The Incident. (1) You only need say that phrase to anyone who worked in the Air Force nuclear enterprise and they know exactly what you mean. The Incident refers to the infamous weapons transfer sortie from Minot AFB to Barksdale AFB in August 2007, where instead of an inert Air Launched Cruise Missile (ALCM), the plane flew with a real ALCM. The resulting fallout from these events sent shockwaves throughout the Air Force. While only a small portion of the Air Force had direct involvement with The Incident, any command, any base, any Air Force Specialty Code (AFSC) that could claim the remotest involvement with the nuclear mission found itself in the midst of internal and external reviews of how it supported the nuclear mission in the past and how it could improve that support in the future. For the Air Force Intelligence Community (AFIC), The Incident did see some changes, but not to the degree seen in other AFSCs. At its core, the AFIC serves the primary purpose of bringing the adversary to the planning table. This purpose requires taking intelligence and tailoring that product to fit the spectrum of Air Force missions, from counterinsurgency operations, to mobility support for a Non-Combatant Evacuation to supporting the Air Force's nuclear deterrence mission. Yet, to understand how AFIC currently supports the Air Force nuclear enterprise, it is key to establish how the AFIC supported the nuclear enterprise in the past and how that support evolved over time. To that end, this article will educate the reader on how the AFIC supported nuclear operations by offering a baseline definition for intelligence and using that definition to explain how the AFIC fulfilled that role from the start of the Cold War, through the Post-Cold War/"Pre-Incident" years and how the AFIC continues its support to the nuclear enterprise in the "Post-Incident" Air Force. Baseline Definition Joint Publication 1-02 defines intelligence as "the product resulting from the collection, processing, integration, evaluation, analysis, and interpretation of available information concerning foreign nations, hostile or potentially hostile forces or elements, or areas of actual or potential operations." (2) This updated definition of intelligence still holds the same general meaning as this definition from the 1954 Clark Task Force: "[that which] deals with all the things that should be known in advance of initiating a course of action." (3) The shared meaning of both definitions: making an adversary known and bringing that information to help the Air Force fulfill its mission. Within the definition of intelligence, there exist key subsets (referred to in modern doctrine as functional competencies). As with the definition of intelligence, the names evolved over time, but four functional competencies categorize Air Force intelligence support, to include how the AFIC supported nuclear operations: Analysis, Collection, Targeting, Integration. (4) Cold War The requirement that Air Force intelligence had to support the nuclear mission goes all the way to the very foundations of the U.S. Air Force as a separate military branch. Shortly after its creation, the Air Force assumed control of Strategic Air Command (SAC), which encapsulated the assets and manpower involved with America's airborne strategic forces (primarily the B-29 bomber). (5) SAC's mission gained further impetus as events in Europe required the U.S. to be ready to use its nuclear arsenal at moment's notice, as the U.S. sought to counter the ambitions of the Soviet Union in Europe and the Middle East. (6) By the end of the 1949, SAC not only needed to respond to USSR actions overseas, but also had to be ready to defend the U.S. mainland, as the Soviet Union became the second nuclear power. As the Soviet Union emerged as the primary adversary, the USIC, to include the Air Force, focused much of its intelligence analysis capability towards understanding and countering the USSR. As one of the four functional competencies, analysis calls for: "the conversion of processed information into finished intelligence through the integration, evaluation...and interpretation of all source data and the preparation of intelligence products in support of known or anticipated user requirements." (7) All levels of intelligence professionals perform intelligence analysis. For the Air Force Intelligence professionals supporting the nuclear mission, detailed analysis of adversary capabilities and assessments of intentions reigned paramount for effective nuclear deterrence and operations. However, while intelligence analysis supporting SAC and the nuclear mission appeared to have a clear mission focus in nuclear deterrence/operations and a primary adversary in the USSR, it did not make the job any easier. The establishment of the modern USIC in 1947 did not resolve the long-standing bureaucratic infighting over intelligence. (8) Post 1947, continued infighting hindered intelligence efforts, as the Air Force refused to work with analysts from the State Department or the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) on intelligence estimates for national leadership, as each organization felt that their facts and assessments trumped the other organizations. (9) [ILLUSTRATION OMITTED] Yet, the challenges facing AFIC did not end with internal struggles, The Soviet Union, a close ally only a few years prior, remained a major mystery. (10) The Soviet enigma proved especially problematic regarding its nuclear program. The U.S. knew that it would not hold its nuclear monopoly for long, but the question was "when would the Soviets get the