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2. Comment on the paper 'On the influx of small comets into the earth's upper atmosphere'
- Author
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Soter, Steven
- Subjects
Geophysics - Abstract
The possibility that comets containing up to 100 tons of ice encounter the earth's atmosphere at a rate of one every 20 min is discussed. Cometary 'hail storms' were proposed to explain observed regular transient decreases in the atmospheric UV dayglow intensity. The decreases take the form of dark 'holes' up to 50 km across. The probability that clouds of objects assumed to be as dark as the nucleus of Comet Halley between the earth and moon would be detectable by ground-based electrooptical deep space telescopes is considered. Conflicting projections of the number of objects which would be detected per hour are examined. High correlations are noted between cometary passages (Comets Encke, Tuttle, Tempel) and intervals of meteor showers (Taurids, Leonids, Geminis, etc.). The holes, however, are not correlated or coincident with the showers. It is suggested that dedicated searches for the unclassified dark objects be carried out in November, when cometary fluxes are high.
- Published
- 1987
3. Comment on the paper 'On the influx of small comets into the earth's upper atmosphere. I - Observations'
- Author
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Chubb, T. A
- Subjects
Geophysics - Abstract
The observations of transient decreases or holes in the EUV dayglow reported by Frank et al. (1986) and attributed to an influx of small comets into the earth atmosphere are discussed critically. The techniques used in acquiring and analyzing the observational data are examined, and it is argued that the decreases are probably instrument artifacts. A critique of the geophysical basis of the comet hypothesis is also included. In a reply by Frank et al., the instrument-artifact argument is rejected, in part on the basis of the statistical properties of the holes observed. Additional observational data are presented in graphs and dynamics Explorer 1 images are analyzed in detail.
- Published
- 1986
4. Comment on the paper 'On the influx of small comets into the earth's upper atmosphere. II - Interpretation'
- Author
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Frank, L. A, Sigwarth, J. B, and Craven, J. D
- Subjects
Geophysics - Abstract
Frank et al. (1986) argue that, on the basis of dayglow observations, about 20 small comets of mass roughly 100,000 g hit the earth each minute. The proposed comets appear to require dust mantles; for otherwise they would evaporate quickly and contribute to the solar wind. Such an enrichment is not observed. An order-of-magnitude argument based on comet sizes, densities, and meteoritic dust influx is used here to show that the dust mantles can have a maximum thickness of about 200 microns. A reasonable estimate gives a thickness of about 0.2 micron. The mantles are thus too thin to suppress evaporation.
- Published
- 1986
5. Comment on the paper 'On the influx of small comets into the earth's upper atmosphere. II - Interpretation' by L. A. Frank, J. B. Sigwarth and J. D. Craven
- Author
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Donahue, T. M
- Subjects
Lunar And Planetary Exploration - Abstract
The proposal by Frank et al. (1986) that clouds of small comets periodically inject large amounts of H2O into the upper atmospheres of the earth, Venus, and Mars is examined critically, with a focus on transport and disposal mechanisms invoked to account for the large H2O masses involved. It is argued that observed parameter values (such as mixing ratios, vertical wind velocities, and H escape flows) prohibit transport by eddy, molecular diffusion, vertical avection, or coherent movement. In a reply by Frank et al., these objections are discussed in terms of an overall description of the decelerataion and penetration of a cometary water cloud, and H2O concentrations and mixing mechanisms consistent with observed values for the earth are proposed. It is suggested that an increase in cometary H2O influx could lead to concentrations attaining the frost point and to formation of a global mesospheric cloud with significant climate effects. A lower H2O influx rate for Venus (consistent with observed H loss and atmospheric H2O concentration) and relatively rapid loading of the Mars surface and atmosphere with H2O ice and vapor (followed by brief warming periods with increased exospheric H2O outflow and surface flow of liquid H2O) are considered.
- Published
- 1986
6. Comment on “Advanced Testing of Low, Medium, and High ECS CMIP6 GCM Simulations Versus ERA5-T2m' by N. Scafetta (2022)
- Author
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Gavin A. Schmidt, Gareth S. Jones, and John J. Kennedy
- Subjects
Meteorology and Climatology - Abstract
Scafetta (2022, https://doi.org/10.1029/2022gl097716) purports to test Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) climate models through a comparison of temperature changes over three decades. Unfortunately, the paper contains numerous conceptual and statistical errors that undermine all of the conclusions. First, no uncertainty is given for the observational temperature difference, making it impossible to assess compatibility with any model result. Second, the CMIP6 data are the ensemble means for each model, but the metric being tested is sensitive to the internal variability and so the full ensemble for each model must be used. When this is corrected, the conclusion that “all models with ECS > 3.0°C overestimate the observed global surface warming” is not sustained. Third, the statistical test in Section 2 would reject all models even in a perfect model setup given sufficient ensemble members, thus the second conclusion “that spatial t-statistics rejects the data-model agreement” is also not sustainable.
- Published
- 2023
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7. Preliminary results from the Sprites94 aircraft campaign: 1. Red sprites
- Author
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Sentman, D. D, Wescott, E. M, Osborne, D. L, Hampton, D. L, and Heavner, M. J
- Subjects
Geophysics - Abstract
The dual jet aircraft Sprites94 campaign yielded the first color imagery and unambiguously triangulated physical dimensions and heights of upper atmospheric optical emissions associated with thunderstorm systems. Low light level television images, in both color and in black and white (B/W), obtained during the campaign show that there are at least two distinctively different types of optical emissions spanning part or all of the distance between the anvil tops and the ionosphere. The first of these emissions, dubbed 'sprites' after their elusive nature, are luminous structures of brief (less than 16 ms) duration with a red main body that typically spans the latitude range 50-90 km, and possessing lateral dimensions of 5-30 km. Faint bluish tendrils often extend downward from the main body of sprites, occasionally appearing to reach cloud tops near 20 km. In this paper the principal characteristics of red sprites as observed during the Sprites94 campaign are described. The second distinctive type of emissions, 'blue jets,' are described in a companion paper (Wescott et al., this issue).
- Published
- 1995
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8. Precipitation of fast ion beams from the plasma sheet boundary layer
- Author
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Ashour-Abdalla, M, Zelenyi, L. M, Bosqued, J. M, and Kovrazhkin, R. A
- Subjects
Geophysics - Abstract
This paper presents a model of precipitated fluxes from the PSBL and CPS. Simulation results and data from Aureol-3 spacecraft indicate the presence of velocity dispersed precipitated ion structures (VDIS) at the poleward edge of the auroral oval. These structures are associated with fast ion beams in the PSBL region of the earth's magnetotail, confirming previous experimental results. The simulations also reveal possible substructuring of the VDIS. The bulk of the PSBL population which is not precipitated is very effectively thermalized and quasi-isotropized after multiple interactions with the magnetotail current layer. After each reflection cycle some part of the distribution is precipitated and forms multiple 'echoes' of VDIS. The CPS distributions occurring as a result of scattering, convection, multiple reflections and Fermi acceleration appear isotropic in the simulation model. This paper portrays the important role of the VDIS auroral region medium for complicated and energetically significant processes occurring in different regions of the distant magnetotail.
