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Monitoring trachoma transmission with antibody data requires characterization of decay in IgG to Chlamydia trachomatis antigens. In a 3-year longitudinal cohort in a high-transmission setting, we estimated a median IgG half-life of 3 years and a seroreversion rate of 2.5 per 100 person-years (95% confidence interval, 1.6–3.5). Clinical Trials Registration NCT02754583. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Trachoma recrudescence after elimination as a public health problem has been reached is a concern for control programs globally. Programs typically conduct district-level trachoma surveillance surveys (TSS) ≥ 2 years after the elimination threshold is achieved to determine whether the prevalence of trachomatous inflammation-follicular (TF) among children ages 1 to 9 years remains <5%. Many TSS are resulting in a TF prevalence ≥5%. Once a district returns to TF ≥5%, a program typically restarts costly mass drug administration (MDA) campaigns and surveys at least twice, for impact and another TSS. In Amhara, Ethiopia, most TSS which result in a TF ≥5% have a prevalence close to 5%, making it difficult to determine whether the result is due to true recrudescence or to statistical variability. This study's aim was to monitor recrudescence within Amhara by waiting to restart MDA within 2 districts with a TF prevalence ≥5% at TSS, Metema = 5.2% and Woreta Town = 5.1%. The districts were resurveyed 1 year later using traditional and alternative indicators, such as measures of infection and serology, a "wait and watch" approach. Methods/Principal findings: These post-surveillance surveys, conducted in 2021, were multi-stage cluster surveys whereby certified graders assessed trachoma signs. Children ages 1 to 9 years provided a dried blood spot and children ages 1 to 5 years provided a conjunctival swab. TF prevalence in Metema and Woreta Town were 3.6% (95% Confidence Interval [CI]:1.4–6.4) and 2.5% (95% CI:0.8–4.5) respectively. Infection prevalence was 1.2% in Woreta Town and 0% in Metema. Seroconversion rates to Pgp3 in Metema and Woreta Town were 0.4 (95% CI:0.2–0.7) seroconversions per 100 child-years and 0.9 (95% CI:0.6–1.5) respectively. Conclusions/Significance: Both study districts had a TF prevalence <5% with low levels of Chlamydia trachomatis infection and transmission, and thus MDA interventions are no longer warranted. The wait and watch approach represents a surveillance strategy which could lead to fewer MDA campaigns and surveys and thus cost savings with reduced antibiotic usage. Author summary: The return of trachoma transmission after elimination as a public health problem has been reached is a concern for control programs globally. Currently, many district-level trachoma surveillance surveys (conducted ≥2 years since elimination threshold has been reached) are resulting in a prevalence above the established threshold. Once a district returns above threshold, a program typically restarts costly mass drug administration campaigns and conducts more surveys. This study's aim was to monitor recrudescence through a "wait and watch" approach within Amhara, Ethiopia. This entailed waiting to restart mass drug administration within 2 districts with trachoma prevalence above but close to the threshold at surveillance survey, then surveying the districts 1 year later using traditional and alternative indicators. These post-surveillance surveys assessed traditional trachoma signs, and additionally, children provided a dried blood spot for serology outcomes and a conjunctival swab for infection. The results of the study demonstrated that both districts had a prevalence below threshold with low levels of infection and serological evidence of transmission, and thus mass drug administration interventions are no longer warranted. The wait and watch approach represents a surveillance strategy that could lead to fewer surveys and mass drug administration campaigns and thus savings in programmatic costs with reduced usage of antibiotics. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]