bomb?" After the U.S. tested the bomb in 1945, many analysts figured that the Soviets would get the bomb eventually, meaning "within 5 years or so." (11) However, the "5-year" refrain appeared to be a common trait among the USIC, much to the consternation of several government officials. (12) For the most part, the USIC, even in 1948, still held that the Soviets would not get the bomb until the early to mid-1950s at the earliest. The Air Force didn't share that assessment, figuring that the USSR could obtain nuclear status earlier, but even they expressed shock when a SAC reconnaissance plane detected the first radioactive particles coming from the USSR in 1949, signaling an end to the U.S. nuclear monopoly. (13) In the 1950s, the Air Force led the charge, stating that the Soviet build-up of nuclear weapons at a massive level, putting the U.S. in danger of falling far behind in the nuclear arms race. (14) With the launch of Sputnik in 1957, the Air Force claimed to have its proof of a certifiable "missile gap." (15) Yet, the Air Force assessment conflicted with other intelligence organizations. In particular, the CIA took umbrage with the Air Force as it came to the opposite conclusion that while the Soviet Union might have been the first to launch rockets into space, there was hardly a "missile gap" in favor of the Russians. (16) Despite this, the Air Force assessments still held sway over a number of powerful political leaders in Washington, D.C., thus helping it in the all-important budget wars. Even when President Kennedy debunked the "missile gap" assessment, he still held firm to strengthening the American nuclear deterrent, which remained a goal of SAC and the Air Force. The Air Force IC, along with their counterparts, continued to score various successes and failures in analysis of Soviet actions during the Cold War. Air Force analysts worked with their IC counterparts to provide President Kennedy an accurate picture of the situation in Cuba in 1962, giving him the key intelligence needed to help thwart the ambitions of the USSR and prevent a nuclear war at the same time. (17) By the same token, Air Force intelligence experienced the same intelligence malaise that nearly led to a potentially dangerous misreading of the Soviet Union during ABLE ARCHER 83, which proved problematic due to the confidence that the USIC had in assessing Soviet NC2 capabilities and intentions. (18) Still, Air Force intelligence could measure its overall success by noting that even when caught off-guard or surprised, the U.S. and the USSR did not go to nuclear war. However, for effective analysis, the analysts needed information to analyze. Thus, the requirement to collect that intelligence leads to the second functional competency for intelligence, collections. In modern doctrine, collections (more often referred to as Intelligence, Surveillance and Reconnaissance (ISR)) "...synchronizes and integrates the planning and operations of sensors, assets, processing, exploitation and dissemination (PED) in direct support of current and future operations" (19) In the late 1940s, SAC, in addition to overseeing the nuclear capable bombers, also maintained airborne reconnaissance to enhance their nuclear operations. When the Air Force assumed control of SAC, it possessed two strategic reconnaissance groups to provide that required intelligence. Converted World War II airframes such as the RB-17 and RB-29 served as the first Air Force Imagery Intelligence (IMINT) and Signals Intelligence (SIGINT) platforms. (20) Later on, more converted bombers, the RB-36 and RB-47, added to the reconnaissance fleet of SAC. These planes flew along the border of, or in some cases, directly into the Soviet Union to collect intelligence. (21) It would be a SAC aircraft (converted B-29) flying along the Eastern border of the Soviet Union in 1949 that would collect the first radioactive particles that told the world that the U.S. was no longer the sole nuclear power. (22) Eventually, newer aircraft specially designed for intelligence collection entered the SAC fleet. The U-2, an IMINT aircraft which could overfly all known Soviet fighter and surface-to-air missile (SAM) coverage to provide key intelligence on Soviet nuclear capabilities, joined the SAC fleet in 1957. (23) In contrast to the relationship between CIA and Air Force analysts, the CIA and the Air Force collaborative efforts enabled a successful run of U-2 missions overflying the Soviet Union. While direct overflight of the Soviet Union ended in 1960, the U-2 continued to provide critical intelligence on this key adversary. Its collections proved invaluable in Cuba, where U-2 imagery showed the definitive proof of Soviet nuclear-capable missiles on the island, thus setting the stage for the Cuban Missile Crisis. Eventually, other aircraft, such as the RC--135 (SIG-INT) and the SR-71 (IMINT) joined SAC's arsenal. While SAC reconnaissance aircraft did not carry armaments, they often found themselves in the cross-hairs of many nations' guns. More than seventy personnel lost their lives supporting reconnaissance missions tied in to nuclear deterrence missions. (24) In many cases, the nature of those missions could not be revealed to the next of kin, with some missions remaining classified today. [ILLUSTRATION OMITTED] In addition to "air-breathing" assets, the Air Force also played a major role in the development and use of reconnaissance satellites. With the dawn of the Space Race, the U.S. military quickly moved in to make sure of the new medium. With the development and deployment of reconnaissance satellites, the