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To investigate the South Equatorial Current (SEC) in the Indian Ocean, 18 drifters were deployed off Sumatra‐Java during boreal spring 2019. These drifter observations revealed a large SEC meander that swung southward about 1,100 km during 40 days along ∼100°E. The southward motion occurred on the eastern edge of the Seychelles‐Chagos thermocline ridge, accompanied by an anticyclonic eddy/Rossby wave from the east, indicated by the geostrophic velocity induced by the zonal pressure gradient. Meanwhile, the ageostrophic velocity induced by the southeasterly wind also contributes to this southward motion. This is verified by a Lagrangian Trajectory Model in which drifter trajectories are well reproduced using Chinese‐French Oceanic SATellite winds products. Further analysis of the historical drifters with similar trajectories reveals that the geostrophic and ageostrophic currents jointly drive drifters to move southward. Ageostrophic component could contribute up to 45% of the southward movement of the SEC meander. Plain Language Summary: The South Equatorial Current (SEC) is westward in the tropical Indian Ocean. During boreal spring 2019, 18 drifters were deployed off Sumatra‐Java, and their trajectories show a large SEC meander, with a typical drifter moved southward over 1,100 km during 40 days along ∼100°E. The geostrophic component, associated with the Seychelles‐Chagos thermocline ridge and an anticyclonic eddy/Rossby wave, and ageostrophic component, induced by southeasterly wind, jointly drive drifters to move southward. Further diagnoses of historical drifters show that the ageostrophic component could take up to 45% contribution in the southward movement in the SEC meander. Key Points: South Equatorial Current in the Indian Ocean advected drifters southward more than 1,100 km within 40 days (∼32 cm s−1) in 2019Combined effects of the zonal pressure gradient and the southeasterly wind contribute to the southward movementSouthward movement usually occurs in spring and summer, contributing from ageostrophic current up to ∼45% [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Marine heatwaves (MHWs) in the tropical Indian Ocean (TIO) showed remarkable increases in duration and frequency during the satellite observing era, responding to rising sea surface temperature. Long‐lasting MHWs were found in three upwelling regions of the TIO in 2015–2016 and 2019–2020, closely related to persistent downwelling oceanic planetary waves. In 2015, a prolonged MHW (149 days) in the western TIO was initiated by the downwelling Rossby waves associated with the co‐occurring super El Niño and positive Indian Ocean dipole (IOD) events. In the following year, the negative IOD sustained the longest MHW (372 days) in the southeastern TIO, prompted by the eastward‐propagating equatorial Kelvin waves. In 2019–2020, the two longest MHWs recorded in the southwestern TIO (275 days in 2019 and 149 days in 2020) were maintained by the downwelling Rossby waves associated with the 2019 extreme IOD. This study revealed the importance of ocean dynamics in long‐lasting MHWs in the TIO. Plain Language Summary: Marine heatwaves (MHWs) are extreme sea surface warming events, which can have destructive impacts on marine ecosystems and socio‐economy. The tropical Indian Ocean (TIO) has experienced the most significant sea surface temperature warming among the global oceans in the satellite observing era since the 1980s. The increases in duration and frequency of MHWs were found statistically significant in the TIO, and further increases can be expected under global warming. Several long‐lasting MHWs occurred in recent years, associated with extreme climate modes. Internal ocean waves triggered by anomalous winds deepened the thermocline through the convergence of warm upper‐ocean water and reduced upwelling of subsurface cold water, resulting in a surface warm that facilitated the MHW formation. Thus, the consecutive propagating waves during the extreme climate events sustained the prolonged MHWs in the TIO. These results expand our understanding of the physical mechanisms responsible for MHWs in the TIO under the Indo‐Pacific climate variability and global warming. Key Points: Long‐lasting marine heatwaves (MHWs) occurred in the upwelling regions of the tropical Indian Ocean during 2015–2016 and 2019–2020The recent long‐lasting MHWs are related to the super El Niño in 2015–2016 and extreme Indian Ocean dipole in 2019Oceanic downwelling waves induced‐thermocline warming plays a crucial role in the long‐lasting MHWs [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The 2019 positive Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) was the strongest event since the 1960s which developed independently without coinciding El