69 results on '"Makoto M. Jones"'
Search Results
2. Pneumonia diagnosis performance in the emergency department: a mixed-methods study about clinicians' experiences and exploration of individual differences and response to diagnostic performance feedback.
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Butler JM, Taft T, Taber P, Rutter E, Fix M, Baker A, Weir C, Nevers M, Classen D, Cosby K, Jones M, Chapman A, and Jones BE
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- Humans, Feedback, Attitude of Health Personnel, Male, Female, Interviews as Topic, Diagnostic Self Evaluation, Formative Feedback, Surveys and Questionnaires, Emergency Service, Hospital, Pneumonia diagnosis, Electronic Health Records
- Abstract
Objectives: We sought to (1) characterize the process of diagnosing pneumonia in an emergency department (ED) and (2) examine clinician reactions to a clinician-facing diagnostic discordance feedback tool., Materials and Methods: We designed a diagnostic feedback tool, using electronic health record data from ED clinicians' patients to establish concordance or discordance between ED diagnosis, radiology reports, and hospital discharge diagnosis for pneumonia. We conducted semistructured interviews with 11 ED clinicians about pneumonia diagnosis and reactions to the feedback tool. We administered surveys measuring individual differences in mindset beliefs, comfort with feedback, and feedback tool usability. We qualitatively analyzed interview transcripts and descriptively analyzed survey data., Results: Thematic results revealed: (1) the diagnostic process for pneumonia in the ED is characterized by diagnostic uncertainty and may be secondary to goals to treat and dispose the patient; (2) clinician diagnostic self-evaluation is a fragmented, inconsistent process of case review and follow-up that a feedback tool could fill; (3) the feedback tool was described favorably, with task and normative feedback harnessing clinician values of high-quality patient care and personal excellence; and (4) strong reactions to diagnostic feedback varied from implicit trust to profound skepticism about the validity of the concordance metric. Survey results suggested a relationship between clinicians' individual differences in learning and failure beliefs, feedback experience, and usability ratings., Discussion and Conclusion: Clinicians value feedback on pneumonia diagnoses. Our results highlight the importance of feedback about diagnostic performance and suggest directions for considering individual differences in feedback tool design and implementation., (© The Author(s) 2024. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the American Medical Informatics Association.)
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- 2024
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3. Facility- and patient-level factors associated with implementation of contact precautions in hospitalized VA patients with positive CRE cultures.
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Wilson GM, Fitzpatrick M, Suda KJ, Poggensee L, Jones M, Evans ME, and Evans CT
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Decreasing the time to contact precautions (CP) is critical to carbapenem-resistant Enterobacterales (CRE) prevention. Identifying factors associated with delayed CP can decrease the spread from patients with CRE. In this study, a shorter length of stay was associated with being placed in CP within 3 days., Competing Interests: The authors have no conflicts of interest to disclose., (© The Author(s) 2024.)
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- 2024
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4. A framework for inferring and analyzing pharmacotherapy treatment patterns.
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Rush E, Ozmen O, Kim M, Ortegon ER, Jones M, Park BH, Pizer S, Trafton J, Brenner LA, Ward M, and Nebeker JR
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- Humans, Antidepressive Agents therapeutic use, Depressive Disorder, Major chemically induced, Depressive Disorder, Major drug therapy, Veterans
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Background: To discover pharmacotherapy prescription patterns and their statistical associations with outcomes through a clinical pathway inference framework applied to real-world data., Methods: We apply machine learning steps in our framework using a 2006 to 2020 cohort of veterans with major depressive disorder (MDD). Outpatient antidepressant pharmacy fills, dispensed inpatient antidepressant medications, emergency department visits, self-harm, and all-cause mortality data were extracted from the Department of Veterans Affairs Corporate Data Warehouse., Results: Our MDD cohort consisted of 252,179 individuals. During the study period there were 98,417 emergency department visits, 1,016 cases of self-harm, and 1,507 deaths from all causes. The top ten prescription patterns accounted for 69.3% of the data for individuals starting antidepressants at the fluoxetine equivalent of 20-39 mg. Additionally, we found associations between outcomes and dosage change., Conclusions: For 252,179 Veterans who served in Iraq and Afghanistan with subsequent MDD noted in their electronic medical records, we documented and described the major pharmacotherapy prescription patterns implemented by Veterans Health Administration providers. Ten patterns accounted for almost 70% of the data. Associations between antidepressant usage and outcomes in observational data may be confounded. The low numbers of adverse events, especially those associated with all-cause mortality, make our calculations imprecise. Furthermore, our outcomes are also indications for both disease and treatment. Despite these limitations, we demonstrate the usefulness of our framework in providing operational insight into clinical practice, and our results underscore the need for increased monitoring during critical points of treatment., (© 2024. The Author(s).)
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- 2024
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5. A Linguistic Analysis Examining the Impact of COVID-19 on Pneumonia Diagnosis and Disease Models.
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Chapman AB, Peterson KS, Rutter E, Nevers M, Ying J, Classen D, Jones M, Samore M, and Jones B
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- Humans, Pandemics, Linguistics, Language, COVID-19 Testing, COVID-19 diagnosis, Pneumonia diagnosis
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Written clinical language embodies and reflects the clinician's mental models of disease. Prior to the COVID-19 pandemic, pneumonia was shifting away from concern for healthcare-associated pneumonia and toward recognition of heterogeneity of pathogens and host response. How these models are reflected in clinical language or whether they were impacted by the pandemic has not been studied. We aimed to assess changes in the language used to describe pneumonia following the COVID-19 pandemic.
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- 2024
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6. Impact of Reducing Time-to-Antibiotics on Sepsis Mortality, Antibiotic Use, and Adverse Events.
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Donnelly JP, Seelye SM, Kipnis P, McGrath BM, Iwashyna TJ, Pogue J, Jones M, Liu VX, and Prescott HC
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- Humans, Anti-Bacterial Agents adverse effects, Retrospective Studies, Hospitalization, Emergency Service, Hospital, Hospital Mortality, Shock, Septic drug therapy, Sepsis drug therapy
- Abstract
Rationale: Shorter time-to-antibiotics is lifesaving in sepsis, but programs to hasten antibiotic delivery may increase unnecessary antibiotic use and adverse events. Objectives: We sought to estimate both the benefits and harms of shortening time-to-antibiotics for sepsis. Methods: We conducted a simulation study using a cohort of 1,559,523 hospitalized patients admitted through the emergency department with meeting two or more systemic inflammatory response syndrome criteria (2013-2018). Reasons for hospitalization were classified as septic shock, sepsis, infection, antibiotics stopped early, and never treated (no antibiotics within 48 h). We simulated the impact of a 50% reduction in time-to-antibiotics for sepsis across 12 hospital scenarios defined by sepsis prevalence (low, medium, or high) and magnitude of "spillover" antibiotic prescribing to patients without infection (low, medium, high, or very high). Outcomes included mortality and adverse events potentially attributable to antibiotics (e.g., allergy, organ dysfunction, Clostridiodes difficile infection, and culture with multidrug-resistant organism). Results: A total of 933,458 (59.9%) hospitalized patients received antimicrobial therapy within 48 hours of presentation, including 38,572 (2.5%) with septic shock, 276,082 (17.7%) with sepsis, 370,705 (23.8%) with infection, and 248,099 (15.9%) with antibiotics stopped early. A total of 199,937 (12.8%) hospitalized patients experienced an adverse event; most commonly, acute liver injury (5.6%), new MDRO (3.5%), and Clostridiodes difficile infection (1.7%). Across the scenarios, a 50% reduction in time-to-antibiotics for sepsis was associated with a median of 1 to 180 additional antibiotic-treated patients and zero to seven additional adverse events per death averted from sepsis. Conclusions: The impacts of faster time-to-antibiotics for sepsis vary markedly across simulated hospital types. However, even in the worst-case scenario, new antibiotic-associated adverse events were rare.
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- 2024
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7. Development and evaluation of an interoperable natural language processing system for identifying pneumonia across clinical settings of care and institutions.
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Chapman AB, Peterson KS, Rutter E, Nevers M, Zhang M, Ying J, Jones M, Classen D, and Jones B
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Objective: To evaluate the feasibility, accuracy, and interoperability of a natural language processing (NLP) system that extracts diagnostic assertions of pneumonia in different clinical notes and institutions., Materials and Methods: A rule-based NLP system was designed to identify assertions of pneumonia in 3 types of clinical notes from electronic health records (EHRs): emergency department notes, radiology reports, and discharge summaries. The lexicon and classification logic were tailored for each note type. The system was first developed and evaluated using annotated notes from the Department of Veterans Affairs (VA). Interoperability was assessed using data from the University of Utah (UU)., Results: The NLP system was comprised of 782 rules and achieved moderate-to-high performance in all 3 note types in VA (precision/recall/f1: emergency = 88.1/86.0/87.1; radiology = 71.4/96.2/82.0; discharge = 88.3/93.0/90.1). When applied to UU data, performance was maintained in emergency and radiology but decreased in discharge summaries (emergency = 84.7/94.3/89.3; radiology = 79.7/100.0/87.9; discharge = 65.5/92.7/76.8). Customization with 34 additional rules increased performance for all note types (emergency = 89.3/94.3/91.7; radiology = 87.0/100.0/93.1; discharge = 75.0/95.1/83.4)., Conclusion: NLP can be used to accurately identify the diagnosis of pneumonia across different clinical settings and institutions. A limited amount of customization to account for differences in lexicon, clinical definition of pneumonia, and EHR structure can achieve high accuracy without substantial modification., (© The Author(s) 2022. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the American Medical Informatics Association.)
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- 2022
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8. Comparative effectiveness of antibiotic therapy for carbapenem-resistant Enterobacterales (CRE) bloodstream infections in hospitalized US veterans.
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Wilson GM, Fitzpatrick MA, Suda KJ, Smith BM, Gonzalez B, Jones M, Schweizer ML, Evans M, and Evans CT
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Background: Carbapenem-resistant Enterobacterales bloodstream infections (CRE-BSI) increase mortality three-fold compared with carbapenem-susceptible bloodstream infections. Because these infections are rare, there is a paucity of information on mortality associated with different treatment regimens. This study examines treatment regimens and association with in-hospital, 30 day and 1 year mortality risk for patients with CRE-BSI., Methods: This retrospective cohort study identified hospitalized patients within the Veteran Affairs (VA) from 2013 to 2018 with a positive CRE blood culture and started antibiotic treatment within 5 days of culture. Primary outcomes were in-hospital, 30 day and 1 year all-cause mortality. Secondary outcomes were healthcare costs at 30 days and 1 year and Clostridioides difficile infection 6 weeks post culture date. The propensity for receiving each treatment regimen was determined. Multivariable regression assessed the association between treatment and outcomes., Results: There were 393 hospitalized patients from 2013 to 2018 included in the study. The cohort was male (97%) and elderly (mean age 71.0 years). Carbapenems were the most prescribed antibiotics (47%). In unadjusted analysis, ceftazidime/avibactam was associated with a lower likelihood of 30 day and 1 year mortality. After adjusting, ceftazidime/avibactam had a 30 day mortality OR of 0.42 (95% CI 0.17-1.02). No difference was found in C. difficile incidence at 6 weeks post-infection or total costs at 30 days or 1 year post culture date by any treatments., Conclusions: In hospitalized veterans with CRE-BSI, none of the treatments were shown to be associated with all-cause mortality. Ceftazidime/avibactam trended towards protectiveness against 30 day and 1 year all-cause mortality. Use of ceftazidime/avibactam should be encouraged for treatment of CRE-BSI., (Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of British Society for Antimicrobial Chemotherapy 2022.)
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- 2022
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9. Quantifying the breadth of antibiotic exposure in sepsis and suspected infection using spectrum scores.