U.S. could collect on the USSR mainland with a degree of persistence and safety that manned aircraft could not provide. Through the use of space-based reconnaissance the USIC came to see that in the 1960s, the Soviets were not quite the superior juggernaut that some had previously assessed. (25) In the later part of the Cold War, Air Force intelligence professionals serving at a ground listening post in the Pacific collected vital SIGINT that implicated Soviet aircraft in the shootdown of KAL 007 in September 1983, giving U.S. leadership a key talking point in future negotiations with Soviet leaders. (26) In addition to providing key intelligence to decision makers, collections enabled Air Force intelligence professionals to support the nuclear mission through the third competency, targeting. A long-standing mantra in the Air Force is "Air Power is Targeting and Targeting is Intelligence." (27) The concept of targeting related to aerial bombing goes back to the earliest days of the military heavier-than-air flight. However, the advent of nuclear weapons provided a new variable. One bomb from one plane could destroy an entire city in one single detonation. Yet, the requirement for accurate targeting did not simply disappear with the creation of nuclear weapons. As the world's largest country, the USSR presented formidable targeting obstacles. Where were the key locations for leadership and military forces? What of the locations of newer weapons, to include the locations after 1949 of their nuclear weapons? Even when the U.S. knew production and logistical facilities that were known, how could the U.S. effectively impact them in the event of a conflict? However, nuclear weapons and their effects did alter how many viewed the overall process of targeting. Given the weapons effects and the highly centralized control of nuclear operations, some took the mantra of "close counts" to mean that if we destroy whole cities, why bother with precise targeting? Service specific targeting and detailed training, a significant requirement for conventional operations, did not seem to have a place in nuclear operations. (28) As the Cold War evolved, much of the guidance would evolve, as the targets set grew to include ICBM, submarine bases and airfields, along with strategic target sets of leadership and industrial centers. However, the centralized nature of nuclear targeting meant that the vast majority of the targeting intelligence process occurred at levels far above the scope of most Air Force intelligence airmen. Yet, the Air Force IC provided major contributions to the nuclear enterprise. SAC intelligence personnel, particularly dedicated targeteers, supplied materials such as imagery and target analysis from higher levels for the mission folders that made up the Single Integrated Operational Plan (SIOP). However, intelligence/targeteer involvement in the overall nuclear targeting process did not have as robust a level of involvement as it did in the conventional targeting process (especially in the modern day). Operational planners needed to be involved to accurately reflect the platform requirements, but intelligence, at least at the Air Force nuclear operations realm, played a far lesser role. Up to this point, the discussions about intelligence support to Air Force nuclear operations span the entire spectrum from the highest levels of command to the airman at a bomb wing. However, the analysis, collections and targeting information can mean little without the integration functional competency. Integration is currently defined as "the application of all-source intelligence information to sustain operations..." which is also known as will also refer to as unit (Wing, Group, Squadron) support. (29) During World War II, it became clear to Army Air Corps commanders that the service lacked effective combat intelligence support to air operations. (30) Post-World War II, Air Force leadership sought to improve the quality and capability of intelligence support, establishing the first technical training school dedicated to intelligence in 1947, which in turn would allow more effective intelligence integration/support. (31) The majority of airmen working nuclear integration served at bomber or reconnaissance wings. To support these airframes, unit-level intelligence personnel had to have an understanding of not only the platform they supported but also, they required an understanding of adversary threats and tactics and had to offer their crews the ability to counter those threats. Another major role they played was to translate the myriad of intelligence information into a concise, reasonable form that gave context for the operators (aircrew and missilers) and their respective missions. The targeting aspect for bombers was already pre-determined and much of the work that intelligence personnel did with the nuclear targeting centered on combat mission folder construction as part of the SIOP requirements for the tasked SAC units. While a key point of integration/unit support focuses on direct intelligence airmen interaction with operators (aircrew/missilers), those working integration did not work in a vacuum, and there existed a structure for relaying intelligence from higher levels down to the units. Intelligence derived from Air Force personnel working at national intelligence agencies and production centers all found their way into the litany of intelligence data used and tailored by SAC intelligence airmen. Within the SAC span of control, there existed an Intelligence Directorate, led by the Deputy Director for Intelligence, oversaw all intelligence