158 results
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2. Letter on the paper "On the two-parameter Bell–Touchard discrete distribution".
- Author
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Puig, Pedro
- Subjects
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DISTRIBUTION (Probability theory) , *RANDOM variables , *MATHEMATICAL statistics , *POISSON distribution , *HERMITE polynomials - Abstract
Note, for instance, that the probabilities given by Castellares et al. ([1]) in page 4 are the same than those shown in expression (9.115) in the book by Johnson et al. ([3]), with the change of parameters Graph HT ht and Graph HT ht Neyman type A (NTA) distribution is frequently used in Biology, Biodosimetry, Environmental Sciences, Epidemiology, etc. A count random variable I X i is said to follow a stopped-sum Poisson, compound Poisson, multiple Poisson or clustered-Poisson distribution, if it can be represented as Graph HT ht where I N i is a Poisson random variable with parameter Graph HT ht and Graph HT ht are independent, identically distributed random variables that are also independent of I N i . [Extracted from the article]
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- 2024
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3. Optimal scheduling imperfect maintenance policy for a system with multiple random works.
- Author
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Chen, Yen-Luan and Chang, Chin-Chih
- Abstract
AbstractThis paper investigates a scheduling imperfect maintenance policy for an operating system that works at random times for multiple jobs (
n tandem jobs orn parallel jobs). We consider the system suffers from type-I failure which is corrected by a minimal repair, or type-II failure, which is disaster and is eliminated by a corrective maintenance. To control the deterioration process, preventive maintenance is design to go through at a scheduling timeT or the completion of multiple jobs, whichever occurs last. Each maintenance is performed imperfectly, the system improves yet its failure characteristic is also changed after maintenance. Lastly, the system is displaced at theN -th maintenance. On the basis minimizes the mean cost rate, this paper derived the optimal scheduling parameters (T* ,n *,N* ) analytically and numerically, according to its existence and uniqueness. The models we proposed will provide a general structure for maintenance theory of reliability. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2024
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4. A pseudo principal component analysis method for multi-dimensional open-high-low-close data in candlestick chart.
- Author
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Huang, Wenyang, Wang, Huiwen, and Wang, Shanshan
- Subjects
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PRINCIPAL components analysis , *CANDLESTICKS , *MULTIPLE correspondence analysis (Statistics) , *ECONOMIC impact , *STATISTICAL models - Abstract
As the most widely-used data form in the field of finance, the open-high-low-close (OHLC) data is being collected by all kinds of financial trading systems all the time. This paper puts forward a pseudo-principal component analysis (PCA) for multi-dimensional OHLC data, which can extract their useful information in a comprehensible way for visualization and easy interpretation. Firstly, a novel feature-based representation for OHLC data is proposed, which contains fruitful and explicit economic implications. Next, we define a full set of numerical characteristics and variance-covariance structures for the feature-based OHLC data. Then, the pseudo-PCA procedure for OHLC data is deduced based on the proposed algebraic operators. Finally, the effectiveness and interpretability of the proposed pseudo-PCA method are verified through finite simulations and three typical empirical experiments. This paper enriches the application scenarios of classical PCA and contributes to the multivariate statistical modeling of symbolic data. The proposed applications can serve as models for related studies. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
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5. On strongly generalized convex stochastic processes.
- Author
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Sharma, Nidhi, Mishra, Rohan, and Hamdi, Abdelouahed
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STOCHASTIC processes , *CONVEX functions , *INTEGRAL inequalities - Abstract
In this paper, we introduce the notion of strongly generalized convex functions which is called as strongly η-convex stochastic processes. We prove the Hermite-Hadamard, Ostrowski type inequality, and obtain some important inequalities for above processes. Some previous results are special cases of the results obtained in this paper. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
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6. On the dependence structure of the trade/no trade sequence of illiquid assets.
- Author
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Raïssi, Hamdi
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ILLIQUID assets , *FINANCIAL markets , *TIME series analysis , *STOCKS (Finance) , *PROBABILITY theory , *CATEGORIES (Mathematics) - Abstract
In this paper, we propose to consider the dependence structure of the trade/no trade categorical sequence of individual illiquid stocks returns. The framework considered here is wide as constant and time-varying zero returns probability are allowed. The ability of our approach in highlighting illiquid stock's features is underlined for a variety of situations. More specifically, we show that long-run effects for the trade/no trade categorical sequence may be spuriously detected in presence of a non-constant zero returns probability. Monte Carlo experiments, and the analysis of stocks taken from the Chilean financial market, illustrate the usefulness of the tools developed in the paper. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2024
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7. Moderate deviation principle for different types of classical likelihood ratio tests.