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Smith JT, Manickam RN, Barreda F, Greene JD, Bhimarao M, Pogue J, Jones M, Myers L, Prescott HC, and Liu VX
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- Emergency Service, Hospital, Hospital Mortality, Hospitalization, Humans, Retrospective Studies, Anti-Bacterial Agents therapeutic use, Sepsis diagnosis, Sepsis drug therapy
- Abstract
A retrospective cohort study. Studies to quantify the breadth of antibiotic exposure across populations remain limited. Therefore, we applied a validated method to describe the breadth of antimicrobial coverage in a multicenter cohort of patients with suspected infection and sepsis. We conducted a retrospective cohort study across 21 hospitals within an integrated healthcare delivery system of patients admitted to the hospital through the ED with suspected infection or sepsis and receiving antibiotics during hospitalization from January 1, 2012, to December 31, 2017. We quantified the breadth of antimicrobial coverage using the Spectrum Score, a numerical score from 0 to 64, in patients with suspected infection and sepsis using electronic health record data. Of 364,506 hospital admissions through the emergency department, we identified 159,004 (43.6%) with suspected infection and 205,502 (56.4%) with sepsis. Inpatient mortality was higher among those with sepsis compared to those with suspected infection (8.4% vs 1.2%; P < .001). Patients with sepsis had higher median global Spectrum Scores (43.8 [interquartile range IQR 32.0-49.5] vs 43.5 [IQR 26.8-47.2]; P < .001) and additive Spectrum Scores (114.0 [IQR 57.0-204.5] vs 87.5 [IQR 45.0-144.8]; P < .001) compared to those with suspected infection. Increased Spectrum Scores were associated with inpatient mortality, even after covariate adjustments (adjusted odds ratio per 10-point increase in Spectrum Score 1.31; 95%CI 1.29-1.33). Spectrum Scores quantify the variability in antibiotic breadth among individual patients, between suspected infection and sepsis populations, over the course of hospitalization, and across infection sources. They may play a key role in quantifying the variation in antibiotic prescribing in patients with suspected infection and sepsis., Competing Interests: All authors report no conflicts of interest relevant to this article., (Copyright © 2022 the Author(s). Published by Wolters Kluwer Health, Inc.)
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- 2022
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10. Outpatient treatment and clinical outcomes of bacteriuria in veterans: A retrospective cohort analysis.
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Rovelsky SA, Vu M, Barrett AK, Bukowski K, Wei X, Burk M, Jones M, Echevarria K, Suda KJ, Cunningham F, and Madaras-Kelly KJ
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Objective: To conduct a contemporary detailed assessment of outpatient antibiotic prescribing and outcomes for positive urine cultures in a mixed-sex cohort., Design: Multicenter retrospective cohort review., Setting: The study was conducted using data from 31 Veterans' Affairs medical centers., Patients: Outpatient adults with positive urine cultures., Methods: From 2016 to 2019, data were extracted through a nationwide database and manual chart review. Positive urine cultures were reviewed at the chart, clinician, and aggregate levels. Cases were classified as cystitis, pyelonephritis, or asymptomatic bacteriuria (ASB) based upon documented signs and symptoms. Preferred therapy definitions were applied for subdiagnoses: ASB (no antibiotics), cystitis (trimethoprim-sulfamethoxazole, nitrofurantoin, β-lactams), and pyelonephritis (trimethoprim-sulfamethoxazole, fluoroquinolone). Outcomes included 30-day clinical failure or hospitalization. Odds ratios for outcomes between treatments were estimated using logistic regression., Results: Of 3,255 cases reviewed, ASB was identified in 1,628 cases (50%), cystitis was identified in 1,156 cases (36%), and pyelonephritis was identified in 471 cases (15%). Of all 2,831 cases, 1,298 (46%) received preferred therapy selection and duration for cases where it could be defined. The most common antibiotic class prescribed was a fluoroquinolone (34%). Patients prescribed preferred therapy had lower odds of clinical failure: preferred (8%) versus nonpreferred (10%) (unadjusted OR, 0.74; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.58-0.95; P = .018). They also had lower odds of 30-day hospitalization: preferred therapy (3%) versus nonpreferred therapy (5%) (unadjusted OR, 0.55; 95% CI, 0.37-0.81; P = .002). Odds of clinical treatment failure or hospitalization was higher for β-lactams relative to ciprofloxacin (unadjusted OR, 1.89; 95% CI, 1.23-2.90; P = .002)., Conclusions: Clinicians prescribed preferred therapy 46% of the time. Those prescribed preferred therapy had lower odds of clinical failure and of being hospitalized., (© The Author(s) 2022.)
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- 2022
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11. A flexible framework for visualizing and exploring patient misdiagnosis over time.
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Widanagamaachchi W, Peterson K, Chapman A, Classen D, and Jones M
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- Diagnostic Errors, Humans, Data Visualization
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Diagnosis is a complex and ambiguous process and yet, it is the critical hinge point for all subsequent clinical reasoning and decision-making. Tracking the quality of the patient diagnostic process has the potential to provide valuable insights in improving the diagnostic accuracy and to reduce downstream errors but needs to be informative, timely, and efficient at scale. However, due to the rate at which healthcare data are captured on a daily basis, manually reviewing the diagnostic history of each patient would be a severely taxing process without efficient data reduction and representation. Application of data visualization and visual analytics to healthcare data is one promising approach for addressing these challenges. This paper presents a novel flexible visualization and analysis framework for exploring the patient diagnostic process over time (i.e., patient diagnosis paths). Our framework allows users to select a specific set of patients, events and/or conditions, filter data based on different attributes, and view further details on the selected patient cohort while providing an interactive view of the resulting patient diagnosis paths. A practical demonstration of our system is presented with a case study exploring infection-based patient diagnosis paths., Competing Interests: Declaration of Competing Interest One or more of the authors of this paper have disclosed potential or pertinent conflicts of interest, which may include receipt of payment, either direct or indirect, institutional support, or association with an entity in the biomedical field which may be perceived to have potential conflict of interest with this work. For full disclosure statements refer to https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbi.2022.104178. Wathsala Widanagamaachchi reports financial support was provided by Gordon and Betty Moore Foundation., (Copyright © 2022 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)
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- 2022
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12. Infectious Disease Consults of Pseudomonas aeruginosa Bloodstream Infection and Impact on Health Outcomes.
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Ramanathan S, Albarillo FS, Fitzpatrick MA, Suda KJ, Poggensee L, Vivo A, Evans ME, Jones M, Safdar N, Pfeiffer C, Smith B, Wilson G, and Evans CT
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Background: Infectious diseases (ID) consultation improves health outcomes for certain infections but has not been well described for Pseudomonas aeruginosa (PA) bloodstream infection (BSI). Therefore, the goal of this study was to examine ID consultation of inpatients with PA BSI and factors impacting outcomes., Methods: This was a retrospective cohort study from January 1, 2012, to December 31, 2018, of adult hospitalized veterans with PA BSI and antibiotic treatment 2 days before through 5 days after the culture date. Multidrug-resistant (MDR) cultures were defined as cultures with resistance to at least 1 agent in ≥3 antimicrobial categories tested. Multivariable logistic regression models were fit to assess the impact of ID consults and adequate treatment on mortality., Results: A total of 3256 patients had PA BSI, of whom 367 (11.3%) were multidrug resistant (MDR). Most were male (97.5%), over 65 years old (71.2%), and White (70.9%). Nearly one-fourth (n = 784, 23.3%) died during hospitalization, and 870 (25.8%) died within 30 days of their culture. Adjusted models showed that ID consultation was associated with decreased in-hospital (odds ratio [OR], 0.47; 95% CI, 0.39-0.56) and 30-day mortality (OR, 0.51; 95% CI, 0.42-0.62)., Conclusions: Consultation with ID physicians improves clinical outcomes such as in-hospital and 30-day mortality for patients with PA BSI. ID consultation provides value and should be considered for patients with PA BSI., Competing Interests: Potential conflicts of interest. The authors: no reported conflicts of interest. All authors have submitted the ICMJE Form for Disclosure of Potential Conflicts of Interest. Conflicts that the editors consider relevant to the content of the manuscript have been disclosed., (Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of Infectious Diseases Society of America 2022.)
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- 2022
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13. Pre-endoscopy coronavirus disease 2019 screening and severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2 nucleic acid amplification testing in the Veterans Affairs healthcare system: clinical practice patterns, outcomes, and relationship to procedure volume.
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Gawron AJ, Sultan S, Glorioso TJ, Califano S, Kralovic SM, Jones M, Kirsh S, and Dominitz JA
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- Endoscopy, Gastrointestinal, Humans, Practice Patterns, Physicians', SARS-CoV-2, COVID-19 diagnosis, COVID-19 epidemiology, Nucleic Acids, Veterans
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Background and Aims: The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has had profound impacts worldwide, including on the performance of GI endoscopy. We aimed to describe the performance and outcomes of pre-endoscopy COVID-19 symptom and exposure screening and severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2) nucleic acid amplification testing (NAAT) across the national Veterans Affairs healthcare system and describe the relationship of SARS-CoV-2 NAAT use and resumption of endoscopy services., Methods: COVID-19 screening and NAAT results from March 2020 to April 2021 were analyzed to determine use, performance characteristics of screening, and association between testing and endoscopic volume trends., Results: Of 220,891 completed endoscopies identified, 115,890 (52.5%) had documented preprocedure COVID-19 symptom and exposure screenings and 154,127 (69.8%) had preprocedure NAAT results within 7 days before scheduled endoscopy. Of 131,894 total canceled endoscopies, 26,475 (20.1%) had screening data and 28,505 (21.6%) had SARS-CoV-2 NAAT results. Overall, positive NAAT results were reported in 1.8% of all individuals tested and in 1.3% of those who screened negative. Among completed and canceled endoscopies, COVID-19 screening had a 34.6% sensitivity (95% confidence interval [CI], 32.4%-36.8%) and 96.4% specificity (95% CI, 96.2%-96.5%) when compared with NAAT. COVID-19 screening had a positive predictive value of 15.0% (95% CI, 14.0%-16.1%) and a negative predictive value of 98.7% (95% CI, 98.7%-98.8%). There was a very weak correlation between monthly testing and monthly endoscopy volume by site (Spearman rank correlation coefficient = .09)., Conclusions: These findings have important implications for decisions about preprocedure testing, especially given breakthrough infections among vaccinated individuals during the SARS-CoV-2 delta and omicron variant surge., (Published by Elsevier Inc.)
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- 2022
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14. A survey of infection control strategies for carbapenem-resistant Enterobacteriaceae in Department of Veterans' Affairs facilities.
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Ramanathan S, Suda KJ, Fitzpatrick MA, Guihan M, Goedken CC, Safdar N, Evans M, Jones M, Pfeiffer CD, Perencevich EN, Rubin M, and Evans CT
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- Anti-Bacterial Agents pharmacology, Anti-Bacterial Agents therapeutic use, Humans, Infection Control, Surveys and Questionnaires, Carbapenem-Resistant Enterobacteriaceae, Enterobacteriaceae Infections drug therapy, Enterobacteriaceae Infections epidemiology, Enterobacteriaceae Infections prevention & control, Veterans
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A survey of Veterans' Affairs Medical Centers on control of carbapenem-resistant Enterobacteriaceae (CRE) and carbapenem-producing CRE (CP-CRE) demonstrated that most facilities use VA guidelines but few screen for CRE/CP-CRE colonization regularly or regularly communicate CRE/CP-CRE status at patient transfer. Most respondents were knowledgeable about CRE guidelines but cited lack of adequate resources.
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- 2022
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15. Analysis of a national response to a White House directive for ending veteran suicide.
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Kalvesmaki AF, Chapman AB, Peterson KS, Pugh MJ, Jones M, and Gleason TC
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- Humans, Military Personnel, Veterans, Suicide Prevention
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Objective: Analyze responses to a national request for information (RFI) to uncover gaps in policy, practice, and understanding of veteran suicide to inform federal research strategy., Data Source: An RFI with 21 open-ended questions generated from Presidential Executive Order #1386, administered nationally from July 3 to August 5, 2019., Study Design: Semi-structured, open-ended responses analyzed using a collaborative qualitative and text-mining data process., Data Extraction Methods: We aligned traditional qualitative methods with natural language processing (NLP) text-mining techniques to analyze 9040 open-ended question responses from 722 respondents to provide results within 3 months. Narrative inquiry and the medical explanatory model guided the data extraction and analytic process., Results: Five major themes were identified: risk factors, risk assessment, prevention and intervention, barriers to care, and data/research. Individuals and organizations mentioned different concepts within the same themes. In responses about risk factors, individuals frequently mentioned generic terms like "illness" while organizations mentioned specific terms like "traumatic brain injury." Organizations and individuals described unique barriers to care and emphasized ways to integrate data and research to improve points of care. Organizations often identified lack of funding as barriers while individuals often identified key moments for prevention such as military transitions and ensuring care providers have military cultural understanding., Conclusions: This study provides an example of a rapid, adaptive analysis of a large body of qualitative, public response data about veteran suicide to support a federal strategy for an important public health topic. Combining qualitative and text-mining methods allowed a representation of voices and perspectives including the lived experiences of individuals who described stories of military transition, treatments that worked or did not, and the perspective of organizations treating veterans for suicide. The results supported the development of a national strategy to reduce suicide risks for veterans as well as civilians., (© 2022 Health Research and Educational Trust.)