activity within the command. This individual led the 544th Intelligence Wing, based out of SAC Headquarters (Offutt AFB, Neb.). At this level, the directorate had three primary sections: Operations (INO), which provided current intelligence updates for SAC leadership as well as key information for the subordinate units, which included key products such as Order of Battle; Collections (INC), which provided intelligence collection to fulfill those requirements levied on SAC by subordinate units and higher commands; Targets (INT), which had responsibility for producing the targeting materials and gathering the required information for the Combat Mission Folders that supported the nuclear enterprise. (32) At the respective wings for SAC, the intelligence support was ultimately tailored to the wing requirements. However, most possessed the following functions: Plans and Programs supporting the wing with reports, programs, briefings; Mission Planning, which supported the mission planning requirements for the wing, to include mission studies, route analysis and briefing/debriefing requirements; Special Security Office (SSO), who conducted oversight on Sensitive Compartmentalized Information, including billets, investigations and indoctrination/debriefing; Combat Intelligence, which oversaw direct support to aircrew members with intelligence documents and also Evasion and Escape support; Order of Battle (OB) management, with a primary focus on electronic order of battle (this took information derived from higher levels, but once at the unit level, it fell to the intelligence Airmen to keep that information updated for their units); Target processing/intelligence, which oversaw CMF construction and EWO material study, computer programming, which involved system/photographic support. (33) All of these elements worked to provide SAC crews with the best possible intelligence picture. In the late 1950s/early 1960s, the ICBM wing entered the Air Force structure. The mission requirements of the ICBM differed from the aircraft world in several respects, especially given that the operators and support personnel would never actually cross into adversary airspace. In the event of a nuclear exchange, ICBM bases ranked high on the targeting priority lists, but the furthest that ICBM airmen deployed from home station were the most remote missile sites (a three to six hour drive). Thus, some of the threat information provided by intelligence personnel differed from the flying units. ICBM targeting processes did not call for much unit-level intelligence integration, thus, no targeting intelligence presence at the ICBM wings. ICBM crews primarily relied on intelligence support for providing the perspective for their mission, attempting to answer the "Why?" and "What's going on?" questions. Additionally, protection of the physical missile sites (Force Protection) required dedicated intelligence support, especially to account for any international security threats/attacks on the missile complexes. (34) With the mission requirements, intelligence support at the missile wings consisted of far fewer personnel then at the flying units, and thus, organizational structures could significantly deviate from their intelligence counterparts at flying wings. Yet, it is tough to fully document the actions of those individuals working integration during the Cold War, given that most of the history focuses on the higher level military/government actions and those documented operations. While the reconnaissance personnel collected the raw intelligence and passed up analyzed products, the majority of those at the unit were consumers of intelligence and did not necessarily provide any new, grand information that would change the course of the Cold War. Still, the tailoring of intelligence, providing that perspective to the crews that put some context into why they either had to fly alert sorties or sitting alert away from their families, awaiting a call to launch, which fortunately, did not happen outside of exercises. Post Cold War/Pre-Inicident By 1991, the world changed. The Warsaw Pact and the Soviet Union disintegrated. The United States looked victorious as former target areas in Eastern Europe integrated with the Western world. That apparent victory portended massive military changes within the U.S. military. Even as the USAF prepared for the nightmare scenario of nuclear war with the Soviet Union, its conventional capabilities did not remain idle. Based on the lessons learned from those conventional conflicts, more money, training, emphasis and leadership went into shoring up the USAF's conventional aspect. The "Bomber Mafia" generals of the '40s, '50s and '60s gave way to the "Fighter Mafia" generals of the '70s and '80s, as a new mind set permeated the Air Force. (35) The change in mindset and strategic outlook posed significant consequences for the nuclear enterprise. In 1992, SAC dissolved, and the entire Air Force reorganized to reflect the new reality. As for the nuclear enterprise, it did not disappear, but it found itself relegated to a less prominent position in the discussion of national security issues. United States Strategic Command (USSTRATCOM) assumed SAC's mantle of operational control of nuclear weapons, but the Air Force spread out the assets over the different commands. The nuclear bombers (B-52s, B-2s, B-1s) fell under Air Combat Command (ACC), ICBMs fell under USAF Space Command (AFSPC) and nuclear weapon storage/maintenance fell under Air Force Materiel Command (AFMC). (36) With the continuous alert requirement from the SAC days rescinded, bomber crews