112 results on '"ARDL Bounds Test"'
Search Results
2. Exploring the spatialisation of the performance of residential REITs investment and direct investment in the housing market.
- Author
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Bangura, Mustapha and Lee, Chyi Lin
- Subjects
REAL estate investment trusts ,INVESTMENT management ,HOUSING market ,PORTFOLIO management (Investments) - Abstract
Despite numerous studies about the housing sector, the connection between the performance of residential real estate investment trusts (REITs) investment and direct investment in the housing market is still under-researched. To help fill this gap, we used quarterly data of the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) residential REITs index and direct housing returns of Australia and its major cities, spanning March 1983 to June 2021, and adopted a suite of econometric methods to document the following findings. First, publicly listed housing (residential REITs) and private housing markets are not separated, but both are closely related in terms of their investment performance. Second, the performance of direct investment in the housing market of Adelaide, Brisbane, Melbourne and Sydney could lead to positive investment performances for residential REITs over time, while no comparable evidence is found for Canberra, Darwin, Hobart and Perth. Third, further analyses revealed a one-way direction of performance, flowing from the housing market of Brisbane, Melbourne and Sydney to residential REITs, while no similar evidence of performance flow was found for Adelaide. Our study has provided new evidence that could contribute to the discussion on the expansion of residential properties in the portfolio of institutional investors. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
3. Derivative Markets and Economic Growth: A South African Perspective.
- Author
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Stevens, Matthew and Vermeulen, Cobus
- Subjects
GRANGER causality test ,CAPITAL allocation ,ECONOMIC expansion ,ECONOMIC activity ,EMERGING markets ,FUTURES - Abstract
It is well established that financial development and innovation promote economic growth through improving the allocation of capital, enhancing risk management, contributing to price discovery, and increasing market efficiencies. While a vast empirical literature is devoted to the nexus between financial development and economic growth, however, substantially less research has been done on the relationship between derivatives and growth, especially in the emerging-market context. Derivatives can be viewed as a specific category of financial innovation, which may advance economic growth through its specialised functions of risk management and price discovery. This paper contributes to bridging this gap in the literature by exploring the impact of exchange-traded futures derivatives on South African economic growth, output, and economic growth volatility. It employs ARDL bounds tests, Granger causality tests and GARCH volatility modeling to analyse the effects of exchange-traded futures derivatives on various measures of South African economic activity. The main result is that exchange-traded futures derivatives contribute positively to South African economic growth and economic activity. This may suggest that opportunities might exist in other emerging economies, with financial structures comparable to that of South Africa, to encourage the development of organised and well-regulated derivatives markets to unlock economic growth in these economies. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
4. Navigating the Classical Relationship Between Foreign Direct Investment and Economic Growth: A Case of Saudi Arabia.
- Author
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Kayani, Farrukh Nawaz and Alzaid, Osamah
- Subjects
FOREIGN investments ,TRANSITION economies ,PUBLIC contracts ,ECONOMIC expansion ,ECONOMIC impact ,VECTOR error-correction models - Abstract
Inward Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) and economic growth possess a very central and pivotal importance in the economic development of any country. Keeping this in view, Saudi Arabia is also trying to attract more FDI like other transition economies. By the end of 2023, over 200 international firms have shifted their headquarters to Riyadh as the Kingdom had announced previously that foreign firms with their Middle Eastern bases outside of Saudi Arabia would not be able to bid for Saudi Government contracts. This smart move surely would help the Saudi economy to attract more FDI as compared to the other gulf neighboring countries. In this article, we have examined the impact of FDI on the economic growth of thriving Saudi Arabia. We took the annual time series data for the dependent variable and the explanatory variables for the period ranging from 1991 to 2022. To explore the long-run relationship among the variables we used Auto regressive distributed lags (ARDL) Bounds test. The empirical findings revealed the existence of a long-run relationship among the variables of the model, but we found an insignificant impact of FDI on economic growth. These insights offer valuable implications for policymakers aiming to optimize the economic impact of FDI in Saudi Arabia. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
5. RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL EXPORTS AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN TÜRKIYE: COINTEGRATION AND CAUSALITY ANALYSIS.
- Author
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ERGÜL, Murat and KARATAŞ, Ali Rauf
- Subjects
FARM produce exports & imports ,ECONOMIC impact ,AGRICULTURAL productivity ,INCOME distribution ,CAPITAL stock - Abstract
Copyright of Journal of Administrative Sciences / Yonetim Bilimleri Dergisi is the property of Canakkale Onsekiz Mart Universitesi, Terzioglu Kampusu and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
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6. The Effect of Exchange Rate and Interest Rates on BIST Service Index: Evidence From ARDL Bounds Test.
- Author
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Çelik, Serkan and Sizer, Lütfü
- Abstract
Copyright of International Journal of Economic & Social Research is the property of Abant Izzet Baysal University, Faculty of Economics & Administrative Sciences and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
- Published
- 2024
7. Assessing the Effects of Exchange Rate Volatility on Zambia's Economic Growth: Evidence from ARDL and NARDL Models.
- Author
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Mwiya, Tabo, Simaundu, Briven Muchanga, Nyau, Maria, and Phiri, Joseph
- Subjects
FOREIGN exchange reserves ,PRICE inflation ,HEDGING (Finance) ,GROSS domestic product ,ECONOMIC impact - Abstract
This study investigated the interplay between exchange rate volatility, inflation rates, and real interest rates on Zambia's economic growth from 1992 to 2022, utilizing annualized time series data. The study was necessitated by the limited published literature and relatively varying findings on the variables' relationships in resource-dependent countries, such as Zambia. Diagnostic tests, including stationarity and co-integration analyses, were employed to determine integration orders and potential long-run relationships. The linear and nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag models were employed to assess short- and long-run dynamics of the variables on economic growth. The results established a positive short-run relationship between inflation rates and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth in the linear autoregressive distributive lag model, while an inverse relationship was observed in the nonlinear autoregressive distributive lag model, suggesting that negative shocks in inflation rates had a highly significant positive impact on economic growth. Furthermore, interest rates exhibited a positive relationship with economic growth, further suggesting that positive shocks had a greater significant direct effect on economic growth in comparison to negative shocks in the short and long run, respectively. Finally, exchange rates in both models exhibited an inverse relationship with economic growth irrespective of positive or negative shocks in the long run, highlighting the adverse effect of exchange rate volatility on economic growth prospects in developing countries, such as Zambia. The speed of adjustment to convergence following any disruptions was determined to be 75.18% (ARDL) and 89.19% (NARDL), highlighting relatively fast speeds of adjustments from any short-run disruptions. Notably, some of the policy recommendations included regular assessments of exchange rate volatility influences on import prices, domestic inflation, and production costs in key sectors. Additionally, the implementation of currency hedging options and forwards as well as bulking of foreign exchange reserves will ensure the stability of exchange rates against other major currencies in various economic conditions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
8. Determinants of foreign direct investment in Malaysia.
- Author
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Shu Qing Chew
- Subjects
FOREIGN investments ,CORRUPTION ,PRICE inflation ,ECONOMIC development - Abstract
By using annual time series data spanning 1995 to 2021, this study examines the key factors that influence foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows to Malaysia. This study employed the conventional determinants of FDI and incorporated an under-studied corruption variable to capture the political impact on FDI inflows to Malaysia. The ARDL bounds test results identified short- and long-run positive relationships between FDI inflows and two tested variables: market size and education. A positive long-run relationship was also found between inflation rates and FDI inflows. By contrast, infrastructure facilities were found to be negatively related to FDI inflows in the long run. More importantly, the results ascertained that higher corruption levels hamper FDI inflows to Malaysia in the long term. Moreover, the Granger causality test revealed that market size, inflation rate, and infrastructure facilities are critical causal factors that explain the fluctuations in FDI inflows to Malaysia. In light of the results obtained, some policy recommendations are highlighted to help enhance the attractiveness of FDI, thereby stimulating economic growth in Malaysia. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
9. Finansal Gelişmişlik ve Gelir Eşitsizliği Arasındaki Parabolik İlişki Üzerine U Testi İncelemesi: Türkiye Örneği.
- Author
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İçen, Nimet Melis Esenyel
- Abstract
Copyright of Journal of Economic Policy Researches / İktisat Politikası Araştırmaları Dergisi is the property of Journal of Economic Policy Researches / Iktisat Politikasi Arastirmalari Dergisi and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
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10. COVID-19 pandemic, oil prices and Saudi stock market: empirical evidence from ARDL modeling and Bayer–Hanck cointegration approach.
- Author
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Boukhatem, Jamel and Alhazmi, Ali M.
- Subjects
VOLATILITY (Securities) ,COVID-19 pandemic ,FISCAL policy ,PETROLEUM sales & prices ,FINANCIAL crises ,RATE of return on stocks ,COINTEGRATION ,FINANCIAL markets ,MONEY supply - Abstract
In 2020, the world experienced several significant events, including the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic and the collapse of international crude oil prices. The rapid spread of this pandemic has dramatic impacts on financial markets all over the world, thereby increasing market risk aversion in an unprecedented way since the subprime financial crisis. The decline in stock markets implied volatilities of equity and oil prices, thereby heightening turmoil in global financial markets despite comprehensive and substantial financial reforms. To this end, we investigated the likely effects of this pandemic on the Saudi stock market while controlling for oil prices based on daily data for a period from 1/1/2020 to 19/9/2022. To ascertain the existence of a long-run equilibrium relationship between the variables, we applied autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) modeling and the error correction model, with this ultimately revealing the existence of strong cointegration in the long run. The ARDL bounds test was found to be robust by combined cointegration tests, thus providing further evidence of a strong relationship in the long run. Granger causality tests also yielded evidence of causality between the variables in both directions. The total COVID-19 confirmed cases and oil prices also caused movements in stock returns in the short run. Our findings have some prominent implications for asset managers and policymakers to improve stock market efficiency and boost global economic activity. Saudi authorities can consequently remove the regulatory and legal obstacles to develop their stock market and better improve the risk management, which will allow to make quick decisions in response to any oil price volatilities. Policymakers should also adopt proactive strategies that can comfort stock investors' anxieties over the increasing oil price volatilities. Finally, the findings should be treated with some cautions because of the limited sample size and the tests' statistical inference. Nevertheless, they do open opportunities for further studies to look in more detail at how the COVID-19 pandemic affected, over the short and long run, monetary and fiscal policy coordination, financial stability, and various other macroeconomic indicators in Saudi Arabia. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
11. Küresel Makro Ekonomik Değişkenlerin Deniz Yolu Taşımacılığı ile Gerçekleşen Dış Ticaret Üzerindeki Etkileri: Türkiye Örneği.
- Author
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Yurdakul, Elif Meryem
- Abstract
Copyright of Turkish Studies - Economics, Finance, Politics is the property of Electronic Turkish Studies and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
- Published
- 2024
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12. Do Changes in Demographic Factors Affect Public Health Expenditures? The Case of Turkiye.
- Author
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SARI, Sacit
- Subjects
PUBLIC health ,ECONOMIC activity ,GROSS domestic product ,URBANIZATION ,MEDICAL technology - Abstract
Copyright of Bingol University Journal of Economics & Administrative Science is the property of Bingol University Journal of Economics & Administrative Science and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
- Published
- 2024
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13. The impact of negative gearing on the investment decisions of housing investors: the case of Greater Sydney.
- Author
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Bangura, Mustapha and Lee, Chyi Lin
- Subjects
INVESTORS ,HOUSING ,HOUSING policy ,MORTGAGE loans ,CAPITAL gains - Abstract
To date, no empirical study has examined the impact of negative gearing and other factors on residential investors' decisions using quantitative analysis. We applied a structural vector autoregression framework to trace the response of residential investors in Greater Sydney to shocks in its key drivers over the period 1991–2018. We discovered a residential investors' profile in which negative gearing is being used to cushion any net rental loss during periods of low yield while expecting capital growth over their holding period. This supports the hypotheses of the study which posit that capital gains and negative gearing have a positive and negative relationship, respectively, with the number of residential investors. Additionally, a negative relationship between mortgage lending rate and number of investors is found, indicating a rising lending rate will increase expenses and contribute to low yield. We also found population growth and increased housing supply could increase the number of residential investors. These results could be used by tax and housing policy makers to recalibrate tax laws relating to negative gearing, especially for residential investment. Residential investors could potentially use this information for more informed decision making, particularly during periods of low yields. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
14. FOREIGN AID AND ECONOMIC GROWTH: AN ECONOMETRIC STUDY OF AFGHANISTAN.
- Author
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Fazlly, Sayed Kifayatullah
- Subjects
ECONOMIC development ,FINANCIAL performance ,ECONOMIC activity ,INTERNATIONAL economic assistance - Abstract
Purpose This study aims to investigate the impact of foreign aid on economic growth in Afghanistan. Design/methodology/approach The study employs various econometric techniques, including time series analysis. Data for the study are sourced from the country economy and world development indicators of the World Bank, covering the period from 1980 to 2021. The analysis includes Augmented Dicky Fuller and Phillips Perron unit root tests, the ARDL model, the Breusch-Godfrey Serial Correlation LM Test, and the ARDL bounds test. Findings The economic growth series is found to be level stationary, while the net official development assistance series is first difference stationary. Net official development assistance exhibits a significant positive short-run relationship with economic growth. No serial correlation is observed between net official development assistance and economic growth. Net official development assistance demonstrates a significant positive long-run relationship with economic growth. Research limitations/implications The study is based on data up to 2021, which may not capture recent developments or changes in the relationship between foreign aid and economic growth. The analysis relies on the accuracy and reliability of the data provided by the World Bank and other sources. Originality/value This study contributes empirical evidence on foreign aid's impact on economic growth in Afghanistan, using a range of econometric techniques. The findings highlight the importance of donor-friendly policies to increase development assistance to Afghanistan. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
15. The Nexus between Insurance and Economic Growth of Tanzania: Autoregressive Distributed Lag Bounds Cointegration Approach.
- Author
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Laurent, Doreen and Kivyiro, Pendo T.
- Subjects
INSURANCE companies ,LIFE insurance ,ECONOMIC expansion ,BUSINESS insurance ,TIME series analysis - Abstract
The main objective of this study was to examine the relationship between insurance (proxied by insurance penetration) and economic growth in Tanzania. The study employed the annual time series data covering the period from 1995 to 2021 based on 33 registered insurance companies. The autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) bounds approach to cointegration was employed to test the nexus between insurance and economic growth among the variables of interest based on the conventional error correction model. Granger causality was also employed to test the direction of causality among the variables under study. However, neither demand-following nor supply-leading hypothesis was found to be valid. The evidence of insignificant relationship between insurance and economic growth in Tanzania indicates a low insurance activities and economic development in Tanzania. The possible reason for this explanation perhaps could be that the insurance sector is not fully capture untapped potentials in the market. Thus, the study recommends the fully embracing of insurance activities in order to promote economic growth. Life insurance penetration indicated to be significant in the short-run. the results imply that savings mobilization, which is the main function of life insurance, is significant aspect in insurance development in Tanzania. Hence, as a country, efforts should be made to encourage investment in life insurance. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
16. TÜRKİYE'DE YENİLENEBİLİR ENERJİ TÜKETİMİ, EKONOMİK BÜYÜME VE CO2 EMİSYONU ARASINDAKİ İLİŞKİNİN ANALİZİ: ARDL SINIR TESTİ YAKLAŞIMI.
- Author
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KAVAZ, İsmail and KAYA, Burak
- Abstract
Copyright of Journal of Business Economics & Management Research is the property of Bayburt University and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
- Published
- 2024
17. GIDA ENFLASYONUNUN BELİRLEYİCİLERİ ÜZERİNE BİR ANALİZ: TÜRKİYE ÖRNEĞİ.
- Author
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ÖZÇELİK, Özer and USLU, Nuri
- Subjects
PRICE inflation - Abstract
Copyright of Dumlupinar University Journal of Social Science / Dumlupinar Üniversitesi Soysyal Bilimler Dergisi is the property of Dumlupinar University (Journal of Social Sciences) and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
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18. Does Uncertainty in Climate Policy Affect Economic growth? Empirical Evidence from the U.S.
- Author
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Çelik, Burcu Savaş and Doğan, Başak Özarslan
- Subjects
FOREIGN investments ,ECONOMIC uncertainty ,GOVERNMENT policy on climate change ,ECONOMIC policy ,ECONOMIC expansion - Abstract
This study aims to empirically investigate the short- and long-term effects of climate policy uncertainty on economic growth in the U.S. for the years 1990-2020. In the study, total workforce, foreign direct investments, and financial development variables were also selected as control variables, and the effects of these variables on economic growth were examined. The study used the ARDL bounds test approach to investigate the cointegration between the variables. The findings confirm the existence of a positive and statistically significant relationship between climate policy uncertainty and economic growth in the sample period in the U.S. In addition, the effects of total labor force, foreign direct investments, and financial development on economic growth were found to be positive and statistically significant in the study. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
19. Türkiye'de Ekonomik Büyüme ile Doğrudan-Dolaylı Vergiler Arasındaki İlişki: Cumhuriyetten Günümüze.
- Author
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DURUCAN, Üyesi Ayşegül
- Abstract
Copyright of Afyon Kocatepe University Journal of Social Sciences / Afyon Kocatepe Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi is the property of Afyon Kocatepe University (AKU) Sosyal Bilimler Enstitusu and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
- Published
- 2023
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20. Fiscal Sustainability and Its Implications for Economic Growth in Egypt: An Empirical Analysis.
- Author
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Alshaib, Bayan Mohamad, Al khatib, Abdullah Mohammad Ghazi, Nuta, Alina Cristina, Hamra, Mohamad, Mishra, Pradeep, Gautam, Rajani, Hussain, Sarfraz, and Zamfir, Cristina Gabriela
- Subjects
SUSTAINABILITY ,ECONOMIC development ,PUBLIC spending ,GOVERNMENT revenue ,EXTERNAL debts - Abstract
This study examines the association between fiscal sustainability indicators and Egypt's economic growth from 1980 to 2018. Fiscal sustainability refers to a government's ability to generate sufficient revenue to cover its costs and debt obligations in the long run without excessive borrowing or money creation. Egypt's economic growth has slowed, raising questions about fiscal sustainability. This study aimed to analyze the dynamic relationship between fiscal sustainability indicators (government revenue, expenditure, external debt) and economic growth in Egypt. The autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) bounds testing approach and unrestricted error correction model were applied to annual data from 1980 to 2018. A dynamic link was found between fiscal sustainability indicators and economic growth. Government expenditure and external debt significantly impacted economic expansion in the long term, while government revenue did not. Fiscal sustainability, measured by growth in total government expenses, external debt obligations, and revenue, significantly influences Egypt's economic growth. Prudent fiscal management is crucial for sustained economic development. Policymakers should focus on controlling government spending, limiting external debt, and improving revenue generation to promote long-term economic growth in Egypt. Fiscal sustainability must balance critical investments in public services. Carefully managing fiscal deficits is key to unleashing Egypt's economic potential. This study provides valuable insights into the connection between fiscal policy and economic growth in Egypt, informing policymakers' decisions. Plain Language Summary: Economic development potential in Egypt The research examines the relationship between long-term fiscal policy and economic growth. We used data from 1980 until 2018 to determine Egypt's capacity to cover its spending. The slowdown of economic development is a major reason for this research. The development trend of a country is an important signal of its further potential of being sustainable. Added value is crucial for ensuring equitable behavior across generations. Multiplying debts instead will diminish the capacity of the next generation to benefit from the same conditions as the generation before. Policymakers should decide on the implementation of strategic goals for this to happen. Our results highlight a dynamic link between fiscal sustainability indicators and economic growth. In the long term, government expenditure and external debt significantly impact economic expansion. Government revenue has a different impact. Prudent fiscal management is crucial for sustained development. Policymakers should focus on controlling government spending, limiting external debt, and improving revenue generation to promote long-term economic growth in Egypt. Additionally, fiscal sustainability must balance critical investments in public services. Carefully managing fiscal deficits is key to unleashing Egypt's economic potential. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2023
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
21. How do logistics and financial ındicators contribute to carbon emissions in Turkiye?
- Author
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Bayat, Tuğrul, İlarslan, Kenan, and Shahbaz, Muhammad
- Subjects
ECONOMIC indicators ,CARBON emissions ,FREIGHT & freightage ,RAILROAD freight service ,GREENHOUSE gases ,ENERGY consumption - Abstract
Increasing carbon emissions (CO
2 ) due to factors such as energy consumption (enco), industrialization, increase in world population, and decrease in green areas with the industrial revolution is one of the main causes of both climate change and global warming. In this context, due to the increasing commercial activities in Turkiye, the rapid growth of energy consumption and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions in the logistics sector alert the government. However, there is a lack of standard measures for evaluating GHG emissions generated from freight transport operations. To improve this situation, Turkiye's policymakers need to evaluate GHG emissions for energy saving and pollution reduction. This background leads us to examine the GHG emission trajectories and features of Turkiye's freight transport patterns in the last three decades. In this context, it is aimed to determine the impacts of financial development (findev), GDP per capita, energy consumption, and amount of freight carried by rail and road on CO2 emissions within the framework of 1990–2021 time-series data for Turkiye. By doing so, the ARDL bound testing cointegration test is employed and observes that independent variables have similar and different effects on CO2 emissions. Energy consumption, findev, and per capita income variables have a positive effect on CO2 emissions in Turkiye. According to these results, it is seen that the environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) is valid in Turkiye. However, the effect of rail and road freight transport (FT) on CO2 emissions is negative. The unexpected finding is related to road FT. The amount of freight transported by road has a decreasing effect on CO2 emissions in Turkiye. This paradoxical situation in Turkiye may be due to the developments in the transportation infrastructure, which has enabled the convergence of space and time in recent years, young and modern vehicle fleets, and the efficiency provided through logistics companies. The findings will assist in formulating specific and effective policies for Turkiye's transport sector. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2023
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
22. Transport infrastructure and manufacturing sector: an energy perspective from India.
- Author
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Shameem P., Mohammed, Chittedi, Krishna Reddy, and Villanthenkodath, Muhammed Ashiq
- Abstract
Purpose: The purpose of this study is to dissect the transport infrastructure performance, public spending in transport infrastructure development and the manufacturing sector in determining the transport sector energy consumption. Design/methodology/approach: An analysis of transport energy consumption with the transport infrastructure performance, public spending in transport infrastructure and manufacturing sector output in India using annual data for the period 1987–2019. The study used the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) bounds test approach along with FMOLS, DOLS and canonical cointegration regression (CCR) methods. Findings: The results of the ARDL bounds test provide evidence for the long- and short-run relationships among study variables. It evidenced that transport infrastructure performance reduces transport energy consumption by using FMOLS, DOLS and CCR methods. Furthermore, the inference of the positive impact of value added in the manufacturing sector on transport energy consumption validates the higher energy demand of the manufacturing sector from a mobility perspective. Practical implications: The estimated finding of this study is expected to be contributing to policy-making discussions on transport infrastructure and manufacturing sector development in an emerging economy like India with insights on energy consumption. Originality/value: To the best of the authors' knowledge, this is the first study that integrates the impact of manufacturing sector output on transport sector energy consumption along with transport infrastructure performance and public investment in the transport infrastructure. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2023
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
23. TÜRKİYE'DE YENİLENEBİLİR ENERJİ TÜKETİMİ, EKONOMİK BÜYÜME VE CO2 EMİSYONU ARASINDAKİ İLİŞKİNİN ANALİZİ: ARDL SINIR TESTİ YAKLAŞIMI.
- Author
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KAVAZ, İsmail and KAYA, Burak
- Abstract
Copyright of Journal of Business Economics & Management Research is the property of Bayburt University and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
- Published
- 2023
- Full Text
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24. The Effect of Policy Rate and Inflation Rate on the Credit Volume: 2003-2023 The Case Of Turkiye.
- Author
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Varsak, Serkan
- Subjects
PRICE inflation ,BANK deposits ,INTEREST rates ,DEPOSIT banking ,GRANGER causality test - Abstract
Copyright of Journal of Emerging Economies & Policy is the property of JOEEP: Journal of Emerging Economies & Policy and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
- Published
- 2023
25. Income inequality and economic growth: An empirical investigation in South Africa.
- Author
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Mdingi, Kholeka and Ho, Sin-Yu
- Subjects
INCOME inequality ,ECONOMIC expansion ,INCOME distribution ,NATIONAL income ,ECONOMIC impact ,HUMAN capital - Abstract
This study examines the relationship between income inequality and economic growth in South Africa for the period 1989 to 2018. The study is motivated by the high disparity in income inequality and stagnant economic growth that South Africa is experiencing. Using the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) bounds testing technique, we established a long-run relationship between economic growth and income inequality. The results revealed that income inequality has a negative impact on economic growth in the long run, and no effect in the short run. These results are robust with an estimation of the ARDL procedure that considers structural breaks. Therefore, policymakers should employ strategies that entail a double effect of growth in national income and consider the distribution of income in the long run. These policies include human capital accumulation, easily accessible education, and reduction in labour market dualism. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2023
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
26. The Impact of Fiscal Policies on Unemployment: An Empirical Evidence for Türkiye.
- Author
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SONGUR, Mehmet, GÖKPINAR, Seher, and SERTKAYA, Burak
- Subjects
FISCAL policy ,UNEMPLOYMENT ,PUBLIC spending ,INDIRECT taxation ,UNEMPLOYMENT statistics - Abstract
Copyright of Yüzüncü Yil Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Dergisi is the property of Van Yuzuncu Yil University and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
- Published
- 2023
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
27. The Impact of Globalization with its Different Aspects on Economic Growth: The Case of Turkey.
- Author
-
ÇEŞTEPE, Hamza, TATAR, Havanur ERGÜN, and ERDOĞAN, Serdar
- Subjects
GLOBALIZATION ,ECONOMIC development ,ECONOMETRICS ,METHODOLOGY - Abstract
As a multi-dimensional concept that affects many other factors, globalization has a profound impact on the economy as well. It is possible to argue that developing countries are more affected by globalization than others. In this study, the impact of globalization on the various aspects of economic growth is analyzed empirically for Turkey, a developing country. The ARDL Bounds Test was applied as an econometric methodology, using the dataset period between 1970-2018 for Turkey. This study used economic, social, political, and overall globalization indices to measure globalization. The results show that social, economic, and political globalization affect economic growth positively, whereas the overall globalization index affects it negatively in the long run. The ARDL Bounds Test results show that the utilized variables in the study are co-integrated in the long run. In fact, there is an economic relationship between the variables. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2023
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
28. Government Expenditure and Economic Growth Nexus in Tanzania.
- Author
-
Ndanshau, Michael O. A. and Mdadila, Kenneth
- Subjects
PUBLIC spending ,ECONOMIC development ,HUMAN capital ,MACROECONOMICS - Abstract
This paper empirically investigates how government consumption impacts upon economic growth in Tanzania for the period 1967 – 2020. Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) bounds cointegration test revealed economic growth and government expenditure were cointegrated, given the conditioning factors; and, revealed a small but statistically significant positive long run effect of government size on economic growth. The pairwise Granger causality test rejected the null hypothesis of no uni-directional or bi-directional causality between the government size and economic growth. The study also established the long run effect of inflation on economic growth was negative and statistically significant. The ECM results reveal the short run effect of government size on economic growth was negative and statistically insignificant; and, the effect of private investment on economic growth was positive and statistically insignificant. Besides, the short run effect of human capital on economic growth was negative and weakly significant. The results revealed a high speed of adjustment from disequilibrium to long run equilibrium. The findings support the conventional view: government consumption lacks significant positive effect on growth over the long run. This finding reveals the limit to the use of fiscal policy especially recourse to government expenditure to prime or stabilize the economy as maintained in Keynesian macroeconomic theory. The gestation period of government consumption is long. Furthermore, the finding underscore importance of price stability and, other things being constant, need for more proactive policies and strategies to avail business and macroeconomic environment that would increase private investment. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2023
29. Gelir Eşitsizliği ve İnsani Gelişme İlişkisi: Türkiye Örneği.
- Author
-
DURGUN, Burhan and DURGUN, Özlem
- Subjects
INCOME distribution ,HUMAN Development Index ,INCOME inequality ,TIME series analysis ,EDUCATIONAL finance ,EDUCATIONAL equalization - Abstract
Copyright of Kastamonu University Journal of Economics & Administrative Sciences Faculty / Kastamonu Üniversitesi Iktisadi ve Idari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi is the property of Kastamonu University and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
- Published
- 2023
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
30. Testing the environmental Kuznets curve hypothesis in terms of ecological footprint and CO2 emissions through energy diversification for Turkey.
- Author
-
Acaroğlu, Hakan, Kartal, Hatice Melissa, and García Márquez, Fausto Pedro
- Subjects
ECOLOGICAL impact ,KUZNETS curve ,RENEWABLE energy sources ,ENVIRONMENTAL degradation ,RENEWABLE energy transition (Government policy) ,ENERGY consumption ,ENVIRONMENTAL indicators ,GROSS domestic product - Abstract
This research work analyzes the relationship between environmental degradation, economic growth, trade openness, primary energy consumption, coal consumption, and hydroelectricity consumption in Turkey from 1971 to 2015 using the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) time series approach through the hypothesis of the environmental Kuznets curve (EKC). Carbon dioxide (CO
2 ) emissions and ecological footprint are both used as indicators of environmental degradation, which employs six different models. According to the results found in this study, while trade openness increases CO2 emissions, it decreases ecological footprint in the long-run. Coal consumption raises both CO2 emissions and ecological footprint. While hydroelectric energy reduces CO2 emissions, it has no effect on the environment. The results demonstrate that the EKC hypothesis is correct for both CO2 emissions and Turkey's ecological footprint. The threshold points are investigated as $18,704, $16,361, and $13,571 in models, where CO2 emissions are the dependent variable. In models where the ecological footprint is the dependent variable, the investigated threshold points of $11,824, $11,821, and $15,476 are higher than the gross domestic product (GDP) per capita during the analysis periods. Furthermore, the findings highlight the importance of renewable energy use in reducing environmental degradation and coal use in increasing environmental degradation. These findings can shed light on the importance of transition to renewable energy sources (i.e., hydroelectricity consumption), from fossil fuels (i.e., coal consumption), related to future planning in energy diversification for Turkey. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2023
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
31. Alternative Energy and CO 2 Emission in China: Evidence from Bounds Testing and Vector Error Correction Model Approach.
- Author
-
Tao, Hai, Mu, Hailin, Li, Nan, and Wang, Peng
- Subjects
ALTERNATIVE fuels ,CARBON emissions ,ENERGY consumption ,ENERGY development ,GRANGER causality test ,ELECTRIC power consumption - Abstract
This empirical study investigates the dynamic interconnection between fossil fuel consumption, alternative energy consumption, economic growth and carbon emissions in China over the 1981 to 2020 time period within a multivariate framework. The long-term relationships between the sequences are determined through the application of the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) bounds test and augmented by the Johansen maximum likelihood procedure. The causal relationships between the variables are tested with the Granger causality technique based on the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM). Empirical results reveal the existence of a statistically significant negative relationship between alternative energy consumption and carbon emissions in the long-term equilibrium. Furthermore, the VECM results demonstrate that both carbon emissions and fossil fuel consumption have unidirectional effects on economic growth. Additionally, the study highlights a short-term unidirectional causal relationship from economic growth to alternative energy consumption. These findings suggest that a reduction in fossil fuel consumption in the short run may indirectly impede the development of alternative energy. The study proposes that China should expedite the development of alternative energy and control the expansion of fossil fuel consumption to attain its carbon reduction target without hindering economic growth. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2023
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
32. Çevresel Kalitenin Belirleyicilerinin Ekonometrik Analizi.
- Author
-
Oğul, Bahar
- Subjects
ECOLOGICAL impact ,ENVIRONMENTAL degradation ,KUZNETS curve ,ECONOMIC expansion ,COINTEGRATION ,ECONOMIC globalization - Abstract
Copyright of Hacettepe University Journal of Economics & Administrative Sciences / Hacettepe Üniversitesi Iktisadi ve Idari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi is the property of Hacettepe University, Faculty of Economic & Administrative Sciences and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
- Published
- 2023
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
33. Türkiye Ekonomisinde Verimlilik ve Ekonomik Büyüme Arasındaki İlişkinin ARDL Sınır Testi Yaklaşımıyla İncelenmesi.
- Author
-
HARK, Remzi and GÖKDEMİR, Levent
- Abstract
Copyright of Verimlilik Dergisi is the property of Verimlilik Dergisi and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
- Published
- 2023
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
34. İLERİ TEKNOLOJİ İHRACATI VE EKONOMİK BÜYÜME ARASINDAKİ İLİŞKİ: TÜRKİYE ÜZERİNE BİR UYGULAMA.
- Author
-
AVCI, Şüheda and IŞIK, Nihat
- Abstract
Copyright of Kırıkkale University Journal of Social Sciences is the property of Kirikkale University Journal of Social Science (KUJSS) and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
- Published
- 2023
35. TÜRKİYE’DE ÇEVRESEL TEKNOLOJİK İNOVASYONLAR EKOLOJİK AYAK İZİNİ AZALTIYOR MU? ARDL SINIR TESTİ ANALİZİ.
- Author
-
OĞUL, Bahar
- Abstract
Copyright of Inönü University International Journal of Social Sciences / İnönü Üniversitesi Uluslararası Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi (INIJOSS) is the property of Inonu University International Journal of Social Sciences and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
- Published
- 2022
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
36. TÜRKİYE EKONOMİSİNDE MALİ SİSTEMİN SÜRDÜRÜLEBİLİRLİĞİNİN ZAMAN SERİSİ YÖNTEMLERİYLE EKONOMETRİK ANALİZİ.
- Author
-
OĞUL, Bahar
- Abstract
Copyright of Adıyaman Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitisü Dergisi is the property of Adiyaman University, Sosyal Bilimler Enstitusu and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
- Published
- 2022
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
37. Türkiye'de Demokrasinin Ekolojik Ayak İzi Üzerindeki Etkisi: ARDL Sınır Testi.
- Author
-
ÇETİN, Murat, KAPÇAK, Servet, and CAN, Aycan
- Subjects
ECOLOGICAL impact ,ENVIRONMENTAL quality ,URBANIZATION ,ECOLOGICAL models ,ECONOMIC impact ,POLLUTION ,ECOLOGICAL modernization - Abstract
Copyright of Balkan & Near Eastern Journal of Social Sciences (BNEJSS) is the property of Balkan & Near Eastern Journal of Social Sciences (BNEJSS) and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
- Published
- 2022
38. THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN AGRICULTURAL RAW MATERIALS AND OIL PRICE: AN EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS.
- Author
-
Govdeli, Tuncer
- Subjects
RAW materials ,PETROLEUM sales & prices ,ELASTICITY (Economics) ,FOREIGN exchange rates ,AGRICULTURAL prices - Abstract
The motivation of this study is to investigate the relationship between the price of agricultural raw materials and the real exchange rate of the USA and the price of crude oil. For this purpose, annual data from 1990 to 2020 were used. In the study, the cointegration relationship and the elasticity coefficients of the variables were estimated with the help of ARDL bounds test. In addition, the causality relationship was determined with the help of the Granger test. According to the results obtained, it was concluded that there is a cointegration relationship in the models established for agricultural raw materials. In addition, the elasticity coefficient of oil price was found to be positive. According to the Granger causality analysis results, a oneway causality relationship from oil price to agricultural raw materials was determined. We present some policy implications based on our findings in this study. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2022
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
39. The Long-Run Growth Effects of Foreign Capital Investments in Turkey: An Empirical Analysis Based on Endogenous Growth Theory.
- Author
-
Demir, Ömer
- Abstract
Copyright of Journal of Applied & Theoretical Social Sciences is the property of Journal of Applied & Theoretical Social Sciences and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
- Published
- 2022
40. Türkiye Ekonomisi Bağlamında Fisher Etkisinin Birim Kök Testleri ve ARDL Sınır Testiyle Sınanması.
- Author
-
Sarı, Sacit and Arslan, Erdal
- Abstract
Copyright of Journal of Emerging Economies & Policy is the property of JOEEP: Journal of Emerging Economies & Policy and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
- Published
- 2022
41. Türkiye’de Bilgi ve İletişim Teknolojilerinin İşgücü Verimliliği ve İstihdam Üzerindeki Etkileri: ARDL Sınır Testi Yaklaşımı.
- Author
-
ÜNLÜ, Fatma
- Abstract
Copyright of Istanbul Journal of Economics / İstanbul Iktisat Dergisi is the property of Istanbul Journal of Economics / Istanbul Iktisat Dergisi and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
- Published
- 2022
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
42. The Relationship Between Investment Expenditures, Trade Openness and Credit Risk Premium: Turkey Practice.
- Author
-
Kartal, Cem and Bektaş, Ezgi
- Subjects
INVESTMENT management ,CREDIT risk management ,MACROECONOMICS ,BUSINESS cycles - Abstract
Copyright of Turkish Studies - Economics, Finance, Politics is the property of Electronic Turkish Studies and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
- Published
- 2022
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
43. On the relationships between CO2 emissions and their determinants in Romania and Bulgaria. An ARDL approach.
- Author
-
Hatmanu, Mariana, Cautisanu, Cristina, and Iacobuta, Andreea Oana
- Subjects
KUZNETS curve ,CARBON emissions ,SOIL pollution ,ENVIRONMENTAL degradation ,SUSTAINABLE development ,GROSS domestic product - Abstract
Given the current context, with phenomena such as dramatic climate change, water, air, soil pollution, etc., the complex relation between environmental degradation and economic growth is intensely debated in the academia as well as in worldwide politics. This study examines the relationship between carbon dioxide emissions, gross domestic product, energy consumption, and urbanization rate in Romania and Bulgaria over 1980–2019 period. For this purpose, we have applied the ARDL bounds testing approach and, to validate the robustness of the results, we have used the VEC Granger model. The results showed that there are long term relationships between CO2 emissions per capita and the determinant factors taken into account in both countries; however, while the inverted N-shape of EKC is significant in the case of Bulgaria, this does not happen in the case of Romania although the model which includes the inverted U-shape of EKC is significant for both countries. Considering the fact that both Romania and Bulgaria are emerging economies which, despite having made significant progress, are still in search of a path towards sustainable development, such a study may constitute a good starting point and may suggest some action directions in terms of sustainable development policies. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2022
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
44. Investigating Export Determinants: A Time Series Evidence From Canada.
- Author
-
Hassan, Muhammad Shahid, Kausar, Amna, and Arshed, Noman
- Abstract
Export is an important macroeconomic factor that can elevate a country's output performance and raise employment opportunities, in any economy. Any country may expand the number of its allies through exports. Foundation trade theories, like absolute advantage and comparative advantage, suggest that a country should export the product with greater absolute or comparative advantage. This sheds light on allocating the optimal resources for producing low-price products and flouting the idea of specialization among the countries of the world. The present study explores the factors that may influence the export performance of a developed economy like Canada from 1979 to 2019. The study findings provide evidence of the absence of multicollinearity and that the data series for the selected functional form of the study is stationary at mixed order. The results of the ARDL bounds test confirm long-run cointegrating relations between exports and its determinants for Canada. The results further reveal that per capita energy consumption and government final consumption expenditures significantly elevate export performance in both the long and short run, while population size significantly elevates exports performance only in the long run in Canada. Moreover, the findings also expose that real effective exchange rate significantly reduces exports in both the long and short run in Canada: This means that by depreciating Canadian currency, Canadian exports will be boosted. The real interest rate reports a negative but insignificant impact on the Canadian export function in both the long and short run. Finally, the CUSUM and CUSUM Square graphs confirm the stability of the estimated coefficients for the Canadian export function for the selected sample of the study. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2022
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
45. Özel Tasarrufları Belirleyen Faktörlerin ARDL Yöntemiyle İncelenmesi: Türkiye Ekonomisi için Bir Uygulama.
- Author
-
Sarı, Sacit and Yıldırım, Kemal
- Abstract
Copyright of Journal of Abant Social Sciences / Abant Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi is the property of Journal of Abant Social Sciences and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
- Published
- 2022
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
46. The Effects of Terrorism and Economic Indicators on Bank Loans to the Private Sector: Evidence from Developing Countries.
- Author
-
Ilarslan, Kenan and Yildiz, Munevvere
- Subjects
BANK loans ,ECONOMIC indicators ,PRIVATE sector ,INTEREST rates ,PRIVATE banks ,COINTEGRATION ,FOREIGN exchange rates - Abstract
Herein, factors affecting domestic bank loans to the private sector are determined within the context of ten developing countries. The relationship between bank loans to the private sector and the gross domestic product (GDP), interest rates, exchange rates, and terrorist incidents is investigated using the autoregressive distributed lag bounds test and cointegration regression models. According to the results obtained from the models developed by applying annual data from 1970–2018, a positive relationship between domestic bank loans to the private sector, which is the endogenous variable, and the GDP, and a negative relationship with interest rates, terrorist incidents, and exchange rates are observed. Particularly in countries where terrorism is intense, investors giving up or postponing investments owing to the deterioration of the investment climate decreases loans to the private sector. Accordingly, terrorism should be considered and managed as an operational risk factor in the banking sector. We also find empirical evidence that capital control practices in some countries decrease bank loans to the private sector. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2022
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
47. The Impact of International Organizations on Chinese Trade as the Determiner of Trade: The Gravity Model Approach.
- Author
-
Emikönel, Murat
- Subjects
GRAVITY model (Social sciences) ,INTERNATIONAL agencies ,BILATERAL trade ,DUMMY variables ,MODEL theory ,PETROLEUM sales & prices - Abstract
The purpose of this study is to analyze the trade between China and 97 countries that have an important place in the bilateral trade of China in the period of 2008-2019 with the extended gravity model and to determine the determinants of trade. In the study, the potential impact of ASEAN and APEC member countries on Chinese trade was investigated, apart from the per capita incomes, populations and distances of the countries. In addition, the effect of energy imports required for industrial production on Chinese exports is also analyzed as another dummy variable for OPEC countries. Empirical results show that the GDP and population growth of dependent and independent countries are positively affected by trade, and as the distance increases, trade is negatively affected. The dummy coefficients of ASEAN, APEC and OPEC show that they are positive and statistically significant. Due to the fact that ASEAN and APEC consist of Asian countries and therefore are close to China, it has been observed that they are compatible with gravity model theory. The positive effect of OPEC member countries on Chinese exports was determined as importing the energy required for industrial production and converting intermediate goods into value-added products and exporting. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2022
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
48. Türkiye Ekonomisi Bağlamında Fisher Etkisinin Birim Kök Testleri ve ARDL Sınır Testiyle Sınanması.
- Author
-
Sarı, Sacit and Arslan, Erdal
- Abstract
Copyright of Journal of Emerging Economies & Policy is the property of JOEEP: Journal of Emerging Economies & Policy and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
- Published
- 2022
49. ENERJİ TÜKETİMİ, CO2 SALINIMI VE EKONOMİK BÜYÜME İLİŞKİSİ: TÜRKİYE İÇİN ARDL SINIR TESTİ YAKLAŞIMI.
- Author
-
Ordu, Seyit
- Abstract
Copyright of Journal of Economics Business & Finance Research / Ekonomi İşletme ve Maliye Araştırmaları Dergisi is the property of Irfan Ersin and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
- Published
- 2022
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
50. The Nexus among Competitively Valued Exchange Rates, Price Level, and Growth Performance in the Turkish Economy; New Insight from the Global Value Chains.
- Author
-
Shuabiu, Umar Aliyu, Usman, Mohammed A. M., and Çavuşoğlu, Behiye
- Subjects
ECONOMIC indicators ,VALUE chains ,INTERNATIONAL trade ,MONETARY policy ,PRICE levels ,FOREIGN exchange rates ,ECONOMIC expansion - Abstract
Currently, global value chains (GVCs) are increasingly shaping the global economy, covering a growing share of international trade, GDP, and employment globally. Global trade is impacted by the emergence of GVCs in areas as diverse as commodities, electronics, and business service outsourcing, among other areas, since the countries involved in the GVCs hold some value(s) and benefit(s) from the exports of the finished product. In this study, the nexus among Competitively Valued Exchange Rates, Price level, and Growth Performance in the Turkish Economy; New insight from the GVCs is investigated using annual data from 1980 to 2020 within the framework of the ARDL bound test, Bayer and Hanck Cointegration (BHC) test, and ECM. The study results revealed that the relationship among real effective exchange rate, exports, and imports induced economic performance and external trade competitiveness particularly when directed at GVCs in both the short and long run. The study recommends that policies enhancing a 10% equilibrium convergence are required annually to competitively minimize the dependence on foreign value-added inputs by importing only world-class inputs for value addition and exports benefits in the competitive GVCs world. Furthermore, monetary policy, GVCs, and economic growth should be investigated. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2021
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
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