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- 2022
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16. Positive Predictive Value of COVID-19 ICD-10 Diagnosis Codes Across Calendar Time and Clinical Setting.
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Lynch KE, Viernes B, Gatsby E, DuVall SL, Jones BE, Box TL, Kreisler C, and Jones M
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Purpose: To estimate the positive predictive value (PPV) of International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision (ICD-10) code U07.1, COVID-19 virus identified, in the Department of Veterans of Affairs (VA)., Patients and Methods: Records of ICD-10 code U07.1 from inpatient, outpatient, and emergency/urgent care settings were extracted from VA medical record data from 4/01/2020 to 3/31/2021. A weighted, random sample of 1500 records from each quarter of the one-year observation period was reviewed by study personnel to confirm active COVID-19 infection at the time of diagnosis and classify reasons for false positive records. PPV was estimated overall and compared across clinical setting and quarters., Results: We identified 664,406 records of U07.1. Among the 1500 reviewed, 237 were false positives (PPV: 84.2%, 95% CI: 82.4-86.0). PPV ranged from 77.7% in outpatient settings to 93.8% in inpatient settings and was 83.3% in quarter 1, 80.5% in quarter 2, 86.1% in quarter 3, and 83.6% in quarter 4. The most common reasons for false positive records were history of COVID-19 (44.3%) and orders for laboratory tests (21.5%)., Conclusion: The PPV of ICD-10 code U07.1 is low, especially in outpatient settings. Directed training may improve accuracy of coding to levels that are deemed adequate for future use in surveillance efforts., Competing Interests: Dr Scott L DuVall reports grants from Anolinx, LLC, Astellas Pharma, Inc, AstraZeneca Pharmaceuticals LP, Boehringer Ingelheim International GmbH, Celgene Corporation, Eli Lilly and Company, Genentech Inc., Genomic Health, Inc., Gilead Sciences Inc., GlaxoSmithKline PLC, Innocrin Pharmaceuticals Inc., Janssen Pharmaceuticals, Inc., Kantar Health, Myriad Genetic Laboratories, Inc., Novartis International AG, and Parexel International Corporation, outside the submitted work. The author reports no other conflicts of interest in this work., (© 2021 Lynch et al.)
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- 2021
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17. Risk Factors Associated With Carbapenemase-Producing Carbapenem-Resistant Enterobacteriaceae Positive Cultures in a Cohort of US Veterans.
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Wilson GM, Suda KJ, Fitzpatrick MA, Bartle B, Pfeiffer CD, Jones M, Rubin MA, Perencevich E, Evans M, and Evans CT
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- Anti-Bacterial Agents pharmacology, Anti-Bacterial Agents therapeutic use, Bacterial Proteins, Carbapenems pharmacology, Humans, Retrospective Studies, Risk Factors, United States epidemiology, beta-Lactamases, Carbapenem-Resistant Enterobacteriaceae, Enterobacteriaceae Infections drug therapy, Enterobacteriaceae Infections epidemiology, Veterans
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Background: Carbapenem-resistant Enterobacteriaceae (CRE) cause approximately 13 100 infections, with an 8% mortality rate in the United States annually. Carbapenemase-producing CRE (CP-CRE) a subset of CRE infections infections have much higher mortality rates (40%-50%). There has been little research on characteristics unique to CP-CRE. The goal of the current study was to assess differences between US veterans with non-CP-CRE and those with CP-CRE cultures., Methods: A retrospective cohort of veterans with CRE cultures from 2013-2018 and their demographic, medical, and facility level covariates were collected. Clustered multiple logistic regression models were used to assess independent factors associated with CP-CRE., Results: The study included 3096 unique patients with cultures positive for either non-CP-CRE or CP-CRE. Being African American (odds ratio, 1.44 [95% confidence interval, 1.15-1.80]), diagnosis in 2017 (3.11 [2.13-4.54]) or 2018 (3.93 [2.64-5.84]), congestive heart failure (1.35 [1.11-1.64]), and gastroesophageal reflux disease (1.39 [1.03-1.87]) were associated with CP-CRE cultures. There was no known antibiotic exposure in the previous year for 752 patients (24.3% of the included patients). Those with no known antibiotic exposure had increased frequency of prolonged proton pump inhibitor use (17.3%) compared to those with known antibiotic exposure (5.6%)., Discussion: Among a cohort of patients with CRE, African Americans, patients with congestive heart failure, and those with gastroesophageal reflux disease had greater odds of having a CP-CRE culture. Roughly 1 in 4 patients with CP-CRE had no known antibiotic exposure in the year before their positive culture., (Published by Oxford University Press for the Infectious Diseases Society of America 2021.)
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- 2021
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18. ReHouSED: A novel measurement of Veteran housing stability using natural language processing.
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Chapman AB, Jones A, Kelley AT, Jones B, Gawron L, Montgomery AE, Byrne T, Suo Y, Cook J, Pettey W, Peterson K, Jones M, and Nelson R
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- Documentation, Electronics, Housing, Humans, Natural Language Processing, United States, United States Department of Veterans Affairs, Ill-Housed Persons, Veterans
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Housing stability is an important determinant of health. The US Department of Veterans Affairs (VA) administers several programs to assist Veterans experiencing unstable housing. Measuring long-term housing stability of Veterans who receive assistance from VA is difficult due to a lack of standardized structured documentation in the Electronic Health Record (EHR). However, the text of clinical notes often contains detailed information about Veterans' housing situations that may be extracted using natural language processing (NLP). We present a novel NLP-based measurement of Veteran housing stability: Relative Housing Stability in Electronic Documentation (ReHouSED). We first develop and evaluate a system for classifying documents containing information about Veterans' housing situations. Next, we aggregate information from multiple documents to derive a patient-level measurement of housing stability. Finally, we demonstrate this method's ability to differentiate between Veterans who are stably and unstably housed. Thus, ReHouSED provides an important methodological framework for the study of long-term housing stability among Veterans receiving housing assistance., (Copyright © 2021. Published by Elsevier Inc.)
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- 2021
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19. Automated Travel History Extraction From Clinical Notes for Informing the Detection of Emergent Infectious Disease Events: Algorithm Development and Validation.
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Peterson KS, Lewis J, Patterson OV, Chapman AB, Denhalter DW, Lye PA, Stevens VW, Gamage SD, Roselle GA, Wallace KS, and Jones M
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- Algorithms, COVID-19 epidemiology, Communicable Diseases, Emerging epidemiology, Feasibility Studies, Female, Humans, Machine Learning, Male, Middle Aged, Natural Language Processing, Reproducibility of Results, United States epidemiology, Communicable Diseases, Emerging diagnosis, Electronic Health Records, Information Storage and Retrieval methods, Public Health Surveillance methods, Travel statistics & numerical data
- Abstract
Background: Patient travel history can be crucial in evaluating evolving infectious disease events. Such information can be challenging to acquire in electronic health records, as it is often available only in unstructured text., Objective: This study aims to assess the feasibility of annotating and automatically extracting travel history mentions from unstructured clinical documents in the Department of Veterans Affairs across disparate health care facilities and among millions of patients. Information about travel exposure augments existing surveillance applications for increased preparedness in responding quickly to public health threats., Methods: Clinical documents related to arboviral disease were annotated following selection using a semiautomated bootstrapping process. Using annotated instances as training data, models were developed to extract from unstructured clinical text any mention of affirmed travel locations outside of the continental United States. Automated text processing models were evaluated, involving machine learning and neural language models for extraction accuracy., Results: Among 4584 annotated instances, 2659 (58%) contained an affirmed mention of travel history, while 347 (7.6%) were negated. Interannotator agreement resulted in a document-level Cohen kappa of 0.776. Automated text processing accuracy (F1 85.6, 95% CI 82.5-87.9) and computational burden were acceptable such that the system can provide a rapid screen for public health events., Conclusions: Automated extraction of patient travel history from clinical documents is feasible for enhanced passive surveillance public health systems. Without such a system, it would usually be necessary to manually review charts to identify recent travel or lack of travel, use an electronic health record that enforces travel history documentation, or ignore this potential source of information altogether. The development of this tool was initially motivated by emergent arboviral diseases. More recently, this system was used in the early phases of response to COVID-19 in the United States, although its utility was limited to a relatively brief window due to the rapid domestic spread of the virus. Such systems may aid future efforts to prevent and contain the spread of infectious diseases., (©Kelly S Peterson, Julia Lewis, Olga V Patterson, Alec B Chapman, Daniel W Denhalter, Patricia A Lye, Vanessa W Stevens, Shantini D Gamage, Gary A Roselle, Katherine S Wallace, Makoto Jones. Originally published in JMIR Public Health and Surveillance (http://publichealth.jmir.org), 24.03.2021.)
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- 2021
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20. Association Between Contact Precautions and Transmission of Methicillin-Resistant Staphylococcus aureus in Veterans Affairs Hospitals.
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Khader K, Thomas A, Stevens V, Visnovsky L, Nevers M, Toth D, Keegan LT, Jones M, Rubin M, and Samore MH
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- Cohort Studies, Hospitals, Veterans, Humans, Retrospective Studies, United States, United States Department of Veterans Affairs, Cross Infection prevention & control, Cross Infection transmission, Infection Control methods, Methicillin-Resistant Staphylococcus aureus isolation & purification, Staphylococcal Infections prevention & control, Staphylococcal Infections transmission
- Abstract
Importance: The effectiveness and importance of contact precautions for endemic pathogens has long been debated, and their use has broad implications for infection control of other pathogens., Objective: To estimate the association between contact precautions and transmission of methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) across US Department of Veterans Affairs (VA) hospitals., Design, Setting, and Participants: This retrospective cohort study used mathematical models applied to data from a population-based sample of adults hospitalized in 108 VA acute care hospitals for at least 24 hours from January 1, 2008, to December 31, 2017. Data were analyzed from May 2, 2019, to December 11, 2020., Exposures: A positive MRSA test result, presumed to indicate contact precautions use according to the VA MRSA Prevention Initiative., Main Outcomes and Measures: The main outcome was the association between contact precautions and MRSA transmission, defined as the relative transmissibility attributed to contact precautions. A contact precaution effect estimate (<1 indicates a reduction in transmission associated with contact precautions) was estimated for each hospital and then pooled over time and across hospitals using meta-regression., Results: In this cohort study of 108 VA hospitals, more than 2 million unique individuals had over 5.6 million admissions, of which 14.1% were presumed to have contact precautions with more than 8.4 million MRSA surveillance tests. Pooled estimates found associations between contact precautions and transmission to be stable from 2008 to 2017, with estimated transmission reductions ranging from 43% (95% credible interval [CrI], 38%-48%) to 51% (95% CrI, 46%-55%). Over the entire 10-year study period, contact precautions reduced transmission 47% (95% CrI, 45%-49%), and the intrafacility autocorrelation coefficient estimate was 0.99, suggesting consistent estimates over time within facilities. Larger facilities and those with higher admission screening compliance observed additional reductions in transmission associated with contact precautions (relative rate, 0.84; 95% CI, 0.74-0.96 and 0.74; 95% CI, 0.58-0.96, respectively) compared with smaller facilities and those with lower admission screening compliance. Facilities in the southern US had a smaller transmission reduction attributable to contact precautions (relative rate, 1.14; 95% CI, 1.01-1.28) compared with facilities in other regions in the US., Conclusions and Relevance: In this cohort study of adults in VA hospitals, transmissibility of MRSA was found to be reduced by approximately 50% among patients with contact precautions. These results provide an explanation for decreasing acquisition rates in VA hospitals since the MRSA Prevention Initiative.
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- 2021
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21. Attributable Cost of Healthcare-Associated Methicillin-Resistant Staphylococcus aureus Infection in a Long-term Care Center.