found themselves spending more flying and training time supporting conventional missions such as conventional strategic attack, interdiction and even close air support (CAS). For the ICBM units, the constant alert status did not change, but the future for AFSPC did not rest in the ICBM world, as those who started out in the ICBM world (especially the officers) immediately moved on to space mission assignments, further weakening the resident nuclear expertise. (37) While there remained those old "SAC Warriors" who looked back on the Cold War days with some nostalgia, the climate seemed to indicate that the conventional operations would dominate the Air Force agenda. (38) For intelligence professionals, it was possible to enter the Air Force in the 1990s and not once ever deal with the nuclear enterprise. Ironically, the requirement for nuclear deterrence actually increased in the post-Cold War era. The fall of the Soviet Union did not end the threat of nuclear weapons. North Korea, Pakistan, Iraq, Iran and Syria all actively pursued nuclear weapons capabilities, with Pakistan and North Korea successfully testing nuclear weapons. The last decades of the Soviet Union saw a massive degree of degradation within the national military structure, and this included oversight of its nuclear weapons. In the 1990s, the IC faced a dilemma of how to monitor Russia and its former republics as well as other known and potentially rising nuclear powers. For the AFIC, the changes and requirements required adaptation, taking the functional competencies and applying them to meet the new reality. In conventional missions, more of the planning and execution requirements fell to the lower levels, increasing requirements on intelligence airmen. National production and collection centers still provided the overall adversary picture (capabilities and limitations, assessments, order of battle), but the end of the Cold War saw a drastic reduction in manpower, thus reducing the overall effectiveness of those centers to provide intelligence to subordinate units. (39) Additionally, while the focus of operations was never really as simple as it appeared during the Cold War, there was no obvious Post-Cold War adversarial focus. A seemingly unstable Russia still had its nuclear weapons. DESERT STORM brought the Middle East into even greater focus for the USAF, as the no-fly zones over Iraq in the 1990s dominated missions and intelligence requirements. The counterinsurgency wars of the post-9/11 era only added to the emphasis on the Middle East. Concurrently, the Pacific also saw an increase in Air Force operations, as bombers made their return to Guam to monitor potential threats in East Asia. The AFIC did not lack for areas of focus in the Post-Cold War era. All of this happened in the midst of a technological explosion and expansion of mission requirements for the collections world. (40) The U-2 and RC-135, veterans of SAC's strategic collections missions against the USSR, now found themselves at the forefront of the USAF's conventional, tactical requirements. (41) The rise of space-based communication technology allowed for the creation of the Distributed Command Ground System (DCGS), which allowed for the processing, analysis and dissemination of an immeasurable amount of intelligence data, all from home-station and in near-real time (whereas PED during the Cold War could be measured in hours to days). The rise of Remote Piloted Aircraft (RPA) only added to the collections requirements levied against the AFIC. In some cases, the AFIC experienced new opportunities for advancement and excellence, and the importance of collections became more evident, especially in the counterinsurgency wars of the 2000s. However, this new collections focus did not encapsulate the Air Force nuclear enterprise. Concerns about adversary strategic Weapons of Mass Destruction (WMD) capabilities remained a priority for collection, but the strategic collection requirements did not have the same primacy seen in the Cold War, and collection managers had the unenviable job of balancing the tactical and strategic level collection requirements. Concurrently, Air Force targeting requirements also grew. The advent of the Precision Guided Munitions (PGMs), especially for stand-off and Global Positioning System-aided munitions, required exact intelligence on target areas, to include precision coordinates and very detailed target system analyses, to include an increase in concern for collateral damage. All of this emerged at a time when the Air Force, seeking to streamline its manning in the post-Cold War world, eliminated the targeting career field and lumped targeting under general intelligence. (42) Air Force intelligence personnel still performed the mission and met the requirements, but it was not an ideal solution. However, increased requirements did not translate into increased guidance on how to incorporate these challenges in supporting the nuclear enterprise, especially for those airmen charged with the critical integration competency. Key intelligence regulations, such as AF 14-105, Unit Level Intelligence, in the Post-Cold War era hardly mention the word "nuclear" or "deterrence." (43) Weapons of Mass Destruction was a focus area at least mentioned in the AFIs, but the intelligence professional, unless specifically assigned to nuclear units, knew practically nothing about American capabilities. Other doctrinal documents followed the same vein, providing general recommendations but little in the way of specific guidance on post-Cold War intelligence support to nuclear operations. The