1. Hierarchical Bayesian Benefit–Risk Modeling and Assessment Using Choice Based Conjoint.
- Author
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Mukhopadhyay, Saurabh, Dilley, Kimberley, Oladipo, Anthony, and Jokinen, Jeremy
- Subjects
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HIERARCHICAL Bayes model , *RISK assessment , *CONJOINT analysis , *DISCRETE choice models , *LOGITS , *PILOT projects - Abstract
Assessment of benefit–risk for treatments is usually complex and involves trade-offs between multiple, often conflicting, preferences. Although discrete choice experiments are increasingly used in health outcomes research to assess trade-offs in preferences, their usage in benefit–risk assessment so far is fairly limited. This is primarily because of the high cognitive burden to assess multiple attributes and the requirement for a large pool of respondents. The hierarchical Bayes benefit–risk model using choice based conjoint that we propose drastically reduces the cognitive burden as each respondent only needs to evaluate a small fraction of preference questions, each of which compares a single pair of attributes. This method also leverages the Bayesian framework to borrow strength for analysis with a limited number of respondents. This article illustrates both a simulated experiment and a pilot experiment incorporating experts' preferences in oncology. Ultimately, patients are the most important voice in the benefit–risk balance. Therefore, we propose an augmented model to obtain a more precise estimate of benefit–risk preferences based on patients' characteristics. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2019
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