- Published
- 1992
9. ULF Wave-Associated Density Irregularities and Scintillation at the Equator
- Author
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Yizengaw, E, Zesta, E, Moldwin, M. B, Magoun, M, Tripathi, N. K, Surussavadee, C, and Bamba, Z
- Subjects
Earth Resources And Remote Sensing - Abstract
This paper presents independent multi-instrument observations that address the physical mechanisms of how ultralow-frequency (ULF) wave-associated electric fields initiate ionospheric density fluctuation and scintillation at the equator. Since the magnetic field at the equator is entirely embedded in a relatively high-collision and high-conductivity medium, the condition may not be possible for the geomagnetic field to fluctuate due to ULF wave activity. This implies that the fluctuating electric field at the equator may not be produced through equatorial dynamo action due to fluctuating magnetic fields. Instead, the electric field penetrates from high latitudes and produces fluctuating magnetic field as well as modulates the vertical drift and hence causes the density to fluctuate at the equatorial region. We demonstrate this by estimating the ULF associated fluctuating electric field at high latitudes and at the equatorial region by applying the appropriate attenuation factor as it penetrates to lower latitudes. The periodicity of both electric field and density fluctuations appears to be between 6 and 9 min, which is a typical period of ULF waves in the Pc5 range. Because of its large amplitude and long periods compared to other ULF wave frequency bands, the Pc5 wave-associated electric field, which can even be estimated using magnetograms with low sensitivity and low sampling rate (e.g., 1 min), can easily penetrate to the lower latitude region and produce significant ionospheric density fluctuations that can be strong enough to create scintillation at the equatorial region.
- Published
- 2018
- Full Text
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10. The Magnetospheric Source Region of the Bright Proton Aurora
- Author
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Spanswick, E, Donovan, E, Kepko, L, and Angelopoulos, V
- Subjects
Geophysics - Abstract
The bright proton aurora is generally understood to be the projection of the Central Plasma Sheet where there is sufficient particle energy to cause auroral luminosity and strong pitch angle scattering (presumably due to field line curvature). This region is often interpreted as the transition region between dipolar and tail-like magnetic topologies. The location of auroral features relative to the peak in the proton aurora has been used, for example, to argue that the substorm onset arc lies on field lines that thread this transition region. In this paper, we present statistics of proton aurora luminosity computed from Time History of Events and Macroscale Interactions in Substorms electrostatic analyzer measurements for various radial distances in the magnetotail. These results are compared to ground observations of proton auroral luminosity and used to derive a statistical source region of the bright proton aurora.
- Published
- 2017
- Full Text
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11. Magnetospheric Multiscale Mission Observations of the Outer Electron Diffusion Region
- Author
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Hwang, K.-J, Sibeck, D. G, Choi, E, Chen, L.-J, Ergun, R. E, Khotyaintsev, Y, Giles, B. L, Pollock, C. J, Gershman, D, Dorelli, J. C, Avanov, L, Paterson, W. R, Burch, J. L, Russell, C. T, Strangeway, R. J, and Torbert, R. B
- Subjects
Geophysics - Abstract
This paper presents Magnetospheric Multiscale mission (MMS) observations of the exhaust region in the vicinity of the central reconnection site in Earth's magnetopause current sheet. High-time-resolution measurements of field and particle distributions enable us to explore the fine structure of the diffusion region near the X line. Ions are decoupled from the magnetic field throughout the entire current sheet crossing. Electron jets flow downstream from the X line at speeds greater than the E by B drift velocity. At or around the magnetospheric separatrix, large-amplitude electric fields containing field-aligned components accelerate electrons along the magnetic field toward the X line. Near the neutral sheet, crescent-shaped electron distributions appear coincident with (1) an out-of-plane electric field whose polarity is opposite to that of the reconnection electric field and (2) the energy transfer from bulk kinetic to field energy. The observations indicate that MMS passed through the edge of an elongated electron diffusion region (EDR) or the outer EDR in the exhaust region.
- Published
- 2017
- Full Text
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12. Response of the Equatorial Ionosphere to the Geomagnetic DP 2 Current System
- Author
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Yizengaw, E, Moldwin, M. B, Zesta, E, Magoun, M, Pradipta, R, Biouele, C. M, Rabiu, A. B, Obrou, O. K, Bamba, Z, and Paula, E. R. De
- Subjects
Space Sciences (General) - Abstract
The response of equatorial ionosphere to the magnetospheric origin DP 2 current system fluctuations is examined using ground-based multiinstrument observations. The interaction between the solar wind and fluctuations of the interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) Bz, penetrates nearly instantaneously to the dayside equatorial region at all longitudes and modulates the electrodynamics that governs the equatorial density distributions. In this paper, using magnetometers at high and equatorial latitudes, we demonstrate that the quasiperiodic DP 2 current system penetrates to the equator and causes the dayside equatorial electrojet (EEJ) and the independently measured ionospheric drift velocity to fluctuate coherently with the high-latitude DP 2 current as well as with the IMF Bz component. At the same time, radar observations show that the ionospheric density layers move up and down, causing the density to fluctuate up and down coherently with the EEJ and IMF Bz.
- Published
- 2016
- Full Text
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13. Tidal dissipiation in Europa - A correction
- Author
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Cassen, P, Reynolds, R. T, and Peale, S. J
- Subjects
Lunar And Planetary Exploration - Abstract
The possibility that tidal dissipation in a thin ice crust was sufficient to preserve liquid water on Jupiter's satellite Europa was suggested by Cassen et al. (1979). However, their calculation of the tidal heating rate for that situation is in error; for the same parameter values, the actual heating rate would be much less than given in their paper. Thus, their conclusion regarding the possibility that liquid water exists today on Europa is considerably weakened. This paper corrects the calculation of the tidal dissipation rate in a Europan ice crust, and discusses the implications for Europa's thermal history, and clarifies certain aspects of the tidal heating problem.