structure for how wing-level intelligence supported specific nuclear airframes did not vary much from the SAC days (the breakout of an intelligence flight into an analysis section, targeting, security, etc.). For the ICBMs, the intelligence support of the Cold War eventually withered, and by the mid-2000s, none of the Missile Wings possessed full-time intelligence support. [ILLUSTRATION OMITTED] Post-Incident Everything changed after The Incident. The USAF made reinvigorating the nuclear enterprise a top priority. (44) The bombers and ICBM communities (operators and staff support) dug into historical archives to find old SAC regulations and nuclear guidance. The Air Force suddenly found itself having to relearn how to spell nuclear. Technical training schools, the USAF Weapons School, Air Force Professional Military Education, all now found themselves providing academics on the U.S. nuclear enterprise. Yet, the post "Incident" Air Force did not just completely revert to the SAC days. New organizations and ideas emerged in the scramble to regain confidence and surety. The Headquarters Staff created a whole new directorate (A10) to deal specifically with nuclear operations. (45) Most significantly, the Air Force decided that the nuclear assets needed to fall under a single command, to avoid many of the failings documented in the various DoD nuclear enterprise reviews, like the Schlesinger Report. (46) In August 2009, USAF Global Strike Command stood up as the newest Air Force major command (AFGSC). (47) For the IC, there was a combination of relearning the past, while building future requirements in a very different strategic landscape. All intelligence personnel within AFGSC were now required to attend an AFGSC Intelligence Formal Training Unit (IFTU) which emphasized educating analysts on the nuclear enterprise. (48) Analytical focus for AFGSC intelligence sought to incorporate a more strategic look at the world, emphasizing analysis of a nation's nuclear strike capability. Collections experts who developed infrastructures to support the overwhelming demand for conventional operations support (RPAs and the DCGS architecture) now sought ways to apply these advancements in nuclear operations/planning. For targeting support, the conventional mind set had to readapt to a top-down approach including strategic nuclear targeting, while, not losing the tactical skills required for conventional missions. Regarding integration, bombers did not undergo a dramatic change per se, although intelligence AFIs started to specifically reference nuclear operations (the AFGSC supplements account for this far more than the ACC supplements that directed guidance for the bombers). (49) Recommendations to reinstate direct intelligence support to the ICBM wings saw all three wings receive assigned intelligence personnel between 2010-2012. The new missile wing intelligence officer provided strategic context, force protection support, targeting analysis and education to the missile crews on what new threats could strike ICBM silos and the U.S. mainland. These changes signaled to the Air Force, and the Air Force IC especially, that nuclear operations, previously considered an obsolete mission, was back at the forefront, and that more intelligence personnel could expect increased participation in the Air Force Nuclear enterprise. Conclusion While the past does not always exactly predict the future, analysis of past actions can provide insight on how the future might evolve. For the AFIC, its core mission of focusing on the adversary and bringing that knowledge to planners and operators in a manner that allows for effective air operations will not change. The requirement for obtaining that intelligence to answer the unknowns and applying that knowledge for targeting and integration will not change. The general structure of the intelligence flight at the wing-level has not changed much from the SAC days and will probably remain set up in the same general structure for the foreseeable future. Yet, the recent emphasis on the nuclear mission has impacted the AFIC. With more enlisted personnel and officers receiving a baseline knowledge of the nuclear enterprise, it can only improve the AFIC overall ability to support the nuclear mission. For integration, it is critical to have a solid working knowledge of American nuclear capabilities so that the airmen working with those units can more effectively tailor their analysis and mission planning products to meet the requirements of the nuclear enterprise. For targeting, the creation of Special Experience Identifiers (SEIs) for intelligence personnel (general intelligence analysts and the new targeteers) will rebuild a new cadre of targeting experience to produce effective combat mission folders. However, this is not to say that the Post-Incident AFIC has all the answers and solved all the problems associated with supporting the nuclear enterprise. There are still challenges in trying to integrate nuclear mission requirements into the current collections architecture. Analysis of the adversary is never easy, as seen in the Cold War and seen now. At USSTRATCOM, the Joint Intelligence and Operations Center (JIOC) seeks to evolve to meet the challenge of tailoring analysis to support the strategic operations, but the manning is nowhere near that of its 544th Intelligence Wing predecessor. (50) Additionally, AFIC personnel must maintain a balance of providing support for the nuclear mission while not losing the ability to effectively support the current tactical, conventional missions. [ILLUSTRATION OMITTED] In the near future, the