1. Periodically forced food-chain dynamics: model predictions and experimental validation
- Author
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Steiner, Christopher F., Schwaderer, Anne S., Huber, Veronika, Klausmeier, Christopher A., and Litchman, Elena
- Subjects
Food chains (Ecology) -- Models ,Predation (Biology) -- Models ,Animal ecology -- Research ,Population biology -- Research ,Biological sciences ,Environmental issues - Abstract
Despite the recognition of the importance of seasonal forcing in nature, remarkably few studies have theoretically explored periodically forced community dynamics. Here we employ a novel approach called 'successional state dynamics' (SSD) to model a seasonally forced predator--prey system. We first generated analytical predictions of the effects of altered seasonality on species persistence and the timing of community state transitions. We then parameterized the model using a zooplankton-phytoplankton system and tested quantitative predictions using controlled experiments. In the majority of cases, timing of zooplankton and algal population peaks matched model predictions. Decreases in growing-period length delayed algal blooms, consequently delaying peaks in zooplankton abundance. Predictions of increased probability of predator extinction at low growing-period lengths were also upheld experimentally. Our results highlight the utility of the SSD modeling approach as a framework for predicting the effects of altered seasonality on the structure and dynamics of multitrophic communities. Key words: Brachionus calyciflorus; Chlamydomonas reinhardtii; environmental forcing; periodic mortality; phytoplankton; predator-prey dynamics; seasonal succession; seasonality, transient dynamics; zooplank ton.
- Published
- 2009