1. Multifeature Short-Term Power Load Forecasting Based on GCN-LSTM.
- Author
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Chen, Houhe, Zhu, Mingyang, Hu, Xiao, Wang, Jiarui, Sun, Yong, Yang, Jinduo, Li, Baoju, and Meng, Xiangdong
- Subjects
DEMAND forecasting ,RANK correlation (Statistics) ,ELECTRICAL load ,FORECASTING ,SUPPLY & demand ,ENERGY consumption - Abstract
With the construction of a new-type power system under the China "double carbon" target and the increasing diversification of the energy demand on the user side, the short-term load forecasting of the power system is facing new challenges. To fully exploit the massive information contained in data, based on the graph convolutional network (GCN) and long short-term memory network (LSTM), this paper presents a new short-term load forecasting method for power systems considering multiple factors. The Spearman rank correlation coefficient was used to analyse the correlation between load and meteorological factors, and a model including meteorology, dates, and regions was established. Secondly, GCN and LSTM are jointly used to extract the spatial and temporal characteristics of massive data, respectively, and finally achieve short-term power load prediction. Historical electrical load data from 2020 to 2022 public data of a real industrial park in southern China were selected to verify the validity of the proposed method from the aspects of forecasting accuracy, feature dimension, and training time. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2023
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