1. An agent-based model for controlling pandemic infectious diseases transmission dynamics with the use of face masks.
- Author
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Rachah, Amira and Silva, Thiago Lima
- Subjects
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INFECTIOUS disease transmission , *MEDICAL masks , *COVID-19 pandemic , *PANDEMICS , *EPIDEMIOLOGICAL models - Abstract
The recent world crisis caused by the rapid spreading of the COVID-19 variants elicited how urgent it is to develop a robust and reliable epidemiological model for effective policy decision-making. The aim of this paper is to investigate the impact of con-trol measures, e.g. face mask use, on the transmission dynamics of infectious diseases pandemic using two different approaches of mathematical modeling: deterministic (which is suited for homogeneous population) and agent-based (that can capture het-erogeneous attributes across individuals and social network) modeling. We discuss and compare the ability of agent-based and deterministic modeling in describing the transmission dynamics of infectious diseases using numerical simulation of the models with face mask use in order to study its impact on the epidemic curve. For the deterministic model, we employ an optimal control method where the objective function is the minimization of the number of infected individuals and the associated cost of appli-cation of the control measures. On the other hand, the control measures of the developed agent-based model are optimized using a derivative-free optimization approach. We present the numerical resolution of the study for both the deterministic and agent-based models. The aim is to reduce the transmission of infectious diseases to keep the healthcare services below full capacity and reduce the total number of infected individuals. The numerical results of the optimal control problem show the effectiveness of agent-based and deterministic modeling in flattening the infection curve with rather different strategies of face mask use. Solutions using the agent-based models tend to be more realistic, i.e. based on cycles of stricter and less strict control measures, whereas the optimal control ones follow a full policy-enforcing with subsequent alleviation style. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
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