellas Medivation that includes: funding grants, speaking and lecture fees, and travel reimbursement. Arash Rezazadeh reports a relationship with Sanofi-Aventis US LLC that includes: speaking and lecture fees. Arash Rezazadeh reports a relationship with Eisai Inc that includes: funding grants, speaking and lecture fees, and travel reimbursement. Arash Rezazadeh reports a relationship with Amgen Inc that includes: speaking and lecture fees. Arash Rezazadeh reports a relationship with Exelixis Inc that includes: funding grants, speaking and lecture fees, and travel reimbursement. Arash Rezazadeh reports a relationship with Merck & Co Inc that includes: speaking and lecture fees. Arash Rezazadeh reports a relationship with Astellas Pharma US Inc that includes: funding grants, speaking and lecture fees, and travel reimbursement. Arash Rezazadeh reports a relationship with AVEO Oncology that includes: speaking and lecture fees. Arash Rezazadeh reports a relationship with MacroGenics Inc that includes: funding grants. Arash Rezazadeh reports a relationship with Myovant Sciences Inc that includes: speaking and lecture fees. Arash Rezazadeh reports a relationship with BeyondSpring Inc that includes: funding grants. Arash Rezazadeh reports a relationship with BioClin Therapeutics that includes: funding grants. Arash Rezazadeh reports a relationship with Clovis Oncology that includes: funding grants. Arash Rezazadeh reports a relationship with Bavarian Nordic Inc that includes: funding grants. Arash Rezazadeh reports a relationship with Seagen Inc that includes: funding grants and speaking and lecture fees. Arash Rezazadeh reports a relationship with Epizyme Inc that includes: funding grants. Nataliya Mar reports a relationship with Seagen Inc that includes: speaking and lecture fees. If there are other authors, they declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper., (© 2024 The Author(s).)
- Published
- 2024
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