- Author
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Bai, Yansong, Zhang, Yong, Liu, Congmin, and Wang, Zhiming
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STATISTICAL hypothesis testing , *STATISTICAL sampling , *NULL hypothesis - Abstract
This paper focuses on the likelihood ratio test (LRT) statistics for different hypothesis tests. Assuming that a random sample is from a normal population, we make the sample size n and the dimension p close to infinity and satisfy p < n − c for some 1 ≤ c ≤ 4. Based on this assumption, the moderate deviation principle (MDP) for the LRT will be given under the null hypothesis. The corresponding numerical simulation results are shown at the end of the paper. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2024
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8. Equivalent conditions of convergence properties for m-ANA sequence and statistical applications.
- Author
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Wang, Miaomiao, Wang, Min, Wang, Xuejun, and Zhang, Fei
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RANDOM variables , *REGRESSION analysis , *COMPUTER simulation - Abstract
In this paper, the seven equivalent conditions of complete moment convergence and complete integral convergence for m -asymptotic negatively associated ( m -ANA, for short) random variables are established. The results obtained in the paper extend and improve some corresponding ones for negatively associated (NA, for short) random variables and negatively orthant dependent (NOD, for short) random variables. As an application of our main results, we present a result on complete consistency for the weighted estimator in a nonparametric regression model based on m-ANA errors. We perform a numerical simulation to verify the validity of the theoretical results. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
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9. Results on conditional variance in parallel system and lower bounds for varextropy.
- Author
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Goodarzi, F.
- Subjects
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SYMMETRY - Abstract
In several papers, conditional variance and left truncated variance have been studied by several authors. Since one of the most important types of systems structures is the parallel structure, in this paper, we obtain conditional covariance and variance of this system consisting of n identical and independent components under the condition that, at time x, all components are still working. Moreover a lower bound for variance residual life is given and furthermore, we check its behavior. Furthermore, as an aplication, we obtain lower bounds for varextropy. Also we obtain varextropy of a parallel system and the results of the varextropy of order statistics are applied to construct a test for symmetry. A real dataset is examined to illustrate the empirical performance of the proposed test statistics. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2024
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10. Redundancy allocation optimizing in the satellite attitude determination and control system based on the exact solution algorithm.
- Author
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Mansouri, Akbar and Alem-Tabriz, Akbar
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ARTIFICIAL satellite attitude control systems , *REDUNDANCY in engineering , *INTEGER programming , *RELIABILITY in engineering , *ORBITS of artificial satellites , *PROBLEM solving , *RESEARCH personnel - Abstract
The redundancy allocation problem is to find an optimal allocation of redundant components by considering the set of resources and cost constraints. In this research, the satellite attitude determination and control system is studied and its components is introduced, then the reliability of this system is modeled and optimized based on a mathematical approach based on the redundancy allocation. The model studied in this paper is about the structure of a series-parallel system that is in the exact mode of a satellite attitude determination and control system. In this paper, a new approach for modeling and optimization is presented. The mathematical model presented in this paper is into the class of mixed integer non-linear programming (MINLP). Solving these problems is very important for various researchers due to the high mathematical complexity. In this research, a heuristic method is used to the problem exact solution, the results of which have been reported. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
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11. Supplementary notes on the least variance ratio estimator.
- Author
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Farebrother, Richard William
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SIMULTANEOUS equations , *ECONOMETRICS - Abstract
In this paper we show how a variant of Stone and Brook's continuum regression criterion may be used to define the least variance ratio estimator of the slope parameters of the simultaneous equations model of econometrics. As a by-product of this approach we identify a family of estimators (distinct from the family of k-class estimators) to which it and two variants of the orthogonal least squares estimator belong. We also take the opportunity to mention several features of linear unbiased scalar residuals omitted from an earlier paper. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2024
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12. Modeling and analysis for a repairable system with multi-state components under K-mixed redundancy strategy.
