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The connected and automated car-following model can provide a model reference for the queue control algorithm of connected and automated driving and has become a hot research topic in the field of connected vehicles and intelligent transportation. A queue of fast-moving vehicles on urban roads can cause traffic congestion when forced to slow down and, in serious cases, can cause rear-impact accidents. Therefore, this paper introduces information on the time delay of information reception and processing, a collision risk quantification factor reflecting the speed characteristics of the front vehicle, and the speed limit and proposes an improved intelligent driver collision quantification model that considers drastic changes in the speed of the front vehicle. Additionally, the model parameters are calibrated using real vehicle data from urban roads combined with an improved salp swarm algorithm. Finally, the evolution rule of disturbance in the traffic flow under different states is analyzed using a time-space diagram, and the DIDM-CSCL model is compared with the classical IDM. The results show that the improved IDM can better describe the following behavior at the microscopic level, which provides a basis for research related to connected and automated driving.

Abnormal driving behaviours, such as rapid acceleration, emergency braking, and rapid lane changing, bring great uncertainty to traffic, and can easily lead to traffic accidents. The accurate identification of abnormal driving behaviour helps to judge the driver's driving style, inform surrounding vehicles, and ensure the road traffic safety. Most of the existing studies use clustering and shallow learning, it is difficult to accurately identify the types of abnormal driving behaviours. Aimed at addressing the difficulty of identifying driving behaviour, this study proposed a recognition model based on a long short‐term memory network and convolutional neural network (LSTM‐CNN). The extreme acceleration and deceleration points are detected through the statistical analysis of real vehicle driving data, and the driving behaviour recognition data set is established. By using the data set to train the model, the LSTM‐CNN can achieve a better result.

A correct lane-changing plays a crucial role in traffic safety. Predicting the lane-changing behavior of a driver can improve the driving safety significantly. In this paper, a hybrid neural network prediction model based on recurrent neural network (RNN) and fully connected neural network (FC) is proposed to predict lane-changing behavior accurately and improve the prospective time of prediction. The dynamic time window is proposed to extract the lane-changing features which include driver physiological data, vehicle kinematics data, and driver kinematics data. The effectiveness of the proposed model is validated through the experiments in real traffic scenarios. Besides, the proposed model is compared with five prediction models, and the results show that the proposed prediction model can effectively predict the lane-changing behavior more accurate and earlier than the other models. The proposed model achieves the prediction accuracy of 93.5% and improves the prospective time of prediction by about 2.1 s on average.

The existing model of sudden acceleration changes, referred to as the traffic jerk effect, is mostly based on theoretical hypotheses, and previous research has mainly focused on traditional traffic flow. To this end, this paper investigates the change in the traffic jerk effect between inactive and active vehicle-to-vehicle (V2V) communications based on field experimental data. Data mining results show that the correlation between the jerk effect and the driving behavior increases by 50.6% on average when V2V messages are received. In light of the data analysis results, a new car-following model is proposed to explore the jerk effect in a connected environment. The model parameters are calibrated, and the results show that the standard deviation between the new model simulation data and the observed data decreases by 38.2% compared to that of the full velocity difference (FVD) model. Linear and nonlinear analyses of the calibrated model are then carried out to evaluate the connected traffic flow stability. Finally, the theoretical analysis is verified by simulation experiments. Both the theoretical and simulation results show that the headway amplitude and velocity fluctuations are reduced when considering the jerk effect in a connected environment, and the traffic flow stability is improved.