1. Systemic Risk Concerns Grow Among Money Managers as Real Estate Woes Cause Turmoil.
- Author
-
Callanan, Neil
- Subjects
REAL estate managers ,MORTGAGE-backed securities ,SYSTEMIC risk (Finance) ,COMMERCIAL real estate ,COMMERCIAL real estate loans ,INVESTORS ,COLLATERALIZED loan obligations - Abstract
According to a survey by Bank of America Corp., concerns about a systemic credit event are increasing among fund managers due to issues in global property markets. About one in six respondents consider this to be the biggest risk facing markets, up from one in eleven in December. The disquiet is particularly focused on US commercial real estate and Chinese property markets. The Federal Reserve's potential interest rate cuts to alleviate pressure on real estate have been hindered by higher-than-expected inflation numbers. Smaller banks are at risk of default rates in their commercial real estate loan books, while larger banks are considered more stable. A 10% default rate on commercial real estate loans could result in $80 billion in additional bank losses, leaving over 300 smaller regional banks at risk of solvency runs. The Federal Reserve is working with lenders to address expected losses, and regulators are ensuring that loan-loss reserves and liquidity levels are sufficient. The survey found that nearly 40% of fund managers see US commercial real estate as the most likely source of a credit event, while 22% see Chinese real estate as the biggest threat. The turmoil has also affected German lenders with exposure to US commercial real estate. [Extracted from the article]
- Published
- 2024