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Malaria continues to be a major barrier to socioeconomic development in Africa, where its death rate is over 90%. The predictive power of many machine learning models—such as multi-linear regression (MLR), artificial neural networks (ANN), adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference systems (ANFISs) and Random Forest classifier—is investigated in this study using data from 2207 patients. The dataset was reduced from the initial dataset of thirty-two criteria samples to fifteen. Assessment measures such as the root mean square error (RMSE), mean square error (MSE), coefficient of determination (R2), and adjusted correlation coefficient R were used. ANFIS, Random Forest, MLR, and ANN are among the models. After training, ANN outperforms ANFIS (97%), MLR (92%), and Random Forest (68%) with the greatest R (99%) and R2 (99%), respectively. The testing stage confirms the superiority of ANN. The paper also presents a statistical forecasting sheet with few errors and excellent accuracy for MLR models. When the models are assessed with Random Forest, the latter shows the least results, thus broadening the modeling techniques and offering significant insights into the prediction of malaria and healthcare decision making. The outcomes of using machine learning models for precise and efficient illness prediction add to an expanding body of knowledge, assisting healthcare systems in making better decisions and allocating resources more effectively. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

For decades, humans have been confronted with numerous pest species, with the desert locust being one of the most damaging and having the greatest socio-economic impact. Trying to predict the occurrence of such pests is often complicated by the small number of records and observations in databases. This paper proposes a methodology based on a combination of classification and regression techniques to address not only the problem of locust sightings prediction, but also the number of locust individuals that may be expected. For this purpose, we apply different machine learning (ML) and related techniques, such as linear regression, Support Vector Machines, decision trees, random forests and neural networks. The considered ML algorithms are evaluated in three different scenarios in Western Africa, mainly Mauritania, and for the elaboration of the forecasting process, a number of meteorological variables obtained from the ERA5 reanalysis data are used as input variables for the classification–regression machines. The results obtained show good performance in terms of classification (appearance or not of desert locust), and acceptable regression results in terms of predicting the number of locusts, a harder problem due to the small number of samples available. We observed that the RF algorithm exhibited exceptional performance in the classification task (presence/absence) and achieved noteworthy results in regression (number of sightings), being the most effective machine learning algorithm among those used. It achieved classification results, in terms of F-score, around the value of 0.9 for the proposed Scenario 1. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Public health is now in danger because of the current monkeypox outbreak, which has spread rapidly to more than 40 countries outside of Africa. The growing monkeypox epidemic has been classified as a "public health emergency of international concern" (PHEIC) by the World Health Organization (WHO). Infection outcomes, risk factors, clinical presentation, and transmission are all poorly understood. Computer- and machine-learning-assisted prediction and forecasting will be useful for controlling its spread. The objective of this research is to use the historical data of all reported human monkey pox cases to predict the transmission rate of the disease. This paper proposed stacking ensemble learning and machine learning techniques to forecast the rate of transmission of monkeypox. In this work, adaptive boosting regression (Adaboost), gradient boosting regression (GBOOST), random forest regression (RFR), ordinary least square regression (OLS), least absolute shrinkage selection operator regression (LASSO), and ridge regression (RIDGE) were applied for time series forecasting of monkeypox transmission. Performance metrics considered in this study are root mean square (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE), and mean square error (MSE), which were used to evaluate the performance of the machine learning and the proposed Stacking Ensemble Learning (SEL) technique. Additionally, the monkey pox dataset was used as test data for this investigation. Experimental results revealed that SEL outperformed other machine learning approaches considered in this work with an RMSE of 33.1075; a MSE of 1096.1068; and a MAE of 22.4214. This is an indication that SEL is a better predictor than all the other models used in this study. It is hoped that this research will help government officials understand the threat of monkey pox and take the necessary mitigation actions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Africa has the largest grassland area among all grassland ecosystems in the world. As a typical agricultural and animal husbandry country in Africa, animal