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Climate change is restructuring biodiversity on multiple scales and there is a pressing need to understand the downstream ecological and genomic consequences of this change. Recent advancements in the field of eco-evolutionary genomics have sought to include evolutionary processes in forecasting species' responses to climate change (e.g., genomic offset), but to date, much of this work has focused on terrestrial species. Coastal and offshore species, and the fisheries they support, may be even more vulnerable to climate change than their terrestrial counterparts, warranting a critical appraisal of these approaches in marine systems. First, we synthesize knowledge about the genomic basis of adaptation in marine species, and then we discuss the few examples where genomic forecasting has been applied in marine systems. Next, we identify the key challenges in validating genomic offset estimates in marine species, and we advocate for the inclusion of historical sampling data and hindcasting in the validation phase. Lastly, we describe a workflow to guide marine managers in incorporating these predictions into the decision-making process., (© 2024 John Wiley & Sons Ltd.)

Farmed fish are typically genetically different from wild conspecifics. Escapees from fish farms may contribute one-way gene flow from farm to wild gene pools, which can depress population productivity, dilute local adaptations and disrupt coadapted gene complexes. Here, we reanalyse data from two experiments (McGinnity et al., 1997, 2003) where performance of Atlantic salmon (Salmo salar) progeny originating from experimental crosses between farm and wild parents (in three different cohorts) were measured in a natural stream under common garden conditions. Previous published analyses focussed on group-level differences but did not account for pedigree structure, as we do here using modern mixed-effect models. Offspring with one or two farm parents exhibited poorer survival in their first and second year of life compared with those with two wild parents and these group-level inferences were robust to excluding outlier families. Variation in performance among farm, hybrid and wild families was generally similar in magnitude. Farm offspring were generally larger at all life stages examined than wild offspring, but the differences were moderate (5-20%) and similar in magnitude in the wild versus hatchery environments. Quantitative genetic analyses conducted using a Bayesian framework revealed moderate heritability in juvenile fork length and mass and positive genetic correlations (>0.85) between these morphological traits. Our study confirms (using more rigorous statistical techniques) previous studies showing that offspring of wild fish invariably have higher fitness and contributes fresh insights into family-level variation in performance of farm, wild and hybrid Atlantic salmon families in the wild. It also adds to a small, but growing, number of studies that estimate key evolutionary parameters in wild salmonid populations. Such information is vital in modelling the impacts of introgression by escaped farm salmon.

Carry-over effects have major implications for individual fitness and population and evolutionary dynamics. The strength of these effects is dependent on an individual's intrinsic performance and the environmental conditions it experiences. However, understanding the relative importance of environmental and intrinsic effects underpinning seasonal interactions has proved extremely challenging, since they covary. A powerful approach is longitudinal measurement of individuals across a range of conditions, whereby each animal is effectively acting as its own control. We related time spent foraging during the nonbreeding period to subsequent breeding performance in European Shags Phalacrocorax aristotelis. By following individuals for up to six years, we could test simultaneously for extrinsic and intrinsic effects using random regression modeling. We detected significant annual and among-individual variation in daily foraging time during the late winter, and clear variation among individuals in the quadratic relationship between foraging time and date. Shorter foraging times were associated with earlier and more successful breeding, driven by differences among years and individuals, with no evidence of individual variation in the slope of these relationships. That both environmental and intrinsic variation shape carry-over effects has important implications for population responses to environmental change.