AFIC will continue to evolve so that it can effectively support the nuclear mission. By reviewing how the AFIC supported the nuclear enterprise in the past, the current and future leaders of the AFIC can use the effective practices and try to avoid the errors their predecessors faced. As technology and capabilities evolve, the AFIC can integrate those advances and improve how it supports the nuclear mission. The past does not always foretell the future, but it can help steer it, and the AFIC will need to continue maintain that balancing, learning from the past and improving the future. NOTES (1.) The term The Incident does not have a doctrinal or official beginning. However, from the author's time at Headquarters Air Force Global Strike Command (AFGSC) and at the 5th Bomb Wing (5 BW) (20102013), most in leadership and in key operational positions reference the events of August 30, 2007, and the subsequent fallout as such. (2.) Joint Publication (JP) 1-02, Department of Defense Dictionary or Military and Associated Terms, June 15, 2013, p. 139. (3.) Michael Warner & J. Kenneth McDonald, U.S. Intelligence Community Reform Studies Since 1947 (Washington D.C.: Strategic Management Issues Office, Center for the Study of Intelligence, April 2005), p. 16. (4.) The four functional competencies as defined in this article are based on recent definitions of intelligence core areas by Headquarters Air Force Intelligence Directorate (HAF/A2). Briefing, HAF/A2DF, Subject: 14N Career Field Management Update, Feb 2013, slide 33. (5.) SAC initially stood up in 1946 as part of the Army Air Forces and officially became part of the USAF when it was created in 1947. J.C. Hopkins and Sheldon A. Goldberg. The Development of Strategic Air Command, 1946-1986: The Fortieth Anniversary History, (Offutt Air Force Base, Office of the Historian, Headquarters Strategic Air Command, 1986), p. 2. (6.) Stephen Budiansky, Air Power: The Men, Machines, and Ideas that Revolutionized War, from Kitty Hawk to Iraq (New York, Penguin Books, 2004), p. 349. (7.) JP 1-02, Department of Defense Dictionary or Military Associated Terms, p. 15. (8.) During World War II, the Army Air Corps required intelligence analysis to contain facts and detailed assessments, whereas the Navy only asked for straight facts, allowing for leaders to make up their own minds about what it meant. Matthew Connelly, et al, "General, I Have Fought Just as Many Nuclear Wars as You Have": Forecasts, Future Scenarios, and the Politics of Armageddon" in American Historical Review (Oxford, England: Oxford University Press, December 2012), p. 1434. (9.) Ibid, p. 1436. (10.) Ibid, p. 1437. (11.) Ibid. (12.) Ibid. (13.) Ibid, p. 1438. (14.) Michael Herman, "What Difference Did It Make?" Intelligence and National Security (Routledge, Taylor and Francis Group, vol 26, December 2011) p. 889. (15.) Ibid, p. 890. (16.) Ibid. (17.) Ibid, p. 896. (18.) ABLE ARCHER, the NATO Command and Control Exercise, always concerned Soviet leadership. However, the 1983 exercise generated more extra concern. Between the revelation that NATO planned to make the scenario and exercise more realistic than normal, the deployment of nuclear-capable PERSHING II missiles to Western Europe and heightened international tensions after the Soviet shootdown of KL007 in September 1983, Moscow's aging leadership was not certain that they would see 1984. As it turned out, nothing would happen and a potential conflict never materialized. Len Scott, "Intelligence and the Risk of Nuclear War: Able Archer-83 Revisited" in Intelligence and National Security (Routledge, Taylor and Francis Group, vol 26, No 6, December 2011), p. 769. (19.) Air Force Doctrine Annex 2-0 Global Integrated Intelligence, Surveillance and Reconnaissance Operations, Jan. 6, 2012, p. 2. (20.) Also included in the first airborne reconnaissance/ ISR assets were converted transports like the C-47. Chris Adams, Inside the Cold War: A Cold Warrior's Reflections (Maxwell AFB, Ala.: Air University Press, September, 1999), p. 64. (21.) Ibid, p. 65. (22.) Budiansky, Air Power: The Man, Machine & Ideas that Revolutionized War, from Kitty Hawk to Iraq, p. 353. (23.) The U--2 was designed to operate above 60,000 ft based on assessments of the Soviet Union's most capable fighter interceptor at the time (the MiG-17 was assessed to have a ceiling of only 45,000 ft). Eventually, the Soviets did develop a SAM (SA-2) that could reach the U-2, but prior to that time, the U-2 was able to directly overfly Soviet air defense capabilities. Maj Robert Stanley, "Attacking the Mobile Ballistic Missile Threat in the Post-Cold War Environment: New Rules to an Old Game" (Maxwell AFB, Ala.: Air University Press, May, 2006), p. 23. (24.) Adams, Inside the Cold War: A Cold Warrior's Reflections, p. 64. (25.) Herman, "What Difference Did It Make?", p. 890. (26.) David E. Hoffman, The Dead Hand (New York, Doubleday, 2009), p. 21. (27.) Buster C. Glosson,, "Impact of Precision Weapons on Air Combat Operations," Airpower Journal (Maxwell AFB, Ala.: Air University Press, No. 2, Summer 1993), p. 8. (28.) Robert Frank Futrell, "U.S. Army Air Force Intelligence in the Second World War," in Horst Boog, ed., The Conduct of the Air War in the Second World War (New York: St. Martin's Press, 1988), p. 548. (29.) AF Doctrine, Annex 2, Global iSR Operations, p. 33. (30.) Capt John R. Glock. "The Evolution of Air Force Targeting" Air & Space Power Journal (Maxwell AFB, Ala., Air University Press, November-December 2012), p. 154. (31.) The first dedicated school for intelligence training started in 1947, at Keesler