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Nelson RE, Lautenbach E, Chang N, Jones M, Willson T, David M, Linkin D, Glick H, Doshi JA, and Stevens VW
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- Delivery of Health Care, Humans, Long-Term Care, Retrospective Studies, Cross Infection epidemiology, Methicillin-Resistant Staphylococcus aureus, Staphylococcal Infections epidemiology
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Background: Studies have shown that healthcare-associated infections (HAIs) due to methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) can lead to substantial healthcare costs in acute care settings. However, little is known regarding the consequences of these infections on patients in long-term care centers (LTCCs). The purpose of this study was to estimate the attributable cost of MRSA HAIs in LTCCs within the Department of Veterans Affairs (VA)., Methods: We performed a retrospective cohort study of patients admitted to VA LTCCs between 1 January 2009 and 30 September 2015. MRSA HAIs were defined as a positive clinical culture at least 48 hours after LTCC admission so as to exclude community-acquired infections. Positive cultures were further classified by site (sterile or nonsterile). We used multivariable generalized linear models and 2-part models to compare the LTCC and acute care costs between patients with and without an MRSA HAI., Results: In our primary analysis, there was no difference in LTCC costs between patients with and without a MRSA HAI. There was, however, a significant increase in the odds of being transferred to an acute care facility (odds ratio, 4.40 [95% confidence interval {CI}, 3.40-5.67]) and in acute care costs ($9711 [95% CI, $6961-$12 462])., Conclusions: Our findings of high cost and increased risk of transfer from LTCC to acute care are important because they highlight the substantial clinical and economic impact of MRSA infections in this population., (© The Author(s) 2021. Published by Oxford University Press for the Infectious Diseases Society of America. All rights reserved. For permissions, e-mail: journals.permissions@oup.com.)
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- 2021
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22. Expanding an Economic Evaluation of the Veterans Affairs (VA) Methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) Prevention Initiative to Include Prevention of Infections From Other Pathogens.
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Nelson RE, Goto M, Samore MH, Jones M, Stevens VW, Evans ME, Schweizer ML, Perencevich EN, and Rubin MA
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- Cost-Benefit Analysis, Humans, Clostridioides difficile, Cross Infection epidemiology, Cross Infection prevention & control, Methicillin-Resistant Staphylococcus aureus, Staphylococcal Infections epidemiology, Staphylococcal Infections prevention & control, Veterans
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Background: In October 2007, Veterans Affairs (VA) launched a nationwide effort to reduce methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) transmission called the National MRSA Prevention Initiative. Although the initiative focused on MRSA, recent evidence suggests that it also led to a significant decrease in hospital-onset (HO) gram-negative rod (GNR) bacteremia, vancomycin-resistant Enterococci (VRE), and Clostridioides difficile infections. The objective of this analysis was to evaluate the cost-effectiveness and the budget impact of the initiative taking into account MRSA, GNR, VRE, and C. difficile infections., Methods: We developed an economic model using published data on the rate of MRSA hospital-acquired infections (HAIs) and HO-GNR bacteremia in the VA from October 2007 to September 2015, estimates of the attributable cost and mortality of these infections, and the costs associated with the intervention obtained through a microcosting approach. We explored several different assumptions for the rate of infections that would have occurred if the initiative had not been implemented. Effectiveness was measured in life-years (LYs) gained., Results: We found that during fiscal years 2008-2015, the initiative resulted in an estimated 4761-9236 fewer MRSA HAIs, 1447-2159 fewer HO-GNR bacteremia, 3083-3602 fewer C. difficile infections, and 2075-5393 fewer VRE infections. The initiative itself was estimated to cost $561 million over this 8-year period, whereas the cost savings from prevented MRSA HAIs ranged from $165 to $315 million and from prevented HO-GNR bacteremia, CRE and C. difficile infections ranged from $174 to $200 million. The incremental cost-effectiveness of the initiative ranged from $12 146 to $38 673/LY when just including MRSA HAIs and from $1354 to $4369/LY when including the additional pathogens. The overall impact on the VA's budget ranged from $67 to$195 million., Conclusions: An MRSA surveillance and prevention strategy in VA may have prevented a substantial number of infections from MRSA and other organisms. The net increase in cost from implementing this strategy was quite small when considering infections from all types of organisms. Including spillover effects of organism-specific prevention efforts onto other organisms can provide a more comprehensive evaluation of the costs and benefits of these interventions., (Published by Oxford University Press for the Infectious Diseases Society of America 2021.)
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- 2021
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23. Use of Oral Vancomycin for Clostridioides difficile Infection and the Risk of Vancomycin-Resistant Enterococci.
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Stevens VW, Khader K, Echevarria K, Nelson RE, Zhang Y, Jones M, Timbrook TT, Samore MH, and Rubin MA
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- Anti-Bacterial Agents therapeutic use, Clostridioides, Humans, Metronidazole therapeutic use, Retrospective Studies, Vancomycin therapeutic use, Clostridioides difficile, Clostridium Infections drug therapy, Clostridium Infections epidemiology, Vancomycin-Resistant Enterococci
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Background: Vancomycin is now a preferred treatment for all cases of Clostridioides difficile infection (CDI), regardless of disease severity. Concerns remain that a large-scale shift to oral vancomycin may increase selection pressure for vancomycin-resistant Enterococci (VRE). We evaluated the risk of VRE following oral vancomycin or metronidazole treatment among patients with CDI., Methods: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of patients with CDI in the US Department of Veterans Affairs health system between 1 January 2006 and 31 December 2016. Patients were included if they were treated with metronidazole or oral vancomycin and had no history of VRE in the previous year. Missing data were handled by multiple imputation of 50 datasets. Patients treated with oral vancomycin were compared to those treated with metronidazole after balancing on patient characteristics using propensity score matching in each imputed dataset. Patients were followed for VRE isolated from a clinical culture within 3 months., Results: Patients treated with oral vancomycin were no more likely to develop VRE within 3 months than metronidazole-treated patients (adjusted relative risk, 0.96; 95% confidence interval [CI], .77 to 1.20), equating to an absolute risk difference of -0.11% (95% CI, -.68% to .47%). Similar results were observed at 6 months., Conclusions: Our results suggest that oral vancomycin and metronidazole are equally likely to impact patients' risk of VRE. In the setting of stable CDI incidence, replacement of metronidazole with oral vancomycin is unlikely to be a significant driver of increased risk of VRE at the patient level.In this multicenter, retrospective cohort study of patients with Clostridioides difficile infection, the use of oral vancomycin did not increase the risk of vancomycin-resistant Enterococci infection at 3 or 6 months compared to metronidazole., (Published by Oxford University Press for the Infectious Diseases Society of America 2019.)
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- 2020
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24. Potential Impact of Hospital-acquired Pneumonia Guidelines on Empiric Antibiotics. An Evaluation of 113 Veterans Affairs Medical Centers.
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Bostwick AD, Jones BE, Paine R, Goetz MB, Samore M, and Jones M
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- Aged, Anti-Bacterial Agents therapeutic use, Community-Acquired Infections diagnosis, Community-Acquired Infections drug therapy, Community-Acquired Infections epidemiology, Cross Infection diagnosis, Cross Infection drug therapy, Female, Hospitalization statistics & numerical data, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Multivariate Analysis, Pneumonia, Bacterial diagnosis, Pneumonia, Bacterial drug therapy, Regression Analysis, Retrospective Studies, United States epidemiology, Cross Infection epidemiology, Hospitals, Veterans statistics & numerical data, Methicillin-Resistant Staphylococcus aureus, Pneumonia, Bacterial epidemiology
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Rationale: The 2016 guidelines for hospital-acquired pneumonia (HAP) suggest applying a universal antibiogram resistance threshold in addition to patient criteria to determine empiric coverage. The impact of these recommendations is unknown. Objectives: 1 ) Describe national antibiotic use and microbiology patterns for HAP among patients with noninfectious admissions, 2 ) measure the predictive performance of the antibiogram threshold and risk factors, and 3 ) estimate the change in practice with guideline implementation. Methods: We conducted a retrospective analysis of all hospitalizations without initial infection but with secondary pneumonia diagnoses at Veterans Affairs Medical Centers between October 1, 2012, and September 30, 2015. For each hospitalization we extracted: presence of methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) and resistant gram-negative rods (R-GNR) in cultures, anti-MRSA and antipseudomonal antimicrobial administration, and facility-level prevalence of MRSA and R-GNR. We calculated the percentage of hospitalizations with resistant organisms, broad-spectrum antibiotics, and the predictive performance of patient characteristics and prevalence thresholds for MRSA. Results: Among 3,562 cases, 5.17% were positive for MRSA and 2.30% for R-GNR. The recommended MRSA prevalence threshold was 100.00% sensitive (95% confidence interval [CI], 98.02-100.00%) and 0.03% specific (95% CI, 0.00-0.16%) for MRSA-positive culture, leading to overtreatment of 94.81% (95% CI, 94.02-95.50%) of patients. Pressor order (odds ratio [OR], 3.89; 95% CI, 1.17-12.91) and intravenous antibiotics within the past 90 days (OR, 1.98; 95% CI, 1.03-3.81) were associated with MRSA. Mechanical ventilation was associated with R-GNR (OR, 4.37; 95% CI, 1.52-12.57). Conclusions: The guideline-recommended antibiogram threshold and characteristics did not improve prediction of MRSA or R-GNR and would have led to an increase in MRSA treatment.
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- 2019
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25. Variation and trends in transmission dynamics of Methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus in veterans affairs hospitals and nursing homes.
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Khader K, Thomas A, Jones M, Toth D, Stevens V, and Samore MH
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- Bayes Theorem, Hospitalization, Humans, Prevalence, Hospitals, Veterans statistics & numerical data, Methicillin-Resistant Staphylococcus aureus, Nursing Homes statistics & numerical data, Staphylococcal Infections epidemiology, Veterans statistics & numerical data
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Variation and differences of MRSA transmission within and between healthcare settings are not well understood. This variability is critical for understanding the potential impact of infection control interventions and could aid in the evaluation of future intervention strategies. We fit a Bayesian transmission model to detailed individual-level MRSA surveillance data from over 230 Veterans Affairs (VA) hospitals and nursing homes. Our approach disentangles the effects of potential confounders, including length of stay, admission prevalence, and clearance, estimating dynamic transmission model parameters and temporal trends. The median baseline transmission rate in hospitals was approximately four-fold higher than in nursing homes, and declined in 46% of hospitals and 9% of nursing homes, resulting in a median transmission rate reduction of 43% across hospitals and an increase of 2% in nursing homes. For first admissions into an acute care facility, the median (range) importation probability was 10.5% (5.9%-18.4%), and was nearly twice as large, 18.7% (9.2%-37.4%), in nursing homes. This analysis found differences within and between hospitals and nursing homes. The transmission rate declined substantially in hospitals and remained stable in nursing homes, while admission prevalence was considerably higher in nursing homes than in hospitals., (Copyright © 2019 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)
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- 2019
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26. Evaluation of uncomplicated acute respiratory tract infection management in veterans: A national utilization review.
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Bohan JG, Madaras-Kelly K, Pontefract B, Jones M, Neuhauser MM, Bidwell Goetz M, Burk M, and Cunningham F
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- Adult, Aged, Female, Guideline Adherence statistics & numerical data, Hospitals, Veterans, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Practice Guidelines as Topic, Quality Improvement, United States, Utilization Review, Veterans, Anti-Bacterial Agents therapeutic use, Inappropriate Prescribing statistics & numerical data, Practice Patterns, Physicians' statistics & numerical data, Respiratory Tract Infections drug therapy
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Background: Antibiotics are overprescribed for acute respiratory tract infections (ARIs). Guidelines provide criteria to determine which patients should receive antibiotics. We assessed congruence between documentation of ARI diagnostic and treatment practices with guideline recommendations, treatment appropriateness, and outcomes., Methods: A multicenter quality improvement evaluation was conducted in 28 Veterans Affairs facilities. We included visits for pharyngitis, rhinosinusitis, bronchitis, and upper respiratory tract infections (URI-NOS) that occurred during the 2015-2016 winter season. A manual record review identified complicated cases, which were excluded. Data were extracted for visits meeting criteria, followed by analysis of practice patterns, guideline congruence, and outcomes., Results: Of 5,740 visits, 4,305 met our inclusion criteria: pharyngitis (n = 558), rhinosinusitis (n = 715), bronchitis (n = 1,155), URI-NOS (n = 1,475), or mixed diagnoses (>1 ARI diagnosis) (n = 402). Antibiotics were prescribed in 68% of visits: pharyngitis (69%), rhinosinusitis (89%), bronchitis (86%), URI-NOS (37%), and mixed diagnosis (86%). Streptococcal diagnostic testing was performed in 33% of pharyngitis visits; group A Streptococcus was identified in 3% of visits. Streptococcal tests were ordered less frequently for patients who received antibiotics (28%) than those who did not receive antibiotics 44%; P < .01). Although 68% of visits for rhinosinusitis had documentation of symptoms, only 32% met diagnostic criteria for antibiotics. Overall, 39% of patients with uncomplicated ARIs received appropriate antibiotic management. The proportion of 30-day return visits for ARI care was similar for appropriate (11%) or inappropriate (10%) antibiotic management (P = .22)., Conclusions: Antibiotics were prescribed in most uncomplicated ARI visits, indicating substantial overuse. Practice was frequently discordant with guideline diagnostic and treatment recommendations.