- Published
- 1980
14. Photochemical-radiative damping and instability in the stratosphere. II Numerical results
- Author
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Strobel, D. F
- Subjects
Geophysics - Abstract
In a paper by Strobel (1977), opacity effects on the joint photochemical-radiative relaxation in the stratosphere were evaluated by a linear perturbation analysis. Significant reductions in the photochemical acceleration of the thermal relaxation rate and the ozone photochemical relaxation rate were obtained in the upper stratosphere as a result of opacity changes. For very large vertical scale height ozone density perturbations, amplifying solutions were generated by large opacity changes in the O3 dissociation and heating rates. Such solutions could indicate that the stratosphere does not possess an equilibrium ozone concentration. In the present paper, some illustrative numerical calculations are presented to demonstrate the properties of the amplifying solutions. The results indicate that ungeophysically large disturbances are required and that they cease growth before attainment of geophysically interesting amplitudes, and decay to the unperturbed state.
- Published
- 1978
15. Observation of Mountain Lee Waves with MODIS NIR Column Water Vapor
- Author
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Lyapustin, A, Alexander, M. J, Ott, L, Molod, A, Holben, B, Susskind, J, and Wang, Y
- Subjects
Earth Resources And Remote Sensing - Abstract
Mountain lee waves have been previously observed in data from the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) "water vapor" 6.7 micrometers channel which has a typical peak sensitivity at 550 hPa in the free troposphere. This paper reports the first observation of mountain waves generated by the Appalachian Mountains in the MODIS total column water vapor (CWV) product derived from near-infrared (NIR) (0.94 micrometers) measurements, which indicate perturbations very close to the surface. The CWV waves are usually observed during spring and late fall or some summer days with low to moderate CWV (below is approx. 2 cm). The observed lee waves display wavelengths from3-4 to 15kmwith an amplitude of variation often comparable to is approx. 50-70% of the total CWV. Since the bulk of atmospheric water vapor is confined to the boundary layer, this indicates that the impact of thesewaves extends deep into the boundary layer, and these may be the lowest level signatures of mountain lee waves presently detected by remote sensing over the land.
- Published
- 2014
- Full Text
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16. Solar Flare Impacts on Ionospheric Electrodynamics
- Author
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Qian, Liying, Burns, Alan G, Solomon, Stanley C, and Chamberlin, Phillip C
- Subjects
Meteorology And Climatology - Abstract
The sudden increase of X-ray and extreme ultra-violet irradiance during flares increases the density of the ionosphere through enhanced photoionization. In this paper, we use model simulations to investigate possible additional contributions from electrodynamics, finding that the vertical E X B drift in the magnetic equatorial region plays a significant role in the ionosphere response to solar flares. During the initial stage of flares, upward E X B drifts weaken in the magnetic equatorial region, causing a weakened equatorial fountain effect, which in turn causes lowering of the peak height of the F2 region and depletion of the peak electron density of the F2 region. In this initial stage, total electron content (TEC) enhancement is predominantly determined by solar zenith angle control of photoionization. As flares decay, upward E X B drifts are enhanced in the magnetic equatorial region, causing increases of the peak height and density of the F2 region. This process lasts for several hours, causing a prolonged F2-region disturbance and TEC enhancement in the magnetic equator region in the aftermath of flares. During this stage, the global morphology of the TEC enhancement becomes predominantly determined by these perturbations to the electrodynamics of the ionosphere.
- Published
- 2012
- Full Text
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17. A Comparison of ARTEMIS Observations and Particle-in-cell Modeling of the Lunar Photoelectron Sheath in the Terrestrial Magnetotail
- Author
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Poppe, A. R, Halekas, J. S, Delory, G. T, Farrell, W. M, Angelopoulos, V, McFadden, J. P, Bonnell, J. W, and Ergun, R. E
- Subjects
Lunar And Planetary Science And Exploration - Abstract
As an airless body in space with no global magnetic field, the Moon is exposed to both solar ultraviolet radiation and ambient plasmas. Photoemission from solar UV radiation and collection of ambient plasma are typically opposing charging currents and simple charging current balance predicts that the lunar dayside surface should charge positively; however, the two ARTEMIS probes have observed energydependent loss cones and high-energy, surface-originating electron beams above the dayside lunar surface for extended periods in the magnetosphere, which are indicative of negative surface potentials. In this paper, we compare observations by the ARTEMIS P1 spacecraft with a one dimensional particle-in-cell simulation and show that the energy-dependent loss cones and electron beams are due to the presence of stable, non-monotonic, negative potentials above the lunar surface. The simulations also show that while the magnitude of the non-monotonic potential is mainly driven by the incoming electron temperature, the incoming ion temperature can alter this magnitude, especially for periods in the plasma sheet when the ion temperature is more than twenty times the electron temperature. Finally, we note several other plasma phenomena associated with these non-monotonic potentials, such as broadband electrostatic noise and electron cyclotron harmonic emissions, and offer possible generation mechanisms for these phenomena.
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- 2012
- Full Text
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18. Estimation of the Total Electron Content of the Martian Ionosphere using Radar Sounder Surface Echoes
- Author
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Safaeinili, Ali, Kofman, Wlodek, Mouginot, Jeremie, Gim, Yonggyu, Herique, Alain, Ivanov, Anton B, Plaut, Jeffrey J, and Picardi, Giovanni
- Subjects
Lunar And Planetary Science And Exploration - Abstract
The Martian ionosphere's local total electron content (TEC) and the neutral atmosphere scale height can be derived from radar echoes reflected from the surface of the planet. We report the global distribution of the TEC by analyzing more than 750,000 echoes of the Mars Advanced Radar for Subsurface and Ionospheric Sounding (MARSIS). This is the first direct measurement of the TEC of the Martian ionosphere. The technique used in this paper is a novel 'transmission-mode' sounding of the ionosphere of Mars in contrast to the Active Ionospheric Sounding experiment (AIS) on MARSIS, which generally operates in the reflection mode. This technique yields a global map of the TEC for the Martian ionosphere. The radar transmits a wideband chirp signal that travels through the ionosphere before and after being reflected from the surface. The received waves are attenuated, delayed and dispersed, depending on the electron density in the column directly below the spacecraft. In the process of correcting the radar signal, we are able to estimate the TEC and its global distribution with an unprecedented resolution of about 0.1 deg in latitude (5 km footprint). The mapping of the relative geographical variations in the estimated nightside TEC data reveals an intricate web of high electron density regions that correspond to regions where crustal magnetic field lines are connected to the solar wind. Our data demonstrates that these regions are generally but not exclusively associated with areas that have magnetic field lines perpendicular to the surface of Mars. As a result, the global TEC map provides a high-resolution view of where the Martian crustal magnetic field is connected to the solar wind. We also provide an estimate of the neutral atmospheric scale height near the ionospheric peak and observe temporal fluctuations in peak electron density related to solar activity.