- Author
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Wen, Yanqing, Liu, Baoliang, Zhang, Zhiqiang, Shi, Haiyan, and Kang, Shugui
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OPERATOR theory , *REDUNDANCY in engineering , *HUMAN resources departments , *VACATIONS - Abstract
In this paper, a three components repairable system with K-mixed redundancy strategy is proposed, in which the lifetimes of components, the repair time of failure components and the vacation time are distributed with different phase-type (PH) distributions. The different phases can represent different operational levels, repair levels and vacation levels. The multiple vacation policy is also adopted so that the human resources can be fully utilized. The repairable system is studied in both transient and stationary regimes with the matrix-analytic method, and not only some traditional reliability indexes are obtained, but also several new reliability indexes are obtained by employing Kronecker operator theory and aggregated stochastic theory. Finally, a numerical example is implemented to illustrate the results obtained in the paper. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2024
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13. Some two-sample tests for simultaneously comparing both parameters of the shifted exponential models.
- Author
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Chong, Zhi Lin, Mukherjee, Amitava, and Marozzi, Marco
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DISTRIBUTION (Probability theory) , *MEDICAL sciences , *MILITARY vehicles , *MILITARY personnel , *HIGH voltages - Abstract
This paper investigates the power performance of five tests, including improved versions of two existing tests, for jointly testing the equality of origin and scale parameters of two samples from a shifted (two-parameter) exponential distribution. The power of the test varies with a shift in either or both of the two parameters. Therefore, a power surface is observed for various tests. Different tests are optimal for different shift sizes. This paper also compares the volume under the five tests' power surfaces to determine an overall best when the shift size is unknown. The generalized likelihood ratio (GLR) test, the Bayoud and Kittaneh test based on Weitzman's overlapping coefficient, recently designed Max and Distance tests, and an improved likelihood-based procedure are compared. The shifted exponential distribution is often an appropriate probability model for the lifetime of a product with a warranty, high voltage current in specific semiconductor transistors, and military personnel vehicles' mileages that failed in operation. The number of survival days for patients with irreversible lung cancer often follows the same distribution. This distribution plays a vital role in the engineering and biomedical sciences. We observe that the newly designed tests and the exact GLR test are almost always preferable to the other tests. We illustrate the proposed exact test procedures with two practical examples. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
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14. Generalized autocovariance matrices for multivariate time series.
- Author
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Cavicchioli, Maddalena
- Subjects
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DENSITY matrices , *STOCHASTIC processes , *ASYMPTOTIC distribution , *STATIONARY processes , *MATRICES (Mathematics) , *DISCRIMINANT analysis - Abstract
The paper treats the modeling of stationary multivariate stochastic processes via frequency domain, and extends the notion of generalized autocovariance function, given by Proietti and Luati (2015) for univariate time series, to the multivariate setting. The generalized autocovariance matrices are defined for stationary multivariate stochastic processes as the Fourier transform of the power transformation of the spectral density matrix. Then we prove the consistency and derive the asymptotic distribution of frequency domain non-parametric estimators of the generalized autocovariance matrices, based on the power transformation of the periodogram matrix. Generalized autocovariance matrices are used to construct white noise hypothesis testing, to discriminate stochastic processes, and to introduce a generalized Yule–Walker estimator for the spectrum. A so-called λ–squared distance between two multivariate stochastic processes is also defined by using their generalized autocovariance matrices, and it serves for clustering time series and estimation by feature matching. Another use is in discriminant analysis. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
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15. Locally D-optimal designs for spline measurement error models with estimated knots.
- Author
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Zhang, Min-Jue, Yue, Rong-Xian, and Chen, Xue-Ping
- Subjects
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ERRORS-in-variables models , *MEASUREMENT errors , *SPLINES - Abstract
This paper is concerned with the problem of constructing the locally D-optimal designs for spline measurement error models with estimated knots, where the degree of splines is at most m in each subinterval delimited by knots and it is continuous and differentiable at any knot. Given the number of knots in advance, an equivalence theorem is established and used to check the D-optimality of designs. The characterizations of the locally D-optimal designs are provided under certain conditions. It is shown that the support points of the D-optimal designs for such models are associated with the endpoints of the design interval. The locally D-optimal designs for a class of the models can be determined explicitly. Two examples are presented for illustration. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
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16. Bayesian joint modeling of binomial and rank response with non-ignorable missing data for primate cognition.
