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Motivated by the growing significance of solar energy, the paper presents the findings of the maiden study on the long-term seasonal performance assessment of three PV module technologies—monocrystalline (m-Si), polycrystalline (p-Si), and amorphous silicon (a-Si) housed in a 1 MW solar plant installed at a local steppe climate in Gandhinagar, Gujarat, India using the key performance indicators (KPIs), daily power generation, final yield (Y f), reference yield (Y r), total energy loss (T EL) and performance ratio (PR). Notably, the am-Si PV modules were found to be the best performing technology, with an average PR of 71.26% and the lowest average total energy loss of 631 h during the monitored period. Moreover, PV systems have become more popular as a source of green, clean energy; yet, they have low base-load energy sustainability. Explainable AI (XAI) aids in understanding predictions made by the machine learning models. The importance of XAI lies in the comprehension and trust which is embedded into the results of machine learning algorithms. Therefore, the present work builds a comprehensive XAI model for predicting KPIs and assesses the performance of several learning algorithms using R-value, MAE, the number of iterations, and execution time. The Levenberg-Marquardt algorithm predicts the KPIs for p-Si, am-Si, and m-Si with prediction accuracies of 98.63%, 98.58%, and 90.09%, respectively. In summary, this study not only advances our understanding of PV module performance in a steppe climate context but also contributes to the broader field by integrating an XAI model for transparent and reliable predictions of the KPIs. [Display omitted] • Comparison of m-Si, p-Si, and a-Si PV modules in a 1 MW solar plant, Gandhinagar, India, showed long-term performance. • a-Si PV modules outperformed with a 71.26% PR and the lowest 631 hours energy loss, surpassing m-Si and p-Si technologies. • Study underscores XAI's role in ML predictions, developing a robust model to predict KPIs and evaluate learning algorithms. • Levenberg-Marquardt showed high accuracy: 98.63% for p-Si, 98.58% for a-Si, and 90.09% for m-Si PV modules. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Global Navigation satellite systems (GNSS) are predominantly affected by Ionospheric space weather. The GNSS signal delays due to ionospheric Total Electron Content (TEC) can be forecasted using advances in the emerging mathematics tools and algorithms. Machine learning algorithms such as Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) is considered in the present paper to implement in the forecasting of low-latitude ionospheric conditions. The GPS receiver data is obtained for 8 years (2009–2016) during 24th solar cycle from International GNSS Services (IGS) station located in Bengaluru (Geographical latitude: 12.97° N, Geographical longitude: 77.59° E), India. The performance of GPR model is validated using statistical parameters such as Mean Absolute Error (MAE), Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE), Mean Square Error (MSE), Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), and correlation coefficient. The results of the proposed GPR model were compared with the Auto Regressive Moving Average (ARMA) model and Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) model during solar maximum period and descending phase of 24th solar cycle. The experiment results are evident that GPR model is significantly providing the promising results in forecasting the ionospheric time delays for GNSS signals. The outcome of the work can be useful to develop web based Ionospheric TEC forecasting system to alert the GNSS users. • The GPS-TEC variability is investigated during solar maximum period and descending phase of 24th solar cycle. • The performance of ARMA, ANN and GPR models are evaluated in forecasting the ionospheric delays for GPS signals. • GPR model has better predicted TEC than the existing ARMA and ANN models during geomagnetic quiet and storm periods. • Kernel-based approach of GPR model is well suitable to forecast the ionospheric TEC variations over low latitudes. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Identifying current and future informal regions within cities remains a crucial issue for policymakers and governments in developing countries. The delineation process of identifying such regions in cities requires a lot of resources. While there are various studies that identify informal settlements based on satellite image classification, relying on both supervised or unsupervised machine learning approaches, these models either require multiple input data to function or need further development with regards to precision. In this paper, we introduce a novel method for identifying and informal settlements using street intersection data. With such minimal input data, we attempt to provide planners and policy-makers with a pragmatic tool that can aid in identifying informal zones in cities. The algorithm of