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Educational Data Mining (EDM) has become a promising research field for improving the quality of students and the education system. Although EDM dates back to several years, there is still lack of works for measuring and enhancing the computer programming skills of tertiary students. As such, we, in this paper, propose an EDM system for evaluating and improving tertiary students' programming skills. The proposed EDM system comprises two key modules for (i) classification process and (ii) learning process,. The classification module predicts the current status of a student and the learning process module helps generate respective suggestions and feedback to enhance the student's quality. In particular, for the classification module, we prepare a real dataset related to this task and evaluate the dataset to investigate six key Machine Learning (ML) algorithms, Support Vector Machine (SVM), decision tree, artificial neural network, Random Forest (RF), k -nearest neighbor and naive Bayes classifier, using accuracy-related performance measure metrics and goodness of the fit. The experimental results manifest that RF and SVM can predict the students more accurately than the other models. In addition, critical factors analysis is accomplished to identify the critical features toward achieving high classification accuracy. At last, we design an improvement mechanism in the learning process module that helps the students enhance their programming skills. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Educational Data Mining (EDM) holds promise in uncovering insights from educational data to predict and enhance students' performance. This paper presents an advanced EDM system tailored for classifying and improving tertiary students' programming skills. Our approach emphasizes effective feature engineering, appropriate classification techniques, and the integration of Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) to elucidate model decisions. Through rigorous experimentation, including an ablation study and evaluation of six machine learning algorithms, we introduce a novel ensemble method, Stacking-SRDA, which outperforms others in accuracy, precision, recall, f1-score, ROC curve, and McNemar test. Leveraging XAI tools, we provide insights into model interpretability. Additionally, we propose a system for identifying skill gaps in programming among weaker students, offering tailored recommendations for skill enhancement. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]