1. Elastic Stress Coupling Between Supraglacial Lakes.
- Author
-
Stevens, Laura A., Das, Sarah B., Behn, Mark D., McGuire, Jeffrey J., Lai, Ching‐Yao, Joughin, Ian, Larochelle, Stacy, and Nettles, Meredith
- Subjects
MELTWATER ,SUBGLACIAL lakes ,GREENLAND ice ,GLOBAL Positioning System ,ICE on rivers, lakes, etc. ,LAKES ,WATERSHEDS - Abstract
Supraglacial lakes have been observed to drain within hours of each other, leading to the hypothesis that stress transmission following one drainage may be sufficient to induce hydro‐fracture‐driven drainages of other nearby lakes. However, available observations characterizing drainage‐induced stress perturbations have been insufficient to evaluate this hypothesis. Here, we use ice‐sheet surface‐displacement observations from a dense global positioning system array deployed in the Greenland Ice Sheet ablation zone to investigate elastic stress transmission between three neighboring supraglacial lake basins. We find that drainage of a central lake can place neighboring basins in either tensional or compressional stress relative to their hydro‐fracture scarp orientations, either promoting or inhibiting hydro‐fracture initiation beneath those lakes. For two lakes located within our array that drain close in time, we identify tensional surface stresses caused by ice‐sheet uplift due to basal‐cavity opening as the physical explanation for these lakes' temporally clustered hydro‐fracture‐driven drainages and frequent triggering behavior. However, lake‐drainage‐induced stresses in the up‐flowline direction remain low beyond the margins of the drained lakes. This short stress‐coupling length scale is consistent with idealized lake‐drainage scenarios for a range of lake volumes and ice‐sheet thicknesses. Thus, on elastic timescales, our observations and idealized‐model results support a stress‐transmission hypothesis for inducing hydro‐fracture‐driven drainage of lakes located within the region of basal cavity opening produced by the initial drainage, but refute this hypothesis for distal lakes. Plain Language Summary: Mass loss from the Greenland Ice Sheet is accelerating, partly due to increasing rates of ice flow to the ocean. Ongoing increases in ice‐sheet surface melting play a complex role in this process: meltwater flows down through conduits and fractures to the ice‐sheet bed, lubricates the ice‐bed interface, and modulates ice‐flow speeds on hourly to decadal timescales. Drainage of supraglacial lakes via hydro‐fracture—water‐driven fracture propagation—produces the highest rates of meltwater flux to the ice‐sheet bed. The geographical range of lakes on the ice sheet has expanded in recent decades, but not all supraglacial lakes drain by hydro‐fracture: whether a hydro‐fracture‐driven drainage occurs in any particular lake basin is controlled by the ice‐sheet stress state. Here, we investigate whether one lake drainage can generate stress changes in neighboring lake basins that trigger hydro‐fracture initiation. We find that the drainage of one lake does lead to tensional stresses that promote hydro‐fracture initiation in a neighboring lake basin, but also that this initial lake drainage leads to a more compressive stress state that inhibits hydro‐fracture initiation in a different neighboring lake basin. Key Points: Drainage of one lake can place neighboring basins in tensional or compressional stress, promoting or inhibiting hydro‐fracture initiationTensional surface stresses are predominantly caused by basal cavity opening, with smaller contributions from basal slipThe first‐order control on elastic stress‐coupling length scales is the region of the bed over which basal cavity opening occurs [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF