1. External validation of the PC-ECMO score in postcardiotomy veno-arterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation.
- Author
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Biancari F, Juvonen T, Cho SM, Hernández Pérez FJ, L'Acqua C, Arafat AA, AlBarak MM, Laimoud M, Djordjevic I, Samalavicius R, Alonso-Fernandez-Gatta M, Sahli SD, Kaserer A, Dominici C, and Mäkikallio T
- Subjects
- Humans, Risk Assessment methods, Male, Female, Middle Aged, Risk Factors, Extracorporeal Membrane Oxygenation adverse effects, Hospital Mortality, Cardiac Surgical Procedures adverse effects, Cardiac Surgical Procedures mortality
- Abstract
Reliable stratification of the risk of early mortality after postcardiotomy veno-arterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (V-A-ECMO) remains elusive. In this study, we externally validated the PC-ECMO score, a specific risk scoring method for prediction of in-hospital mortality after postcardiotomy V-A-ECMO. Overall, 614 patients who required V-A-ECMO after adult cardiac surgery were gathered from an individual patient data meta-analysis of nine studies on this topic. The AUC of the logistic PC-ECMO score in predicting in-hospital mortality was 0.678 (95%CI 0.630-0.726; p < 0.0001). The AUC of the logistic PC-ECMO score in predicting on V-A-ECMO mortality was 0.652 (95%CI 0.609-0.695; p < 0.0001). The Brier score of the logistic PC-ECMO score for in-hospital mortality was 0.193, the slope 0.909, the calibration-in-the-large 0.074 and the expected/observed mortality ratio 0.979. 95%CIs of the calibration belt of fit relationship between observed and predicted in-hospital mortality were never above or below the bisector ( p = 0.072). The present findings suggest that the PC-ECMO score may be a valuable tool in clinical research for stratification of the risk of patients requiring postcardiotomy V-A-ECMO., Competing Interests: Declaration of conflicting interestsThe author(s) declared no potential conflicts of interest with respect to the research, authorship, and/or publication of this article.
- Published
- 2024
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