19 results on '"Cinelli, Marco"'
Search Results
2. Mitigation of the Collision Risk of a Virtual Impactor Based on the 2011 AG5 Asteroid Using a Kinetic Impactor.
- Author
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Cinelli, Marco
- Subjects
ASTEROIDS ,METEOROIDS ,NEAR-Earth objects ,EARTH'S orbit ,CASCADE impactors (Meteorological instruments) ,ORBITS (Astronomy) - Abstract
In recent years, the escalating risk of natural disasters caused by Near-Earth Objects (NEOs) has garnered heightened scrutiny, particularly in the aftermath of the 2013 Chelyabinsk event. This has prompted increased interest from governmental and supranational entities, leading to the formulation of various measures and strategies aimed at mitigating the potential threat posed by NEOs. This paper delves into the analysis of the 2011 AG5 asteroid within the context of small celestial bodies (e.g., asteroids, comets, or meteoroids) exhibiting resonant orbits with Earth's heliocentric revolution. Initial observations in 2011 raised alarms regarding the asteroid's orbital parameters, indicating a significant risk of Earth impact during its resonant encounter in 2040. Subsequent observations, however, mitigated these concerns. Here, we manipulate the orbital elements of the 2011 AG5 asteroid to simulate its behavior as a virtual impactor (a virtual asteroid whose orbit could impact Earth). This modification facilitates the assessment of impact mitigation resulting from a deflection maneuver utilizing a kinetic impactor. The deflection maneuver, characterized as an impulsive change in the asteroid's momentum, is executed during a resonant encounter occurring approximately two decades before the potential impact date. The paper systematically evaluates the dependence of the deflection maneuver's efficacy on critical parameters, including the position along the orbit, epoch, and momentum enhancement factor. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
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3. A Framework to Navigate Eco-Labels in the Textile and Clothing Industry.
- Author
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Ziyeh, Paula and Cinelli, Marco
- Abstract
Considering the increasing demand for more sustainable products across many industries, eco-labels are a useful tool for communicating the sustainability-related performance of a product to the eco-conscious consumer. However, the abundance of different eco-labels and a lack of harmonization concerning their assessment methods can hamper their effectiveness. To address these shortcomings, this paper considers the methods employed by eco-labels in the textile and clothing industry to assess the sustainability-based performance of products. Using a sample of 10 eco-labels from the Ecolabel Index, a new framework for classifying eco-labels based on their assessment methods is developed. The framework includes two categories of label assignments ((i) binary and (ii) different levels of performance) and six types of assessment methods. These types are characterized according to the decision support features employed by the labels, such as lists of mandatory criteria, minimum (average) scores, percentage scores, and the weighting of sub-categories. The proposed framework shows the benefits of cascading decision science notions in the eco-labeling domain. It provides a harmonized vocabulary of components (i.e., a roadmap) to perform a consistent and traceable advancement of eco-labels. Consequently, it can be expanded at present to allow for the classification of other eco-labels in the textile and clothing industry and beyond. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2023
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4. Probe lifetime around natural satellites with obliquity.
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Cinelli, Marco, Lei, Hanlun, Ortore, Emiliano, and Circi, Christian
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- 2022
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5. A review on resilience assessment of energy systems.
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Gasser, Patrick, Lustenberger, Peter, Cinelli, Marco, Kim, Wansub, Spada, Matteo, Burgherr, Peter, Hirschberg, Stefan, Stojadinovic, Božidar, and Sun, Tian Yin
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TOTAL energy systems (On-site electric power production) ,RISK assessment ,ORGANIZATIONAL resilience ,POWER resource standards ,ENERGY industries - Abstract
Energy systems are regularly subject to major disruptions affecting economic activities, operation of infrastructure and the society as a whole. Resilience assessment comprises the pre-event oriented classical risk assessment as a central element, but it goes beyond that because it also includes and evaluates post-event strategies to improve the functioning of the system during its future operation. First, an overview of resilience definitions used across various scientific disciplines is presented, followed by an in-depth analysis of resilience assessment and quantification for energy systems. The relevant literature is classified by approach and according to four key functions of resilience: resist, restabilize, rebuild, and reconfigure. Findings show that irrespective of the research field, a resilient system always operates with an aim to minimize the potential consequences resulting from a disruptive event and to efficiently recover from a potential system performance loss. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2021
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6. Geometrical approach for an optimal inter-satellite visibility.
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Cinelli, Marco, Ortore, Emiliano, Laneve, Giovanni, and Circi, Christian
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- 2021
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7. A framework for designing medical devices resilient to low-resource settings.
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Piaggio, Davide, Castaldo, Rossana, Cinelli, Marco, Cinelli, Sara, Maccaro, Alessia, and Pecchia, Leandro
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MEDICAL equipment design ,DECISION making ,NONGOVERNMENTAL organizations ,RESILIENT design ,MEDICAL equipment - Abstract
Background: To date (April 2021), medical device (MD) design approaches have failed to consider the contexts where MDs can be operationalised. Although most of the global population lives and is treated in Low- and Middle-Income Countries (LMCIs), over 80% of the MD market share is in high-resource settings, which set de facto standards that cannot be taken for granted in lower resource settings. Using a MD designed for high-resource settings in LMICs may hinder its safe and efficient operationalisation. In the literature, many criteria for frameworks to support resilient MD design were presented. However, since the available criteria (as of 2021) are far from being consensual and comprehensive, the aim of this study is to raise awareness about such challenges and to scope experts' consensus regarding the essentiality of MD design criteria.Results: This paper presents a novel application of Delphi study and Multiple Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA) to develop a framework comprising 26 essential criteria, which were evaluated and chosen by international experts coming from different parts of the world. This framework was validated by analysing some MDs presented in the WHO Compendium of innovative health technologies for low-resource settings.Conclusions: This novel holistic framework takes into account some domains that are usually underestimated by MDs designers. For this reason, it can be used by experts designing MDs resilient to low-resource settings and it can also assist policymakers and non-governmental organisations in shaping the future of global healthcare. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2021
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8. MCDA Index Tool: an interactive software to develop indices and rankings.
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Cinelli, Marco, Spada, Matteo, Kim, Wansub, Zhang, Yiwen, and Burgherr, Peter
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SOFTWARE development tools ,DYNAMIC stability ,DECISION making ,ENERGY security ,TIME - Abstract
A web-based software, called MCDA Index Tool (https://www.mcdaindex.net/), is presented in this paper. It allows developing indices and ranking alternatives, based on multiple combinations of normalization methods and aggregation functions. Given the steadily increasing importance of accounting for multiple preferences of the decision-makers and assessing the robustness of the decision recommendations, this tool is a timely instrument that can be used primarily by non-multiple criteria decision analysis (MCDA) experts to dynamically shape and evaluate their indices. The MCDA Index Tool allows the user to (i) input a dataset directly from spreadsheets with alternatives and indicators performance, (ii) build multiple indices by choosing several normalization methods and aggregation functions, and (iii) visualize and compare the indices' scores and rankings to assess the robustness of the results. A novel perspective on uncertainty and sensitivity analysis of preference models offers operational solutions to assess the influence of different strategies to develop indices and visualize their results. A case study for the assessment of the energy security and sustainability implications of different global energy scenarios is used to illustrate the application of the MCDA Index Tool. Analysts have now access to an index development tool that supports constructive and dynamic evaluation of the stability of rankings driven by a single score while including multiple decision-makers' and stakeholders' preferences. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2021
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9. Sensitivity to weighting in life cycle impact assessment (LCIA).
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Prado, Valentina, Cinelli, Marco, Ter Haar, Sterre F., Ravikumar, Dwarakanath, Heijungs, Reinout, Guinée, Jeroen, and Seager, Thomas P.
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MAGNITUDE (Mathematics) - Abstract
Purpose: Weighting in life cycle assessment (LCA) incorporates stakeholder preferences in the decision-making process of comparative LCAs. Research efforts on this topic are concerned with deriving weights according to different principles, but few studies have evaluated the relationship between normalization and weights and their effect on single scores. We evaluate the sensitivity of aggregation methods to weights in different life cycle impact assessment (LCIA) methods to provide insight on the receptiveness of single score results to value systems. Methods: Sensitivity to weights in two LCIA methods is assessed by exploring weight spaces stochastically and evaluating the rank of alternatives via the Rank Acceptability Index (RAI). We assess two aggregation methods: a weighted sum based on externally normalized scores and a method of internal normalization based on outranking across CML-IA and ReCipE midpoint impact assessment. The RAI represents the likelihood that an alternative occupies a certain rank given all possible weight spaces, and it can be used to compare the sensitivity of final ranks to weight values in each aggregation method and LCIA. Evaluation is based on a case study of a comparative LCA of five PV technologies whose inventory is readily available in Ecoinvent. Results and discussion: Influence of weights in single scores depend on the scaling/normalization step more than the value of the weight itself. In each LCIA, aggregated results from a weighted sum with external normalization references show a higher weight insensitivity in RAI than outranking-based aggregation because in the former, results are driven by a few dominant impact categories due to the normalization procedure. Differences in sensitivity are caused by the notable variety (up two orders of magnitude) in the scales of normalized values for the weighted sum with external normalization and intrinsic properties of the methods including compensation and a lack of accounting for mutual differences. Conclusions: Contrary to the belief that the choice of weights is decisive in aggregation of LCIA results, in this case study, it is shown that the normalization step has the greatest influence in the results. This point holds for EU and World references in ReCiPe and CML-IA alike. Aggregation consisting of outranking generates rank orderings with a more balanced contribution of impact categories and sensitivity to weights' values as opposed to weighted sum approaches that rely on external normalization references. Recommendations: Practitioners aiming to include stakeholder values in single scores for LCIA should be aware of how the weights are treated in the aggregation method as to ensure proper representation of values. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2020
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10. Observing Mercury by a quasi-propellantless mission.
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Carbone, Andrea, Cinelli, Marco, Circi, Christian, and Ortore, Emiliano
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In this paper, the feasibility of exploiting the Sun's gravitational force to design the final phase (capture and orbit circularisation) to Mercury with a low propellant consumption has been investigated. The initial conditions, on the eccentricity and argument of pericentre, for the circularisation phase are obtained from a prime integral of motion, which takes place when the probe moves over a polar orbit. A numerical analysis has highlighted how these initial conditions allow, under the third-body effect, an optimal reduction of eccentricity (circularisation phase) with limited variations of the other orbit elements, without requiring orbital manoeuvres. Then, by introducing a small velocity variation, the phase of ballistic capture has been joined to the circularisation phase. The obtained results can encourage the exploitation of this phenomenon in future missions for the exploration of Mercury. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2020
- Full Text
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11. Towards a research agenda for the use of LCA in the impact assessment of policies.
- Author
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Reale, Francesca, Cinelli, Marco, and Sala, Serenella
- Subjects
PRODUCT life cycle assessment ,SOCIAL impact assessment ,BIOMASS energy ,CONFERENCES & conventions - Abstract
The article offers information on the workshop organized by Joint Research Centre of the European Commission on December 13-14, 2016 regarding the role of life cycle assessment (LCA) in the policy cycle with particular reference to the impact assessment (IA). Topics discussed include case study of LCA's use supporting bioenergy evaluation, European Environment Agency (EEA) has illustrated the need of integrating more LCA results and challenges in the application of LCA to policies.
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- 2017
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12. An analytical approach to retrieve the effects of a non-coplanar disturbing body.
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Ortore, Emiliano, Cinelli, Marco, and Circi, Christian
- Abstract
The determination of analytical expressions which, including the main perturbative effects, allow the retrieval of the orbit elements of a probe represents an important requirement in designing science trajectories. One of these perturbations is given by the third body attraction. The case in which the perturbing body moves on a plane coincident with the equatorial plane of the primary body has been investigated in previous studies and equations able to provide the temporal evolution of the orbit elements have been determined and applied to the main moons of the Solar System. In this paper an extension of this topic has been carried out and equations which allow the determination of the orbit evolution have been analytically retrieved in the general case in which one or more perturbing bodies describe elliptical and inclined orbits with respect to the equatorial plane of the primary. Then, introducing these equations into the periodicity condition for the probe ground track, and considering the $$J_{2}$$ and $$J_{4}$$ effects coming from the primary body, an equation able to provide repeating ground track orbits has been determined. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2016
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13. Polynomial equations for science orbits around Europa.
- Author
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Cinelli, Marco, Circi, Christian, and Ortore, Emiliano
- Abstract
In this paper, the design of science orbits for the observation of a celestial body has been carried out using polynomial equations. The effects related to the main zonal harmonics of the celestial body and the perturbation deriving from the presence of a third celestial body have been taken into account. The third body describes a circular and equatorial orbit with respect to the primary body and, for its disturbing potential, an expansion in Legendre polynomials up to the second order has been considered. These polynomial equations allow the determination of science orbits around Jupiter's satellite Europa, where the third body gravitational attraction represents one of the main forces influencing the motion of an orbiting probe. Thus, the retrieved relationships have been applied to this moon and periodic sun-synchronous and multi-sun-synchronous orbits have been determined. Finally, numerical simulations have been carried out to validate the analytical results. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2015
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14. A green chemistry-based classification model for the synthesis of silver nanoparticles.
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Cinelli, Marco, Coles, Stuart R., Nadagouda, Mallikarjuna N., Błaszczyński, Jerzy, Słowiński, Roman, Varma, Rajender S., and Kirwan, Kerry
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SUSTAINABLE chemistry ,SILVER nanoparticles ,NANOSTRUCTURED materials synthesis ,NANOSTRUCTURED materials ,MULTIPLE criteria decision making ,NANOTECHNOLOGY ,SUSTAINABLE development - Abstract
The assessment of the implementation of green chemistry principles in the syntheses of nanomaterials is a complex decision-making problem that necessitates the integration of several evaluation criteria. Multiple Criteria Decision Aiding (MCDA) provides support for such a challenge. One of its methods – Dominance-based Rough Set Approach (DRSA) – was used in this research to develop a model for the green chemistry-based classification of silver nanoparticle synthesis protocols into preference-ordered performance classes. DRSA allowed integration of knowledge from both peer-reviewed literature and experts (decision makers, DMs) in the field, resulting in a model composed of decision rules that are logical statements in the form: “if conditions, then decision”. The approach provides the basis for the design of rules for the greener synthesis of silver nanoparticles. Decision rules are supported by synthesis protocols that enforce the principles of green chemistry to various extents, resulting in robust recommendations for the development and assessment of silver nanoparticle synthesis that perform at one of five pre-determined levels. The DRSA-based approach is transparent and structured and can be easily updated. New perspectives and criteria could be added into the model if relevant data were available and domain-specific experts could collaborate through the MCDA procedure. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2015
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15. Multi-SunSynchronous Orbits in the Solar System.
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Ortore, Emiliano, Circi, Christian, Ulivieri, Carlo, and Cinelli, Marco
- Abstract
Performances of a planetary observation system are strongly related to the choice of the orbit used. Trajectories with characteristics of periodicity are very useful for the assessment of time-varying phenomena and thus Periodic SunSynchronous and Periodic Multi-SunSynchronous Orbits are particularly suitable to this end. In this paper, the research into these kinds of orbits, previously proposed for the Earth and Mars, has been extended to planets of the Solar System and to their principal moons. In general, these trajectories are typically obtained under the hypothesis that the J harmonic is predominant with respect to the other orbital perturbations, since this allows an analytical solution. However, the hypothesis of J predominant is not always verified in the Solar System and so analytical techniques must be replaced by numerical simulations. Interesting results have been obtained for the planets Mars and Jupiter and for the moons Europa, Callisto and Titan, where periodic trajectories with reduced revisit times and low altitudes have been found. These solutions allow the observation of time-varying phenomena with high spatial and temporal resolution. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2014
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16. Application of a quantitative weight of evidence approach for ranking and prioritising occupational exposure scenarios for titanium dioxide and carbon nanomaterials.
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Hristozov, Danail R., Gottardo, Stefania, Cinelli, Marco, Isigonis, Panagiotis, Zabeo, Alex, Critto, Andrea, Van Tongeren, Martie, Tran, Lang, and Marcomini, Antonio
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NANOSTRUCTURED materials ,RISK assessment ,TITANIUM dioxide ,MONTE Carlo method ,TITANIUM - Abstract
Substantial limitations and uncertainties hinder the exposure assessment of engineered nanomaterials (ENMs). The present deficit of reliable measurements and models will inevitably lead in the near term to qualitative and uncertain exposure estimations, which may fail to support adequate risk assessment and management. Therefore it is necessary to complement the current toolset with user-friendly methods for near-term nanosafety evaluation. This paper proposes an approach for relative exposure screening of ENMs. For the first time, an exposure model explicitly implements quantitative weight of evidence (WoE) methods and utilises expert judgement for filling data gaps in the available evidence-base. Application of the framework is illustrated for screening of exposure scenarios for nanoscale titanium dioxide, carbon nanotubes and fullerenes, but it is applicable to other nanomaterials as well. The results show that the WoE-based model overestimates exposure for scenarios where expert judgement was substantially used to fill data gaps, which suggests its conservative nature. In order to test how variations in input data influence the obtained results, probabilistic Monte Carlo sensitivity analysis was applied to demonstrate that the model performs in stable manner. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2014
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17. Workshop on life cycle sustainability assessment: the state of the art and research needs-November 26, 2012, Copenhagen, Denmark.
- Author
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Cinelli, Marco, Coles, Stuart, Jørgensen, Andreas, Zamagni, Alessandra, Fernando, Chalaka, and Kirwan, Kerry
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ENVIRONMENTAL toxicology ,ENVIRONMENTAL chemistry ,PRODUCT life cycle assessment ,SOCIAL responsibility of business ,BUSINESS conferences ,CONFERENCES & conventions ,SOCIETIES - Abstract
Information on the Society of Environmental Toxicology and Chemistry (SETAC) Europe's18th Life Cycle Assessment (LCA) Case Study Symposium which was held in Copenhagen, Denmark om November 26, 2012. Topics include LCA methods, technological sustainability, and research on corporate social responsibility. The conference featured several speakers including Lex Roes of the Utrecht University, Walter Klöpffer of LCA Consult & Review, and Alessandra Zamagni of ENEA.
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- 2013
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18. Quantifying Electricity Supply Resilience of Countries with Robust Efficiency Analysis.
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Gasser, Patrick, Cinelli, Marco, Labijak, Anna, Spada, Matteo, Burgherr, Peter, Kadziński, Miłosz, and Stojadinović, Božidar
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DATA envelopment analysis ,MONTE Carlo method ,LINEAR programming ,POWER resources ,COUNTRIES - Abstract
The interest in studying energy systems' resilience is increasing due to a rising awareness of the importance of having a secure energy supply. This growing trend is a result of a series of recent disruptions, among others also affecting electricity systems. Therefore, it is of crucial importance for policymakers to determine whether their country has a resilient electricity supply. Starting from a set of 12 indicators, this paper uses data envelopment analysis (DEA) to comprehensively evaluate the electricity supply resilience of 140 countries worldwide. Two DEA models are applied: (1) the original ratio-based Charnes, Cooper, and Rhodes (CCR) model and (2) a novel hybrid framework for robust efficiency analysis incorporating linear programming and Monte Carlo simulations. Results show that the CCR model deems 31 countries as efficient and hence lacks the capability to differentiate them. Furthermore, the CCR model considers only the best weight vectors for each country, which are not necessarily representative of the overall performance of the countries. The robustness analysis explores these limitations and identifies South Korea, Singapore and Canada as the most resilient countries. Finally, country analyses are conducted, where Singapore's and Japan's performances and improvement potentials are discussed. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2020
- Full Text
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19. Advancing Hazard Assessment of Energy Accidents in the Natural Gas Sector with Rough Set Theory and Decision Rules.
- Author
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Cinelli, Marco, Spada, Matteo, Kadziński, Miłosz, Miebs, Grzegorz, and Burgherr, Peter
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NATURAL gas ,GAS industry ,ROUGH sets ,DECISION theory ,RISK assessment ,INFORMATION resources - Abstract
The impacts of energy accidents are of primary interest for risk and resilience analysts, decision makers, and the general public. They can cause human health and environmental impacts, economic and societal losses, which justifies the interest in developing models to mitigate these adverse outcomes. We present a classification model for sorting energy accidents in the natural gas sector into hazard classes, according to their potential fatalities. The model is built on decision rules, which are knowledge blocks in the form of "if (condition), then (classification to hazard class x)". They were extracted by the rough sets method using natural gas accident data from 1970–2016 of the Energy-related Severe Accident Database (ENSAD) of the Paul Scherrer Institut (PSI), the most authoritative information source for accidents in the energy sector. This was the first attempt to explore the relationships between the descriptors of energy accidents and the consequence (fatalities). The model was applied to a set of hypothetical accidents to show how the decision-making process could be supported when there is an interest in knowing which class (i.e., low, medium, high) of fatalities an energy accident could cause. The successful use of this approach in the natural gas sector proves that it can be also adapted for other energy chains, such as oil and coal. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2019
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
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