- Published
- 2007
- Full Text
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19. Assessment of MODIS-Derived Visible and Near-IR Aerosol Optical Properties and their Spatial Variability in the Presence of Mineral Dust
- Author
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Redemann, J, Zhang, Q, Schmid, B, Russell, P. B, Livingston, J. M, Jonsson, H, and Remer, L. A
- Subjects
Geophysics - Abstract
Mineral dust aerosol is among the most difficult aerosol species to measure quantitatively from space. In this paper, we evaluate MODIS retrievals of spectral aerosol optical depth (AOD) from the visible to the near-IR off the US West Coast using measurements taken by the NASA Ames Airborne Tracking Sunphotometer, AATS-14, during the EVE (Extended-MODIS-lambda Validation Experiment, 2004) campaign in April of 2004. In EVE, a total of 35 and 49 coincident over-ocean suborbital measurements at the nominal level-2 retrieval scale of 10 km x 10 km were collected for Terra and Aqua, respectively. For MODIS-Terra about 80% of the AOD retrievals are within the estimated uncertainty, DELTA tau = plus or minus 0.03 plus or minus 0.05 tau; this is true for both the visible (here defined to include 466-855 nm) and near-IR (here defined to include 1243-2119 nm) retrievals. For MODIS-Aqua about 45% of the AOD retrievals are within DELTA tau = plus or minus 0.03 plus or minus 0.05 tau; the fraction of near-IR retrievals that fall within this uncertainty range is about 27%. We found an rms difference of 0.71 between the sunphotometer snd MODIS-Aqua estimates of the visible (553-855 nm) Angstrom exponent, while the MODIS-Terra visible Angstrom exponents show an rms difference of only 0.29 when compared to AATS. The cause of the differences in performance between MODIS-Terra and MODIS-Aqua could be instrument calibration and needs to be explored further. The spatial variability of AOD between retrieval boxes as derived by MODIS is generally larger than that indicated by the sunphotometer data.
- Published
- 2006
- Full Text
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20. Reply to Comment on “Coronal Mass Ejections, Interplanetary Ejecta and Geomagnetic Storms' by Gopalswamy Et Al.
- Author
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Cane, H. V and Richardson, I. G
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Solar Physics - Abstract
The comment of Gopalswamy et al. (thereafter GMY) relates to a letter discussing coronal mass ejections (CMEs), interplanetary ejecta and geomagnetic storms. GMY contend that Cane et al. incorrectly identified ejecta (interplanetary CMEs) and hypothesize that this is because Cane et al. fail to understand how to separate ejecta from "shock sheaths" when interpreting solar wind and energetic particle data sets. They (GMY) are wrong be cause the relevant section of the paper was concerned with the propagation time to 1 AU of any potentially geoeffective structures caused by CMEs, i.e. upstream compression regions with or without shocks, or ejecta. In other words, the travel times used by Cane et al. were purposefully and deliberately distinct from ejecta travel times (except for those slow ejecta, approx. 30% of their events, which generated no upstream features), and no error in identification was involved. The confusion of GMY stems from the description did not characterize the observations sufficiently clearly.
- Published
- 2003
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21. Stochastic Growth Theory of Spatially-Averaged Distributions of Langmuir Fields in Earth's Foreshock
- Author
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Boshuizen, Christopher R, Cairns, Iver H, and Robinson, P. A
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Astrophysics - Abstract
Langmuir-like waves in the foreshock of Earth are characteristically bursty and irregular, and are the subject of a number of recent studies. Averaged over the foreshock, it is observed that the probability distribution is power-law P(bar)(log E) in the wave field E with the bar denoting this averaging over position, In this paper it is shown that stochastic growth theory (SGT) can explain a power-law spatially-averaged distributions P(bar)(log E), when the observed power-law variations of the mean and standard deviation of log E with position are combined with the log normal statistics predicted by SGT at each location.
- Published
- 2001
- Full Text
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22. Chorus Source Locations from VLF Poynting Flux Measurements with the Polar Spacecraft
- Author
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LeDocq, M. J, Gurnett, D. A, and Hospodarsky, G. B
- Subjects
Geophysics - Abstract
Previous studies have used indirect evidence to argue that whistler-mode chorus emissions are generated near the magnetic equator. In this paper a spatial survey of wave normals and Poynting vectors computed from three-component electric and magnetic field measurements is used to show that chorus is generated very close to the magnetic equator. One surprising result is that there are almost no chorus emissions propagating toward the magnetic equator, such as might be expected from high-latitude magnetospheric reflections. The absence of a reflected component indicates that the chorus is reabsorbed, probably by Landau damping, before returning to the magnetic equatorial plane.
- Published
- 1998
- Full Text
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23. The Impact of Upper Tropospheric Humidity from Microwave Limb Sounder on the Midlatitude Greenhouse Effect
- Author
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Hu, Hua and Liu, W. Timothy
- Subjects
Environment Pollution - Abstract
This paper presents an analysis of upper tropospheric humidity, as measured by the Microwave Limb Sounder, and the impact of the humidity on the greenhouse effect in the midlatitudes. Enhanced upper tropospheric humidity and an enhanced greenhouse effect occur over the storm tracks in the North Pacific and North Atlantic. In these areas, strong baroclinic activity and the large number of deep convective clouds transport more water vapor to the upper troposphere, and hence increase greenhouse trapping. The greenhouse effect increases with upper tropospheric humidity in areas with a moist upper troposphere (such as areas over storm tracks), but it is not sensitive to changes in upper tropospheric humidity in regions with a dry upper troposphere, clearly demonstrating that there are different mechanisms controlling the geographical distribution of the greenhouse effect in the midlatitudes.
- Published
- 1998
- Full Text
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24. The January 10, 1997 Auroral Hot Spot, Horseshoe Aurora and First Substorm: A CME Loop?
- Author
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Tsurutani, B. T, Arballo, J. K, Lakhina, G. S, Ho, C. M, Ajello, J, Pickett, J. S, Gurnett, D. A, Lepping, R. P, Peterson, W. K, Rostoker, G, Kamide, Y, and Kokubun, S
- Subjects
Geophysics - Abstract
The purpose of this paper is to study an interplanetary Bs feature ahead of a magnetic cloud and its related auroral and magnetospheric responses.
- Published
- 1998
25. Mesopheric Temparature Inversions Observed in Long-Term Lidar Measurements at Mid- and Low-Latitudes
- Author
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Leblanc, T, McDermid, I. S, Keckhut, P, and Hauchecorne, A
- Subjects
Geophysics - Abstract
Results of an investigation of mesospheric temperature inversion layers using long-term lidar measurements at mid- and low-latitudes are reported. In this paper, new results from different lidar observations of the invasion layers will be presented.
