1. Using Google Trends and Baidu Index to analyze the impacts of disaster events on company stock prices.
- Author
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Liu, Ying, Peng, Geng, Hu, Lanyi, Dong, Jichang, and Zhang, Qingqing
- Subjects
STOCK prices ,VECTOR error-correction models ,STOCK companies ,VECTOR autoregression model ,INFORMATION resources ,INFORMATION technology ,ERROR correction (Information theory) ,SEARCH engines - Abstract
Purpose: With the ascendance of information technology, particularly through the internet, external information sources and their impacts can be readily transferred to influence the performance of financial markets within a short period of time. The purpose of this paper is to investigate how incidents affect stock prices and volatility using vector error correction and autoregressive-generalized auto regressive conditional Heteroskedasticity models, respectively. Design/methodology/approach: To characterize the investors' responses to incidents, the authors introduce indices derived using search volumes from Google Trends and the Baidu Index. Findings: The empirical results indicate that an outbreak of disasters can increase volatility temporarily, and exert significant negative effects on stock prices in a relatively long time. In addition, indices derived from different search engines show differentiation, with the Google Trends search index mainly representing international investors and appearing more significant and persistent. Originality/value: This study contributes to the existing literature by incorporating open-source data to analyze how catastrophic events affect financial markets and effect persistence. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2020
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