Time series on juvenile life-history traits obtained from sockeye salmon Oncorhynchus nerka were analysed to assess lake-specific environmental influences on juvenile migration timing, size and survival of fish from a common gene pool. Every year for the past two decades, O. nerka have been spawned at a hatchery facility, and the progeny released into two lakes that differ in average summer temperatures, limnological attributes and growth opportunities. Juveniles reared in the warmer, more productive Crosswind Lake were larger and heavier as smolts compared to those from the cooler, less productive Summit Lake and had higher in-lake and subsequent marine survival. Crosswind Lake smolts migrated from the lake to sea slightly earlier in the season but the migration timing distributions overlapped considerably across years. Fry stocking density had a negative effect on smolt length for both lakes, and a negative effect on in-lake survival in Summit Lake. Taken together, the results revealed a strong effect of lake-rearing environment on the expression of life-history variation in O. nerka. The stocking of these lakes each year with juveniles from a single mixed-source population provided a large-scale reverse common-garden experiment, where the same gene pool was exposed to different environments, rather than the different gene pools in the same environment approach typical of evolutionary ecology studies. Other researchers are encouraged to seek and exploit similar serendipitous situations, which might allow environmental and genetic influences on ecologically important traits to be distinguished in natural or semi-natural settings.

Parasitism can be a major constraint on host condition and an important selective force. Theoretical and empirical evidence shows that maternal condition affects relative investment in sons and daughters; however, the effect of parasitism on sex ratio in vertebrates is seldom considered. We demonstrate experimentally that parasitism constrains the ability of mothers to rear sons in a long-lived seabird, the European shag Phalacrocorax aristotelis. The effect contributes to the decline in offspring survival as the breeding season progresses and hence has important population-level consequences for this, and potentially other, seasonal breeders.

Objective: To determine whether the adducts formed when benzo(a)pyrene, a diol epoxide derivative, binds covalently to DNA (BPDE-DNA adducts) are detectable in the sperm of men who smoke cigarettes., Design: Prospective study., Setting: The Toronto Hospital IVF-ET program., Patient(s): Twenty-three patients with normal seminal parameters: 11 smokers (20.6 +/- 0.7 cigarettes per day) and 12 nonsmokers., Intervention(s): Semen samples obtained by masturbation., Main Outcome Measure(s): Seminal plasma samples were assessed for cotinine by RIA. Sperm were treated with dithiothreitol to release disulfide bonds and allow for DNA binding, then exposed to an anti-BPDE monoclonal antibody, a biotinylated antibody, and streptavidin-conjugated peroxidase. Staining intensity scores, determined in 100 cells per individual, were correlated with seminal plasma cotinine levels, a marker of smoking., Result(s): Cotinine levels correlated highly with the number of cigarettes smoked per day. Mean cotinine levels and mean staining intensity scores were higher in smokers than in nonsmokers. Staining intensity correlated highly with cotinine levels., Conclusion(s): We demonstrated, for the first time, that BPDE-DNA adducts in sperm cells are increased by smoking; we also detected comparatively high levels in nonsmokers, which indicates that environmental exposure also is substantial. The formation of adducts in spermatozoa is a potential source of transmissible prezygotic DNA damage.

Tobacco smoking is deleterious to reproduction. Benzo[a]pyrene (B[a]P) is a potent carcinogen in cigarette smoke. Its reactive metabolite induces DNA-adducts, which can cause mutations. We investigated whether B[a]P diol epoxide (BPDE) DNA adducts are detectable in preimplantation embryos in relation to parental smoking. A total of 17 couples were classified by their smoking habits: (i) both partners smoke; (ii) wife non-smoker, husband smokes; and (iii) both partners were non-smokers. Their 27 embryos were exposed to an anti-BPDE monoclonal antibody that recognizes BPDE-DNA adducts. Immunostaining was assessed in each embryo and an intensity score was calculated for embryos in each smoking group. The proportion of blastomeres which stained was higher for embryos of smokers than for non-smokers (0.723 versus 0.310). The mean intensity score was also higher for embryos of smokers (1.40+/-0.28) than for non-smokers (0.38+/-0.14; P = 0.015), but was similar for both types of smoking couples. The mean intensity score was positively correlated with the number of cigarettes smoked by fathers (P = 0.02). Increased mean immunostaining in embryos from smokers, relative to non-smokers, indicates a relationship with parental smoking. The similar levels of immunostaining in embryos from both types of smoking couples suggest that transmission of modified DNA is mainly through spermatozoa. We confirmed paternal transmission of modified DNA by detection of DNA adducts in spermatozoa of a smoker father and his embryo.

