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Background Sepsis is a significant contributor to both intensive care unit (ICU) admissions and mortality among patients in ICU, with a rising prevalence of obesity. There is a lack of extensive research on the correlation between TyGI and findings in patients with sepsis, especially in obese patients.Methods This study used a retrospective cohort design and included patients with sepsis (≥18 years) from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV database. The association between TyGI and outcome was examined using multivariable logistic regression analysis.Results 8,840 patients with sepsis were included in the analysis. The in-ICU mortality rate was 9.7%. Non-survivors exhibited significantly greater TyGI levels than survivors [9.19(8.76–9.71) vs. 9.10(8.67–9.54), p

Harmful alcohol consumption is one of the leading risk factors for global disease burden and injury condition, causing death and disability early in life, with over 3 million deaths worldwide every year. Alcoholic hepatitis (AH) is a clinical syndrome characterized by hepatic failure with recent onset of jaundice, consequence of a heavy chronic alcohol drinking. The disease severity ranges from mild to severe cases, with high short-term mortality. Individual variety regarding disease outcome and therapeutic response complicates the prognosis stratification. Thus, novel parameters and continuously sought for a better disease outcome assessment.

BackgroundDisseminated intravascular coagulation (DIC) is a devastating condition, which always cause poor outcome of critically ill patients in intensive care unit. Studies concerning short-term mortality prediction in DIC patients is scarce. This study aimed to identify risk factors contributing to DIC mortality and construct a predictive nomogram.MethodsA total of 676 overt DIC patients were included. A Cox proportional hazards regression model was developed based on covariates identified using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression. The prediction performance was independently evaluated in the MIMIC-III and MIMIC-IV Clinical Database, as well as the 908th Hospital Database (908thH). Model performance was independently assessed using MIMIC-III, MIMIC-IV, and the 908th Hospital Clinical Database.ResultsThe Cox model incorporated variables identified by Lasso regression including heart failure, sepsis, height, SBP, lactate levels, HCT, PLT, INR, AST, and norepinephrine use. The model effectively stratified patients into different mortality risk groups, with a C-index of >0.65 across the MIMIC-III, MIMIC-IV, and 908th Hospital databases. The calibration curves of the model at 7 and 28 days demonstrated that the prediction performance was good. And then, a nomogram was developed to facilitate result visualization. Decision curve analysis indicated superior net benefits of the nomogram.ConclusionThis study provides a predictive nomogram for short-term overt DIC mortality risk based on a Lasso-Cox regression model, offering individualized and reliable mortality risk predictions.

Jiaxin Zeng,1,&ast; Chen Zhou,2,&ast; Qun Yi,1,3 Yuanming Luo,4 Hailong Wei,5 Huiqing Ge,6 Huiguo Liu,7 Jianchu Zhang,8 Xianhua Li,9 Pinhua Pan,10 Mengqiu Yi,11 Lina Cheng,11 Liang Liu,12 Jiarui Zhang,1 Lige Peng,1 Jiaqi Pu,1 Haixia Zhou1 On behalf of the MAGNET AECOPD Registry Investigators1Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan Province, People’s Republic of China; 2Center of Infectious Diseases, Division of Infectious Diseases in State Key Laboratory of Biotherapy, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan Province, People’s Republic of China; 3Sichuan Cancer Hospital, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, Chengdu, Sichuan Province, People’s Republic of China; 4State Key Laboratory of Respiratory Disease, Guangzhou Medical University, Guangzhou, Guangdong Province, People’s Republic of China; 5Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, People’s Hospital of Leshan, Leshan, Sichuan Province, People’s Republic of China; 6Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, Sir Run Run Shaw Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou, Zhejiang Province, People’s Republic of China; 7Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, Tongji Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, Hubei Province, People’s Republic of China; 8Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, Hubei Province, People’s Republic of China; 9Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, The First People’s Hospital of Neijiang City, Neijiang, Sichuan Province, People’s Republic of China; 10Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, Hunan Province, People’s Republic of China; 11Department of Emergency, First People’s Hospital of Jiujiang, Jiu jiang, Jiangxi Province, People’s Republic of China; 12Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, The Affiliated Hospital of Chengdu University, Chengdu, Sichuan Province, People’s Republic of China&ast;These authors contributed equally to this workCorrespondence: Haixia Zhou, Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Guo-Xue-Xiang 37&num;, Wuhou District, Chengdu, Sichuan Province, 610041, People’s Republic of China, Tel/Fax +86-28-85422571, Email zhouhaixia@wchscu.cnBackground: The Rome severity classification is an objective assessment tool for the severity of acute exacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPD) based on readily measurable variables but has not been widely validated. The aim of this study is to evaluate the validity of the Rome classification in distinguishing the severity of AECOPD based on short-term mortality and other adverse outcomes.Methods: The Rome severity classification was applied to a large multicenter cohort of inpatients with AECOPD. Differences in clinical features, in-hospital and 60-day mortality, intensive care unit (ICU) admission, mechanical ventilation (MV) and invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV) usage were compared among the mild, moderate and severe AECOPD according to the Rome proposal. Moreover, univariate logistic analysis and Kaplan Meier survival analysis were also performed to find the association between the Rome severity classification and those adverse outcomes.Results: A total of 7712 patients hospitalized for AECOPD were included and classified into mild (41.88%), moderate (40.33%), or severe (17.79%) group according to the Rome proposal. The rate of ICU admission (6.4% vs 12.0% vs 14.9%, P < 0.001), MV (11.7% vs 33.7% vs 45.3%, P < 0.001) and IMV (1.4% vs 6.8% vs 8.9%, P < 0.001) increased significantly with the increase of severity classification from mild to moderate to severe AECOPD. The 60-day mortality was higher in the moderate or severe group than in the mild group (3.5% vs 1.9%, 4.3% vs 1.9%, respectively, P < 0.05) but showed no difference between the moderate and severe groups (2.6% vs 2.5%, P > 0.05), results for in-hospital mortality showed the same trends. Similar findings were observed by univariate logistic analysis and survival analysis.Conclusion: Rome severity classification demonstrated excellent performance in predicting ICU admission and the need for MV or IMV, but how it performs in differentiating short-term mortality still needs to be confirmed.Keywords: AECOPD, the Rome severity classification, short-term mortality, intensive care unit admission, mechanical ventilation, multicenter cohort