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- 2019
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27. Vital Signs: Trends in Staphylococcus aureus Infections in Veterans Affairs Medical Centers - United States, 2005-2017.
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Jones M, Jernigan JA, Evans ME, Roselle GA, Hatfield KM, and Samore MH
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- Cross Infection prevention & control, Female, Humans, Infection Control organization & administration, Male, Methicillin pharmacology, Staphylococcal Infections prevention & control, Staphylococcus aureus drug effects, United States epidemiology, Cross Infection epidemiology, Hospitals, Veterans, Methicillin-Resistant Staphylococcus aureus isolation & purification, Staphylococcal Infections epidemiology, Staphylococcus aureus isolation & purification
- Abstract
Introduction: By 2007, all Department of Veterans Affairs medical centers (VAMCs) had initiated a multifaceted methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) prevention program. MRSA and methicillin-susceptible S. aureus (MSSA) infection rates among VAMC inpatients from 2005 to 2017 were assessed., Methods: Clinical microbiology data from any patient admitted to an acute-care VAMC in the United States from 2005 through 2017 and trends in hospital-acquired MRSA colonization were examined., Results: S. aureus infections decreased by 43% overall during the study period (p<0.001), driven primarily by decreases in MRSA, which decreased by 55% (p<0.001), whereas MSSA decreased by 12% (p = 0.003). Hospital-onset MRSA and MSSA infections decreased by 66% (p<0.001) and 19% (p = 0.02), respectively. Community-onset MRSA infections decreased by 41% (p<0.001), whereas MSSA infections showed no significant decline. Acquisition of MRSA colonization decreased 78% during 2008-2017 (17% annually, p<0.001). MRSA infection rates declined more sharply among patients who had negative admission surveillance MRSA screening tests (annual 9.7% decline) compared with those among patients with positive admission MRSA screening tests (4.2%) (p<0.05)., Conclusions and Implications for Public Health Practice: Significant reductions in S. aureus infection following the VAMC intervention were led primarily by decreases in MRSA. Moreover, MRSA infection declines were much larger among patients not carrying MRSA at the time of admission than among those who were. Taken together, these results suggest that decreased MRSA transmission played a substantial role in reducing overall S. aureus infections at VAMCs. Recent calls to withdraw infection control interventions designed to prevent MRSA transmission might be premature and inadvisable, at least until more is known about effective control of bacterial pathogen transmission in health care settings. Effective S. aureus prevention strategies require a multifaceted approach that includes adherence to current CDC recommendations for preventing not only device- and procedure-associated infections, but also transmission of health care-prevalent strains.
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- 2019
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28. Methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus Colonization and Pre- and Post-hospital Discharge Infection Risk.
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Nelson RE, Evans ME, Simbartl L, Jones M, Samore MH, Kralovic SM, Roselle GA, and Rubin MA
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- Carrier State microbiology, Female, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Retrospective Studies, Risk Assessment, Staphylococcal Infections microbiology, Carrier State epidemiology, Methicillin-Resistant Staphylococcus aureus isolation & purification, Staphylococcal Infections epidemiology
- Abstract
Background: The Department of Veterans Affairs implemented an active surveillance program for methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) in 2007 in which acute care inpatients are tested for MRSA carriage on admission, unit-to-unit transfer, and discharge. Using these data, we followed patients longitudinally to estimate the difference in infection rates for those who were not colonized, those who were colonized on admission (importers), and those who acquired MRSA during their stay. We examined MRSA infections that occurred prior to discharge and at 30, 90, 180, and 365 days after discharge., Methods: We constructed a dataset of 985626 first admissions from January 2008 through December 2015 who had surveillance tests performed for MRSA carriage. We performed multivariable Cox proportional hazards and logistic regression models to examine the relationship between MRSA colonization status and infection., Results: The MRSA infection rate across the predischarge and 180-day postdischarge time period was 5.5% in importers and 7.0% in acquirers without a direct admission to the intensive care unit (ICU) and 11.4% in importers and 11.7% in acquirers who were admitted directly to the ICU. The predischarge hazard ratio for MRSA infection was 29.6 (95% confidence interval [CI], 26.5-32.9) for importers and 28.8 (95% CI, 23.5-35.3) for acquirers compared to those not colonized. Fully 63.9% of all MRSA pre- and postdischarge infections among importers and 61.2% among acquirers occurred within 180 days after discharge., Conclusions: MRSA colonization significantly increases the risk of subsequent MRSA infection. In addition, a substantial proportion of MRSA infections occur after discharge from the hospital.
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- 2019
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29. The Impact of Healthcare-Associated Methicillin-Resistant Staphylococcus aureus Infections on Postdischarge Health Care Costs and Utilization across Multiple Health Care Systems.
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Nelson RE, Jones M, Liu CF, Samore MH, Evans ME, Stevens VW, Reese T, and Rubin MA
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- Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Cohort Studies, Female, Health Resources economics, Humans, Male, Medicare economics, Middle Aged, Patient Discharge economics, Socioeconomic Factors, United States, United States Department of Veterans Affairs economics, Cross Infection economics, Health Expenditures statistics & numerical data, Methicillin-Resistant Staphylococcus aureus, Patient Acceptance of Health Care statistics & numerical data, Staphylococcal Infections economics
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Objective: To measure how much of the postdischarge cost and utilization attributable to methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) health care-associated infections (HAIs) occur within the US Department of Veterans Affairs (VA) system and how much occurs outside., Data Sources/study Setting: Health care encounters from 3 different settings and payment models: (1) within the VA; (2) outside the VA but paid for by the VA (purchased care); and (3) outside the VA and paid for by Medicare., Study Design: Historical cohort study using data from admissions to VA hospitals between 2007 and 2012., Methods: We assessed the impact of a positive MRSA test result on costs and utilization during the 365 days following discharge using inverse probability of treatment weights to balance covariates., Principal Findings: Among a cohort of 152,687 hospitalized Veterans, a positive MRSA test result was associated with an overall increase of 6.6 (95 percent CI: 5.7-7.5) inpatient days and $9,237 (95 percent CI: $8,211-$10,262) during the postdischarge period. VA inpatient admissions, Medicare reimbursements, and purchased care payments accounted for 60.6 percent, 22.5 percent, and 16.9 percent of these inpatient costs., Conclusions: While most of the excess postdischarge health care costs associated with MRSA HAIs occurred in the VA, non-VA costs make up an important subset of the overall burden., (© Health Research and Educational Trust.)
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- 2018
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30. Attributable Cost and Length of Stay Associated with Nosocomial Gram-Negative Bacterial Cultures.
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Nelson RE, Stevens VW, Jones M, Khader K, Schweizer ML, Perencevich EN, Rubin MA, and Samore MH
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- Aged, Anti-Bacterial Agents therapeutic use, Cohort Studies, Cross Infection drug therapy, Cross Infection microbiology, Drug Resistance, Bacterial drug effects, Female, Gram-Negative Bacteria drug effects, Gram-Negative Bacterial Infections drug therapy, Health Care Costs, Hospitals, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Cross Infection economics, Gram-Negative Bacteria isolation & purification, Gram-Negative Bacterial Infections economics, Length of Stay economics
- Abstract
Few studies have estimated the excess inpatient costs due to nosocomial cultures of Gram-negative bacteria (GNB), and those that do are often subject to time-dependent bias. Our objective was to generate estimates of the attributable costs of the underlying infections associated with nosocomial cultures by using a unique inpatient cost data set from the U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs that allowed us to reduce time-dependent bias. Our study included data from inpatient admissions between 1 October 2007 and 30 November 2010. Nosocomial GNB-positive cultures were defined as clinical cultures positive for Acinetobacter , Pseudomonas , or Enterobacteriaceae between 48 h after admission and discharge. Positive cultures were further classified by site and level of resistance. We conducted analyses using both a conventional approach and an approach aimed at reducing the impact of time-dependent bias. In both instances, we used multivariable generalized linear models to compare the inpatient costs and length of stay for patients with and without a nosocomial GNB culture. Of the 404,652 patients included in the conventional analysis, 12,356 had a nosocomial GNB-positive culture. The excess costs of nosocomial GNB-positive cultures were significant, regardless of specific pathogen, site, or resistance level. Estimates generated using the conventional analysis approach were 32.0% to 131.2% greater than those generated using the approach to reduce time-dependent bias. These results are important because they underscore the large financial burden attributable to these infections and provide a baseline that can be used to assess the impact of improvements in infection control., (Copyright © 2018 American Society for Microbiology.)
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- 2018
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31. Specifying an implementation framework for Veterans Affairs antimicrobial stewardship programmes: using a factor analysis approach.
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Chou AF, Graber CJ, Zhang Y, Jones M, Goetz MB, Madaras-Kelly K, Samore M, and Glassman PA
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- Emergency Medical Services, Factor Analysis, Statistical, Health Facilities, Humans, United States, Antimicrobial Stewardship organization & administration, United States Department of Veterans Affairs organization & administration, Veterans
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Objectives: Inappropriate antibiotic use poses a serious threat to patient safety. Antimicrobial stewardship programmes (ASPs) may optimize antimicrobial use and improve patient outcomes, but their implementation remains an organizational challenge. Using the Promoting Action on Research Implementation in Health Services (PARiHS) framework, this study aimed to identify organizational factors that may facilitate ASP design, development and implementation., Methods: Among 130 Veterans Affairs facilities that offered acute care, we classified organizational variables supporting antimicrobial stewardship activities into three PARiHS domains: evidence to encompass sources of knowledge; contexts to translate evidence into practice; and facilitation to enhance the implementation process. We conducted a series of exploratory factor analyses to identify conceptually linked factor scales. Cronbach's alphas were calculated. Variables with large uniqueness values were left as single factors., Results: We identified 32 factors, including six constructs derived from factor analyses under the three PARiHS domains. In the evidence domain, four factors described guidelines and clinical pathways. The context domain was broken into three main categories: (i) receptive context (15 factors describing resources, affiliations/networks, formalized policies/practices, decision-making, receptiveness to change); (ii) team functioning (1 factor); and (iii) evaluation/feedback (5 factors). Within facilitation, two factors described facilitator roles and tasks and five captured skills and training., Conclusions: We mapped survey data onto PARiHS domains to identify factors that may be adapted to facilitate ASP uptake. Our model encompasses mostly mutable factors whose relationships with performance outcomes may be explored to optimize antimicrobial use. Our framework also provides an analytical model for determining whether leveraging existing organizational processes can potentially optimize ASP performance.
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- 2018
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32. Extended models for nosocomial infection: parameter estimation and model selection.
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Thomas A, Khader K, Redd A, Leecaster M, Zhang Y, Jones M, Greene T, and Samore M
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- Bayes Theorem, Cross Infection epidemiology, Epidemiological Monitoring, Hospitals, Veterans, Humans, Markov Chains, Mathematical Concepts, Methicillin-Resistant Staphylococcus aureus, Models, Statistical, Monte Carlo Method, Staphylococcal Infections epidemiology, Staphylococcal Infections transmission, Cross Infection transmission, Models, Biological
- Abstract
We consider extensions to previous models for patient level nosocomial infection in several ways, provide a specification of the likelihoods for these new models, specify new update steps required for stochastic integration, and provide programs that implement these methods to obtain parameter estimates and model choice statistics. Previous susceptible-infected models are extended to allow for a latent period between initial exposure to the pathogen and the patient becoming themselves infectious, and the possibility of decolonization. We allow for multiple facilities, such as acute care hospitals or long-term care facilities and nursing homes, and for multiple units or wards within a facility. Patient transfers between units and facilities are tracked and accounted for in the models so that direct importation of a colonized individual from one facility or unit to another might be inferred. We allow for constant transmission rates, rates that depend on the number of colonized individuals in a unit or facility, or rates that depend on the proportion of colonized individuals. Statistical analysis is done in a Bayesian framework using Markov chain Monte Carlo methods to obtain a sample of parameter values from their joint posterior distribution. Cross validation, deviance information criterion and widely applicable information criterion approaches to model choice fit very naturally into this framework and we have implemented all three. We illustrate our methods by considering model selection issues and parameter estimation for data on methicilin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus surveillance tests over 1 year at a Veterans Administration hospital comprising seven wards.
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- 2018
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33. Protocol to disseminate a hospital-site controlled intervention using audit and feedback to implement guidelines concerning inappropriate treatment of asymptomatic bacteriuria.
