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In most modern coal mines, there are many coal quality parameters that are measured on samples taken from boreholes. These data are used to generate spatial models of the coal quality parameters, typically using inverse distance as an interpolation method. At the same time, downhole geophysical logging of numerous additional boreholes is used to measure various physical properties but no coal quality samples are taken. The work presented in this paper uses two of the most important coal quality variables—ash and volatile matter—and assesses the efficacy of using a number of geostatistical interpolation methods to improve the accuracy of the interpolated models, including the use of auxiliary variables from geophysical logs. A multivariate spatial statistical analysis of ash, volatile matter and several auxiliary variables is used to establish a co-regionalization model that relates all of the variables as manifestations of an underlying geological characteristic. A case study of a coal mine in Queensland, Australia, is used to compare the interpolation methods of inverse distance to ordinary kriging, universal kriging, co-kriging, regression kriging and kriging with an external drift. The relative merits of these six methods are compared using the mean error and the root mean square error as measures of bias and accuracy. The study demonstrates that there is significant opportunity to improve the estimations of coal quality when using kriging with an external drift. The results show that when using the depth of a sample as an external drift variable there is a significant improvement in the accuracy of estimation for volatile matter, and when using wireline density logs as the drift variable there is improvement in the estimation of the in situ ash. The economic benefit of these findings is that cheaper proxies for coal quality parameters can significantly increase data density and the quality of estimations. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Coal resource tonnage estimates are reliant on spatial modeling of critical data including in-situ density. To model coal in-situ density, numerous methods are available including deterministic, geostatistical, and machine learning-based methods. In most studies the focus is on comparing differing spatial model method accuracy, however, in this study, the focus is on determining if different in-situ density spatial model methods materially impact resource tonnage estimates. This study used data from an active open-cut coal mine located in the Bowen Basin, Queensland Australia. The coal mine has extensive areas that are impacted by lamprophyre and dolerite intrusion. This study compared tonnage estimates derived from in-situ density modeling from four spatial model methods including inverse distance weighting, ordinary kriging, geographic quantile regression forest, and random forest regression kriging. This study found that, at local scale and in areas highly impacted by intrusion, variation in tonnage estimates between in-situ density model methods was up to 4.40%. This variation was considered material as it was higher than the error of each spatial model. It is, therefore recommended that, especially in coal deposits which are impacted by intrusion, spatial model methods are carefully selected and evaluated. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]