husbandry plays an important role in this region. The investigation of grassland resources and timely grasping the quantity and spatial distribution of grassland resources are of great significance to the stable development of local animal husbandry economy. Therefore, this paper uses Kenya as the study area to investigate the effective and fast approach for grassland mapping with 100-m resolution using the open resources in the Google Earth Engine cloud platform. The main conclusions are as follows. (1) In the feature combination optimization part of this paper, the machine learning algorithm is used to compare the scores and standard deviations of several common algorithms combined with RFE. It is concluded that the combination of RFE and random forest algorithm has the highest stability in modeling and the best feature optimization effect. (2) After feature optimization by the RFE-RF algorithm, the number of features is reduced from 12 to 8, which compressed the original feature space and reduced the redundancy of features. The optimal combination features are applied to random forest classification, and the overall accuracy and Kappa coefficient of classification are 0.87 and 0.85, respectively. The eight features are: elevation, NDVI, EVI, SWIR, RVI, BLUE, RED, and LSWI. (3) There are great differences in topographic features among the local land types in the study area, and the addition of topographic features is more conducive to the recognition and classification of various land types. There exists "salt-and-pepper phenomenon" in pixel-oriented classification. Later research focus will combine the RFE-RF algorithm and the segmentation algorithm to achieve object-oriented land cover classification. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The foremost priority of the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction (SFDRR) is the increased understanding of disaster risk and strengthening its management. Detailed insights into African disaster risk drivers and assessment of policies for Disaster Risk Reduction (DRR) are sparse, hence this study. Using the Index for Risk Management (INFORM) data for 2022, this study determines important disaster risk drivers in Africa using a random forest machine learning model. Violent conflicts, current and projected, emerge as the only hazard factor significantly predictive of disaster risk in Africa, from the analyzed data. Other factors are mostly the sub-components of lack of coping capacity. Furthermore, 25 policies of the 10 countries of very high disaster risk were analyzed to evaluate their inclusion of pre-identified disaster risk factors. The findings of this study depart from the viewpoint of giving natural hazards greater attention in African disaster risk literature. Moreover, identified disaster risk drivers in Africa coincide with the social dimension of disasters, and broader continental developmental and policy issues. As Africa grapples with the complex interplay of environmental, socioeconomic, and conflict-related factors shaping disaster risk, the imperative arises for the development and implementation of comprehensive policies aimed at poverty and vulnerability-reduction to foster resilience across the region. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Regional or continental-scale land cover mapping requires various amounts of months of multi-temporal satellite data to pick phenological variation in vegetation, enhancing differentiability among surface cover types and improving accuracy. However, little has been addressed about the number of months/multi-temporal images needed to obtain the best result and the impact of using different amounts of these data on the accuracy of individual classes. This work aimed to analyze these effects by utilizing the various amounts of months of time series FengYun-3C (FY-3C) data within one year for land cover mapping of parts of Africa using a random forest classifier. The study area covers roughly one-third of Africa, including eastern, central, and northern parts of the continent. One-year FY-3C ten-day composite images consisting of eleven-band each with 1-km spatial resolution were divided into seven input datasets that comprise stacked images of 1-month, 3-month, 6-month, consecutive 9-month, 12-month, selected images from 12 months using band/feature importance, and selected 9-month. Comparisons of these datasets on independent test samples revealed that overall accuracy, kappa coefficient, and the accuracy of the individual classes generally increase significantly with increasing the number of data/months. However, the highest accuracy and kappa coefficient, 0.86 and 0.83, were obtained by processing selected 9-month imageries. The second maximum accuracy and kappa (0.85 and 0.82,) were found by manipulating 12-month scenes which are the same as the results obtained by applying feature reduction. Although 4% and 5% higher accuracy were achieved by manipulating 3-month and 6-month data relative to 1-month imageries, no variation of accuracy was observed between six- and nine-months of consecutive data, both yielding equal accuracy and kappa value (0.84 and 0.81) indicating redundancy of information. Overall, the high accuracy results show the feasibility of FY-3C data for land cover mapping of Africa. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]