Purpose: Our purpose was to determine whether there is variation in levels of follicular fluid (FF) cotinine between the two ovaries of women undergoing IVF-ET who are exposed to cigarette smoke., Methods: In 61 women, there were two to four determinations of FF continine levels for each of two follicles, one from each ovary. For each woman a t test for significant difference between the means of both ovaries was done to test for interovarian variation., Results: Thirty-seven nonsmokers, 8 passive smokers, and 16 active smokers differed greatly (P < 0.0001) in mean FF cotinine levels: 13.0, 91.1, and 420.3 ng/ml, respectively. Fourteen women had significant differences, at the P = 0.025 level or below, between their two ovaries. Five of them had differences significant at the 0.001 level. Even so, the correlation between the cotinine levels of the two ovaries was high., Conclusions: Cotinine uptake between the two ovaries of a woman may differ approximately one-fourth of the time. In spite of these differences, the overall correlation between ovaries is high. The clear distinction in levels of FF cotinine among active, passive, and nonsmokers demonstrates the reliability of FF cotinine testing. Detection of cotinine in a large proportion of nonsmokers shows how pervasive nicotine is in the environment.

We investigated whether cigarette smoking, measured by follicular fluid concentrations of cotinine (a major metabolite of nicotine), affects the maturity of oocytes from women undergoing in-vitro fertilization (IVF) and embryo transfer. In 234 women, follicular fluid samples were assessed for cotinine and their 2020 oocytes were assessed for maturity stage. Data on individual proportions of oocytes which were mature (OM) and were fertilized (OF) were analysed by regression in relation to age and follicular fluid cotinine. OF gave an independent assessment of oocyte maturity. Both age and follicular fluid cotinine entered the OM and OF regressions and were significant. The age-adjusted regression coefficients for log cotinine were positive; greater cotinine concentrations usually accompanied greater OM and OF. The cotinine effect on OM was positive in younger women, but it became negative (decreased OM with increasing cotinine concentrations) in older women (> or = 40 years). We further found in older women an average reduction of approximately 50% in the number of mature oocytes; this reduced number was lower than the number of embryos usually transferred. Smoking can reduce the number of mature oocytes even further, therefore risking a negative IVF-embryo transfer outcome. This may be the reason why the negative effects of smoking become clinically detectable in older women.

Objective: To assess cotinine, a metabolite of nicotine, in follicular fluids (FF) of women who smoke either actively or passively or not all., Design: Controlled clinical study., Setting: Infertile patients in a hospital IVF-ET program., Patients: One hundred eleven women classified by smoking habits: active smokers (n = 44), passive smokers (n = 17), or nonsmokers (n = 50)., Interventions: Ovarian hyperstimulation., Main Outcome Measure: Cotinine levels in FF., Results: A strong correlation between number of cigarettes smoked and levels of FF cotinine was found. The levels of FF cotinine were: active smokers 710.4 +/- 128.2, passive smokers 76.3 +/- 56.5, and nonsmokers 4.2 +/- 2.0 ng/mL (mean +/- SEM). The level in active smokers was significantly greater than in other groups. The levels of FF cotinine in passive smokers differed significantly from nonsmokers. Eighty-four percent of nonsmokers actually were exposed to nicotine, with a mean value of 5.0 ng/mL., Conclusions: Cotinine was detectable in a dose-dependent manner in active and passive smokers. It was detected in all active smokers and in a majority of passive smokers and self-reported nonsmokers. A strong interindividual variation suggests differences in metabolism and smoking habits. Follicular fluid cotinine assessments are useful for infertility studies.