- Published
- 1998
26. Micron-Sized Dust Particles Detected in the Outer Solar System by the Voyager 1 and 2 Plasma Wave Instruments
- Author
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Gurnett, D. A, Ansher, J. A, Kurth, W. S, and Granroth, L. J
- Subjects
Astrophysics - Abstract
During the Voyager 1 and 2 flybys of the outer planets it has been demonstrated that the plasma wave instrument can detect small dust particles striking the spacecraft. In this paper, we examine the Voyager plasma wave data for dust impacts in the interplanetary medium at heliocentric radial distances ranging from 6 to 60 astronomical units (AU). The results show that a small but persistent level of dust impacts exists out to at least 30 to 50 AU. The average number density of these particles is about 2 x 10(exp -8)/cu m, and the average mass of the impacting particles is believed to be a few times 10(exp -11) g, which corresponds to particle diameters in the micron range. Possible sources of these particles are planets, moons, asteroids, comets, and the interstellar medium. Of these, comets appear to be the most likely source. ne number densities are only weakly dependent on ecliptic latitude, which indicates that the particles probably do not originate from planets, moons, or asteroids. Comparisons with interstellar dust fluxes measured in the inner regions of the solar system by the Ulysses spacecraft indicate that the particles are not of interstellar origin.
- Published
- 1997
- Full Text
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27. Hot Spots on Io: Initial Results From Galileo's Near Infrared Mapping Spectrometer
- Author
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Lopes-Gautier, Rosaly, Davies, A. G, Carlson, R, Smythe, W, Kamp, L, Soderblom, L, Leader, F. E, and Mehlman, R
- Subjects
Lunar And Planetary Science And Exploration - Abstract
The Near-Infrared Mapping Spectrometer on Galileo has monitored the volcanic activity on Io since June 28, 1996. This paper presents preliminary analysis of NIMS thermal data for the first four orbits of the Galileo mission. NIMS has detected 18 new hot spots and 12 others which were previously known to be active. The distribution of the hot spots on Io's surface may not be random, as hot spots surround the two bright, SO2-rich regions of Bosphorus Regio and Colchis Regio. Most hot spots scan to be persistently active from orbit to orbit and 10 of those detected were active in 1979 during the Voyager encounters. We report the distribution of hot spot temperatures and find that they are consistent with silicate volcanism.
- Published
- 1997
- Full Text
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28. Ring Current Modeling in a Realistic Magnetic Field Configuration
- Author
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Fok, M.-C and Moore, T. E
- Subjects
Geophysics - Abstract
A 3-dimensional kinetic model has been developed to study the dynamics of the storm time ring current in a dipole magnetic field. In this paper, the ring current model is extended to include a realistic, time-varying magnetic field model. The magnetic field is expressed as the cross product of the gradients of two Euler potentials and the bounce-averaged particle drifts are calculated in the Euler potential coordinates. A dipolarization event is modeled by collapsing a tail-like magnetosphere to a dipole-like configuration. Our model is able to simulate the sudden enhancements in the ring current ion fluxes and the corresponding ionospheric precipitation during the substorm expansion.
- Published
- 1997
- Full Text
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29. First Test of Stochastic Growth Theory for Langmuir Waves in Earth's Foreshock
- Author
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Cairns, Iver H and Robinson, P. A
- Subjects
Geophysics - Abstract
This paper presents the first test of whether stochastic growth theory (SGT) can explain the detailed characteristics of Langmuir-like waves in Earth's foreshock. A period with unusually constant solar wind magnetic field is analyzed. The observed distributions P(logE) of wave fields E for two intervals with relatively constant spacecraft location (DIFF) are shown to agree well with the fundamental prediction of SGT, that P(logE) is Gaussian in log E. This stochastic growth can be accounted for semi-quantitatively in terms of standard foreshock beam parameters and a model developed for interplanetary type III bursts. Averaged over the entire period with large variations in DIFF, the P(logE) distribution is a power-law with index approximately -1; this is interpreted in terms of convolution of intrinsic, spatially varying P(logE) distributions with a probability function describing ISEE's residence time at a given DIFF. Wave data from this interval thus provide good observational evidence that SGT can sometimes explain the clumping, burstiness, persistence, and highly variable fields of the foreshock Langmuir-like waves.
- Published
- 1997
- Full Text
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30. The ATLAS Series of Shuttle Missions
- Author
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Kaye, Jack A and Miller, Timothy L
- Subjects
Space Transportation - Abstract
The ATLAS space shuttle missions were conducted in March 1992, April 1993, and November 1994. The ATLAS payload and companion instruments made measurements of solar irradiance and middle atmospheric temperatures and trace gas concentrations. The solar irradiance measurements included total and spectrally resolved solar irradiance. The atmospheric measurements included microwave, infrared, and ultraviolet limb sounding, nadir ultraviolet backscatter, and solar occultation techniques. This paper introduces a special section in this issue of Geophysical Research Letters.
- Published
- 1996
- Full Text
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31. Freezing Behavior of Stratospheric Sulfate Aerosols Inferred from Trajectory Studies
- Author
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Tabazadeh, A, Toon, O. B, and Hamill, Patrick
- Subjects
Geophysics - Abstract
Based on the trajectory analysis presented in this paper, a new mechanism is described for the freezing of the stratospheric sulfate aerosols. Temperature histories based on 10-day back trajectories for six ER-2 flights during AASE-I (1989) and AAOE (1987) are presented. The mechanism requires, as an initial step, the cooling of a H2SO4/H2O aerosol to low temperatures. If a cooling cycle is then followed up by a warming to approximately 196-198 K, the aerosols may freeze due to the growth of the crystallizing embryos formed at the colder temperature. The HNO3 absorbed at colder temperatures may increase the nucleation rate of the crystalling embryos and therefore influence the crystallization of the supercooled aerosols upon warming. Of all the ER-2 flights described, only the polar stratospheric clouds (PSC), observed on the flights of January 24, and 25, 1989 are consistent with the thermodynamics of liquid ternary solutions of H2SO4/HNO3/H2O (type Ib PSCs). For those two days, back trajectories indicate that the air mass was exposed to sulfuric acid tetrahydrate (SAT) melting temperatures about 24 hours prior to being sampled by the ER-2. Temperature histories, recent laboratory measurements, and the properties of glassy solids suggest that stratospheric H2SO4 aerosols may undergo a phase transition to SAT upon warming at approximately 198 K after going through a cooling cycle to about 194 K or lower.
- Published
- 1995
- Full Text
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32. Spatial symmetry breaking in rapidly rotating convective spherical shells
- Author
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Zhang, Keke and Schubert, Gerald
- Subjects
Geophysics - Abstract
Many problems in geophysical and astrophysical convection systems are characterized by fast rotation and spherical shell geometry. The combined effects of Coriolis forces and spherical shell geometry produce a unique spatial symmetry for the convection pattern in a rapidly rotating spherical shell. In this paper, we first discuss the general spatial symmetries for rotating spherical shell convection. A special model, a spherical shell heated from below, is then used to illustrate how and when the spatial symmetries are broken. Symmetry breaking occurs via a sequence of spatial transitions from the primary conducting state to the complex multiple-layered columnar structure. It is argued that, because of the dominant effects of rotation, the sequence of spatial transitions identified from this particular model is likely to be generally valid. Applications of the spatial symmetry breaking to planetary convection problems are also discussed.
