1. Bayesian analysis of the rate of spontaneous malignant mesothelioma among BAP1 mutant mice in the absence of asbestos exposure.
- Author
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Nielsen DM, Hsu M, Zapata M 3rd, Ciavarra G, and van Zyl L
- Subjects
- Animals, Mice, Germ-Line Mutation, Lung Neoplasms genetics, Lung Neoplasms pathology, Lung Neoplasms chemically induced, Ubiquitin Thiolesterase genetics, Asbestos toxicity, Asbestos adverse effects, Bayes Theorem, Mesothelioma, Malignant genetics, Mesothelioma, Malignant pathology, Tumor Suppressor Proteins genetics
- Abstract
Cancers of the mesothelium, such as malignant mesothelioma (MM), historically have been attributed solely to exposure to asbestos. Recent large scale genetic and genomic functional studies now show that approximately 20% of all human mesotheliomas are causally linked to highly penetrant inherited (germline) pathogenic mutations in numerous cancer related genes. The rarity of these mutations in humans makes it difficult to perform statistically conclusive genetic studies to understand their biological effects. This has created a disconnect between functional and epidemiological studies. However, since the molecular pathogenesis of MM in mice accurately recapitulates that of human disease, this disconnect between functional and epidemiological studies can be overcome by using inbred mouse strains that harbor mutation(s) in genes involved in the disease. Most mouse studies have focused on the effect of asbestos exposure, leaving the effects of genetic mutations in the absence of exposure understudied. Here, using existing peer-reviewed studies, we investigate the rate of spontaneous MM among mice with and without germline genetic mutations, in the absence of asbestos exposure. We leveraged these published data to generate a historical control dataset (HCD) to allow us to improve statistical power and account for genetic heterogeneity between studies. Our Bayesian analyses indicate that the odds of spontaneous MM among germline BAP1 mutant mice is substantially larger than that of wildtype mice. These results support the existing biological study findings that mesotheliomas can arise in the presence of pathogenic germline mutations, independently of asbestos exposure., Competing Interests: Declarations. Competing interests: DMN declares no competing interests. MH, MZ and LvZ are employees of ArrayXpress Inc., which is a genomics company that provides research and scientific expert witness consultation in civil tort cases, among other services. LvZ serves as an expert witness in personal injury litigation. GC is an employee of Lumanity Clinical and Regulatory, which is a consultative company providing research and expert services in legal matters., (© 2024. The Author(s).)
- Published
- 2025
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