Abstract Background Patients admitted to the surgical intensive care unit (SICU) often suffer from multi-organ dysfunction and have a high mortality rate. Therefore, finding a simple but effective clinical indicator to predict the prognosis of patients is essential to improve their survival. The aim of this study was to investigate the relationship between blood urea nitrogen to serum albumin ratio (B/A) and short-term mortality among patients from the SICU. Methods All eligible adult patients admitted to the SICU from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV (MIMIC-IV) database were recruited for this study. Participants were divided into a death group (n = 638) and a survival group (n = 2,048) based on the 90-day prognosis, and then grouped by B/A quartiles. We used restricted cubic splines (RCS) to visually analyze the correlation of B/A with 30- and 90-day risk of death. Cumulative survival rates were estimated using Kaplan–Meier survival curves according to B/A quartiles and evaluated using the log-rank test. Cox proportional risk models were developed and sensitivity analyses were performed to explore whether B/A was independently associated with short-term outcomes in SICU patients. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were analyzed to ascertain the value of B/A for prognosticating 90-day outcome. Results A total of 2686 participants were included in the final study, and their 30-day and 90-day all-cause mortality rates were 17.61% and 23.75%, respectively. The differences in 30-day and 90-day mortality rates were statistically significant among the four groups of patients (all p 9.69) was an independent risk factor for 30-day and 90-day all-cause mortality in SICU patients. The analysis of ROC curves demonstrated that B/A exhibited a significant predictive ability for 90-day mortality, with an optimal threshold of 6.587, a sensitivity of 56.9%, and a specificity of 64.8%. Conclusions Elevated B/A (> 9.69) on admission was an independent risk factor for short-term mortality in SICU patients, and clinicians should pay more attention to this group of patients and intervene clinically at an early stage to reduce mortality.

Background/Objectives: Acute decompensated heart failure (ADHF) presents a significant clinical challenge characterized by frequent hospitalizations, high mortality rates, and substantial healthcare costs. The united index of hemoglobin, albumin, lymphocytes and platelets (HALP) is a new indicator that reflects systemic inflammation and nutritional status. This study aimed to investigate the prognostic utility of the HALP score and hematological parameters in predicting short-term mortality among ADHF patients admitted to the coronary care unit (CCU). Methods: This investigation adopts a retrospective observational design, encompassing a cohort of patients with ADHF who were followed in the CCU at our medical institution between January 2019 and April 2024. Results: The cohort of 227 individuals was dichotomized into two subsets based on the presence or absence of short-term mortality in the hospital, resulting in 163 (71.8%) and 64 (28.2%) individuals in the survivor and exitus groups, respectively. Age was significantly higher in the exitus group (p-value = 0.004). Hemoglobin, lymphocyte count, platelet count, albumin, and HALP score were significantly higher in the survivor group (all p-values < 0.001). No significant difference was observed between the groups in terms of gender, diabetes mellitus (DM), coronary artery disease (CAD), or ejection fraction (EF), although hypertension (HT) prevalence was significantly higher in the exitus group (p-value = 0.038). ROC analysis demonstrated that hemoglobin, lymphocyte, albumin, and HALP score had significant discriminative power, with albumin showing the highest AUC (0.814). Conclusions: In conclusion, the HALP score and hematological parameters represent valuable prognostic feature for short-term mortality prediction in ADHF patients admitted to the CCU. These findings underscore the importance of early risk stratification and targeted interventions guided by comprehensive biomarker assessments in optimizing patient outcomes.

Abstract Aim The study aimed to investigate the short‐term outcomes of hospitalized patients with chronic liver disease (CLDs) and assess the prognostic impact of predisposition and precipitants, which currently remains unclear. Methods The study included 3970 hospitalized patients with CLDs from two prospective longitudinal multicenter studies (NCT02457637 and NCT03641872) conducted in highly endemic hepatitis B virus (HBV) areas. Competing risk analysis was used to evaluate the effect of predispositions, including the etiology and severity of CLDs and precipitants; on sequential 28, 90, and 365‐day liver transplantation (LT)‐free mortality. Results Among all enrolled patients, 76.8% of adverse outcomes (including death and LT) within one year occurred within 90 days. Compared with alcoholic etiology, the association of HBV etiology with poorer outcomes was remarkably on the 28th day (hazard ratio [HR], 1.81; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.07–3.06; p = 0.026); however, and diminished or became insignificant at 90 days and 365 days. Cirrhosis increased the adjusted risk for 365‐day (HR, 1.50; CI, 1.13–1.99; p = 0.004) LT‐free mortality when compared with noncirrhosis. In patients with cirrhosis, prior decompensation (PD) independently increased the adjusted risk of 365‐day LT‐free mortality by 1.25‐fold (p = 0.021); however, it did not increase the risk for 90‐day mortality. Neither the category nor the number of precipitants influenced the adjusted risk of 28 or 90‐day LT‐free mortality. Conclusions The 90‐day outcome should be considered a significant endpoint for evaluating the short‐term prognosis of hospitalized patients with CLD. Predisposing factors, other than etiology, mainly affected the delayed (365‐day) outcome. Timely effective therapy for CLD etiology, especially antiviral treatments for HBV, and post‐discharge long‐term surveillance monitoring in cirrhotic patients undergoing PD are suggested to enhance disease management and reduce mortality.

