1. Concentration-Response Function for Ozone and Daily Mortality: Results from Five Urban and Five Rural U.K. Populations.
- Author
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Atkinson, Richard W., Yu, Dahai, Armstrong, Ben G., Pattenden, Sam, Wilkinson, Paul, Doherty, Ruth M., Heal, Mathew R., and Anderson, H. Ross
- Subjects
MORTALITY ,ALGORITHMS ,CONFIDENCE intervals ,DOSE-response relationship in biochemistry ,METROPOLITAN areas ,OZONE ,POISSON distribution ,RESEARCH funding ,RURAL conditions ,TEMPERATURE ,ENVIRONMENTAL exposure ,DATA analysis software ,DESCRIPTIVE statistics - Abstract
Background: Short-term exposure to ozone has been associated with increased daily mortality. The shape of the concentration-response relationship-and, in particular, if there is a threshold-is critical for estimating public health impacts. Objective: We investigated the concentration-response relationship between daily ozone and mortality in five urban and five rural areas in the United Kingdom from 1993 to 2006. Methods: We used Poisson regression, controlling for seasonality, temperature, and influenza, to investigate associations between daily maximum 8-hr ozone and daily all-cause mortality, assuming linear, linear-threshold, and spline models for all-year and season-specific periods. We examined sensitivity to adjustment for particles (urban areas only) and alternative temperature metrics. Results: In all-year analyses, we found clear evidence for a threshold in the concentration-response relationship between ozone and all-cause mortality in London at 65 µg/m
3 [95% confidence interval (CI): 58, 83] but little evidence of a threshold in other urban or rural areas. Combined linear effect estimates for all-cause mortality were comparable for urban and rural areas: 0.48% (95% CI: 0.35, 0.60) and 0.58% (95% CI: 0.36, 0.81) per 10-µg/m3 increase in ozone concentrations, respectively. Seasonal analyses suggested thresholds in both urban and rural areas for effects of ozone during summer months. Conclusions: Our results suggest that health impacts should be estimated across the whole ambient range of ozone using both threshold and nonthreshold models, and models stratified by season. Evidence of a threshold effect in London but not in other study areas requires further investigation. The public health impacts of exposure to ozone in rural areas should not be overlooked. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2012
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