1. Testing Hypotheses of Bird Extinctions at Rio Palenque, Ecuador, with Informal Species Lists
- Author
-
Pearson, David L., Anderson, Corey Devin, Mitchell, Brian R., Rosenberg, Michael S., Navarrete, Ronald, and Coopmans, Paul
- Subjects
Local extinction -- Analysis ,Mass extinction theory -- Analysis ,Deforestation -- Analysis ,Environmental issues ,Zoology and wildlife conservation - Abstract
To authenticate to the full-text of this article, please visit this link: http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1523-1739.2009.01383.x Byline: DAVID L. PEARSON (*), COREY DEVIN ANDERSON ([dagger]), BRIAN R. MITCHELL ([double dagger]), MICHAEL S. ROSENBERG ([dagger]), RONALD NAVARRETE (s.), PAUL COOPMANS (**[dagger][dagger]) Keywords: bird community ecology; detectability; ecoinformatics; extinction; expert amateurs; occupancy modeling; professional biologists; species monitoring; tropical forest Abstract: Abstract: Informally gathered species lists are a potential source of data for conservation biology, but most remain unused because of questions of reliability and statistical issues. We applied two alternative analytical methods (contingency tests and occupancy modeling) to a 35-year data set (1973-2007) to test hypotheses about local bird extinction. We compiled data from bird lists collected by expert amateurs and professional scientists in a 2-km.sup.2 fragment of lowland tropical forest in coastal Ecuador. We tested the effects of the following on local extinction: trophic level, sociality, foraging specialization, light tolerance, geographical range area, and biogeographic source. First we assessed extinction on the basis of the number of years in which a species was not detected on the site and used contingency tests with each factor to compare the frequency of expected and observed extinction events among different species categories. Then we defined four multiyear periods that reflected different stages of deforestation and isolation of the study site and used occupancy modeling to test extinction hypotheses singly and in combination. Both types of analyses supported the biogeographic source hypothesis and the species-range hypothesis as causes of extinction; however, occupancy modeling indicated the model incorporating all factors except foraging specialization best fit the data. Abstract (Spanish): Comprobacion de Hipotesis sobre las Extinciones de Aves en Rio Palenque, Ecuador Mediante Listas Informales de Especies Resumen: Las listas de especies recabadas informalmente son una fuente potencial de datos para la biologia de la conservacion, pero la mayoria no son utilizadas por cuestiones de confiabilidad y temas estadisticos. Aplicamos dos metodos analiticos alternativos (pruebas de contingencia y modelos de ocupacion) a un conjunto de datos de 35 anos (1973-2007) para probar hipotesis sobre la extincion local de aves. Recopilamos los datos de listas de aves recabadas por amateurs expertos y por cientificos profesionales en un fragmento de 2 km.sup.2 de bosque tropical en la costa de Ecuador. Probamos los efectos de lo siguiente sobre la extincion local: nivel trofico, sociabilidad, especializacion de forrajeo, tolerancia a la luz, rango geografico y origen biogeografico. Primero evaluamos la extincion con base en el numero de anos en que la especie no fue detectada en el sitio y utilizamos pruebas de contingencia con cada factor para comparar la frecuencia de eventos de extincion esperada y observada en las diferentes categorias de especies. Posteriormente, definimos cuatro periodos multianuales que reflejaron diferentes etapas de deforestacion y aislamiento del sitio de estudio y utilizamos modelos de ocupacion para probar las hipotesis de extincion individual y combinadamente. Ambos tipos de analisis apoyaron las hipotesis del origen biogeografico y del rango geografico como causas de extincion; sin embargo, los modelos de ocupacion indicaron que el modelo que incorporo todos los factores, excepto la especializacion de forrajeo, tuvo el mejor ajuste a los datos. Author Affiliation: (*)School of Life Sciences, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ 85287-4501, U.S.A., emaildpearson@asu.edu ([dagger])Center for Evolutionary Functional Genomics, The Biodesign Institute, P.O. Box 875301, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ 85287-5301, U.S.A. ([double dagger])Northeast Temperate Inventory and Monitoring Network, National Park Service, 54 Elm Street, Woodstock, VT 05091-1023, U.S.A. (s.)Fundacion Wong, Av. Carlos Arosemena Km 2.5, Guayaquil, Ecuador (**)Mindo Cloud Forest Foundation, Condominio Fuente de Piedra 12, San Ignacio N30-50, Quito, Ecuador Article History: Paper submitted September 30, 2008; revised manuscript accepted July 20, 2009.
- Published
- 2010