Search

How did optimism or pessimism about the duration of shutdowns during the COVID-19 pandemic affect firms' business outlook and behavior? In a large panel of German firms, we identify sentiment as the only plausible determinant of the cross-sectional variation in the expected shutdown length because this variation is uncorrelated with fundamentals. Firms incorporate this sentiment regarding the shutdown duration in their more general business outlook. Sentiment was also an important determinant of firms' crisis response: More pessimistic firms—those that perceived the shutdown to last longer—were more likely to implement strong measures like layoffs or canceling investments. The implementation of soft measures, e.g., working from home, was unrelated to the sentiment regarding the shutdown length. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Highlights: [•] We apply the capital stock approach to measure wealth in German cities. The approach reflects the environmental, energy, social, human, and economic performance of the cities. [•] We compare our ranking with the average housing rates in German cities. [•] There is no inherent trade-off between economic and environmental capital stocks. [•] Clear regional differences exist between West and East Germany and between North and South Germany. [•] The comprehensive wealth index is strongly correlated with housing rents, which reflect individual willingness to pay for living in a certain city. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]

The paper applies an alternative approach to assess whether foreign aid promotes economic growth in developing countries, based on the concept of temporary growth accelerations suggested by Hausmann, Pritchett and Rodrik. In addition to aggregate aid, we differentiate between major aid categories, including grants, loans and so-called short-impact aid. It turns out that aid flows have a small but significantly positive effect on the conditional probability of growth accelerations. This result holds across different estimation methods. However, the significance of results crucially depends on the criteria applied to identify growth accelerations. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]