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Abstract This study aims to evaluate whether the implied cost of capital (ICC) model is better than the capital asset pricing model (CAPM) in predicting the realized rate of return for infrastructure firms. We selected a sample of 49 listed companies in Brazil for the period from 2002 to 2014. The CAPM yielded a cost of capital of 11.97% per annum, while the ICC yielded 13.39% per annum, a difference of 1.42% annually. We suggest that a possible explanation for this result is the existence of systematic, non-diversifiable risk, potentially due to regulatory intervention in the business environment. Highlights • This paper aims to evaluate whether the implied cost of capital (ICC) model, in the version developed by Easton (2006), is better than CAPM to predict the realized rate of return (ROR) for infrastructure firms. We selected a sample of 49 Brazilian listed companies from 2002 to 2014. • Our findings, obtained in the pooled regression model, showed that the ICC had a positive and significant correlation with future stock returns, whereas the CAPM did not. • Robustness and Diebold–Mariano tests (1995) corroborated that the ICC is a superior predictor of actual ROR's for the sample of Brazilian utilities. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This article tests and compares three alternative models for predicting expected returns on the Brazilian stock market: 1) the Sharpe-Litner-Mossin CAPM version; 2) the Fama and French 3-factors model; 3) and the Reward Beta Model, presented by Bornholt (2007). It was used as a two-step empirical procedure methodology for models of general equilibrium: the first step to base regard the parameters of the models from time series regressions, and in the second step the regard parameters are used as explanatory variables in cross section regressions. The tests were preceded on portfolios, in agreement with Fama and French (1993) and Bornholt (2007) methodologies, and applied in two sub-samples of stocks the data of which were available from Bovespa: the within-sample covers the period 07/1995-06/2001 and the out-of-sample 07/2001-06/2006. As well as other evidence found in Brazilian market, the results to support the Fama and French 3-factors model to explain future returns, albeit without the factor that captures the book-to-market effect being significant. In this way, a two-factor model is recommended for the prediction of expected returns on the Brazilian stock market: 1) one that captures the market excess return; and 2) another that captures the size effect. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The objective of this research was to examine the influence of macroeconomic and institutional factors when determining the capital structure of Latin American companies from 2009 to 2014, and also analyze if the significance of these factors to explain the capital structure of the companies is changed taking into account the financing composition. We used hierarchical linear modeling to process data. The main results pointed that, both the representative variables of characteristics of the firm and representative variables of countries are important determinants of the capital structure of the companies. However the variables of the firm explain a much higher percentage of variance of leverage. Thus, we emphasize that there is still much to be done in order to analyze the effects of macroeconomic and institutional factors. We expect that this study has created contributions to the national literature, by using a theoretical and also econometric approach that has not been much explored so far. As well as for market agents to examine the determinants of capital structure, considering the institutional aspects. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This article evaluates the potential impacts deriving from the change in required capital of banks in Brazil, with the implementation of Basel III. To do this, a sample of 58 banks was used, which accounts for 80% of the assets in the Brazilian National Financial System, according to the balance sheets of December 2012. The methodology adopted has simulated the need for regulatory capital that will be mandatory in the end of the transition period, in 2019, considering the continuity of risk-weighted assets (RWAs) contained in these financial statements. Assuming that some banks will resort to the capital market to raise their capitalization level, the return on equity (ROE) for the previous three years was analyzed, compared to the cost of equity, estimated by the International Capital Asset Pricing Model (ICAPM). It was found that 23 institutions had some kind of noncompliance with the new regulatory capital, among them the 3 largest federal public banks. It was also observed that 39 banks have a ROE insufficient to attract new investors. The joint analysis of the adequacy of capital structure and the return level may identify occasional vulnerabilities. It is concluded that implementing Basel III in Brazil may increase the search for greater efficiency and profitability. In a future scenario, the Brazilian banking system may observe a wave of mergers and acquisitions and an increased number of initial public offerings (IPOs). [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The purpose of this study is to investigate the contribution of psychological variables and scales suggested by Economic Psychology in predicting individuals' default. Therefore, a sample of 555 individuals completed a self-completion questionnaire, which was composed of psychological variables and scales. By adopting the methodology of the logistic regression, the following psychological and behavioral characteristics were found associated with the group of individuals in default: a) negative dimensions related to money (suffering, inequality and conflict); b) high scores on the self-efficacy scale, probably indicating a greater degree of optimism and over-confidence; c) buyers classified as compulsive; d) individuals who consider it necessary to give gifts to children and friends on special dates, even though many people consider this a luxury; e) problems of self-control identified by individuals who drink an average of more than four glasses of alcoholic beverage a day. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]