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The economic integration between the United States and Mexico has affected the economic, political and social relations in the border region. The paper seeks to relate the increasing economic integration and business cycles of the economies of San Diego and Tijuana to the development of both national and binational economic organizations in the border region. The methodology of analysis uses both statistical estimations of the economic integration of San Diego and Tijuana and semi-structured interviews of economic organizations to analyze the increasing economic integration and the role and achievements of the cross-border economic organizations. The results showed that cross-border cooperation is predominately controlled by federal and state governments on both sides of the border. However, the main achievements of cross-border economic cooperation have been accomplished by local private organizations. The perspective of further local economic development greatly depends on both the possibility of increased involvement of federal governments and the growing encouragement of regional organizations. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This paper analyzes the prospect of economic recovery and the comovement of regional and national economy with a focus on business cycles theory in 1997-2010. We estimate the trend and cycle of composition of growth in each entity with the Hodrick-Prescott filter and an autoregressive model, using employment data. The evidence shows that Nuevo Leon has the capacity to return to its trend growth, but Baja California and Chihuahua has less possibility. Finally, short-term dynamics of these economies shows that the degree of synchronization with the national economy seems to play for the recovery of growth. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]