1. Non-invasive tests accurately stratify patients with NAFLD based on their risk of liver-related events.
- Author
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Boursier J, Hagström H, Ekstedt M, Moreau C, Bonacci M, Cure S, Ampuero J, Nasr P, Tallab L, Canivet CM, Kechagias S, Sánchez Y, Dincuff E, Lucena A, Roux M, Riou J, Trylesinski A, and Romero-Gomez M
- Subjects
- Biopsy, Fibrosis, Humans, Liver diagnostic imaging, Liver pathology, Liver Cirrhosis complications, Liver Cirrhosis diagnosis, Elasticity Imaging Techniques methods, Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease complications, Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease diagnosis
- Abstract
Background & Aims: Previous studies on the prognostic significance of non-invasive liver fibrosis tests in non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) lack direct comparison to liver biopsy. We aimed to evaluate the prognostic accuracy of fibrosis-4 (FIB4) and vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE), compared to liver biopsy, for the prediction of liver-related events (LREs) in NAFLD., Methods: A total of 1,057 patients with NAFLD and baseline FIB4 and VCTE were included in a multicenter cohort. Of these patients, 594 also had a baseline liver biopsy. The main study outcome during follow-up was occurrence of LREs, a composite endpoint combining cirrhosis complications and/or hepatocellular carcinoma. Discriminative ability was evaluated using Harrell's C-index., Results: FIB4 and VCTE showed good accuracy for the prediction of LREs, with Harrell's C-indexes >0.80 (0.817 [0.768-0.866] vs. 0.878 [0.835-0.921], respectively, p = 0.059). In the biopsy subgroup, Harrell's C-indexes of histological fibrosis staging and VCTE were not significantly different (0.932 [0.910-0.955] vs. 0.881 [0.832-0.931], respectively, p = 0.164), while both significantly outperformed FIB4 for the prediction of LREs. FIB4 and VCTE were independent predictors of LREs in the whole study cohort. The stepwise FIB4-VCTE algorithm accurately stratified the risk of LREs: compared to patients with "FIB4 <1.30", those with "FIB4 ≥1.30 then VCTE <8.0 kPa" had similar risk of LREs (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 1.3; 95% CI 0.3-6.8), whereas the risk of LREs significantly increased in patients with "FIB4 ≥1.30 then VCTE 8.0-12.0 kPa" (aHR 3.8; 95% CI 1.3-10.9), and even more for those with "FIB4 ≥1.30 then VCTE >12.0 kPa" (aHR 12.4; 95% CI 5.1-30.2)., Conclusion: VCTE and FIB4 accurately stratify patients with NAFLD based on their risk of LREs. These non-invasive tests are alternatives to liver biopsy for the identification of patients in need of specialized management., Lay Summary: The amount of fibrosis in the liver is closely associated with the risk of liver-related complications in non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). Liver biopsy currently remains the reference standard for the evaluation of fibrosis, but its application is limited by its invasiveness. Therefore, we evaluated the ability of non-invasive liver fibrosis tests to predict liver-related complications in NAFLD. Our results show that the blood test FIB4 and transient elastography stratify the risk of liver-related complications in NAFLD, and that transient elastography has similar prognostic accuracy as liver biopsy. These results support the use of non-invasive liver fibrosis tests instead of liver biopsy for the management of patients with NAFLD., Competing Interests: Conflict of interest Jerome Boursier: Board advisory for Bristol-Myers, Echosens, Intercept. Research grants to his institution from EchoSens, Intercept, Inventiva, Siemens. Speaker fees from Gilead, Intercept, Lilly, Siemens. Hannes Hagström: Board advisory for Bristol-Myers Squibb and Gilead. Research grants to his institution from Astra Zeneca, Pfizer, Gilead, MSD, EchoSens, Intercept. Mattias Ekstedt: Member of advisory board for AMRA Medical. Research grants to his institution from Intercept, Astra Zeneca and Gilead. Speaker fees from Olink. Manuel Romero-Gomez: Research grants to his institution from Intercept. Speaker and consulting fees from Intercept. Other authors have no conflict of interest to declare. Please refer to the accompanying ICMJE disclosure forms for further details., (Copyright © 2022 European Association for the Study of the Liver. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)
- Published
- 2022
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