The present study examined the contribution of genetic factors to Digit Symbol performance and its decline in 23 monozygotic twin pairs (mean age at examination 1, 57.1 years) and 21 dizygotic twin pairs (mean age at examination 1, 56.3 years). These men were assessed twice during a 5-year interval as part of the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute Twin Study. The prevalence of decline (a change, greater than 1 SD) during the 5-year interval was 35% and 39% for monozygotic and dizygotic twins, respectively. The pairwise concordance for decline was 45% in monozygotic and 8% in dizygotic twin pairs, suggesting a possible role for genetic factors in the decline in Digit Symbol performance in this sample. A comparison of baseline biologic and behavioral characteristics within monozygotic twin pairs discordant for decline in Digit Symbol performance revealed that decliners had higher initial systolic blood pressures, lower serum cholesterol levels, and lower heart rates than nondecliners.

Earlier reports indicated that sperm from 25% of patients from infertile couples, but not from normal or fertile donors, show deviations from the theoretical Poisson distribution of the number of sperm penetrating zona-free hamster ova. Using semen samples from 15 grandfathers (aged 60 to 84 years) and 24 young fathers (aged 25 to 36 years), this study analyzed whether age also has an effect on the distribution. It was found that the overall fit to the Poisson distribution of the samples from grandfathers was very poor; in contrast, the samples from young fathers fit well. The observed deviations from the Poisson distribution among grandfathers may be a consequence of their long periods of sexual abstinence. Decrease in sexual activity produces age-different populations of sperm that probably differ in penetrating ability. Samples from older fathers also show a worse fit to the Poisson distribution than do those from younger fathers. These results suggest that the duration of sperm storage in the genital tract after maturation has an effect on sperm function.

The sera of a sample of 204 Creoles from Trinidad were tested for the presence of polymorphic gene complexes occurring on immunoglobulin light- and heavy-chain molecules including the allotypic markers IGKC 1, IGHA2 1 and 2, IGHG1 A, X, F, and Z, and IGHG3 G, G5, B0, B1, B3, B4, B5, C3, C5, S, and T. Nine IGHG (GM) haplotypes occur in polymorphic frequencies (greater than .01) in this population, including known African, Asian, Caucasian, and Amerindian marker haplotypes. Significant differences (P less than .01) were found in the frequency distributions of three IGHG (GM) haplotypes and the frequency of IGKC*1 in these data and data from Creole populations of Belize and St. Vincent. The Creoles of Trinidad and St. Vincent are more similar in IGHG (GM) haplotype distributions than are Trinidad and Belize populations. Previous testing has revealed no significant differences between St. Vincent and Belize Creoles at the Ig allotypic loci. Analysis of migration patterns in the Caribbean suggests that different rates of Asian migration have maintained regional diversity at these loci, while continuous gene flow from the eastern Caribbean to Trinidad has had a relative homogenizing effect on the gene pools of this area.

The effects in vivo of acute doses of ethanol on impulse transmission in the region of the neuromuscular junction are poorly known. These effects were studied with a new procedure, using mouse tails in a constant temperature chamber to study the delay in nerve-to-muscle impulse transmission. A saline control and five ethanol doses (0.5, 1.0, 1.4, 2.0, 4.24 g/kg) were used with 96 mice. The interval ("residual latency", RL), between (a) the peak of the compound nerve action potential and (b) the first peak of the associated compound muscle action potential, was measured. Ethanol was given IP and tail nerve stimulations were done at 4 min intervals to 16 min post-ethanol. The mean pre-ethanol RL was 0.93 +/- 0.01 (SE) msec; about 25% of this time should be synaptic delay and the remainder is nerve and muscle fiber conduction time. Individual post-ethanol relative RL (RRL) values were calculated for each moue, based on its pre-ethanol value. With doses of 1.0 g/kg and higher there was a mean increase in RRL; at 16 min this increase was 0.8 to 4.4% (all p less than 0.01). At 0.5 g/kg, and also at higher doses, there was a significantly (p less than 0.01) increased variance in RRL 8 to 16 min post-ethanol. A marked correspondence between mean RRL and ataxia is apparent. This appears to be the first in vivo demonstration of acute effects of ethanol on neuromuscular transmission. The methods and mice used may comprise a useful animal model for detecting acute effects of low doses of ethanol on synaptic function.