Niño. The dynamics is not fully understood. Here we show that in March–May, westward propagating oceanic Rossby waves, a remnant consequence of the weak 2018 Pacific warm condition, led to anomalous sea surface temperature warming in the southwest tropical Indian Ocean (TIO), inducing deep convection and anomalous easterly winds along the equator, which triggered the initial cooling in the east. In June–August, the easterly wind anomalies continued to evolve through ocean‐atmosphere coupling involving Bjerknes feedback and equatorial nonlinear ocean advection, until its maturity in September–November. This study clarifies the contribution of oceanic Rossby waves in the south TIO in different dynamic settings and reveals a new triggering mechanism for extreme IOD events that will help to understand IOD diversity. Plain Language Summary: The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is an ocean‐atmosphere coupled climatic phenomenon which can cause severe social and economic losses in the surrounding regions such as drought in the Maritime Continent/Australia and flooding in East Africa. The IOD features a see‐saw structure accompanied by an anomalous sea surface temperature gradient, winds, and oceanic adjustments. The El Niño–Southern Oscillation in the Pacific is an important trigger to a strong IOD event. However, an extreme positive IOD event occurred in 2019 without a concurrent or ensuing El Niño. We show that the thermocline warming associated with anomalous ocean downwelling in the southwest tropical Indian Ocean triggered atmospheric convection, inducing anomalous easterly winds along the equator and hence, positive feedbacks associated with an IOD event. This study may help to understand the evolution of extreme IOD and improve IOD predictability. Key Points: The oceanic downwelling Rossby waves in the south tropical Indian Ocean is key to the 2019 extreme positive Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD)The Rossby waves induced thermocline warming, triggering wind‐evaporation‐SST feedback thus anomalous easterly winds along the equatorThe easterly wind anomalies further triggered the Bjerknes feedback and other positive feedbacks and established an extreme IOD [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This study identifies a new triggering mechanism of the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) from the Southern Hemisphere. This mechanism is independent from the El Niño‐Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and tends to induce the IOD before its canonical peak season. The joint effects of this mechanism and ENSO may explain different lifetimes and strengths of the IOD. During its positive phase, development of sea surface temperature cold anomalies commences in the southern Indian Ocean, accompanied by an anomalous subtropical high system and anomalous southeasterly winds. The eastward movement of these anomalies enhances the monsoon off Sumatra‐Java during May–August, leading to an early positive IOD onset. The pressure variability in the subtropical area is related with the Southern Annular Mode, suggesting a teleconnection between high‐latitude and midlatitude climate that can further affect the tropics. To include the subtropical signals may help model prediction of the IOD event. Plain Language Summary: An Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) at its positive phase featuring anomalously high and low sea surface temperature (SST) in the west and east equatorial Indian Ocean, respectively, shifts atmosphere convection westward, causing severe floods and droughts in surrounding west and east Indian Ocean‐rim regions. Known triggering mechanisms, such as the external El Niño‐Southern Oscillation (ENSO), cannot explain development or intensity of many IOD events. Here we find a novel triggering mechanism of the IOD from the Southern Hemisphere, in which the subtropical high pressure and wind anomalies forcing cool SST anomalies evolve to trigger onset of an IOD event via enhancing the monsoon off Sumatra‐Java. This Southern Hemisphere Mechanism can operate independently from the ENSO and commences earlier than the ENSO forcing, thus providing explanation of different IOD characteristics and a longer prediction lead time. Key Points: A triggering mechanism of the IOD originated from the Southern Hemisphere is identifiedThe Southern Hemisphere Mechanism is independent from ENSO and associated with subtropical and high‐latitude climatic variabilityThe joint effects of such mechanism and ENSO produce different characteristics of the IOD [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