- Author
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Aghayerashti, Maryam, Bahrami Samani, Ehsan, and Ganjali, Mojtaba
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MISSING data (Statistics) , *RANDOM variables , *PRIMATES , *LATENT variables , *COGNITION , *RANDOM effects model , *STATISTICAL power analysis - Abstract
A random effects model for analyzing mixed rank and binomial data with considering the missing values is presented. Occurring of missing data is an important problem in all research fields. The most common approach to dealing with missing data is to delete cases containing missing observations. However, this approach reduces statistical power and mislead us to biased statistical results. This paper aims to prepare guidance for researchers facing missing data problems and to provide techniques for jointly modeling of binomial and rank responses. We compare the cognitive abilities of different primates based on their performance on 17 cognitive assessments obtained on either a rank or binomial scale using Bayesian latent variable with random effects models. Random effects are used to take into account the correlation between responses of the same individual. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2024
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17. Pareto-optimal reinsurance for both the insurer and the reinsurer under the risk-adjusted value and general premium principles.
- Author
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Bao, Qian, Peng, Jiangyan, and Zou, Lei
- Subjects
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REINSURANCE , *INSURANCE companies , *VALUE at risk , *MORAL hazard , *CAPITAL costs - Abstract
In this paper, we design the Pareto-optimal reinsurance contract for both the insurer and the reinsurer by minimizing the convex combination of the risk-adjusted value of the insurer's liability and the reinsurer's liability, where capital at risk is calculated by the value at risk (VaR) or conditional value at risk (CVaR). In order to prevent the moral hazard, we assume that both ceded and retained loss functions are increasing functions. We analyze the optimal solutions for a wide class of reinsurance premium principles. When the reinsurance premium principles satisfy three axioms: law invariance, risk loading and preserving convex order, we find that layer reinsurance is always optimal over the assumed risk measures. Then we impose an additional weak constraint on the premium principle to simplify the form of layer reinsurance which is optimal. Finally, we illustrate the applicability of our results by deriving the parameters of the optimal layer reinsurance explicitly under the expected value principle and Wang's premium principle. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
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18. Stability of stochastic Gilpin-Ayala model driven by α-stable process under regime switching.
- Author
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Zhang, Xuekang, Shu, Huisheng, and Liu, Dajun
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STOCHASTIC models , *EXPONENTIAL stability , *COMPUTER simulation - Abstract
In this paper, stochastic Gilpin-Ayala model driven by α-stable process under regime switching is presented. Firstly, we prove the existence and uniqueness of the solution for the stochastic model. Then, under certain conditions, the almost sure exponential stability and pth moment exponential stability of the trivial solution are obtained. The results indicated that the α-stable noises can make the trivial solution stable under some conditions. Computer simulations are presented to illustrate our theory. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
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19. Estimation of complier causal treatment effects under the additive hazards model with interval-censored data.
- Author
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Ma, Yuqing, Wang, Peijie, Li, Shuwei, and Sun, Jianguo
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TREATMENT effectiveness , *MAXIMUM likelihood statistics , *HAZARDS , *CENSORING (Statistics) , *DATA modeling , *EARLY detection of cancer , *CONFOUNDING variables - Abstract
Estimation of causal treatment effects has attracted a great deal of interest in many areas including social, biological and health science, and for this, instrumental variable (IV) has become a commonly used tool in the presence of unmeasured confounding. In particular, many IV methods have been developed for right-censored time-to-event outcomes. In this paper, we consider a much more complicated situation where one faces interval-censored time-to-event outcomes, which are ubiquitously present in studies with, for example, intermittent follow-up but are challenging to handle in terms of both theory and computation. A sieve maximum likelihood estimation procedure is proposed for estimating complier causal treatment effects under the additive hazards model, and the resulting estimators are shown to be consistent and asymptotically normal. A simulation study is conducted to evaluate the finite sample performance of the proposed approach and suggests that it works well in practice. It is applied to a breast cancer screening study. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
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20. Asymptotics for the random time ruin probability with non stationary arrivals and Brownian perturbation.