Background Veno‐arterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation serves as a crucial mechanical circulatory support for pediatric patients with severe heart diseases, but the mortality rate remains high. The objective of this study was to assess the short‐term mortality in these patients. Methods and Results We systematically searched PubMed, Embase, and Cochrane Library for observational studies that evaluated the short‐term mortality of pediatric patients undergoing veno‐arterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation. To estimate short‐term mortality, we used random‐effects meta‐analysis. Furthermore, we conducted meta‐regression and binomial regression analyses to investigate the risk factors associated with the outcome of interest. We systematically reviewed 28 eligible references encompassing a total of 1736 patients. The pooled analysis demonstrated a short‐term mortality (defined as in‐hospital or 30‐day mortality) of 45.6% (95% CI, 38.7%–52.4%). We found a significant difference (P

Background Intravenous glutamine supplementation of nutrition in ICU patients is based on substantial clinical evidence that it boosts the immune system, particularly by inhibiting inflammatory reactions. This study aimed to see how glutamine affected COVID-19 short-term ICU mortality (7 days) and its clinical course. Methods Sixty patients were randomized in this single-blind clinical study and were divided into equal groups. Group EN, was delivered with standard enteral nutrition. Group GN was delivered intravenous glutamine supplementation to enteral nutrition. Both groups were monitored and assessed for 7 days. Short-term ICU mortality, monitoring of the inflammatory response and oxygenation, were compared between the two groups. Results During the 7-day follow-up period, ten patients (33.3%) died in the GN group, compared to 11 patients (37.6%) in the EN group, with no statistically significant difference between the two groups. On the 7th day, both NLR and PLR showed considerably higher values in the EN group than in the GN group, and on the 4th day, the PLR ratio showed significantly higher values in the EN group than in the GN group. In terms of unsuccessful enteral nutrition and transition to total parenteral nutrition, group GN had a considerably lower rate than group EN (ten patients (33.3%) against 22 patients (73.3%), respectively, P-value = 0.002). Conclusions Although there is little indication that glutamine supplementation could prevent short-term mortality in COVID-19 ICU admitted patients, the GN group had a lower inflammatory response and fewer patients switched to total parenteral nutrition.

Abstract Background There has always been a debate on the optimal timing of endoscopy in patients with acute variceal bleeding (AVB). Objective This study aimed to examine the relation between the timing of endoscopy and the short-term outcomes of patients with AVB. Methods Patients with AVB who underwent endoscopy within 24 h after admission at our tertiary care center from 2014 to 2022 were evaluated retrospectively. The primary outcomes were the 6-week mortality and re-bleeding. The secondary outcomes included the total number of blood units transfused, the length of hospital stay, and the need for salvage therapy. We used Cox proportional hazards model to analyze the predictors of 6-week mortality in all patients as well as in those who were at high risk of further bleeding or death. Results A total of 312 patients were enrolled. Among them, 170 patients (54.49%) underwent urgent endoscopy (

Background: Serum ferritin levels are associated with a higher risk of incident heart failure (HF). Whether serum ferritin levels, either increased or decreased, predict the risk of mortality in individuals with chronic heart failure (CHF) remains unknown.Objectives: This study aimed to clarify the potential predictive significance of serum ferritin levels in assessing the short-term mortality in critically ill patients with chronic heart failure (CHF).Methods: Critically ill patients with CHF were identified from the Multiparameter Intelligent Monitoring in Intensive Care III and IV (MIMIC III and IV) databases. Linear and logistic regression models and Cox proportional hazards models were applied to assess the associations between serum ferritin and survival.Results: A total of 1,739 and 2,322 patients with CHF identified from the MIMIC III and IV databases, respectively, fulfilled the inclusion criteria. In the MIMIC III group, compared with the reference group (serum ferritin ≥70 and

Background & Aims: Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) carries a high short-term mortality for patients with cirrhosis. Prior literature suggests that statin exposure may reduce the likelihood of ACLF events. However, it is unclear if statin exposure is associated with ACLF-related mortality. This study sought to determine the association between statin use and short-term mortality among patients hospitalised with ACLF. Methods: This was a retrospective cohort study of Veterans Health Administration (VHA) patients diagnosed with cirrhosis between 2008 and 2021 and hospitalised with high-grade (2 or 3) ACLF. Patients were stratified into those with and without continuous statin exposure for at least 90 days prior to hospitalisation. Multivariable logistic regression models were created to determine the adjusted association between statin exposure and 28-day and 90-day mortality. Categorical statin dose exposure, converted to simvastatin equivalents, was also explored. Results: A total of 11,731 patients with cirrhosis hospitalised with Grade 2 or 3 ACLF were included in the analytic cohort, 26% of whom had statin exposure. In adjusted logistic regression models, statin use was associated with 18% lower odds of ACLF-related 28-day mortality (odds ratio [OR] 0.82, 95% CI 0.73–0.93, p = 0.001) and 24% lower odds of 90-day mortality (OR 0.76, 95% CI 0.68–0.86, p

Aims: While electrolyte depletion is known to occur during coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) with extracorporeal circulation, little is known about the frequency of potassium disturbances following either on- or off-pump CABG and its association with mortality. We examined the frequency of potassium disturbances and the association of plasma potassium with mortality risk in patients following CABG. Methods and results: From Danish National Registries, we identified 6123 adult patients (≥18 years old) undergoing first-time CABG, and who had a registered potassium measurement within 14 days before and 7 days after their surgery between 1995 and 2018. Using 4.0–4.6 mmol/L as reference, potassium was stratified into five predefined intervals:

Abstract Background Early fluid management is considered a key element affecting mortality in critically ill patients requiring continuous renal replacement therapy (CRRT). Most studies have primarily focused on patients with intrinsic acute kidney injury requiring CRRT, although end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) patients generally exhibit greater vulnerability. We investigated the association between fluid balance and short-term mortality outcomes in ESKD patients undergoing chronic hemodialysis and requiring CRRT. Methods This retrospective study included 110 chronic hemodialysis patients who received CRRT between 2017 and 2019 at Ewha Womans University Mokdong Hospital. The amounts of daily input and output, and cumulative 3-day and 7-day input and output, were assessed from the initiation of CRRT. The participants were classified into two groups based on 7-day and 14-day mortalities. Cox regression analyses were carried out on the basis of the amounts of daily input and output, cumulative input and output, and cumulative fluid balance. Results During follow-up, 7-day and 14-day mortalities were observed in 24 (21.8%) and 34 (30.9%) patients. The patients were stratified into two groups (14-day survivors vs. non-survivors), and there were no significant differences in demographic characteristics between the two groups. However, diabetes mellitus was more common among survivors than among non-survivors. Univariate analyses showed that the amounts of daily output at 48, and 72 h, and 3-day cumulative input and output, were significantly associated with 7-day mortality risk regardless of the cumulative fluid balance (HR: 0.28, 95% CI: 0.12–0.70, p = 0.01 for daily output at 48 h; HR: 0.34, 95% CI: 0.13–0.85, p = 0.02 for daily output at 72 h.; HR: 0.72, 95% CI: 0.61–0.86, p = 0.01 for 3-day cumulative input; HR: 0.65, 95% CI: 0.41–0.90, p = 0.01 for 3-day cumulative output). Adjusted multivariate analyses showed that the lower 3-day cumulative output is an independent risk factor for 7-day and 14-day mortality. Conclusions In our study, increased cumulative output were significantly associated with reduced short-term mortality risk in chronic hemodialysis patients undergoing CRRT regardless of cumulative fluid balance. Further prospective studies to investigate the association between fluid balance and mortality in ESRD patients requiring CRRT are warranted.

PurposeThe present study aimed to investigate the association of renin–angiotensin system inhibitors (RASi) with short- and long-term mortality in patients with aortic stenosis (AS).MethodsA systematic search was performed in PubMed, Embase, and Cochrane library databases for relevant studies published before March 2022. Studies meeting the inclusion criteria were included to assess the effect of RASi on short-term (≤30 days) and long-term (≥1 year) mortality in patients with AS.ResultsA total of 11 studies were included in the meta-analysis. Our results demonstrated that RASi reduced short-term mortality (OR = 0.76, 95% CI 0.63–0.93, p = 0.008) after aortic valve replacement (AVR). Subgroup analysis revealed that RASi was still associated with lower short-term mortality after transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR); however, the association was relatively weak in patients who underwent surgical aortic valve replacement (SAVR). For long-term mortality, the pooled OR was 1.04 (95% CI 0.88–1.24, p = 0.63) after sensitivity analysis in patients who did not undergo AVR. In addition, our study confirmed that RASi significantly reduced long-term mortality (OR = 0.57, 95% CI 0.44–0.74, p < 0.0001) in patients who underwent AVR. Subgroup analysis showed that both TAVR and SAVR groups treated with RASi had lower long-term mortality.ConclusionRenin–angiotensin system inhibitors did not change long-term mortality in AS patients who did not undergo AVR. However, RASi reduced short- and long-term mortality in patients who underwent AVR.

Background: Spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (SBP) is a severe complication in cirrhosis patients with ascites, leading to high mortality rates if not promptly treated. However, specific prediction models for SBP are lacking. Aims: This study aimed to compare commonly used cirrhotic prediction models (CTP score, MELD, MELD-Na, iMELD, and MELD 3.0) for short-term mortality prediction and develop a novel model to improve mortality prediction. Methods: Patients with the first episode of SBP were included. Prognostic values for mortality were assessed using AUROC analysis. A novel prediction model was developed and validated. Results: In total, 327 SBP patients were analyzed, with HBV infection as the main etiologies. MELD 3.0 demonstrated the highest AUROC among the traditional models. The novel model, incorporating HRS, exhibited superior predictive accuracy for in-hospital in all patients and 3-month mortality in HBV-cirrhosis, with AUROC values of 0.827 and 0.813 respectively, surpassing 0.8. Conclusions: MELD 3.0 score outperformed the CTP score and showed a non-significant improvement compared to other MELD-based scores, while the novel SBP model demonstrated impressive accuracy. Internal validation and an HBV-related cirrhosis subgroup sensitivity analysis supported these findings, highlighting the need for a specific prognostic model for SBP and the importance of preventing HRS development to improve SBP prognosis.

BackgroundIn intensive care unit (ICU), what thresholds of MAP variability are effective in distinguishing low- and high-risk patients for short-term mortality (in-hospital and 28-day) remains unclear.MethodsFifteen thousand five hundred sixty adult subjects admitted to ICU at Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center (Boston, USA) between 2001 and 2012 were included in this retrospective study from MIMIC-III database. MAP within the first 24 h after admission were collected. Quantiles of MAP variability from 10% to 90% with 10% increasement each were considered to divide study participants into two groups, either having coefficients of variation of MAP greater or less than the given threshold. The threshold of MAP variability was identified by maximizing the odds ratio associated with increased risk of short-term mortality (in-hospital and 28-day). Logistic regression and Cox regression models were further applied to evaluate the association between increased variability of MAP and short-term mortality (in-hospital and 28-day).Results90% quantile of MAP variability was determined as the threshold generating the largest odds ratio associated with the increased risk of short-term mortality. Increased MAP variability, especially over 90% of MAP variability, was associated with increased risk of in-hospital mortality (odds ratio: 2.351, 95% CI: 2.064–2.673), and 28-day mortality (hazard ratio: 2.064, 95% CI: 1.820–2.337).ConclusionIncreased MAP variability, especially over 90% of MAP variability, is associated with short-term mortality. Our proposed threshold of MAP variability may aid in the early identification of critically ill patients with a high risk of mortality.

