1. Dynamic Factor Copula Models with Estimated Cluster Assignments.
- Author
-
Dong Hwan Oh and Patton, Andrew J.
- Subjects
K-means clustering ,MARKET capitalization ,COMPUTER algorithms ,STATISTICAL correlation ,DATA analysis - Abstract
This paper proposes a dynamic multi-factor copula for use in high dimensional time series applications. A novel feature of our model is that the assignment of individual variables to groups is estimated from the data, rather than being pre-assigned using SIC industry codes, market capitalization ranks, or other ad hoc methods. We adapt the k-means clustering algorithm for use in our application and show that it has excellent finite-sample properties. Applying the new model to returns on 110 US equities, we find around 20 clusters to be optimal. In out-of-sample forecasts, we find that a model with as few as five estimated clusters significantly outperforms an otherwise identical model with 21 clusters formed using two-digit SIC codes. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2021
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