The background of and problems in making comparisons among different racial groups in their rates of alcohol metabolism are reviewed. The results of five studies are discussed. It is concluded that the variation among races in rate of alcohol metabolism is not different in kind than variation among individuals within a given race. There are good reasons to expect the former variation to be smaller than the latter.

Normal young adult males residing in Hawaii (46 of European ancestry, 30 Japanese, 27 Chinese) were tested for changes in heart rate and blood pressure following a dose of 0.59 g of ethanol/kg. The two Oriental groups did not differ in mean changes but, when pooled, differed from Europeans, having increased heart rate and decreased blood pressure. Within-race analyses showed that, contrary to the literature, all three groups have great interindividual differences in cardiovascular responses. In addition, the three races show a basically similar multivariate response: blood pressure more variable than heart rate and blood pressure changes uncorrelated with heart rate changes.

C57BL/6J/BOM mice were given 15% (w/v) ethanol solution as their sole drinking fluid. Nerve conduction velocities (NCV) and motor coordination (ataxia) of the unanesthetized animals were examined after a single IP injection of 3.0 g ethanol/kg body weight at 6, and 9 months after the start of drinking and after 3 months of abstinence. During chronic consumption of ethanol, tolerance for relative conduction time (RCT) change developed in six months. This tolerance was not observed after 9 months of ethanol treatment. The tolerance for ataxia persisted throughout the period of ethanol treatment. After a three month's abstinence, no differences between the controls and the animals previously on ethanol were observed regarding responses to acute ethanol administration. These observations suggest that different mechanisms underlie the development of tolerance for the effect of ethanol on peripheral nerve conductance and for the ataxia from ethanol in the central nervous system.

In the hamster ovum penetration (HOP) test, when ova have equal penetrability and sperm have equal penetrating ability, the distribution of zona-free hamster ova classified by number of penetrating human sperm is expected to follow the Poisson distribution (PD). This study reports tests for PD in HOP tests on 9 infertile patients and 11 normal controls. The data, presented in detail, show the expected PD in the control group. In contrast, 3 patients had HOP tests with definite non-PDs, whereas 5 patients have clearcut PDs. The cause of non-PD is unknown, but could result from differences among motile sperm in penetrating ability.

Individual and group variations in the proportion of body fat relative to total body mass influence statistical calculation of rates of alcohol metabolism, and may affect conclusions about comparative rates. Ways of minimizing the effects of variations in adiposity are presented.

Ethanol (0.4 to 0.8 g/kg in 30 minutes) was given by mouth to 102 healthy young volunteers (37 Caucasian men, 21 Caucasian women, 20 Chinese men and 24 Ojibwa men). Venous blood concentrations of ethanol and acetaldehyde 60, 90, 120 and 150 minutes after the end of drinking were measured by gas chromatography. The calculated rates of ethanol metabolism in the Caucasian men and women did not differ, but the overall group means for subgroups of Caucasians (103.6 mg/kg-h), Chinese (136.6 mg/kg-h) and Ojibwa (182.7 mg/kg-h) with decreasing postabsorption values differed significantly from each other. Mean acetaldehyde values paralleled the rates of ethanol metabolism: Ojibwa, 14.6 mug/ml; Chinese, 10.0 mug/ml; and Caucasians, 9.4 mug/ml. The high rate of ethanol metabolism in Amerind subjects differs from previous findings. Habitual level of alcohol consumption, proportion of body fat and genetic factors appear to account for most of the group differences.