Background and Objectives: The purpose of this study is to investigate the predictive factors for intrahospital mortality in ischemic stroke patients. We will examine the association between a range of clinical and demographic factors and intrahospital mortality, including age, sex, comorbidities, laboratory values, and medication use. Materials and Methods: This retrospective, longitudinal, analytic, observational cohort study included 243 patients over 18 years old with a new ischemic stroke diagnosis who were hospitalized in Cluj-Napoca Emergency County Hospital. Data collected included the patient demographics, baseline characteristics at hospital admission, medication use, carotid artery Doppler ultrasound, as well as cardiology exam, and intrahospital death. Results: Multivariate logistic regression was used to determine which variables were independently associated with intrahospital death. An NIHSS score > 9 (OR—17.4; p < 0.001) and a lesion volume > 22.3 mL (OR—5.8; p = 0.003) were found to be associated with the highest risk of death. In contrast antiplatelet treatment (OR—0.349; p = 0.04) was associated with lower mortality rates. Conclusions: Our study identified a high NIHSS score and large lesion volume as independent risk factors for intrahospital mortality in ischemic stroke patients. Antiplatelet therapy was associated with lower mortality rates. Further studies are needed to explore the potential mechanisms underlying these associations and to develop targeted interventions to improve patient outcomes.

ObjectivePredictive value of myocardial injury as defined by elevated cardiac tropnins (cTns) in patients with COVID-19 has not been fully investigated. We performed a meta-analysis to evaluate the dose–response relationship between myocardial injury and short-term all-cause mortality.MethodsPubmed, Embase, and the Cochrane Library database were searched for all the studies which evaluated the relationship between cTns and the risk of short-term all-cause mortality in patients with COVID-19.ResultsCompared with patients without myocardial injury, the group with elevated cTns was associated with increased short-term mortality (11 studies, 29,128 subjects, OR 3.17, 95% CI 2.19–4.59, P = 0.000, I2 = 92.4%, P for heterogeneity 0.00). For the dose–response analysis, the elevation of cTns 1 × 99th percentile upper reference limit (URL) was associated with increased short-term mortality (OR 1.99, 95% CI 1.53–2.58, P = 0.000). The pooled OR of short-term mortality for each 1 × URL increment of cTns was 1.25 (95% CI 1.22–1.28, P = 0.000).ConclusionWe found a positive dose–response relationship between myocardial injury and the risk of short-term all-cause mortality, and propose elevation of cTns > 1 × 99th percentile URL was associated with the increased short-term risk of mortality.

Abstract Objective The goal of this study was to analyze perioperative risk factors to predict one- year mortality after operation for acute type A aortic dissection (AAD). Methods A total of 121 consecutive patients undergoing Stanford type A AAD surgery in Beijing Anzhen Hospital were enrolled. Preoperative clinical and laboratory data from patients were collected. Results Multivariable Cox regression analysis showed that significant factors associated with increased one-year mortality were elder age (year) (hazard ratio (HR) 1.0985; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.0334–1.1677), intraoperative blood transfusion ≥2000 mL (HR 8.8081; 95% CI 2.3319–33.2709), a higher level of serum creatinine (μmol/L) at postoperative one day (HR 1.0122; 95% CI 1.0035–1.0190) and oxygenation index (OI)

The visceral adiposity index (VAI) is related to the occurrence of various cardiometabolic diseases, atherosclerosis, and stroke. However, few studies have analyzed the impact on the short-term prognosis of stroke. We assessed the effect of VAI on short-term prognoses in patients with acute ischemic stroke through a retrospective cohort study of 225 patients with acute stroke who were admitted to the neurological intensive care unit of our hospital. We collected metabolic indicators (blood pressure, fasting glucose, lipids), National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) scores, symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage, and other disease evaluation indicators on 197 patients who were screened for inclusion. VAI was calculated by using baseline data (sex, height, weight, waist circumference (WC)). We assessed functional recovery according to modified Rankin scale scores after 90 days. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to calculate the VAI cutoff value that affects short-term outcomes. A nomogram that can predict the risk of short-term mortality in patients with acute ischemic stroke was drawn. In total, 28 patients died within 90 days. Those patients had higher VAI (p = 0.000), higher triglyceride (TG) (p = 0.020) and NIHSS scores (p = 0.000), and lower high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) (p = 0.000) than patients who survived. VAI had higher predictive value of short-term mortality than did body mass index (BMI), body fat mass index (BFMI), and WC. VAI and NIHSS scores were independent risk factors for the short-term mortality of patients with stroke. Patients with a VAI > 2.355 had a higher risk of short-term mortality. VAI has a predictive value higher than that of traditional metabolic indicators such as BMI, BFMI, and WC. The nomogram, composed of NIHSS, VAI, HDL-C, and TG, may predict the short-term mortality of cerebral infarction patients.