- Published
- 1995
- Full Text
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33. Nightside electron flux measurements at Mars by the Phobos-2 HARP instrument
- Author
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Shutte, N, Gringauz, K, Kiraly, P, Kotova, G, Nagy, A. F, Rosenbauer, H, Szego, K, and Verigin, M
- Subjects
Lunar And Planetary Exploration - Abstract
All the available nightside electron data obtained during circular orbits at Mars from the Phobos-2 Hyperbolic Retarded Potential Analyzer (HARP) instrument have been examined in detail and are summarized in this paper. An electron flux component with energies exceeding that of the unperturbed solar wind was observed inside the magnetosheath, indicating the presence of acceleration mechanism(s). The character of the electron fluxes measured in the magnetotail cannot be classified in any simple manner, however, there is a correlation between the electron fluxes measured well inside this region and the unperturbed solar wind ram pressure.
- Published
- 1995
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
34. Cloud-radiative effects on implied oceanic energy transport as simulated by atmospheric general circulation models
- Author
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Gleckler, P. J, Randall, D. A, Boer, G, Colman, R, Dix, M, Galin, V, Helfand, M, Kiehl, J, Kitoh, A, and Lau, W
- Subjects
Meteorology And Climatology - Abstract
This paper summarizes the ocean surface net energy flux simulated by fifteen atmospheric general circulation models constrained by realistically-varying sea surface temperatures and sea ice as part of the Atmospheric Model Intercomparison Project. In general, the simulated energy fluxes are within the very large observational uncertainties. However, the annual mean oceanic meridional heat transport that would be required to balance the simulated surface fluxes is shown to be critically sensitive to the radiative effects of clouds, to the extent that even the sign of the Southern Hemisphere ocean heat transport can be affected by the errors in simulated cloud-radiation interactions. It is suggested that improved treatment of cloud radiative effects should help in the development of coupled atmosphere-ocean general circulation models.
- Published
- 1995
- Full Text
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35. Observations of ice-sheet motion in Greenland using satellite radar interferometry
- Author
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Joughin, Ian R, Winebrenner, Dale P, and Fahnestock, Mark A
- Subjects
Earth Resources And Remote Sensing - Abstract
We present interferometric observations of ice-sheet motion in western Greenland based on pairs of ERS-1 synthetic aperture radar (SAR) images. These observations provide the first detailed regional view of ice motion associated with dynamically supported topography near the margin of an ice sheet. The interferograms of this area are much more complicated than other interferograms of ice sheets presented to date. We devote the largest part of this paper to explaining the source of the complexity in these interferograms. A synthetic interferogram based on a simple model helps to illustrate the effects of different components of the ice velocity field in interferometric data and suggests a method for estimating the large-scale ice velocity field from such data.
- Published
- 1995
- Full Text
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36. A flux rope followed by recurring encounters with traveling compression regions: GEOTAIL observations
- Author
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Kawano, H, Yamamoto, T, Kokubun, S, Tsuruda, K, Lui, A. T. Y, Williams, D. J, Yumoto, K, Hayakawa, H, Nakamura, M, and Okada, T
- Subjects
Geophysics - Abstract
This paper reports a peculiar series of events observed with Geotail on October 24, 1992 at X approximately equals -80 R(sub E). On this day a combination of a bipolar perturbation in B(sub y) and a double-peaked perturbation in B(sub z), signature of a flux rope, was observed. Following this flux rope, bipolar B(sub z) events, identifiable as Traveling Compression Regions (TCRs), were recurrently observed. The axis of the flux rope was deduced to be field-aligned. Energetic ions (electrons) streamed earthward (tailward) in the flux rope. During the TCRs, the E x B flow showed a bipolar north-then-south perturbation, consistent with expected lobe plasma motion. The TCRs corresponded to weak ground magnetic disturbances and Pi2 waves. The observations can be explained by a model in which quasi-stagnant plasmoids are recurrently generated.
- Published
- 1994
- Full Text
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37. Geotail observations of spiky electric fields and low-frequency waves in the plasma sheet and plasma sheet boundary
- Author
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Cattell, C, Mozer, F, Tsuruda, K, Hayakawa, H, Nakamura, M, Okada, T, Kokubun, S, and Yamamoto, T
- Subjects
Geophysics - Abstract
Electric field data from the Geotail spacecraft provide an opportunity to extend the observations of spiky fields made by International Sun Earth Explorer-1 (ISEE-1) to a region of the magnetosphere where quasistatic electric field measurements have not previously been msde, to examine their possible importance in the dynamics of the middle and distant tail, and to test some hypotheses about their formation. In this paper, examples of large fields in the plasma sheet and its boundary at radial distances up to approximately 90 R(sub E) are presented. It is shown that three different types of large electric fields can occur: (1) spiky fields; (2) 'DC' fields; and (3) waves at frequencies comparable to the lower hybrid frequency. There is usually a gradation between (1) and (3), and often large electric field spikes are embedded in regions of lower amplitude waves. The waves tend to occur in short (few to 10's of seconds) packets whose start and stop times are not always correlated with changes in the magnetic field and/or density (as indicated by the spacecraft potential). The peak frequency is often less than but comparable to the lower hybrid frequency in agreement with theories of lower hybrid drift waves in the magnetotail. The largest spikes are not always associated with the largest changes in the spacecraft potential and/or magnetic field. It is suggested that the spiky fields may represent the nonlinear development of the waves.
- Published
- 1994
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
38. An inquiry into the cirrus-cloud thermostat effect for tropical sea surface temperature
- Author
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Lau, K.-M, Sui, C.-H, Chou, M.-D, and Tao, W.-K
- Subjects
Meteorology And Climatology - Abstract
In this paper, we investigate the relative importance of local vs remote control on cloud radiative forcing using a cumulus ensemble model. It is found that cloud and surface radiation forcings are much more sensitive to the mean vertical motion assoicated with large scale tropical circulation than to the local SST (sea surface temperature). When the local SST is increased with the mean vertical motion held constant, increased surface latent and sensible heat flux associated with enhanced moisture recycling is found to be the primary mechanism for cooling the ocean surface. Large changes in surface shortwave fluxes are related to changes in cloudiness induced by changes in the large scale circulation. These results are consistent with a number of earlier empirical studies, which raised concerns regarding the validity of the cirrus-thermostat hypothesis (Ramanathan and Collins, 1991). It is argued that for a better understanding of cloud feedback, both local and remote controls need to be considered and that a cumulus ensemble model is a powerful tool that should be explored for such purpose.
- Published
- 1994
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
39. Mass flux in the ecliptic plane and near the Sun deduced from Doppler scintillation
- Author
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Woo, Richard and Gazis, Paul R
- Subjects
Solar Physics - Abstract
During the late declining phase of the solar cycle, the tilt of the solar magnetic dipole with respect to the Sun's rotation axis leads to large-scale organization of the solar wind, such that alternating regions of high- and low-speed solar wind are observed in the ecliptic plane. In this paper, we use Doppler scintillation measurements to investigate mass flux of these two types of solar wind in the ecliptic plane and inside 0.3 AU, where in situ measurements have not been possible. To the extent that Doppler scintillation reflects mass flux, we find that mass flux in high-speed streams: (1) is lower (by a factor of approximately 2.2) than the mass flux of the average solar wind in the heliocentric distance range of 0.3-0.5 AU; (2) is lower still (by as much as a factor of about 4) than the mass flux of the slow solar wind associated with the streamer belt; and (3) appears to grow with heliocentric distance. These Doppler scintillation results are consistent with the equator to pole decrease in mass flux observed in earlier spectral broadening measurements, and with trends and differences between high- and low-speed solar wind observed by in situ measurements in the range of 0.3-0.1 AU. The mass flux results suggest that the solar wind flow in high-speed streams is convergent towards the ecliptic near the Sun, becoming less convergent and approaching radial with increasing heliocentric distance beyond 0.3 AU. The variability of mass flux observed within equatorial and polar high-speed streams close to the Sun is strikingly low. This low variability implies that, as Ulysses currently ascends to higher latitudes and spends more time in the south polar high-speed stream after crossing the heliocentric current sheet, it can expect to observe a marked decrease in variations of both mass flux and solar wind speed, a trend that appears to have started already.
- Published
- 1994
- Full Text
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40. Prospects for Jovian seismological observations following the impact of comet Shoemaker-Levy 9
- Author
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Deming, Drake
- Subjects
Astrophysics - Abstract
The impact of each fragment of comet SL-9 will produce a downward-propagating pressure wave which will travel at the sound speed through the jovian interior. Since the sound speed increases with depth, most of the energy in the pressure pulse will be strongly refracted and return to the surface, as recently computed by Marley (1994). This wave may in principle be observable as it propagates into the stratosphere, using sufficiently sensitive thermal infrared imaging. If so, it will provide a unique opportunity to constrain models of the jovian interior. This paper extends Marley's calculations to include the effect of the limited spatial resolution which will be characteristic of real observations. The wave pattern on the disk will consist of closely spaced regions of alternating temperature increases and decreases. Spatial averaging will significantly reduce the observed amplitude for resolutions attainable using earth-based telescopes, but the waves should remain above the detection limit.
- Published
- 1994
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
41. New sources for the hot oxygen geocorona
- Author
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Richards, P. G, Hickey, M. P, and Torr, D. G
- Subjects
Geophysics - Abstract
This paper investigates new sources of thermospheric non thermal (hot) oxygen due to exothermic reactions involving numerous minor (ion and neutral) and metastable species. Numerical calculations are performed for low altitude, daytime, winter conditions, with moderately high solar activity and low magnetic activity. Under these conditions we find that the quenching of metastable species are a significant source of hot oxygen, with kinetic energy production rates a factor of ten higher than those due to previously considered O2(+) and NO(+) dissociative recombination reactions. Some of the most significant new sources of hot oxygen are reactions involving quenching of O(+)((sup 2)D), O((sup 1)D), N((sup 2)D), O(+)((sup 2)P) and vibrationally excited N2 by atomic oxygen.
- Published
- 1994
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
42. Solution of the Chapman-Ferraro problem with an arbitrary magnetopause
- Author
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Toffoletto, F. R, Hilmer, R. V, Hill, T. W, and Voigt, G.-H
- Subjects
Geophysics - Abstract
We present a global model of the magnetic field of the magnetosphere that includes the effects of the Chapman-Ferraro currents at the magnetopause. In contrast to ealier models, the magnetopause shape is arbitrary, thus allowing the use of more realistic geometries. The internal magnetospheric field model of Hilmer and Voigt (1993), is completely shielded within the magnetopause by solving the Laplace equation with Neumann boundary conditions using a finite difference method on a non-orthogonal, curvilinear grid. The resulting model magnetosphere is perfectly closed although the method can also be applied with more general boundary conditions, to generate a set of open models based on the approach of Toffoletto and Hill (1989, 1993). The purpose of this paper is to demonstrate the feasibility of a purely numerical approach to solving the Chapman-Ferraro problem with arbitrary magnetopause shape and boundary conditions.
- Published
- 1994
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
43. Null fields in the outer Jovian magnetosphere: Ulysses observations
- Author
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Haynes, P. L, Balogh, A, Dougherty, M. K, Southwood, D. J, Fazakerley, A, and Smith, E. J
- Subjects
Lunar And Planetary Exploration - Abstract
This paper reports on a magnetic field phenomenon, hereafter referred to as null fields, which were discovered during the inbound pass of the recent flyby of Jupiter by the Ulysses spacecraft. These null fields which were observed in the outer dayside magnetosphere are characterised by brief but sharp decreases of the field magnitude to values less than 1 nT. The nulls are distinguished from the current sheet signatures characteristic of the middle magnetosphere by the fact that the field does not reverse across the event. A field configuration is suggested that accounts for the observed features of the events.
- Published
- 1994
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
44. The kinetic response of a stochastic plasma to low frequency perturbations
- Author
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Hurricane, Omar A, Pellat, Rene, and Coroniti, Ferdinand V
- Subjects
Plasma Physics - Abstract
Following suggestion that substorm breakup might be caused by an interchange or ballooning instability, several magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) and gyro-kinetic stability analysis have been performed for plasma sheet magnetic field geometries. However, the stochastic ion dynamics in the highly stressed, thin high-beta near earth plasma sheet violate the locality requirements of MHD and the invarience of the magnetic moment, mu, required by gyro-kinetic theories. In this paper we develop a new linear Vlasov kinetic theory (for low frequency modes omega less than omega(sub b), omega(sub b) being the bounce frequency) which includes the dynamics of stochastic ions.