AFB. Eventually, the training moved from Keesler to Sheppard AFB. In 1962, the Air Force consolidated its intelligence training at Lowry AFB, where it remained until the 1990s, when it moved to its current location at Goodfellow AFB, Tex. Thomas Manning, et al. History of Air Education and Training Command 1942-2002. (Randolph Air Force Base, TX, Office of History and Research, Headquarters Air Education and Training Command, 2005), p. 51. (32.) Strategic Air Command Regulation (SACR) 23-10, September 1, 1989, p. 10. (33.) SACR 23-9, August 18, 1987, pp. 12-27. (34.) Interview with Maj Douglas Pietersma, Sep. 3, 2013. Maj Peitersma was an intelligence officer at the 341 MW from 2002-2005 and later the 20 AF/A2 from 2010-2012. His insight into intelligence at the missile wings is invaluable, especially as the wings try to reintegrate intelligence back into their operations after a near decade long hiatus. (35.) Colin S. Gray, Airpower for Strategic Effect (Maxwell AFB, Ala.: Air University Press, Feb 2012), p. 206 (36.) The B-1 became a conventional-only bomber in 1995 and executed its first conventional-only mission in 1998. Dennis R. Jenkins. B-1 Lancer: The Most Complicated Warplane Ever Developed (New York, McGraw-Hill, 2004), p. 141. (37.) James R. Schlesinger (Chairman), Report of the Secretary of Defense Task Force on DoD Nuclear Weapons Management Phase I: Review of the Air Force Nuclear Mission, (Washington D.C.: Department of Defense, December 2008), p. 2. (38.) Lt. Col. Robert Spalding, "Culture Clash: Bomber Nuclear Operations in a Post-Cold War World", in Air and Space Power Journal (Maxwell AFB, Ala.: Air University Press, Winter 2009), p. 102. (39.) James R. Schlesinger (Chairman), Report of the Secretary of Defense Task Force on DoD Nuclear Weapons Management Phase II: Review of the DoD Nuclear Mission (Washington D.C.: Department of Defense, December 2008),p. 54. (40.) The term ISR (Intelligence, Reconnaissance, Surveillance) came into doctrine in the post-Cold War era. This encompassed the fact that collection assets had a more dynamic role in Air Force operations. (41.) Maj. Tyler Morton, "Manned Airborne Intelligence, Surveillance and Reconnaissance. Strategic, Tactical...Both?" Air and Space Power Journal (Maxwell AFB, Ala.: Air University Press, November-December 2012), p. 35. (42.) Capt John R. Glock. "The Evolution of Air Force Targeting", p. 168. (43.) In review of the AFI14-105 Air Combat Command (ACC) Supplement (ACCSUP): Unit Intelligence Mission and Responsibilities, the word nuclear appears a couple of times, but only in context of Nuclear, Biological, Chemical, with no discussion whatsoever on any intelligence requirements specific to the nuclear mission. The supplement dictated integration/unit-level support in relatively general terms. AFI 14-105, ACCSUP, Unit Intelligence Mission and Responsibilities, Jan. 28, 2003, (Certified Current Oct. 15, 2009). (44.) Fred W. Baker III. "Air Force Officials to Establish New Nuclear Major Command,* Armed Forces Press Service, Oct. 27, 2008. (45.) Maj. Gen. Donald C. Alston, Director, Reinvigorating the Air Force Nuclear enterprise (Washington D.C.: HQ USAF, Oct. 24, 2008), p. 71. (46.) Schlesinger, Report of the Secretary of Defense Task Force on DoD Nuclear Weapons Management Phase I: Review of the Air Force Nuclear Mission, p. 5. (47.) The command achieved Initial Operational Capability (IOC) in August 2009. By November 2009, the ICBM wings fell under AFGSC, with the nuclear capable bomber wings joining in February 2010. The command achieved its full operational capability (FOC) in October 2010. US Air Force Fact Sheet: Air Force Global Strike Command. (48.) Air Force Instruction (AFI) 14-202 vol 1, Air Force Global Strike Command Supplement (AFGSCSUP), Intelligence Training, Aug. 1, 2010, p. 2. (49.) As previously noted, AFI 14-105 offered no specifics on nuclear operations/targeting. AFI 14-105 ACCSUP did not mention anything about support to the nuclear enterprise. The AFI 14-202(volumes 1, 2, 3) series superseded AFI 14-105, offering more specific, tailored guidance to intelligence personnel supporting a weapons system/airframe. The AFGSC supplements do account for nuclear operations and targeting (At least as much as can be said at the unclassified level). The AFGSC Supplement for targeting (AFI 14-117) also incorporates more provisions for nuclear targeting support within the MAJCOM. For unit-level operations for nuclear assets, reference AFI 14-202 vol 3, Air Force Global Strike Command Supplement (AFGSCSUP), General Intelligence Rules, Jul.1, 2010, pp. 4-5. (50.) Schlesinger, Report of the Secretary of Defense Task Force on DoD Nuclear Weapons Management Phase II: Review of the DoD Nuclear Mission (Washington D.C.: Department of Defense, December 2008), p. 55. Maj. Scott Martin graduated in 2001 from Trinity University in San Antonio, Texas. Following Intelligence Officer training at Goodfellow AFB, Texas, Major Martin worked at multiple assignments across the intelligence spectrum from flying units, Air Operations Centers and National-level Intelligence facilities, deploying multiple times in support of Operations ENDURING FREEDOM and IRAQI FREEDOM. Major Martin completed a staff tour in the Intelligence Directorate at Air Force Global Strike Command, Barksdale AFB, La. Previously, Maj Martin was the Senior Intelligence Officer at the 5th Bomb Wing at Minot AFB, N. Dak. He is currently the Director of Operations for the 424th Air Base Squadron at Chievres Air Base, Belgium. Major Martin has been published in Cryptologic Quarterly and Air and Space Power Journal.