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Trautner BW, Prasad P, Grigoryan L, Hysong SJ, Kramer JR, Rajan S, Petersen NJ, Rosen T, Drekonja DM, Graber C, Patel P, Lichtenberger P, Gauthier TP, Wiseman S, Jones M, Sales A, Krein S, and Naik AD
- Subjects
- Adolescent, Adult, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Anti-Infective Agents, Bacteriuria epidemiology, Catheter-Related Infections drug therapy, Feedback, Female, Hospitals, Hospitals, Veterans, Humans, Male, Medical Audit, Middle Aged, United States epidemiology, Urinary Catheterization, Urine microbiology, Anti-Bacterial Agents therapeutic use, Bacteriuria drug therapy, Hospitalists education, Inappropriate Prescribing prevention & control
- Abstract
Background: Antimicrobial stewardship to combat the spread of antibiotic-resistant bacteria has become a national priority. This project focuses on reducing inappropriate use of antimicrobials for asymptomatic bacteriuria (ASB), a very common condition that leads to antimicrobial overuse in acute and long-term care. We previously conducted a successful intervention, entitled "Kicking Catheter Associated Urinary Tract Infection (CAUTI): the No Knee-Jerk Antibiotics Campaign," to decrease guideline-discordant ordering of urine cultures and antibiotics for ASB. The current objective is to facilitate implementation of a scalable version of the Kicking CAUTI campaign across four geographically diverse Veterans Health Administration facilities while assessing what aspects of an antimicrobial stewardship intervention are essential to success and sustainability., Methods: This project uses an interrupted time series design with four control sites. The two main intervention tools are (1) an evidence-based algorithm that distills the guidelines into a streamlined clinical pathway and (2) case-based audit and feedback to train clinicians to use the algorithm. Our conceptual framework for the development and implementation of this intervention draws on May's General Theory of Implementation. The intervention is directed at providers in acute and long-term care, and the goal is to reduce inappropriate screening for and treatment of ASB in all patients and residents, not just those with urinary catheters. The start-up for each facility consists of centrally-led phone calls with local site champions and baseline surveys. Case-based audit and feedback will begin at a given site after the start-up period and continue for 12 months, followed by a sustainability assessment. In addition to the clinical outcomes, we will explore the relationship between the dose of the intervention and clinical outcomes., Discussion: This project moves from a proof-of-concept effectiveness study to implementation involving significantly more sites, and uses the General Theory of Implementation to embed the intervention into normal processes of care with usual care providers. Aspects of implementation that will be explored include dissemination, internal and external facilitation, and organizational partnerships. "Less is More" is the natural next step from our prior successful Kicking CAUTI intervention, and has the potential to improve patient care while advancing the science of implementation.
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- 2018
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34. The Drivers of Acute and Long-term Care Clostridium difficile Infection Rates: A Retrospective Multilevel Cohort Study of 251 Facilities.
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Brown KA, Daneman N, Jones M, Nechodom K, Stevens V, Adler FR, Goetz MB, Mayer J, and Samore M
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- Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Anti-Bacterial Agents administration & dosage, Anti-Bacterial Agents therapeutic use, Clostridioides difficile, Clostridium Infections drug therapy, Cross Infection drug therapy, Female, Humans, Incidence, Male, Middle Aged, Multilevel Analysis, Patient Transfer, Retrospective Studies, Risk Factors, Treatment Outcome, United States epidemiology, Clostridium Infections epidemiology, Cross Infection epidemiology
- Abstract
Background: Drivers of differences in Clostridium difficile incidence across acute and long-term care facilities are poorly understood. We sought to obtain a comprehensive picture of C. difficile incidence and risk factors in acute and long-term care., Methods: We conducted a case-cohort study of persons spending at least 3 days in one of 131 acute care or 120 long-term care facilities managed by the United States Veterans Health Administration between 2006 and 2012. Patient (n = 8) and facility factors (n = 5) were included in analyses. The outcome was the incidence of facility-onset laboratory-identified C. difficile infection (CDI), defined as a person with a positive C. difficile test without a positive test in the prior 8 weeks., Results: CDI incidence in acute care was 5 times that observed in long-term care (median, 15.6 vs 3.2 per 10000 person-days). History of antibiotic use was greater in acute care compared to long-term care (median, 739 vs 513 per 1000 person-days) and explained 72% of the variation in C. difficile rates. Importation of C. difficile cases (acute care: patients with recent long-term care attributable infection; long-term care: residents with recent acute care attributable infection) was 3 times higher in long-term care as compared to acute care (median, 52.3 vs 16.2 per 10000 person-days)., Conclusions: Facility-level antibiotic use was the main factor driving differences in CDI incidence between acute and long-term care. Importation of acute care C. difficile cases was a greater concern for long-term care as compared to importation of long-term care cases for acute care., (© The Author 2017. Published by Oxford University Press for the Infectious Diseases Society of America. All rights reserved. For permissions, e-mail: journals.permissions@oup.com.)
- Published
- 2017
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35. Comparative Effectiveness of Cefazolin Versus Nafcillin or Oxacillin for Treatment of Methicillin-Susceptible Staphylococcus aureus Infections Complicated by Bacteremia: A Nationwide Cohort Study.
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McDanel JS, Roghmann MC, Perencevich EN, Ohl ME, Goto M, Livorsi DJ, Jones M, Albertson JP, Nair R, O'Shea AMJ, and Schweizer ML
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- Aged, Female, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Retrospective Studies, Treatment Outcome, Anti-Bacterial Agents therapeutic use, Bacteremia complications, Bacteremia drug therapy, Bacteremia epidemiology, Bacteremia microbiology, Staphylococcal Infections complications, Staphylococcal Infections drug therapy, Staphylococcal Infections epidemiology, Staphylococcal Infections microbiology, Staphylococcus aureus, beta-Lactams therapeutic use
- Abstract
Background: To treat patients with methicillin-susceptible Staphylococcus aureus (MSSA) infections, β-lactams are recommended for definitive therapy; however, the comparative effectiveness of individual β-lactams is unknown. This study compared definitive therapy with cefazolin vs nafcillin or oxacillin among patients with MSSA infections complicated by bacteremia., Methods: This retrospective study included patients admitted to 119 Veterans Affairs hospitals from 2003 to 2010. Patients were included if they had a blood culture positive for MSSA and received definitive therapy with cefazolin, nafcillin, or oxacillin. Cox proportional hazards regression and ordinal logistic regression were used to identify associations between antibiotic therapy and mortality or recurrence. A recurrent infection was defined as a MSSA blood culture between 45 and 365 days after the first MSSA blood culture., Results: Of 3167 patients, 1163 (37%) patients received definitive therapy with cefazolin. Patients who received cefazolin had a 37% reduction in 30-day mortality (hazard ratio [HR], 0.63; 95% confidence interval [CI], .51-.78) and a 23% reduction in 90-day mortality (HR, 0.77; 95% CI, .66-.90) compared with patients receiving nafcillin or oxacillin, after controlling for other factors. The odds of recurrence (odds ratio, 1.13; 95% CI, .94-1.36) were similar among patients who received cefazolin compared with patients who received nafcillin or oxacillin, after controlling for other factors., Conclusions: In this large, multicenter study, patients who received cefazolin had a lower risk of mortality and similar odds of recurrent infections compared with nafcillin or oxacillin for MSSA infections complicated by bacteremia. Physicians might consider definitive therapy with cefazolin for these infections., (© The Author 2017. Published by Oxford University Press for the Infectious Diseases Society of America. All rights reserved. For permissions, e-mail: journals.permissions@oup.com.)
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- 2017
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36. Identifying complexity in infectious diseases inpatient settings: An observation study.
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Roosan D, Weir C, Samore M, Jones M, Rahman M, Stoddard GJ, and Del Fiol G
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- Decision Support Systems, Clinical, Humans, Medical Informatics, Regression Analysis, Communicable Diseases, Inpatients, Physicians
- Abstract
Background: Understanding complexity in healthcare has the potential to reduce decision and treatment uncertainty. Therefore, identifying both patient and task complexity may offer better task allocation and design recommendation for next-generation health information technology system design., Objective: To identify specific complexity-contributing factors in the infectious disease domain and the relationship with the complexity perceived by clinicians., Method: We observed and audio recorded clinical rounds of three infectious disease teams. Thirty cases were observed for a period of four consecutive days. Transcripts were coded based on clinical complexity-contributing factors from the clinical complexity model. Ratings of complexity on day 1 for each case were collected. We then used statistical methods to identify complexity-contributing factors in relationship to perceived complexity of clinicians., Results: A factor analysis (principal component extraction with varimax rotation) of specific items revealed three factors (eigenvalues>2.0) explaining 47% of total variance, namely task interaction and goals (10 items, 26%, Cronbach's Alpha=0.87), urgency and acuity (6 items, 11%, Cronbach's Alpha=0.67), and psychosocial behavior (4 items, 10%, Cronbach's alpha=0.55). A linear regression analysis showed no statistically significant association between complexity perceived by the physicians and objective complexity, which was measured from coded transcripts by three clinicians (Multiple R-squared=0.13, p=0.61). There were no physician effects on the rating of perceived complexity., Conclusion: Task complexity contributes significantly to overall complexity in the infectious diseases domain. The different complexity-contributing factors found in this study can guide health information technology system designers and researchers for intuitive design. Thus, decision support tools can help reduce the specific complexity-contributing factors. Future studies aimed at understanding clinical domain-specific complexity-contributing factors can ultimately improve task allocation and design for intuitive clinical reasoning., (Copyright © 2016 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)
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- 2017
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37. Think twice: A cognitive perspective of an antibiotic timeout intervention to improve antibiotic use.
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Jones M, Butler J, Graber CJ, Glassman P, Samore MH, Pollack LA, Weir C, and Goetz MB
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- Cognition, Hospitals, Veterans, Humans, Anti-Bacterial Agents administration & dosage, Decision Making, Practice Patterns, Physicians'
- Abstract
Objectives: To understand clinicians' impressions of and decision-making processes regarding an informatics-supported antibiotic timeout program to re-evaluate the appropriateness of continuing vancomycin and piperacillin/tazobactam., Methods: We implemented a multi-pronged informatics intervention, based on Dual Process Theory, to prompt discontinuation of unwarranted vancomycin and piperacillin/tazobactam on or after day three in a large Veterans Affairs Medical Center. Two workflow changes were introduced to facilitate cognitive deliberation about continuing antibiotics at day three: (1) teams completed an electronic template note, and (2) a paper summary of clinical and antibiotic-related information was provided to clinical teams. Shortly after starting the intervention, six focus groups were conducted with users or potential users. Interviews were recorded and transcribed. Iterative thematic analysis identified recurrent themes from feedback., Results: Themes that emerged are represented by the following quotations: (1) captures and controls attention ("it reminds us to think about it"), (2) enhances informed and deliberative reasoning ("it makes you think twice"), (3) redirects decision direction ("…because [there was no indication] I just [discontinued] it without even trying"), (4) fosters autonomy and improves team empowerment ("the template… forces the team to really discuss it"), and (5) limits use of emotion-based heuristics ("my clinical concern is high enough I think they need more aggressive therapy…")., Conclusions: Requiring template completion to continue antibiotics nudged clinicians to re-assess the appropriateness of specified antibiotics. Antibiotic timeouts can encourage deliberation on overprescribed antibiotics without substantially curtailing autonomy. An effective nudge should take into account clinician's time, workflow, and thought processes., (Published by Elsevier Inc.)
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- 2017
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38. Outcomes Associated With Antimicrobial De-escalation of Treatment for Pneumonia Within the Veterans Healthcare Administration.
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Bohan JG, Remington R, Jones M, Samore M, and Madaras-Kelly K
- Abstract
De-escalation, an antimicrobial stewardship concept, involves narrowing broad-spectrum empiric antimicrobial therapy based on clinical data. Current health outcomes evidence is lacking to support de-escalation. Studying Veterans Healthcare Administration pneumonia patients, de-escalation was associated with improved length of stay without affecting 30-day readmission or 30-day Clostridium difficile infection rates.
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- 2016
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39. Feasibility of Population Health Analytics and Data Visualization for Decision Support in the Infectious Diseases Domain: A pilot study.