An analysis of Argo data reveals that the subantarctic mode water (SAMW) in the South Indian Ocean (SIO), characterized by a vertical potential vorticity (PV) minimum, decreases by 10% in volume from 2004 to 2018. Most of this decrease occurs at the 26.8–26.9 kg m−3 density range which forms southwest of Australia, while a slight volume increase occurs at 26.6–26.8 kg m−3. Further analysis indicates that the weakening of the Mascarene High and westerly winds in the SIO reduces the evaporation‐precipitation, surface heat flux, and Ekman pumping and shoals the mixed layer southwest of Australia, which leads to a volume decrease at 26.8–26.9 kg m−3 in approximately 3 years. West of 90°E, the parameters exhibit the opposite change, leading to a volume increase at 26.6–26.8 kg m−3. This result suggests that surface winds play an important role in the variability of the SIO SAMW volume during the Argo period. Plain Language Summary: During austral winter in the subantarctic zone, a water mass called the subantarctic mode water with homogeneous properties (temperature, salinity) forms, sinks, and moves to the interior of the ocean. The formation and transport of the mode water are crucial for the climate, as the water takes up heat, freshwater, carbon, oxygen, and nutrients into the ocean interior. We find a distinct volume loss of the mode water in the South Indian Ocean from 2004 to 2018. Although this mode water forms in broad density ranges in different regions, the volume loss only occurs in the dense mode water south of Australia. Moreover, the volume of the light mode water, which forms in the center of the South Indian Ocean, slightly increases. We find that surface winds control the surface heat flux and water convergence, which determine the volume change here. These winds tend to vary oppositely in the two different mode water formation regions and make the volume vary in opposition phases. This study reveals the layer dependence of the mode water volume variation and reinforces the importance of atmospheric forcing, which would possibly help interpret the heat uptake in the Southern Ocean. Key Points: Argo data reveal a subantarctic mode water volume loss in the South Indian Ocean over the period 2004–2018Most of the volume loss occurs in the density range of 26.8–26.9 kg m−3, while a volume increase occurs at 26.6–26.8 kg m−3Changes in the SAMW volume are controlled by surface forcing, which is closely related to the Mascarene High variation [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

We used multiple data sets to investigate the decadal and longer time scale variability of sea surface partial pressure of CO2 (pCO2) over the equatorial Pacific Ocean from 1990 to 2019. Unlike the increasing trend in the global oceanic pCO2, both the Niño 3.4 and warm pool regions featured distinct decadal variabilities. A pCO2 increasing stagnation, a hiatus stage, was identified in the Niño 3.4 region from 2010 to 2019. Further analysis demonstrated that low‐frequency pCO2 was negatively correlated with the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation (IPO) index. Both the 2009/10 and 2015/16 El Niño events and an increasing phase of IPO contributed to this long pCO2 stagnation. Correspondingly, a weaker upwelling was induced in the central and eastern tropical Pacific as the trade winds weakened and thus stagnated the increase in pCO2 in the Niño 3.4 region. Our results imply a significant impact of climate variabilities on sea surface pCO2 in the equatorial Pacific. Plain Language Summary: The equatorial Pacific Ocean is one of the largest natural sources of carbon dioxide (CO2) to the atmosphere. It can partially reduce the CO2 absorbed by large areas of the ocean. Here we use a series of data sets to investigate the long‐term variations in the sea surface partial pressure of CO2 over the equatorial Pacific Ocean. Unlike the increasing trend in the global ocean surface pCO2 due to the continuous increase in atmospheric CO2 impacted by human activities, the equatorial Pacific Ocean features significant long‐term variabilities. The pCO2 observations and products that we used support a pCO2 increasing hiatus at the Niño 3.4 region (located in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean) since 2010. Further analysis found that the hiatus is related to El Niño events and the large‐scale, long period oscillation of the Pacific basin. Our results imply the impact of natural climate variabilities on sea surface pCO2 in this important sea area of the equatorial Pacific Ocean. Key Points: The pCO2 in the equatorial Pacific features a significant long‐term trend and decadal to interdecadal variabilityThe increasing pCO2 in the Niño 3.4 region shows stagnation since 2010 due to El Niño events and the increasing phase of the Interdecadal Pacific OscillationPacific natural climate variability mitigates the large CO2 source in the tropical Pacific Ocean [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]