the model is based on spatial statistics and Artificial Neural Networks (ANN). The proposed model relies on defining informal settlements based on two ubiquitous characteristics of informal settlements. We applied the model in five major cities in Egypt and India that have spatial structures in which informality is present. These cities are Greater Cairo, Alexandria, Hurghada and Minya in Egypt, and Mumbai in India. The predictSLUMS model shows high validity and accuracy for identifying and predicting informality within the same city the model was trained on or in different ones of a similar context. To enable this model to be used as a pragmatic tool for future prediction or further research concerning informal settlements and slums, we have made the python code for the pre-trained ANN models of the five studied cities. • A modelling framework is developed for predicting informal settlements. • The model only requires street intersection data as input, making it broadly applicable. • The model is applied to five cities; Greater Cairo, Alexandria, Hurghada and Minya in Egypt, and Mumbai in India. • By training the model using data from one city, the model can predict informal settlements in another city. • Using ground truth data of planning status for validation, the model achieves accuracy of between 82.1 and 97.6%. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

How far the de-linking and morphological and hydrological degradation of tie channels connecting river to the wetland are caused for the areal and hydrological transformation of a wetland was not received enough attention in previous literature. This paper tried to explain this about the confluence reach of the Dwarka and Brahmni rivers in Moribund deltaic India. In order to explain the linkages 16 tie channels' change depicting variables and seven wetland area and hydrological transformation (consistency, hydro-period, water depth, water richness etc.) related variables were taken. Ordinary least square (OLS) regression was applied for explain the linkage. Machine learning approaches were applied for water richness mapping. Tie channel evolution was digitized from the Survey of India (SOI) toposheet (1974) and historical Google Earth images. The result revealed that, the tie channel witnessed morphological and hydrological degradations like channel constriction, channel clogging, flow lowering etc. and these were further identified as some vectors of areal shrinkage and growing hydrological insecurity in the linked wetlands. The total wetland area declined from 44.89 km2 to 16.86 km2 from 1991 to 2021. The rate of areal loss, shallowing WD, growing inconsistency of water presence, narrowing HP, and weakening WR was found high in recent times due to de-linking and degradations of tie channels. This approach of explanation of hydrological insecurity of wetland in relation to tie channel degradations, de-linking and findings are quite unique. So, re-linking and morphological correction of the tie channels would be a good policy for wetland restoration. • The floodplain wetland area was reduced by 37.55% between 1991 and 2021. • Tie channels were either lost or degraded losing sufficient water-carrying capacity. • Consistency, hydro-period, wetland depth declined in relation to tie channel loss. • De-linking of tie channel deteriorated water richness zone in wetlands. • Re-linking of tie channel could improve the hydrological condition of the wetland. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Large-scale tree planting has been advocated for decades in many countries as a cost-effective strategy to mitigate carbon, rejuvenate degraded landscapes, and support local livelihoods. Recent studies, however, suggest limited ecological and livelihood impacts of tree planting programs, indicating possible limits to tree planting as a natural climate solution. In this paper, we explore these carrying capacity-like limits by evaluating the site suitability of forestry landscapes of the northern Indian state of Himachal Pradesh using theory/expert-based rules and machine learning algorithms. We find that the state can only achieve a maximum of 31.54% forest cover due to socio-ecological and biophysical constraints, much less than India's goal of bringing 66% of the total geographical area of Himalayan states into forest cover. The low availability of suitable lands for growing trees, together with poor plantation site selection by forest range officers limit the use of tree planting as a sole climate mitigation strategy. To approach theoretical planting limits, we propose an ePSA (e-Plantation Site Assistant) recommendation system based on our site-suitability results to assist forest rangers in selecting suitable sites for planting trees. An initial deployment of the recommender system suggests its potential utility in shaping the long-term success of tree plantations as an effective carbon strategy in northern India and beyond. Overall, we argue that there is a need to realign over-ambitious national and international tree planting targets with actual limits from site characteristics to avoid massive wastage of funds and to obtain feasible carbon mitigation outcomes. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