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Roosan D, Del Fiol G, Butler J, Livnat Y, Mayer J, Samore M, Jones M, and Weir C
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- Databases, Factual, Feasibility Studies, Humans, Pilot Projects, Time Factors, Communicable Diseases, Data Display, Decision Support Systems, Clinical, Public Health statistics & numerical data
- Abstract
Objective: Big data or population-based information has the potential to reduce uncertainty in medicine by informing clinicians about individual patient care. The objectives of this study were: 1) to explore the feasibility of extracting and displaying population-based information from an actual clinical population's database records, 2) to explore specific design features for improving population display, 3) to explore perceptions of population information displays, and 4) to explore the impact of population information display on cognitive outcomes., Methods: We used the Veteran's Affairs (VA) database to identify similar complex patients based on a similar complex patient case. Study outcomes measures were 1) preferences for population information display 2) time looking at the population display, 3) time to read the chart, and 4) appropriateness of plans with pre- and post-presentation of population data. Finally, we redesigned the population information display based on our findings from this study., Results: The qualitative data analysis for preferences of population information display resulted in four themes: 1) trusting the big/population data can be an issue, 2) embedded analytics is necessary to explore patient similarities, 3) need for tools to control the view (overview, zoom and filter), and 4) different presentations of the population display can be beneficial to improve the display. We found that appropriateness of plans was at 60% for both groups (t9=-1.9; p=0.08), and overall time looking at the population information display was 2.3 minutes versus 3.6 minutes with experts processing information faster than non-experts (t8= -2.3, p=0.04)., Conclusion: A population database has great potential for reducing complexity and uncertainty in medicine to improve clinical care. The preferences identified for the population information display will guide future health information technology system designers for better and more intuitive display.
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- 2016
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40. Importation, Antibiotics, and Clostridium difficile Infection in Veteran Long-Term Care: A Multilevel Case-Control Study.
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Brown KA, Jones M, Daneman N, Adler FR, Stevens V, Nechodom KE, Goetz MB, Samore MH, and Mayer J
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- Case-Control Studies, Humans, Incidence, Retrospective Studies, Risk Factors, United States epidemiology, Anti-Bacterial Agents adverse effects, Clostridioides difficile, Clostridium Infections epidemiology, Clostridium Infections transmission, Cross Infection epidemiology, Cross Infection transmission, Long-Term Care, Residential Facilities
- Abstract
Background: Although clinical factors affecting a person's susceptibility to Clostridium difficile infection are well-understood, little is known about what drives differences in incidence across long-term care settings., Objective: To obtain a comprehensive picture of individual and regional factors that affect C difficile incidence., Design: Multilevel longitudinal nested case-control study., Setting: Veterans Health Administration health care regions, from 2006 through 2012., Participants: Long-term care residents., Measurements: Individual-level risk factors included age, number of comorbid conditions, and antibiotic exposure. Regional risk factors included importation of cases of acute care C difficile infection per 10 000 resident-days and antibiotic use per 1000 resident-days. The outcome was defined as a positive result on a long-term care C difficile test without a positive result in the prior 8 weeks., Results: 6012 cases (incidence, 3.7 cases per 10 000 resident-days) were identified in 86 regions. Long-term care C difficile incidence (minimum, 0.6 case per 10 000 resident-days; maximum, 31.0 cases per 10 000 resident-days), antibiotic use (minimum, 61.0 days with therapy per 1000 resident-days; maximum, 370.2 days with therapy per 1000 resident-days), and importation (minimum, 2.9 cases per 10 000 resident-days; maximum, 341.3 cases per 10 000 resident-days) varied substantially across regions. Together, antibiotic use and importation accounted for 75% of the regional variation in C difficile incidence (R2 = 0.75). Multilevel analyses showed that regional factors affected risk together with individual-level exposures (relative risk of regional antibiotic use, 1.36 per doubling [95% CI, 1.15 to 1.60]; relative risk of importation, 1.23 per doubling [CI, 1.14 to 1.33])., Limitations: Case identification was based on laboratory criteria. Admission of residents with recent C difficile infection from non-Veterans Health Administration acute care sources was not considered., Conclusion: Only 25% of the variation in regional C difficile incidence in long-term care remained unexplained after importation from acute care facilities and antibiotic use were accounted for, which suggests that improved infection control and antimicrobial stewardship may help reduce the incidence of C difficile in long-term care settings., Primary Funding Source: U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs and Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.
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- 2016
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41. Characteristics of Antimicrobial Stewardship Programs at Veterans Affairs Hospitals: Results of a Nationwide Survey.
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Chou AF, Graber CJ, Jones M, Zhang Y, Goetz MB, Madaras-Kelly K, Samore M, Kelly A, and Glassman PA
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- Anti-Bacterial Agents therapeutic use, Antimicrobial Stewardship methods, Antimicrobial Stewardship statistics & numerical data, Hospitals, Veterans statistics & numerical data, Humans, Surveys and Questionnaires, United States, United States Department of Veterans Affairs organization & administration, Antimicrobial Stewardship organization & administration, Hospitals, Veterans organization & administration
- Abstract
BACKGROUND Antimicrobial stewardship programs (ASPs) are variably implemented. OBJECTIVE To characterize variations of antimicrobial stewardship structure and practices across all inpatient Veterans Affairs facilities in 2012 and correlate key characteristics with antimicrobial usage. DESIGN A web-based survey regarding stewardship activities was administered to each facility's designated contact. Bivariate associations between facility characteristics and inpatient antimicrobial use during 2012 were determined. SETTING Total of 130 Veterans Affairs facilities with inpatient services. RESULTS Of 130 responding facilities, 29 (22%) had a formal policy establishing an ASP, and 12 (9%) had an approved ASP business plan. Antimicrobial stewardship teams were present in 49 facilities (38%); 34 teams included a clinical pharmacist with formal infectious diseases (ID) training. Stewardship activities varied across facilities, including development of yearly antibiograms (122 [94%]), formulary restrictions (120 [92%]), stop orders for antimicrobial duration (98 [75%]), and written clinical pathways for specific conditions (96 [74%]). Decreased antimicrobial usage was associated with having at least 1 full-time ID physician (P=.03), an ID fellowship program (P=.003), and a clinical pharmacist with formal ID training (P=.006) as well as frequency of systematic patient-level reviews of antimicrobial use (P=.01) and having a policy to address antimicrobial use in the context of Clostridium difficile infection (P=.01). Stop orders for antimicrobial duration were associated with increased use (P=.03). CONCLUSIONS ASP-related activities varied considerably. Decreased antibiotic use appeared related to ID presence and certain select practices. Further statistical assessments may help optimize antimicrobial practices. Infect Control Hosp Epidemiol 2016;37:647-654.
- Published
- 2016
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42. Economic Analysis of Veterans Affairs Initiative to Prevent Methicillin-Resistant Staphylococcus aureus Infections.
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Nelson RE, Stevens VW, Khader K, Jones M, Samore MH, Evans ME, Douglas Scott R 2nd, Slayton RB, Schweizer ML, Perencevich EL, and Rubin MA
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- Communicable Disease Control methods, Cost-Benefit Analysis, Cross Infection prevention & control, Hospitals, Veterans standards, Humans, Staphylococcal Infections economics, Staphylococcal Infections microbiology, United States, Methicillin-Resistant Staphylococcus aureus isolation & purification, Models, Economic, Staphylococcal Infections prevention & control, United States Department of Veterans Affairs organization & administration
- Abstract
Introduction: In an effort to reduce methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) transmission through universal screening and isolation, the Department of Veterans Affairs (VA) launched the National MRSA Prevention Initiative in October 2007. The objective of this analysis was to quantify the budget impact and cost effectiveness of this initiative., Methods: An economic model was developed using published data on MRSA hospital-acquired infection (HAI) rates in the VA from October 2007 to September 2010; estimates of the costs of MRSA HAIs in the VA; and estimates of the intervention costs, including salaries of staff members hired to support the initiative at each VA facility. To estimate the rate of MRSA HAIs that would have occurred if the initiative had not been implemented, two different assumptions were made: no change and a downward temporal trend. Effectiveness was measured in life-years gained., Results: The initiative resulted in an estimated 1,466-2,176 fewer MRSA HAIs. The initiative itself was estimated to cost $207 million during this 3-year period, while the cost savings from prevented MRSA HAIs ranged from $27 million to $75 million. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratios ranged from $28,048 to $56,944/life-years. The overall impact on the VA's budget was $131-$179 million., Conclusions: Wide-scale implementation of a national MRSA surveillance and prevention strategy in VA inpatient settings may have prevented a substantial number of MRSA HAIs. Although the savings associated with prevented infections helped offset some but not all of the cost of the initiative, this model indicated that the initiative would be considered cost effective., (Copyright © 2016 American Journal of Preventive Medicine. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)
- Published
- 2016
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43. An Economic Analysis of Strategies to Control Clostridium Difficile Transmission and Infection Using an Agent-Based Simulation Model.
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Nelson RE, Jones M, Leecaster M, Samore MH, Ray W, Huttner A, Huttner B, Khader K, Stevens VW, Gerding D, Schweizer ML, and Rubin MA
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- Computer Simulation, Cost-Benefit Analysis, Cross Infection diagnosis, Enterocolitis, Pseudomembranous diagnosis, Hand Hygiene economics, Hand Hygiene methods, Hospitals, Humans, Models, Economic, Soaps economics, Soaps therapeutic use, Clostridioides difficile isolation & purification, Cross Infection prevention & control, Cross Infection transmission, Enterocolitis, Pseudomembranous prevention & control, Enterocolitis, Pseudomembranous transmission, Infection Control economics, Infection Control methods
- Abstract
Background: A number of strategies exist to reduce Clostridium difficile (C. difficile) transmission. We conducted an economic evaluation of "bundling" these strategies together., Methods: We constructed an agent-based computer simulation of nosocomial C. difficile transmission and infection in a hospital setting. This model included the following components: interactions between patients and health care workers; room contamination via C. difficile shedding; C. difficile hand carriage and removal via hand hygiene; patient acquisition of C. difficile via contact with contaminated rooms or health care workers; and patient antimicrobial use. Six interventions were introduced alone and "bundled" together: (a) aggressive C. difficile testing; (b) empiric isolation and treatment of symptomatic patients; (c) improved adherence to hand hygiene and (d) contact precautions; (e) improved use of soap and water for hand hygiene; and (f) improved environmental cleaning. Our analysis compared these interventions using values representing 3 different scenarios: (1) base-case (BASE) values that reflect typical hospital practice, (2) intervention (INT) values that represent implementation of hospital-wide efforts to reduce C. diff transmission, and (3) optimal (OPT) values representing the highest expected results from strong adherence to the interventions. Cost parameters for each intervention were obtained from published literature. We performed our analyses assuming low, normal, and high C. difficile importation prevalence and transmissibility of C. difficile., Results: INT levels of the "bundled" intervention were cost-effective at a willingness-to-pay threshold of $100,000/quality-adjusted life-year in all importation prevalence and transmissibility scenarios. OPT levels of intervention were cost-effective for normal and high importation prevalence and transmissibility scenarios. When analyzed separately, hand hygiene compliance, environmental decontamination, and empiric isolation and treatment were the interventions that had the greatest impact on both cost and effectiveness., Conclusions: A combination of available interventions to prevent CDI is likely to be cost-effective but the cost-effectiveness varies for different levels of intensity of the interventions depending on epidemiological conditions such as C. difficile importation prevalence and transmissibility.
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- 2016
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44. Antimicrobial de-escalation of treatment for healthcare-associated pneumonia within the Veterans Healthcare Administration.
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Madaras-Kelly K, Jones M, Remington R, Caplinger CM, Huttner B, Jones B, and Samore M
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- Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Drug Therapy methods, Female, Hospitals, Veterans, Humans, Male, Retrospective Studies, Anti-Bacterial Agents administration & dosage, Cross Infection drug therapy, Pneumonia, Bacterial drug therapy
- Abstract
Objectives: The objective of this study was to measure quantitatively antimicrobial de-escalation utilizing electronic medication administration data based on the spectrum of activity for antimicrobial therapy (i.e. spectrum score) to identify variables associated with de-escalation in a nationwide healthcare system., Methods: A retrospective cohort study of patients hospitalized for healthcare-associated pneumonia was conducted in Veterans Affairs Medical Centers (n = 119). Patients hospitalized for healthcare-associated pneumonia on acute-care wards between 5 and 14 days who received antimicrobials for ≥ 3 days during calendar years 2008-11 were evaluated. The spectrum score method was applied at the patient level to measure de-escalation on day 4 of hospitalization. De-escalation was expressed in aggregate and facility-level proportions. Logistic regression was used to assess variables associated with de-escalation. ORs with 95% CIs were reported., Results: Among 9319 patients, the de-escalation proportion was 28.3% (95% CI 27.4-29.2), which varied 6-fold across facilities [median (IQR) facility-level de-escalation proportion 29.1% (95% CI 21.7-35.6)]. Variables associated with de-escalation included initial broad-spectrum therapy (OR 1.5, 95% CI 1.4-1.5 for each 10% increase in spectrum), collection of respiratory tract cultures (OR 1.1, 95% CI 1.0-1.2) and care in higher complexity facilities (OR 1.3, 95% CI 1.1-1.6). Respiratory tract cultures were collected from 35.3% (95% CI 32.7-37.7) of patients., Conclusions: De-escalation of antimicrobial therapy was limited and varied substantially across facilities. De-escalation was associated with respiratory tract culture collection and treatment in a high complexity-level facility., (© The Author 2015. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the British Society for Antimicrobial Chemotherapy. All rights reserved. For Permissions, please e-mail: journals.permissions@oup.com.)
