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Streamflow estimation is necessary to develop sustainable water management strategies that balance the needs of various water users while protecting the ecological health of the watershed. This study presents a comprehensive analysis of river flow data in Turkey's Meriç basin using long-term daily data spanning the years 2001–2011. Within the scope of forecasting of daily river flows, 80% of dataset was used for training stage and the 20% of dataset was used for testing. The performance of four different models, including Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) benchmark model, Linear Regression, Long Short-Term Memory Network (LSTM), and proposed Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO)—XGBoost hybrid model, was evaluated using several statistical evaluation criteria such as RMSE, MAPE, MAE, SD, NSE, KGE, and model success was assessed based on determination coefficient (R2) values. The forecasting results of the models were evaluated with statistical metrics. The proposed PSO-XGBoost model outperformed all models with R2 values of 0.7460 at the Babaeski FMS station, 0.9582 at the Meriç FMS station, and 0.8116 at the Hayrabolu FMS station, respectively. It has been found that when the parameters of the XGBoost model are optimized with the meta-heuristic PSO algorithm, the daily flow prediction accuracy is significantly increased in the Meriç River basin, which has a pluviozonal River regime. The results demonstrate that the proposed hybrid model produces precise and reliable estimations for daily river flow analysis in the Meriç basin. The findings derived from the proposed model demonstrate its promising potential for water resource management and decision-making in the region. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The aim of this work is to investigate whether retrieving the model parameters of self-potential (SP) anomalies using a combination of differential evolution (DE) and particle swarm optimization (PSO) is possible. This approach hybridizes DE and PSO in a parallel way. Each algorithm is self-contained and obtains a [premature] solution after a user-defined generation number. This hybrid algorithm (DE/PSO) selects the best individual in DE and PSO populations and carries it to the next iteration. Cooperation of DE and PSO can significantly improve the results. Simulations through noise-free synthetic anomalies show that the DE/PSO hybrid algorithm is successful in providing more accurate solutions than those obtained using each single metaheuristic. The algorithm also speeds up the rate of convergence to get the optimum solution. We implemented the algorithm in R programming environment using available metaheuristics packages. Then, the reliability of the code was investigated using some mathematical test functions having two and higher dimensions (unknowns). The performance of the hybrid to invert SP anomalies was tested by synthetic and field data sets. The true model parameters were well-recovered from synthetic data sets including noise-free and noisy data. In the tests with field data, SP anomalies over a shallow ore deposit in Süleymanköy (Türkiye), a deep ore deposit in Arizona (USA), and multiple sources of graphite deposits in KTB borehole site (Germany) were inverted. Low misfit values between the observed and calculated SP anomalies were obtained during the test studies. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The ability to accurately estimate energy consumption in the medium and long term based on actual indications is critical for countries to plan and prioritize their futures and take the appropriate actions. This paper proposes a new modified artificial bee colony (M-ABC) method that can adaptively select an optimal search equation to more accurately estimate Turkey's energy consumption. In the study, linear (M-ABCL) and quadratic (M-ABCQ) mathematical models were developed, and gross domestic product (GDP), population, import, and export data were used as input parameters for energy demand estimation. The weight values in the regression models are calculated according to the objective function with the proposed M-ABC. In this way, the weight values that will produce estimations with the lowest error according to the selected years are found, and then the most appropriate energy demand estimations are made. We compared the performance of our proposed M-ABC algorithm with ant colony optimization (ACO), particle swarm optimization (PSO), and hybrid ACO and PSO (HAP) algorithms. In addition, various estimation suggestions are presented under four different scenarios using input parameters. According to the results, the models suggested with the M-ABC algorithm were more successful in estimating the energy demand. According to the results of the presented four scenarios, the energy demand in 2025 is 145.26, 139.85, 126.26, and 144.17 million tons of oil equivalent (Mtoe) for the M-ABCL model, and 185.62, 161.94, 118.96, and 159.71 Mtoe for the M-ABCQ model, respectively. Thus, it is predicted that average consumption will increase by 51.65% in the linear model and 70.94% in the quadratic model. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]