• Feature engineering based framework for location-sensitive disaster event detection. • Augmentation of context-free and context-based features with place of occurrence. • Evaluation with unsupervised machine learning algorithm with 09 performance metrics. • AHP-TOPSIS based selection of an efficient machine learning algorithm and feature set. • Location-augmented context-based features outperformed traditional textual features. Disaster event detection aims to identify events like terrorist attacks, fire incidents, stampede incidents, building collapse, etc., reported in the online news articles or social media. Place of occurrence of disaster event is a significant feature associated with events for location-sensitive disaster event detection. Efficient feature selection and their augmentation with location information can contribute towards the evolution of traditional approaches and their adoption for location-sensitive disaster event detection leading to improvement in the overall process as a whole. Since the evaluation of event detection techniques deliberates various intrinsic and extrinsic performance metrics, the decision-making for the selection of feature sets is treated as a Multiple-Criteria Decision Making (MCDM) problem. This paper proposes a framework, GeoClust , that is based on feature engineering of traditional textual features in order to enhance their capability for improved location-sensitive disaster event detection. The framework augments context-free and context-based textual feature sets with feature sets of place of occurrence of the events and evaluates their performance using unsupervised machine learning algorithms for various performance metrics. Finally, the best feature set is selected using AHP-TOPSIS technique of MCDM in order to tune the system for automatic and efficient location-sensitive disaster event detection in real-time. Extensive set of experiments have been performed in order to evaluate the framework on a dataset of online news articles reporting disaster events about terrorist attacks, fire incidents, stampede incidents, building collapse and maoist attacks happened at different locations in India. The results show that the location-augmented feature sets significantly improve performance of location-sensitive disaster event detection as compared with traditional feature sets. The results also demonstrate that the context-based feature sets with location-augmentation are ranked higher than the context-free feature sets in MCDM analysis. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Land Use Land Cover (LULC) change assessment and prediction are essential for optimised water resources planning and management. This paper attempts to intercompare the different LULC change modelling techniques (two-hybrid and two traditional models) to predict the future LULC change. These include Multi-Layer Perceptron Markov Chain (MLP_MC), Logistic Regression-Markov Model (LR-MC), and two hybrid models, namely, Multi-Layer Perceptron Markov Chain Cellular Automata (MLP_MC_CA), Logistic Regression Markov Model Cellular Automata (LR_MC_CA) models. These models were tested on Nagavali River Basin (NRB), a river basin in Southern India, which has seen significant land-use changes over the past two decades. Over the past two decades, the study region experienced dominant changes on the order of 17.42% and 15.22% decrease in scrubland and forest, respectively. At the same time, the agricultural land cover is increased by 35.28%. For the LULC prediction, the model was initially trained using the relevant driver variables and LULC maps of 2010 and 2015. The calibrated model was validated using the 2020 LULC map. The statistical results in terms of Kappa values and chi-square results reveal that the hybrid model MLP-MC-CA has a better agreement (Kappa coefficient 0.902) compared to the other models. Further, it is also observed that the CA-based models have a better ability to capture spatial connections. After combining the MLP_MC model with the Cellular Automata, the former model was improved by 10.8% in terms of the overall Kappa coefficient. The best model for LULC prediction over the next decade (LULC map of 2030) showed that the forest area would decrease by 9.02%, and the agricultural land would increase by 8.74%. Further, the results from the study indicate that the hybrid machine learning models provide a promising alternative for land-use change prediction. • Intercomparison of different Machine Learning Methods for Land Use Land Cover Prediction. • Hybrid model based on MLP_MC_CA outperforms other non-hybrid and traditional methods. • LULC 2030 for NRB showed that the forest area would decrease by 9.02%, and the agricultural land would increase by 8.74%. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]