Seroologically detected male antigen" (also called H-Y antigen) was first described in normal male mammals but now appears to occur in normal female mammals as well. "Serologically detected male predominant" (SDMP) antigen is a more appropriate name since the titer in normal males usually exceeds that of normal females. As we show, in each sex there is a considerable inter-individual variability in SDMP antigen titer, and in moderate-to-large size samples the low end of the male range of titers usually coincides with the high end of the female range. Several major problems arise from failure to recognize and/or to deal adequately with this normal variation in SDMP antigen titer. The chief problem is that the "controls" used (often a single individual) may be inadequate and misleading, leading to unjustified designation of samples as "positive", "negative", or even "deviant" ("intermediate", "reduced") for SDMP antigen titer. Other problems include deficiencies in technique and lack of statistical control for test and sample variability. Adequate attention to these problems, especially to the normal variability in SDMP antigen titer, could reduce the contradictions and inconsistencies which have troubled this field.

The human alcohol response literature often states or implies that there is little variation among normal individuals in their responses to a standard dose. To test this assumption, a wide variety of alcohol responses was reviewed in studies where the original, individual responses were available. All such responses showed variability among individuals. Seven alcohol responses (individual changes from pre-alcohol baseline in heart rate, systolic and diastolic blood pressure, automobile driving ability, and three tests for intoxication) in normal males are analyzed in detail. Each response shows marked, significant individual variability. Genetic differences among individuals (in addition to environmental differences) are probably important in producing this variability. Since normal persons can vary greatly in their alcohol responses, it is not only incomplete but misleading to give only the mean value. Information on the range and frequency distribution of responses is also needed.

The present study was carried out to investigate an earlier report that stated that some men of infertile couples (patients), but not normal donors, have an abnormal (non-Poison) distribution of penetrating sperm among ova in the hamster-ovum test. Semen samples from 60 men, 24 proven fathers and 36 patients, were analyzed for agreement with the theoretical Poisson distribution (PD). Most of the fathers (23 of 24) fit PD well, but 10 of the patients did not. The overall (group) fit of fathers is good, but that of the patients is poor. Patients, but not fathers, are heterogeneous in their agreement with PD; about 25% fit poorly whereas more than 50% fit well. The 25% fitting poorly may often be those patients who are truly infertile (even when their wives are actually fertile).

In a study of 13 families with genetic microcephaly, it was found that 11 of 24 parents (two fathers not ascertained) and 11 of 33 non-microcephalic siblings were of subnormal intelligence. In a rare autosomal recessive condition, all parents and two-thirds of unaffected siblings are presumed carriers of the gene. It so, nearly 50% of all presumed heterozygotes in the present study were mentally retarded. The proportion agrees well with the other major study of microcephaly in North America, but differs from the Dutch study. On the basis of pooled data from the three studies and the estimated incidence of 1:40000 for genetic microcephaly, it is postulated that (1) about 0.34% of the general population is mentally retarded because it is carrying the gene for microcephaly and (2) about one of nine mentally retarded individuals is heterozygous for the gene for microcephaly.

In order to test Kissin's (1974) concept of "normalization" by ethanol (deviant prealcohol parameter values becoming less deviant after alcohol) in nonalcoholics, data on unselected mice and nonalcoholic humans were analyzed. These data were on heart rates (HR) of 1055 HS mice and 24 young adults, measured before and after receiving a dose of ethanol (mice: 1.4g/kg, i.p.;humans: 1.3g/kg, oral). Both mice and humans, on the average, show marked "normalization" inintially low HR usually increasing after alcohol, and initially high HR usually decreasing. The correlation between (1) deviation in HR from the prealcohol mean and (2) change in HR after alcohol was -0.803 for mice and -0.538 for humans. There is very great individual variability, however, in the degree of this normalizing response, some individuals normalizing strongly and others not at all. Although first described in alcoholics, strong normalization by alcohol of several psychophysiological parameters is now known to occur in mice and seems likely to occur in some nonalcoholic humans. The possible relevance of these results to predisposition to alcoholism remains to be shown.

Alcohol-induced heart-rate change, open-field activity changes and sleeping time were found to be significantly heritable in mice. Heart rate and sleeping time may have parallels in man and mouse in their alcohol responses and genetics.