1. Fairness and pitfalls of the Italian waiting list for elective liver transplantation: The ECALITA registry study.
- Author
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Manzia TM, Trapani S, Nardi A, Ricci A, Lenci I, Sensi B, Angelico R, De Feo TM, Agnes S, Andorno E, Baccarani U, Carraro A, Cescon M, Cillo U, Colledan M, Pinelli D, De Carlis L, De Simone P, Ghinolfi D, Benedetto FD, Ettorre GM, Gruttadauria S, Lupo LG, Tandoi F, Mazzaferro V, Romagnoli R, Rossi G, Caccamo L, Rossi M, Spada M, Vennarecci G, Vivarelli M, Zamboni F, Tisone G, Cardillo M, and Angelico M
- Abstract
Background: The challenge of transplant waiting-lists is to provide organs for all candidates while maintaining efficiency and equity., Aims: We investigated the probability of being transplanted or of waiting-list dropout in Italy., Methods: Data from 12,749 adult patients waitlisted for primary liver-transplantation from January 2012 to December 2022 were collected from the National Transplant-Registry.The cohort was divided into Eras:1 (2012-2014);2 (2015-2018);and 3 (2019-2022)., Results: The one-year probability of undergoing transplant increased (67.6 % in Era 1vs73.8 % in Era 3,p < 0001) with a complementary 46 % decrease in waiting-list failures. Patients with hepatocellular-carcinoma were transplanted more often than cirrhotics[at model for end-stage liver-disease (MELD)-15:HR = 1.28,95 %CI:1.21-1.35;at MELD-25:HR = 1.04,95 %CI:0.92-1.19) and those with other indications (at MELD-15:HR = 1.27,95 %CI:1.11-1.46) across all eras. Candidates with Hepatitis-B-virus (HBV)related disease had a greater probability of transplant than those with Hepatitis-C virus-related (HR = 1.13,95 %CI:1.07-1.20), alcohol-related (HR = 1.13,95 %CI:1.05-1.21), and metabolic-related (HR = 1.18,95 %CI:1.09-1.28)disease. Waiting-list failures increased by 27 % every 5 MELD-points and by 14 % for every 5-year increase in recipient-age and decreased by 10 % with each 10-cm increase in stature. Blood-group O patients showed the highest probability of waiting-list failure (HR = 1.28,95 %CI:1.15-1.43)., Conclusions: Liver-transplantation waiting-list success-rates have significantly improved in Italy, with patients with hepatocellular-carcinoma and/or HBV-related diseases being favored. High MELD-score, old-age, short-stature, and blood-group O were significant risk-factors for waiting-list failure. Efforts to improve organ-allocation and prioritization-policies are underway., Competing Interests: Conflict of interest The authors of this manuscript have no conflicts of interest to disclose., (Copyright © 2024. Published by Elsevier Ltd.)
- Published
- 2024
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