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Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) transmission models that include variability in sexual behavior over time have shown increased incidence, prevalence, and acute-state transmission rates for a given population risk profile. This raises the question of whether dynamic variation in individual sexual behavior is a real phenomenon that can be observed and measured. To study this dynamic variation, we developed a model incorporating heterogeneity in both between-person and within-person sexual contact patterns. Using novel methodology that we call iterated filtering for longitudinal data, we fitted this model by maximum likelihood to longitudinal survey data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's Collaborative HIV Seroincidence Study (1992-1995). We found evidence for individual heterogeneity in sexual behavior over time.We simulated an epidemic process and found that inclusion of empirically measured levels of dynamic variation in individual-level sexual behavior brought the theoretical predictions of HIV incidence into closer alignment with reality given the measured per-act probabilities of transmission. The methods developed here provide a framework for quantifying variation in sexual behaviors that helps in understanding the HIV epidemic among gay men. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Heterogeneity of contact patterns is recognized as an important feature for realistic modeling of many epidemics. During an outbreak, the frequency of contacts can vary a great deal from person to person and period to period. Contact heterogeneity has been shown to have a large impact on epidemic thresholds and the final size of epidemics. We develop and apply a model which incorporates an arbitrary distribution of contact rates. The model consists of a low-dimensional system of ordinary differential equations which incorporates arbitrary heterogeneity by making use of generating functions of the contact rate distribution. We show further how this model can be applied to the study of simple intervention strategies, such as quarantine of public venues with probability proportional to size. The dynamic model allows us to investigate the effects of gradually implementing such strategies in response to an ongoing epidemic, and we investigate these strategies using data on the contact patterns within a large US city. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The microstructure of liquid phase sintered SiC ceramics was characterised by means of high resolution transmission electron microscopy (HRTEM). The SiC ceramics were pressureless sintered with the additions of Al2O3 and Y2O3 at sintering temperatures of 1800 and 1950°C, respectively. At a sintering temperature of 1800°C the microstructure of the SiC ceramics has no crystallised secondary phase and the SiC grains are separated by an intergranular amorphous film. In contrast in the case of the microstructure of SiC ceramics sintered at 1950°C a clean interface without any amorphous layer between the SiC grains was observed. The secondary phase is crystallised into the Y3Al5O12 phase and exhibits a clean interface between the SiC grains. An explanation for the existence or the absence of the intergranular glass films are given by an extended Clarke's model of the force balance of attractive van der Waals forces and repulsive steric forces. The chemical decomposition of the intergranular glass film at elevated temperature was considered. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Abstract. Continuous ultrathin ZnO films with a surface roughness less then 1 nm have been fabricated by means of an organic precursor consisting of a Zn-arachidate Langmuir-Blodgett film. The organic component was eliminated by means of UV irradiation of the precursor and subsequent heating. The remaining ZnO films are polycrystalline and highly transparent in the visible range. They exhibit a high electrical resistivity. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]