Huang, Yi‐Sheng, Chang, Wu‐Lung, Pu, Hsin‐Chieh, Chiu, Chi‐Yu, Lai, Ya‐Chuan, and Shih, Min‐Hung
This study analyzed time series data from six GPS stations within the Tatun Volcano Group (TVG), a long‐dormant volcanic system in northern Taiwan, using multichannel singular spectrum analysis to search for potential spatiotemporally correlated transient deformations. A notable cycle of transient deformation was identified from 2015 to 2020, characterized by ground subsidence and uplift of up to 10 mm, accompanied by asymmetric horizontal motions directed inward and outward toward Dayoukeng, the largest fumarole and hydrothermal area in TVG. Evidence from earthquake focal mechanisms and gas composition, along with preliminary source modeling, suggest that these transient phases were likely caused by the pressure change of shallow hydrothermal systems beneath Dayoukeng. Further analysis of time series data from three long‐operating GPS stations revealed similar patterns of transient motion in the area from 2006 to 2015, indicating that TVG has experienced cyclical deformation, akin to many other volcanic systems worldwide. Plain Language Summary: Monitoring ground deformation in volcanoes is crucial for understanding the underlying processes and providing early warnings of potential hazards. Previous geodetic studies of the long‐dormant Tatun Volcano Group (TVG) in northern Taiwan relied on sporadic data, leading to incomplete insights into its time‐varying deformation behavior. Continuous GPS, however, allows for accurate tracking of surface movements over time, including short‐term changes caused by intermittent volcanic activity. This first GPS study of TVG employed a method called multichannel singular spectrum analysis to identify transient signals in noisy data from six stations. Significant ground deformation was revealed between 2015 and 2020, with the ground sinking and rising by up to 10 mm, along with horizontal movements toward and away from Dayoukeng, a major steam vent area in TVG. This sinking is likely related to changes in the shallow hot water and steam systems beneath Dayoukeng, as suggested by anomalies in earthquake activity and surface gas composition. Additional GPS data from 2006 to 2015 revealed that TVG experienced recurring cycles of ground deformation, closely correlated with local seismic activity. Key Points: Data‐adaptive detection of transient deformation in noisy GPS time seriesCycle of ground deformation first detected in the Tatun Volcano area, where about 7 million people reside nearbyHydrothermal processes may have driven consistent spatiotemporal variations in seismicity and deformation in the Tatun Volcano area [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]