- Published
- 1994
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
45. Absence of magnetic trapping on closed field lines at Neptune
- Author
-
Paranicas, C and Cheng, A. F
- Subjects
Astrophysics - Abstract
The large offset of Neptune's magnetic field in an offset tilted dipole (OTD) approximation allows some fraction of magnetospheric field lines to have monotonically increasing field magnitude over their entire length in the magnetosphere. The usual magnetic trapping is impossible on such field lines, meaning that all charged particles on these field lines will precipitate after mirroring at most once. These field lines can be thought of as the part of the global magnetic anomaly where no particles on the corresponding drift shells remain trapped for an entire rotation of the planet. In this paper we examine both the morphology and size of the affected surface area in the OTD2 and O8 magnetic field models. For regions where there are indications that part of the aurora could be due to monotonic field line precipitation we analyze whether these field lines could be sufficiently populated to produce auroral signatures by considering photoelectron production rates and radial diffusion. We conclude that monotonic field line precipitation may contribute to the observed Neptune aurora but does not explain the global phenomenon.
- Published
- 1993
46. Zonal mean winds in the equatorial mesosphere and lower thermosphere observed by the High Resolution Doppler Imager
- Author
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Lieberman, R. S, Burrage, M. D, Gell, D. A, Hays, P. B, Marshall, A. R, Orthland, D. A, Skinner, W. R, Wu, D. L, Vincent, R. A, and Franke, S. J
- Subjects
Geophysics - Abstract
This paper presents analyses of mesospheric and lower thermospheric zonal mean winds observed by the High Resolution Doppler Imager (HRDI) on the Upper Atmosphere Research Satellite (UARS). Monthly averages of the equatorial zonal mean zonal winds are presented for January 1992 through June 1993. Equatorial zonal winds in the 70-90 km region are dominated by a semiannual oscillation (SAO), ranging from 30 m/s (westerly) to -100 m/s (easterly). At high latitudes the zonal wind variations are predominantly annual. Above 90 km, the low-latitude flow is easterly at all times, punctuated by a small semiannual variation. This behavior may be related to the deposition of momentum by the diurnal tides.
- Published
- 1993
47. An overview of NLC-91: A rocket/radar study of the polar summer mesosphere
- Author
-
Goldberg, R. A, Kopp, E, Witt, G, and Swartz, W. E
- Subjects
Geophysics - Abstract
In late July and early August of 1991, a major suborbital scientific campaign (NLC-91) involving scientists from eight countries was conducted as ESRANGE, Kiruna, Sweden and at Heiss Island, Russia. The purpose of the program was to investigate the chemical, dynamical, and electrodynamical properties of the polar summer mesosphere. Thirty one rocket flights were coordinated with two coherent radar facilities, EISCAT and CUPRI, and with other ground-based observatories and facilities. This permitted direct comparison between the in situ measurements and those obtained by remote sensing of the mesosphere via continuous ground-based monitoring. The primary objectives of the campaign were to study noctilucent clouds (NLCs) and polar mesospheric summer echoes (PMSEs), including their possible relationship to local aerosols and/or small scale turbulence. This overview describes the scientific program, discusses the geophysical conditions during launch activities, and reviews some of the preliminary results. More detailed results can be found in the papers which follow.
- Published
- 1993
48. Airborne brightness temperature measurements of the polar winter troposphere as part of the Airborne Arctic Stratosphere Experiment 2 and the effect of brightness temperature variations on the diabatic heating in the lower stratosphere
- Author
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Valero, Francisco P. J, Platnick, Steven, Kinne, Stefan, Pilewskie, Peter, and Bucholtz, Anthony
- Subjects
Geophysics - Abstract
In this paper we report radiometric measurements of tropospheric brightness temperatures obtained during the AASE 2 experiment. These measurements represent the first attempt to characterize effective radiative temperatures as seen from above the troposphere during the Arctic winter. The reported measurements include brightness temperatures at 6.7 and 10.5 microns as seen from the NASA DC-8 aircraft flying at about 11 km altitude. We also present radiative transfer calculations to estimate the effect of tropospheric brightness temperature on the lower stratospheric heating rates. Because of the recent massive eruption of the Pinatubo volcano, we also discuss the effects of a volcanic aerosol layer. It is concluded that small particles like the volcanic aerosol or polar stratospheric clouds (PSCs) type 1 do not affect stratospheric heating rates by much; on the other hand, larger particles, PSCs types 2 and 3, may have significant effects on heating rates and consequently on dynamics of the lower stratosphere. The dynamical effects of local stratospheric temperature variations are briefly discussed.
- Published
- 1993
49. An early solar dynamo prediction: Cycle 23 is approximately cycle 22
- Author
-
Schatten, Kenneth H and Pesnell, W. Dean
- Subjects
Solar Physics - Abstract
In this paper, we briefly review the 'dynamo' and 'geomagnetic precursor' methods of long-term solar activity forecasting. These methods depend upon the most basic aspect of dynamo theory to predict future activity, future magnetic field arises directly from the magnification of pre-existing magnetic field. We then generalize the dynamo technique, allowing the method to be used at any phase of the solar cycle, through the development of the 'Solar Dynamo Amplitude' (SODA) index. This index is sensitive to the magnetic flux trapped within the Sun's convection zone but insensitive to the phase of the solar cycle. Since magnetic fields inside the Sun can become buoyant, one may think of the acronym SODA as describing the amount of buoyant flux. Using the present value of the SODA index, we estimate that the next cycle's smoothed peak activity will be about 210 +/- 30 solar flux units for the 10.7 cm radio flux and a sunspot number of 170 +/- 25. This suggests that solar cycle #23 will be large, comparable to cycle #22. The estimated peak is expected to occur near 1999.7 +/- 1 year. Since the current approach is novel (using data prior to solar minimum), these estimates may improve when the upcoming solar minimum is reached.
- Published
- 1993
50. An overview of NLC-91: A rocket/radar study of the polar summer mesophere
- Author
-
Goldberg, R. A, Kopp, E, Witt, G, and Swartz, W. E
- Subjects
Geophysics - Abstract
In late July and early August of 1991, a major suborbital scientific campaign (NLC-91) involving scientists from eight countries was conducted at ESRANGE, Kiruna, Sweden and at Heiss Island, Russia. The purpose of the program was to investigate the chemical, dynamical, and electrodynamical properties of the polar summer mesosphere. Thirty one rocket flights were coordinated with two coherent radar facilities, European Incoherent Scatter (EISCAT) and Cornell Univesity Portable Radar Interferometer (CUPRI), and with other ground-based observatories and facilities. This permitted direct comparison between the in situ measurements and those obtained by remote sensing of the mesosphere via continuous ground-based monitoring. The primary objectives of the campaign were to study noctilucent clouds (NLCs) and polar mesospheric summer echoes (PMSEs), including their possible relationship to local aerosols and/or small scale turbulence. This overview describes the scientific program, discusses the geophysical conditions during launch activities, and reviews some of the preliminary results. More detailed results can be found in the papers which follow.
- Published
- 1993
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