1. Predicting outcomes in patients with exacerbation of COPD requiring mechanical ventilation.
- Author
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Alzaabi, Obaid, Guerot, Emmanuel, Planquette, Benjamin, Diehl, Jean-Luc, and Soumagne, Thibaud
- Subjects
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OBSTRUCTIVE lung disease treatment , *DISEASE exacerbation , *RISK assessment , *ACUTE diseases , *CRITICALLY ill , *PATIENTS , *RECEIVER operating characteristic curves , *FISHER exact test , *TREATMENT effectiveness , *RETROSPECTIVE studies , *SEVERITY of illness index , *GLASGOW Coma Scale , *DESCRIPTIVE statistics , *HOSPITAL mortality , *CHI-squared test , *KAPLAN-Meier estimator , *LOG-rank test , *ODDS ratio , *OBSTRUCTIVE lung diseases , *ARTIFICIAL respiration , *MEDICAL records , *ACQUISITION of data , *INTENSIVE care units , *TREATMENT failure , *COMPARATIVE studies , *SURVIVAL analysis (Biometry) , *DATA analysis software , *CONFIDENCE intervals , *OVERALL survival , *CRITICAL care medicine - Abstract
Background: Acute exacerbations of COPD (AECOPD) are common and significantly contribute to mortality in patients with COPD. Prognostic scores can assist clinicians in making tailored decisions to manage AECOPD. In the current study, we therefore aimed to evaluate the performance of the Noninvasive Ventilation Outcomes (NIVO) score, originally designed to assess in-ICU mortality, in predicting 1 year mortality and NIV failure in AECOPD. Methods: This retrospective study analyzed data from patients hospitalized for AECOPD requiring mechanical ventilation between January 1st, 2018, and December 31st, 2022. Mortality was assessed at the end of ICU stay and 1 year after admission, while NIV failure was defined as intubation or death without intubation. Results: Among 302 ICU admissions of COPD patients, 190 patients with AECOPD requiring mechanical ventilation were included. Of these, 44 (23%) died in the ICU, 62 out of 184 (34%) failed NIV, and 78 (41%) died within 1 year of admission. Patients who died in ICU or experienced NIV failure had more severe COPD and more impaired blood gas parameters at admission. The NIVO score demonstrated an AUC of 0.68 in predicting 1-year mortality and an AUC of 0.85 in predicting NIV failure. A NIVO score over 7 was associated with higher 1-year mortality and NIV failure (HR of 4.4 [1.8–10.9] and 41.6 [5.6–307.9], respectively). Conclusion: Beyond predicting in-ICU mortality, the NIVO-score is a reliable tool in predicting 1-year mortality and NIV failure in AECOPD. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
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