1. Estimating glacier dynamics and supraglacial lakes together with associated regional hazards using high-resolution datasets in Pamir.
- Author
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Safarov, Mustafo, Kang, Shichang, Fazylov, Ali, Gulayozov, Majid, Banerjee, Abhishek, Navruzshoev, Hofiz, Chen, Pengfei, Xue, Yuang, and Murodov, Murodkhudzha
- Abstract
Recent climate dynamics denote patterns and variations in climatic conditions and associated cryospheric changes in the Pamir region, affecting downstream ecosystems and communities. The present investigation describes changes in Baralmos glacier and supraglacial lakes, along with related hazards, using meteorological observations, reanalysis products, and high-resolution satellite imagery from 2002 to 2022. Moreover, observations using Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs) were conducted between 2020 and 2022 to document recent variations. Reanalysis data suggested that there are no obvious trends in annual air temperature and precipitation except for a significant temperature rise in July (the warmest month) of about 1.34°C/decade (p<0.05) and precipitation decrease in December (p<0.05). During the last two decades of investigation, lake areas expanded from 20500 to 62800 ± 21 m
2 , representing an approximately threefold increase, leading to increased mudflows in the Surkhob river and causing severe damage to property and infrastructures, most prominently during 2020 and 2022. The UAV data reveal an average decrease of −2.7 ± 0.5 m in surface elevation downstream of Baralmos glacier between 2020 and 2022. This study is vital for implementing more intensive measures of the glacial environment and defining suitable mitigation strategies in the Pamir region. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2024
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