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Background: We have previously modelled that the optimal number of comprehensive stroke centres (CSC) providing endovascular thrombectomy (EVT) in England would be 30 (net 6 new centres). We now estimate the relative effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of increasing the number of centres from 24 to 30.Methods: We constructed a discrete event simulation (DES) to estimate the effectiveness and lifetime cost-effectiveness (from a payer perspective) using 1 year's incidence of stroke in England. 2000 iterations of the simulation were performed comparing baseline 24 centres to 30.Results: Of 80,800 patients admitted to hospital with acute stroke/year, 21,740 would be affected by the service reconfiguration. The median time to treatment for eligible early presenters (< 270 min since onset) would reduce from 195 (IQR 155-249) to 165 (IQR 105-224) minutes. Our model predicts reconfiguration would mean an additional 33 independent patients (modified Rankin scale [mRS] 0-1) and 30 fewer dependent/dead patients (mRS 3-6) per year. The net addition of 6 centres generates 190 QALYs (95%CI - 6 to 399) and results in net savings to the healthcare system of £1,864,000/year (95% CI -1,204,000 to £5,017,000). The estimated budget impact was a saving of £980,000 in year 1 and £7.07 million in years 2 to 5.Conclusion: Changes in acute stroke service configuration will produce clinical and cost benefits when the time taken for patients to receive treatment is reduced. Benefits are highly likely to be cost saving over 5 years before any capital investment above £8 million is required. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Objective. Some studies suggest that gout is a risk factor for cardiovascular disease. There is more evidence about the association between gout and acute myocardial infarction (MI) than about gout and stroke, and only limited information about risks by age group and sex. We aimed to study MI and stroke following gout, including types of stroke, by age group and comparing men and women.Methods. We analysed an all-England national linked dataset of hospital admissions and death records from 1999 to 2011, and a similar dataset in the Oxford Record Linkage Study spanning 1963–98. The occurrence of MI and stroke was estimated in cohorts of patients admitted to hospital with gout, compared with MI and stroke in control cohorts, and the comparisons were expressed as rate ratios (RRs).Results. The risk of MI and stroke was elevated, and similar, in both datasets. In the all-England dataset, which included 202 033 hospital patients with gout, the RR for MI following gout was 1.82 (95% CI 1.78, 1.85), for all stroke 1.71 (1.68, 1.75), ischaemic stroke 1.68 (1.64, 1.73), haemorrhagic stroke 1.69 (1.61, 1.77) and stroke of unspecified type 2.00 (1.95, 2.06). Associations were stronger in younger than older age groups, and in the younger were stronger in women than men.Conclusion. Gout was associated with increased risk of stroke as well as MI. These findings should be considered by clinicians and may have implications for preventive management of circulatory disease risks in people with gout. [ABSTRACT FROM PUBLISHER]