(1) Background: The Modified Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (mSOFA) is an Early Warning Score (EWS) that has proven to be useful in identifying patients at high risk of mortality in prehospital care. The main objective of this study was to evaluate the predictive validity of prehospital mSOFA in estimating 2- and 90-day mortality (all-cause) in patients with acute cardiovascular diseases (ACVD), and to compare this validity to that of four other widely-used EWS. (2) Methods: We conducted a prospective, observational, multicentric, ambulance-based study in adults with suspected ACVD who were transferred by ambulance to Emergency Departments (ED). The primary outcome was 2- and 90-day mortality (all-cause in- and out-hospital). The discriminative power of the predictive variable was assessed and evaluated by the area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic (ROC). (3) Results: A total of 1540 patients met the inclusion criteria. The 2- and 90-day mortality rates were 5.3% and 12.7%, respectively. The mSOFA showed the highest AUC of all the evaluated scores for both 2- and 90-day mortality, AUC = 0.943 (0.917–0.968) and AUC = 0.874 (0.847–0.902), respectively. (4) Conclusions: The mSOFA is a quick and easy-to-use EWS with an excellent ability to predict mortality at both 2 and 90 days in patients treated for ACVD, and has proved to be superior to the other EWS evaluated in this study.

BackgroundThe harmful effect of diabetes mellitus (DM) on mortality in patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI) remains controversial. Furthermore, few studies focused on critical AMI patients. We aimed to address whether DM increases short- and long-term mortality in this specific population.MethodsWe analyzed AMI patients admitted into coronary care unit (CCU) with follow-up of ≥1 year from two cohorts (MIMIC-III, Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care III; CIN, Cardiorenal ImprovemeNt Registry) in the United States and China. Main outcome was mortality at 30-day and 1-year following hospitalization. Kaplan-Meier curves and Cox proportional hazards models were constructed to examine the impact of DM on mortality in critical AMI patients.Results1774 critical AMI patients (mean age 69.3 ± 14.3 years, 46.1% had DM) were included from MIMIC-III and 3380 from the CIN cohort (mean age 62.2 ± 12.2 years, 29.3% had DM). In both cohorts, DM group was older and more prevalent in cardio-renal dysfunction than non-DM group. Controlling for confounders, DM group has a significantly higher 30-day mortality (adjusted odds ratio (aOR) (95% CI): 2.71 (1.99-3.73) in MIMIC-III; aOR (95% CI): 9.89 (5.81-17.87) in CIN), and increased 1-year mortality (adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) (95% CI): 1.91 (1.56-2.35) in MIMIC-III; aHR (95% CI): 2.62(1.99-3.45) in CIN) than non-DM group.ConclusionsTaking into account cardio-renal function, critical AMI patients with DM have a higher 30-day mortality and 1-year mortality than non-DM group in both cohorts. Further studies on prevention and management strategies for DM are needed for this population.Clinical Trial Registrationclinicaltrials.gov, NCT04407936.

Background: Patients with cirrhosis have an increased risk of short-term mortality, however, few studies quantify the association between neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and 90-day transplant-free mortality in cirrhotic patients.Methods: We prospectively analyzed 3,970 patients with chronic liver diseases from two multicenter cohorts in China (January 2015 to December 2016 and July 2018 to January 2019). Restricted cubic splines (RCS) were used to analyze the relation of NLR and all-causes 90-day transplant-free mortality in cirrhosis.Results: A total of 2,583 cirrhotic patients were enrolled in our study. Restricted cubic splines showed that the odds ratio (OR) of all causes 90-day transplant-free mortality started to increase rapidly until around NLR 6.5, and then was relatively flat (p for non-linearity 1.0) across all major prespecified subgroups, including infection group (OR: 1.04, 95% CI 1.00–1.09) and non-infection (OR: 1.06, 95% CI 1.02–1.11) group. The trends for NLR and numbers of patients with organ failure varied synchronously and were significantly increased with time from day 7 to day 28.Conclusions: We found a non-linear association between baseline NLR and the adjusted probability of 90-day transplant-free mortality. A certain range of NLR is closely associated with poor short-term prognosis in patients with cirrhosis.

Introduction: Total bilirubin (TB) is a major prognosis predictor representing liver failure in patients with acute on chronic liver failure (ACLF). However, the cutoff value of TB for liver failure and whether the same cutoff could be applied in both cirrhotic and non-cirrhotic patients remain controversial. There is a need to obtain the quantitative correlation between TB and short-term mortality via evidence-based methods, which is critical in establishing solid ACLF diagnostic criteria.Methods: Patients hospitalized with cirrhosis or advanced fibrosis (FIB-4 > 1.45) were studied. TB and other variables were measured at baseline. The primary outcome was 90-day transplantation-free mortality. Multi-variable Cox proportional hazard model was used to present the independent risk of mortality due to TB. Generalized additive model and second derivate (acceleration) were used to plot the “TB-mortality correlation curves.” The mathematical (maximum acceleration) and clinical (adjusted 28-day transplantation-free mortality rate reaching 15%) TB cutoffs for liver failure were both calculated.Results: Among the 3,532 included patients, the number of patients with cirrhosis and advanced fibrosis were 2,592 and 940, respectively, of which cumulative 90-day mortality were 16.6% (430/2592) and 7.4% (70/940), respectively. Any increase of TB was found the independent risk factor of mortality in cirrhotic patients, while only TB >12 mg/dL independently increased the risk of mortality in patients with advanced fibrosis. In cirrhotic patients, the mathematical TB cutoff for liver failure is 14.2 mg/dL, with 23.3% (605/2592) patients exceeding it, corresponding to 13.3 and 25.0% adjusted 28- and 90-day mortality rate, respectively. The clinical TB cutoff for is 18.1 mg/dL, with 18.2% (471/2592) patients exceeding it. In patients with advanced fibrosis, the mathematical TB cutoff is 12.1 mg/dL, 33.1% (311/940) patients exceeding it, corresponding to 2.9 and 8.0% adjusted 28- and 90-day mortality rate, respectively; the clinical TB cutoff was 36.0 mg/dL, 1.3% (12/940) patients above it.Conclusion: This study clearly demonstrated the significantly different impact of TB on 90-day mortality in patients with cirrhosis and advanced fibrosis, proving that liver failure can be determined by TB alone in cirrhosis but not in advanced fibrosis. The proposed TB cutoffs for liver failure provides solid support for the establishment of ACLF diagnostic criteria.