- Author
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Liu, Yang, Chen, Zhenlong, and Fu, Ke-Ang
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DISTRIBUTION (Probability theory) , *STATIONARY processes , *PROBABILITY theory , *LARGE deviations (Mathematics) , *LARGE deviation theory - Abstract
In this paper, we consider a risk model with heavy-tailed claims and Brownian perturbation. Assuming that the distribution function of claim-size is subexponential, and the arrival process of claims is a non stationary process satisfying the principle of large deviation, the asymptotic formula for the ruin probability of this risk model at random time is obtained. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
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21. On the Jajte weak law of large numbers for exchangeable random variables.
- Author
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Naderi, Habib, Jafari, Mehdi, Matuła, Przemysław, and Mohammadi, Morteza
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RANDOM numbers , *RANDOM variables , *LAW of large numbers - Abstract
In this paper, we prove an extension of the Jajte weak law of large numbers for exchangeable random variables. We make a simulation to illustrate the asymptotic behavior in the sense of convergence in probability for weighted sums of exchangeable weighted random variables. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
22. On weighted generalized entropy for double truncated distribution with applications.
- Author
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Singh, Shivangi and Kundu, Chanchal
- Subjects
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RENYI'S entropy , *ENTROPY , *CODING theory , *MAXIMUM entropy method - Abstract
The notion of weighted Renyi's entropy for truncated random variables has recently been proposed in the information-theoretic literature. In this paper, we introduce a generalized measure of it for double truncated distribution, namely weighted generalized interval entropy (WGIE), and study it in the context of reliability analysis. Several properties, including monotonicity, bounds and uniqueness of WGIE are investigated. Moreover, the proposed measure is estimated using parametric approach and a simulation study is carried out to demonstrate the performance of the estimates for a real data set. The role of WGIE in reliability modeling has been investigated. We also provide an application of the proposed concept in coding theory. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
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23. Distributions of runs and scans in multistate Markov exchangeable sequences.
- Author
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Inoue, Kiyoshi
- Subjects
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GENERATING functions , *PARAMETER estimation , *RELIABILITY in engineering - Abstract
In this paper, we look at the distributions of runs and scans in multistate Markov exchangeable sequences. The joint distributions of runs of several lengths under four types of enumeration schemes are analyzed. We evaluate the upper tail probabilities for ratchet scan statistics exactly. By utilizing the expansion of the generating functions, we propose effective computational tools for the derivation of probability functions. The results presented here provide approaches for the evaluation of the exact distributions of runs and scans in a wide class of practical problems. Finally, we discuss several applications and numerical examples to show how our theoretical results are applied to the investigation of runs and scans, as well as a parameter estimation problem. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
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24. Lasso regression under stochastic restrictions in linear regression: An application to genomic data.
- Author
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Genç, Murat and Özkale, M. Revan
- Subjects
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MULTICOLLINEARITY , *REGRESSION analysis , *DATA analysis - Abstract
Variable selection approaches are often employed in high-dimensionality and multicollinearity problems. Since lasso selects variables by shrinking the coefficients, it has extensive use in many fields. On the other, we may sometime have extra information on the model. In this case, the extra information should be considered in the estimation procedure. In this paper, we propose a stochastic restricted lasso estimator in linear regression model which uses the extra information as stochastic linear restrictions. The estimator is a generalization of mixed estimator with L1 type penalization. We give the coordinate descent algorithm to estimate the coefficient vector of the proposed method and strong rules for the coordinate descent algorithm to discard variables from the model. Also, we propose a method to estimate the tuning parameter. We conduct two real data analyses and simulation studies to compare the new estimator with several estimators including the ridge, lasso and stochastic restricted ridge. The real data analyses and simulation studies show that the new estimator enjoys the automatic variable selection property of the lasso while outperforms standard methods, achieving lower test mean squared error. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
25. Estimation of structural parameters in balanced Bühlmann credibility model with correlation risk.
- Author
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Yang, Yang and Wang, Lichun
- Subjects
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BAYES' estimation , *MAXIMUM likelihood statistics , *PARAMETER estimation , *PANEL analysis - Abstract
In this paper, the longitudinal data analysis is used to interpret the balanced Bühlmann credibility model with correlation risk, and the homogeneous credibility estimator is derived. We obtain the restricted maximum likelihood estimators (RMLE) for the structural parameters involved in the credibility factor and show that they are unbiased. In addition, the linear Bayes method is employed to estimate the structural parameters, and the proposed linear Bayes estimators (LBE) appear to outperform RMLE in terms of the mean squared error matrix (MSEM) criterion. Simulation studies show that the proposed LBE performs well. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
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26. Higher-order representation of Karamata theorem.
