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Land use changes such as deforestation and urban development influences the river discharge, soil erosion and sediment yield. It is important to evaluate tools which can be used to assess such impacts on water and sediment yield. Therefore, this study evaluated the Annualized Agricultural Non-Point Source Pollutant (AnnAGNPS) model's performance in simulating runoff and sediment loads in Nan Province, Thailand using seven years of continuous monitoring data. The river discharge and sediment yield data from 2011-2013 were used for calibration, and data from 2014-2017 were used for validation. Several input parameters were computed using methods suggested by other researchers and previous studies. In this study, the runoff curve number, soil erodibility factor (K), and RUSLE-C value were used to accurately simulate runoff and sediment loads. The results indicate that the model satisfactorily simulated runoff and sediment loads (R 2 = 0.65 and NSE = 0.53 for runoff volume, and R 2 = 0.62 and NSE = 0.60 for sediment yields). Moreover, the model estimated the total sediment yield, which contributed 12,932 hundred tons of material to the Nan River in 2017. The maximum sediment yield was obtained below the catchment (Na Noi sub-district, Na Noi district), which corresponds to areas with high crop densities. Cropland generated the highest soil erosion of all investigated land use (87.52% of total soil erosion). Thus, the AnnAGNPS model has the potential to use for investigating management practices to reduce soil erosion and controlling floods and droughts in Nan Province of Thailand., Competing Interests: The authors declare no conflict of interest., (© 2021 The Author(s).)

Urbanization can increase sheet, rill, gully, and channel erosion. We quantified the sediment budget of the Los Laureles Canyon watershed (LLCW), which is a mixed rural-urbanizing catchment in Northwestern Mexico, using the AnnAGNPS model and field measurements of channel geometry. The model was calibrated with five years of observed runoff and sediment loads and used to evaluate sediment reduction under a mitigation scenario involving paving roads in hotspots of erosion. Calibrated runoff and sediment load had a mean-percent-bias of 28.4 and - 8.1, and root-mean-square errors of 85% and 41% of the mean, respectively. Suspended sediment concentration (SSC) collected at different locations during one storm-event correlated with modeled SSC at those locations, which suggests that the model represented spatial variation in sediment production. Simulated gully erosion represents 16%-37% of hillslope sediment production, and 50% of the hillslope sediment load is produced by only 23% of the watershed area. The model identifies priority locations for sediment control measures, and can be used to identify tradeoffs between sediment control and runoff production. Paving roads in priority areas would reduce total sediment yield by 30%, but may increase peak discharge moderately (1.6%-21%) at the outlet., Competing Interests: Conflicts of Interest: The authors declare no conflict of interest. The views expressed in this paper are those of the authors and do not necessarily represent the views or policies of the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA). Mention of trade names or products does not convey, and should not be interpreted as conveying, official EPA approval, endorsement, or recommendation.

Modelling gully erosion in urban areas is challenging due to difficulties with equifinality and parameter identification, which complicates quantification of management impacts on runoff and sediment production. We calibrated a model (AnnAGNPS) of an ephemeral gully network that formed on unpaved roads following a storm event in an urban watershed (0.2 km 2 ) in Tijuana, Mexico. Latin hypercube sampling was used to create 500 parameter ensembles. Modelled sediment load was most sensitive to the Soil Conservation Service (SCS) curve number, tillage depth (Td), and critical shear stress (τ c ). Twenty-one parameter ensembles gave acceptable error (behavioural models), though changes in parameters governing runoff generation (SCS curve number, Manning's n) were compensated by changes in parameters describing soil properties (T D , τ c , resulting in uncertainty in the optimal parameter values. The most suitable parameter combinations or "behavioural models" were used to evaluate uncertainty under management scenarios. Paving the roads increased runoff by 146-227%, increased peak discharge by 178-575%, and decreased sediment load by 90-94% depending on the ensemble. The method can be used in other watersheds to simulate runoff and gully erosion, to quantify the uncertainty of model-estimated impacts of management activities on runoff and erosion, and to suggest critical field measurements to reduce uncertainties in complex urban environments., Competing Interests: Conflicts of Interest: The authors declare no conflict of interest.

The application of hydrological and water quality models is an efficient approach to better understand the processes of environmental deterioration. This study evaluated the ability of the Annualized Agricultural Non-Point Source (AnnAGNPS) model to predict runoff, total nitrogen (TN) and total phosphorus (TP) loading in a typical small watershed of a hilly region near Taihu Lake, China. Runoff was calibrated and validated at both an annual and monthly scale, and parameter sensitivity analysis was performed for TN and TP before the two water quality components were calibrated. The results showed that the model satisfactorily simulated runoff at annual and monthly scales, both during calibration and validation processes. Additionally, results of parameter sensitivity analysis showed that the parameters Fertilizer rate, Fertilizer organic, Canopy cover and Fertilizer inorganic were more sensitive to TN output. In terms of TP, the parameters Residue mass ratio, Fertilizer rate, Fertilizer inorganic and Canopy cover were the most sensitive. Based on these sensitive parameters, calibration was performed. TN loading produced satisfactory results for both the calibration and validation processes, whereas the performance of TP loading was slightly poor. The simulation results showed that AnnAGNPS has the potential to be used as a valuable tool for the planning and management of watersheds.