Background: Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) was first described at the end of 2019 in China and has since spread across the globe. Red cell distribution width (RDW) is a potent prognostic marker in several medical conditions and has recently been suggested to be of prognostic value in COVID-19.Methods: This retrospective, observational study of consecutive patients with COVID-19 was conducted from March 12, 2020 to December 4, 2020 in the Wilhelminenhospital, Vienna, Austria. RDWlevels on admission were collected and tested for their predictive value of 28-day mortality.Results: A total of 423 eligible patients with COVID-19 were included in the final analyses and 15.4% died within 28 days (n = 65). Median levels of RDWwere significantly higher in non-survivors compared to survivors [14.6% (IQR, 13.7–16.3) vs. 13.4% (IQR, 12.7– 14.4), P < 0.001]. Increased RDW was a significant predictor of 28-day mortality [crude odds ratio (OR) 1.717, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.462–2.017; P = < 0.001], independent of clinical confounders, comorbidities and established prognostic markers of COVID-19 (adjusted OR of the final model 1.368, 95% CI 1.126–1.662; P = 0.002). This association remained consistent upon sub-group analysis. Our study data also demonstrate that RDW levels upon admission for COVID-19 were similar to previously recorded, non-COVID-19 associated RDW levels [14.2% (IQR, 13.3–15.7) vs. 14.0% [IQR, 13.2–15.1]; P = 0.187].Conclusions: In this population, RDWwas a significant, independent prognostic marker of short-term mortality in patients with COVID-19.

Recent studies have attempted to measure differences in lifestyle quality across the world. This paper contributes to this strand of literature by extending the indicator introduced in Milevsky (2020), i.e., “longevity-risk-adjusted global age” (LRaG age), to deal with the new short-term mortality fluctuation data series freely available from the Human Mortality Database. The new weekly data on mortality allow measuring weekly biological age. The weekly differences between biological and chronological ages across countries were used to assess country resilience to the COVID-19 pandemic in terms of excess mortality and health expenditure. Countries with a biological age lower than the chronological age had a lower excess mortality in 2020–2021 and a lower health expenditure, thus indicating some resilience to the shock of COVID-19.

Abstract Background Prosthesis–patient mismatch (PPM) may affect the clinical outcomes of patients undergoing mitral valve replacement (MVR) surgery. We aimed to investigate the incidence of PPM of the mitral position in our center and analyze the possible predictors of PPM as well as its effect on short-term outcomes. Methods We retrospectively examined all consecutive patients with isolated or concomitant MVR at our center from 2013 to 2015. PPM was defined as an indexed effective orifice area (iEOA) of ≤1.2 cm2/m2. After inclusion and exclusion, a total of 1067 patients were analyzed. The baseline information were collected and compared between the two groups. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was conducted to determine the preoperative predictors of PPM as well as the effect of PPM on early mortality. Results A total of 1067 patients were included in the study. PPM was detected in 15.9% of the patients while 12 patients (1.12%) met the criteria for severe PPM. Patients with PPM compared to the non-PPM patients had higher age, larger body surface area and were more likely to be male and obese. Logistic regression analysis showed that higher age, larger BSA, bioprosthesis and smaller left ventricle end-diastolic diameter were predictors of PPM. There were no significant differences between the PPM and non-PPM groups regarding post-operative complications. Logistic regression analysis showed that PPM was not a risk factor of short-term mortality (P = 0.654). Also, there were no significant differences regarding short−/mid-term heart function between the PPM and non PPM groups (P = 0.902). Conclusions Our results demonstrated that higher age, bioprosthesis, larger BSA and smaller left ventricle size were associated with mitral PPM. However, PPM was not associated with poorer early outcomes after MVR surgery. In eastern of China, the prevalence of mitral valve stenosis is high; therefore, whether the standard PPM criteria are suitable for patients of this district needs to be further verified.

Qinglin Li,1 Meng Zhao,2 Xiaodan Wang1 1Department of Health Care, Nanlou Division, Chinese PLA General Hospital, National Clinical Research Center for Geriatric Diseases, Beijing, China; 2Department of Clinical Data Repository, Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing, China Objectives: To compare the differences between the Kidney Disease Improving Global Outcomes (KDIGO) criteria of the 48-hour window and the 7-day window in the diagnosis of acute kidney injury (AKI) in very elderly patients, as well as the relationship between the 48-hour and 7-day windows for diagnosis and 90-day mortality. Patients and methods: We retrospectively enrolled very elderly patients (≥75 years old) from the geriatrics department of the Chinese PLA General Hospital between January 2007 and December 2015. AKI patients were divided into 48-hour and 7-day groups by their diagnosis criteria. AKI patients were divided into survivor and nonsurvivor groups by their outcomes within 90 days after diagnosis of AKI. Results: In total, 652 patients were included in the final analysis. The median age of the cohort was 87 (84–91) years, the majority (623, 95.6%) of whom were male. Of the 652 AKI patients, 334 cases (51.2%) were diagnosed with AKI by the 48-hour window for diagnosis, while 318 cases (48.8%) were by the 7-day window for diagnosis. The 90-day mortality was 42.5% in patients with 48-hour window AKI and 24.2% in patients with 7-day window AKI. Kaplan–Meier curves showed that 90-day mortality was lower in the 7-day window AKI group than in the 48-hour window AKI group (log rank: P