- Published
- 2016
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45. Big-Data Based Decision-Support Systems to Improve Clinicians' Cognition.
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Roosan D, Samore M, Jones M, Livnat Y, and Clutter J
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Complex clinical decision-making could be facilitated by using population health data to inform clinicians. In two previous studies, we interviewed 16 infectious disease experts to understand complex clinical reasoning. For this study, we focused on answers from the experts on how clinical reasoning can be supported by population-based Big-Data. We found cognitive strategies such as trajectory tracking, perspective taking, and metacognition has the potential to improve clinicians' cognition to deal with complex problems. These cognitive strategies could be supported by population health data, and all have important implications for the design of Big-Data based decision-support tools that could be embedded in electronic health records. Our findings provide directions for task allocation and design of decision-support applications for health care industry development of Big data based decision-support systems.
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- 2016
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46. Understanding complex clinical reasoning in infectious diseases for improving clinical decision support design.
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Islam R, Weir CR, Jones M, Del Fiol G, and Samore MH
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- Adult, Humans, Qualitative Research, Communicable Diseases therapy, Decision Support Systems, Clinical standards, Physicians standards, Thinking
- Abstract
Background: Clinical experts' cognitive mechanisms for managing complexity have implications for the design of future innovative healthcare systems. The purpose of the study is to examine the constituents of decision complexity and explore the cognitive strategies clinicians use to control and adapt to their information environment., Methods: We used Cognitive Task Analysis (CTA) methods to interview 10 Infectious Disease (ID) experts at the University of Utah and Salt Lake City Veterans Administration Medical Center. Participants were asked to recall a complex, critical and vivid antibiotic-prescribing incident using the Critical Decision Method (CDM), a type of Cognitive Task Analysis (CTA). Using the four iterations of the Critical Decision Method, questions were posed to fully explore the incident, focusing in depth on the clinical components underlying the complexity. Probes were included to assess cognitive and decision strategies used by participants., Results: The following three themes emerged as the constituents of decision complexity experienced by the Infectious Diseases experts: 1) the overall clinical picture does not match the pattern, 2) a lack of comprehension of the situation and 3) dealing with social and emotional pressures such as fear and anxiety. All these factors contribute to decision complexity. These factors almost always occurred together, creating unexpected events and uncertainty in clinical reasoning. Five themes emerged in the analyses of how experts deal with the complexity. Expert clinicians frequently used 1) watchful waiting instead of over- prescribing antibiotics, engaged in 2) theory of mind to project and simulate other practitioners' perspectives, reduced very complex cases into simple 3) heuristics, employed 4) anticipatory thinking to plan and re-plan events and consulted with peers to share knowledge, solicit opinions and 5) seek help on patient cases., Conclusion: The cognitive strategies to deal with decision complexity found in this study have important implications for design future decision support systems for the management of complex patients.
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- 2015
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47. Excess Length of Stay Attributable to Clostridium difficile Infection (CDI) in the Acute Care Setting: A Multistate Model.
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Stevens VW, Khader K, Nelson RE, Jones M, Rubin MA, Brown KA, Evans ME, Greene T, Slade E, and Samore MH
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- Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Bias, Enterocolitis, Pseudomembranous economics, Female, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Retrospective Studies, Severity of Illness Index, United States, Clostridioides difficile, Enterocolitis, Pseudomembranous epidemiology, Hospitals, Veterans statistics & numerical data, Length of Stay statistics & numerical data, Models, Statistical
- Abstract
Background: Standard estimates of the impact of Clostridium difficile infections (CDI) on inpatient lengths of stay (LOS) may overstate inpatient care costs attributable to CDI. In this study, we used multistate modeling (MSM) of CDI timing to reduce bias in estimates of excess LOS., Methods: A retrospective cohort study of all hospitalizations at any of 120 acute care facilities within the US Department of Veterans Affairs (VA) between 2005 and 2012 was conducted. We estimated the excess LOS attributable to CDI using an MSM to address time-dependent bias. Bootstrapping was used to generate 95% confidence intervals (CI). These estimates were compared to unadjusted differences in mean LOS for hospitalizations with and without CDI., Results: During the study period, there were 3.96 million hospitalizations and 43,540 CDIs. A comparison of unadjusted means suggested an excess LOS of 14.0 days (19.4 vs 5.4 days). In contrast, the MSM estimated an attributable LOS of only 2.27 days (95% CI, 2.14-2.40). The excess LOS for mild-to-moderate CDI was 0.75 days (95% CI, 0.59-0.89), and for severe CDI, it was 4.11 days (95% CI, 3.90-4.32). Substantial variation across the Veteran Integrated Services Networks (VISN) was observed., Conclusions: CDI significantly contributes to LOS, but the magnitude of its estimated impact is smaller when methods are used that account for the time-varying nature of infection. The greatest impact on LOS occurred among patients with severe CDI. Significant geographic variability was observed. MSM is a useful tool for obtaining more accurate estimates of the inpatient care costs of CDI.
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- 2015
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48. Reducing Time-dependent Bias in Estimates of the Attributable Cost of Health Care-associated Methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus Infections: A Comparison of Three Estimation Strategies.
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Nelson RE, Samore MH, Jones M, Greene T, Stevens VW, Liu CF, Graves N, Evans MF, and Rubin MA
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- Aged, Bias, Cross Infection prevention & control, Female, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Models, Statistical, Staphylococcal Infections prevention & control, Time Factors, United States, Cross Infection economics, Health Care Costs statistics & numerical data, Hospitals, Veterans economics, Methicillin-Resistant Staphylococcus aureus, Staphylococcal Infections economics
- Abstract
Background: Previous estimates of the excess costs due to health care-associated infection (HAI) have scarcely addressed the issue of time-dependent bias., Objective: We examined time-dependent bias by estimating the health care costs attributable to an HAI due to methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) using a unique dataset in the Department of Veterans Affairs (VA) that makes it possible to distinguish between costs that occurred before and after an HAI. In addition, we compare our results to those from 2 other estimation strategies., Methods: Using a historical cohort study design to estimate the excess predischarge costs attributable to MRSA HAIs, we conducted 3 analyses: (1) conventional, in which costs for the entire inpatient stay were compared between patients with and without MRSA HAIs; (2) post-HAI, which included only costs that occurred after an infection; and (3) matched, in which costs for the entire inpatient stay were compared between patients with an MRSA HAI and subset of patients without an MRSA HAI who were matched based on the time to infection., Results: In our post-HAI analysis, estimates of the increase in inpatient costs due to MRSA HAI were $12,559 (P<0.0001) and $24,015 (P<0.0001) for variable and total costs, respectively. The excess variable and total cost estimates were 33.7% and 31.5% higher, respectively, when using the conventional methods and 14.6% and 11.8% higher, respectively, when using matched methods., Conclusions: This is the first study to account for time-dependent bias in the estimation of incremental per-patient health care costs attributable to HAI using a unique dataset in the VA. We found that failure to account for this bias can lead to overestimation of these costs. Matching on the timing of infection can reduce this bias substantially.
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- 2015
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
49. The impact of healthcare-associated methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus infections on post-discharge healthcare costs and utilization.
- Author
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Nelson RE, Jones M, Liu CF, Samore MH, Evans ME, Graves N, Lee B, and Rubin MA
- Subjects
- Aged, Cohort Studies, Delivery of Health Care economics, Drug Costs statistics & numerical data, Female, Hospitals, Veterans economics, Hospitals, Veterans statistics & numerical data, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, United States, Cross Infection economics, Delivery of Health Care statistics & numerical data, Health Care Costs statistics & numerical data, Methicillin-Resistant Staphylococcus aureus, Staphylococcal Infections economics
- Abstract
Objective: Healthcare-associated methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) infections are a major cause of morbidity, mortality, and cost among hospitalized patients. Little is known about their impact on post-discharge resource utilization. The purpose of this study was to estimate post-discharge healthcare costs and utilization attributable to positive MRSA cultures during a hospitalization., Methods: Our study cohort consisted of patients with an inpatient admission lasting longer than 48 hours within the US Department of Veterans Affairs (VA) system between October 1, 2007, and November 30, 2010. Of these patients, we identified those with a positive MRSA culture from microbiology reports in the VA electronic medical record. We used propensity score matching and multivariable regression models to assess the impact of positive culture on post-discharge outpatient, inpatient, and pharmacy costs and utilization in the 365 days following discharge., Results: Our full cohort included 369,743 inpatients, of whom, 3,599 (1.0%) had positive MRSA cultures. Our final analysis sample included 3,592 matched patients with and without positive cultures. We found that, in the 12 months following hospital discharge, having a positive culture resulted in increases in post-discharge pharmacy costs ($776, P<.0001) and inpatient costs ($12,167, P<.0001). Likewise, having a positive culture increased the risk of a readmission (odds ratio [OR]=1.396, P<.0001), the number of prescriptions (incidence rate ratio [IRR], 1.138; P<.0001) and the number of inpatient days (IRR, 1.204; P<.0001,) but decreased the number of subsequent outpatient encounters (IRR, 0.941; P<.008)., Conclusions: The results of this study indicate that MRSA infections are associated with higher levels of post-discharge healthcare cost and utilization. These findings indicate that financial benefits resulting from infection prevention efforts may extend beyond the initial hospital stay.
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- 2015
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
50. Description and validation of a spectrum score method to measure antimicrobial de-escalation in healthcare associated pneumonia from electronic medical records data.
- Author
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Madaras-Kelly K, Jones M, Remington R, Caplinger C, Huttner B, and Samore M
- Subjects
- Anti-Infective Agents pharmacology, Anti-Infective Agents therapeutic use, Hospitalization, Humans, Sensitivity and Specificity, United States, United States Department of Veterans Affairs, Anti-Infective Agents supply & distribution, Electronic Health Records statistics & numerical data, Microbial Sensitivity Tests statistics & numerical data, Pneumonia drug therapy, Practice Patterns, Physicians'
- Abstract
Background: Comparison of antimicrobial de-escalation rates between healthcare settings is problematic. To objectively and electronically measure de-escalation a method based upon the spectrum of antimicrobial regimens administered (i.e., spectrum score) was developed., Methods: A Delphi process was used to develop applicable concepts. Spectrum scores were created for 27 antimicrobials based upon susceptibility for 19 organisms. National VA susceptibility data was used to estimate microbial spectrum. Susceptibility estimates were converted to ordinal scores, and values for organisms with multi-drug resistance potential were weighted more heavily. Organism scores were summed to create antibiotic-specific spectrum scores and extended mathematically to score multi-antimicrobial regimens. Vignettes were created from antimicrobial regimens administered to 300 patients hospitalized with pneumonia. Daily spectrum scores were calculated for each case. Hospitalization day 4 scores were subtracted from day 2 scores (i.e., spectrum score ∆). A positive spectrum score ∆ defined de-escalation. Experts ranked each pneumonia case on a 7-point Likert scale (Likert >4 indicated de-escalation). Spectrum score ∆s were compared to expert review. Findings were used to identify score deficiencies. Next, 40 pairs of cases were modified to include antimicrobial administration routes. Each pair contained almost similar regimens; however, one contained oral (PO) the other only intravenous (IV) antimicrobials on day 4 of therapy. Experts reviewed cases as described. Spectrum score ∆ credits to account for PO conversion were derived from the mean paired differences in Likert Score. De-escalation status was evaluated in 100 vignettes containing antimicrobial route by different experts and compared to the modified method., Results: Initial sensitivity and specificity of the spectrum score ∆ to detect expert classified de-escalation events was 86.3 and 96.0%, respectively. In paired cases, the mean (± SD) Likert score was 5.0 (1.5) and 4.6 (1.5) for PO and IV (P = 0.002), respectively. To improve de-escalation event detection, two credits were added to spectrum score ∆s based upon the percentage of antimicrobials administered PO on day 4. The final method, exhibited sensitivity and specificity to detect expert classified de-escalation events of 96.2 and 93.6%, respectively., Conclusions: The final spectrum score method exhibited excellent agreement with expert judgments of de-escalation events in pneumonia.
- Published
- 2015
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
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