Background and Aims: The aim of this study was to evaluate potential of prognostic cardiac biomarkers by predicting fatal events during perioperative period and the significance of their increased values in all patients and with coronary artery disease (CAD). Methods: The study included 87 patients who underwent major abdominal and vascular surgery. Blood samples were taken from all patients prior to surgery and levels of high-sensitive troponin T (hsTnT) and N-Terminal Pro B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) were measured. It was analyzed how their increased values (above the predefined cut-offs of > 14 ng/L and > 300 pg/mL respectively) was associated with perioperative mortality in both all subjects and in patients with CAD. Results: Median value of hsTnT in survival group was 11.29 ng/L (interquartile range - IQR, 6.03-18.57) vs. 26.62 ng/L (IQR, 21.48-76.31) in non-survival group, p = 0.045 and for NT-proBNP in survival group was 259.05 pg/mL (IQR, 93.03-447.45) vs. 759.2 pg/mL (IQR, 433-6095) in non-survival group, p = 0.017. The odds ratio of mortality was presented in the form of direct association for both measured biomarkers - not only in patients with CAD but also in all included patients. Conclusions: Preoperatively increased hsTnT and NT-proBNP indicate high mortality risk during perioperative period. Because of the association between increased cardiac biomarker and mortality events in patients with CAD, special attention is necessary in preparation for major surgery.

Abstract Background Despite advances in medical knowledge, technology and antimicrobial therapy, infective endocarditis (IE) is still associated with devastating outcomes. No reviews have yet assessed the outcomes of IE patients undergoing short- and long-term outcome evaluation, such as all-cause mortality and IE-related complications. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to examine the short- and long-term mortality, as well as IE-related complications in patients with definite IE. Methods A computerized systematic literature search was carried out in PubMed, Scopus and Google Scholar from 2000 to August, 2016. Included studies were published studies in English that assessed short-and long-term mortality for adult IE patients. Pooled estimations with 95% confidence interval (CI) were calculated with DerSimonian-Laird (DL) random-effects model. Sensitivity and subgroup analyses were also performed. Publication bias was evaluated using inspection of funnel plots and statistical tests. Results Twenty five observational studies (retrospective, 14; prospective, 11) including 22,382 patients were identified. The overall pooled mortality estimates for IE patients who underwent short- and long-term follow-up were 20% (95% CI: 18.0–23.0, P

Qinglin Li,1 Meng Zhao,2 Xiaodan Wang1 1Department of Geriatric Nephrology, 2Department of Clinical Data Repository, Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing, People’s Republic of China Objectives: Acute kidney injury (AKI) is a common complication in elderly patients and is associated with poor outcomes. However, the effect of transient and persistent geriatric AKI on short-term mortality is unclear. We aimed to study the incidence, clinical characteristics, and prognostic impact of transient and persistent AKI in such patients.Methods: We retrospectively enrolled very elderly patients (≥75 years) from the geriatric department of the Chinese PLA General Hospital between 2007 and 2015. AKI was defined according to the 2012 Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes criteria. AKI patients were divided into transient or persistent AKI groups based on their renal function at 3 days post-AKI. Renal function recovery was defined as a return to the baseline serum creatinine (SCr) levels.Results: In total, 668 geriatric patients (39.0%) experienced AKI, and 652 satisfied the inclusion criteria. Of these 652 patients, 270 (41.4%) had transient AKI, and 382 (58.6%) had persistent AKI. The 90-day mortality was 5.9% in patients with transient AKI and 53.1% in patients with persistent AKI. Multivariate analysis revealed that low hemoglobin levels (odds ratio [OR] =0.989; 95% CI: 0.980–0.999; P=0.025), low mean aortic pressure (OR =0.985; 95% CI: 0.971–1.000; P=0.043), peak SCr (OR =1.020; 95% CI: 1.015–1.026; P

Abstract Aims The American College of Cardiology (ACA)/ American Heart Association (AHA) granted Galectin-3 (Gal-3) and Suppression of Tumorigenicity 2 (ST2) evaluation a class II recommendation for HF prognosis, as an adjunctive to conventional clinical risk factors and natriuretic peptides dosing in 2013. However, in Europe this endorsement is not valid. The purpose of this study was to study the association of Gal-3 and ST2 collected at-admission with early (defined as the period of 90 days post-discharge) rehospitalization and overall mortality, and end of follow-up overall mortality in HF patients. Additionally, aminoterminal B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) at-admission was considered to test if a multi-marker strategy could yield supplementary information. Material and Methods Gal-3, ST2 and NT-proBNP were assessed in patients hospitalized with acute decompensated HF in class III or IV of New York Heart Association (NYHA). Univariate Cox proportional hazard model was used to assess the relationship between variables and outcomes. Since there are no standardized cut-offs for Gal-3 and ST2, the multiclass Area Under the Curve Receiver-Operator Characteristic (AUCROC) as defined by Hand and Till was used to evaluate the overall performance of each biomarker as a predictor of the outcomes. Results We followed 65 patients for a median of 13.7 (Q1-Q3 6.7-18.9) months. Gal-3 correlated with short-term rehospitalization (HR: 9.886, 95% CI: 2.027-48.214, P-value=0.005), short-term mortality (HR: 13.731, 95% CI: 1.650-114.276, P value=0.015) and end of follow-up mortality (HR: 4.492, 95% CI: 1.594-12.656, P-value=0.004). The association of elevated NT-proBNP determinations increased the risk of short-term rehospitalization (HR: 11.985, 95% CI: 1.962-73.218, P value=0.007) and end of follow-up mortality (HR: 78.025, 95% CI: 7.592-801.926, P-value

The short-term mortality in a prospective study of a cohort of 804 patients, aged 2 months to 94 years, with a first seizure was determined at the University Hospitals of Bordeaux and Montpellier, France.