- Author
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Yang, Xi, Xiong, Qian, and Peng, Zuoxiang
- Subjects
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EXTREME value theory - Abstract
As an important result in extreme value theory, Karamata theorem provides the integral properties of regularly varying functions. In this paper, the third-order version of Karamata theorem is derived, which is generalization for the known Karamata theorem. Furthermore, analytic expressions for the second and third-order regularly varying function are established. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
27. Unit root tests and their challenges.
- Author
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Kim, Seul Gee, Park, Cheolyong, Hwang, Sun-Young, Ha, Jeongcheol, Park, Inho, and Kim, Tae Yoon
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RANDOM walks , *STATISTICAL software - Abstract
The Dickey-Fuller test (DF test) and its various modified versions have been widely used for unit root or random walk testing, though advices are necessary regarding their proper use in hands-on statistical algorithm software. In this paper, we review the development of such tests over several decades. We examine why such modified versions of DF tests were developed and proper instructions regarding their use are essential. In addition, we discuss a simple way to overcome this hurdle. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
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28. Strong consistency of nonparametric kernel estimators for integrated diffusion process.
- Author
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Yang, Shanchao, Zhang, Shi, Xing, Guodong, and Yang, Xin
- Subjects
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ASYMPTOTIC normality , *DIFFUSION coefficients , *MOMENTS method (Statistics) , *PARAMETRIC modeling , *NUMERICAL analysis , *ECONOMIC models - Abstract
The asymptotic properties of nonparametric kernel estimators of diffusion process and integrated diffusion process were studied by scholars through using the theories of local time, giving the properties of consistency and asymptotic normality for nonparametric kernel estimators under appropriate conditions, but not property of strong consistency for integrated diffusion process. Instead of using the local time method, the paper applies the moment inequality of the ρ-mixing sequence to prove the strong consistency of the nonparametric kernel estimators in the integrated diffusion process. Our theorem conditions are mild and canonical, and some of them improve on the existing corresponding conditions. In numerical simulations and analysis of data from real applications, the nonparametric kernel estimators can capture well the variation characteristics of drift coefficient and diffusion coefficient, and that it is possible to fit parametric models with such characteristics, so that the economic interpretation of the models can be obtained. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
29. Heterogeneous robust estimation with the mixed penalty in high-dimensional regression model.
- Author
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Zhu, Yanling and Wang, Kai
- Subjects
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REGRESSION analysis , *DEPENDENT variables , *COMPUTER simulation - Abstract
In this paper, we propose a MIXED penalty for the LAD regression model, which can estimate parameters and select important variables efficiently and stably. The proposed method has a good performance in the case of dependent variable with heavy tail and outliers, so this estimator is robust and efficient for tackling the problem of heterogeniety. We show that the proposed estimator possesses the good properties by applying certain assumptions. In the part of numerical simulation, we give several simulation studies to examine the asymptotic results, which shows that the method we proposed behaves better. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
30. Optimal reinsurance and investment problem with multiple risky assets and correlation risk for an insurer under the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck model.
- Author
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Rong, Ximin, Yan, Yiqi, and Zhao, Hui
- Subjects
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REINSURANCE , *INSURANCE companies , *ASSETS (Accounting) , *RETURN on assets , *INVESTMENT policy , *BROWNIAN motion - Abstract
This paper studies the optimal reinsurance and investment problem with multiple risky assets and correlation risk. The claim process is described by a Brownian motion with drift. The insurer is allowed to invest in a risk-free asset and multiple risky assets and the instantaneous return rate of each risky asset follows the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (O-U) model. Moreover, the correlation between risk model and the risky assets' price is taken into account. We first consider the optimal investment problem for the insurer. Subsequently, we assume that the insurer can purchase proportional reinsurance and invest in the financial market. In both cases, the insurer's objective is to maximize the expected exponential utility of the terminal wealth. By applying stochastic control approach, we derive the optimal reinsurance and investment strategies and the corresponding value functions explicitly. Finally, numerical simulations are presented to illustrate the effects of model parameters on the optimal reinsurance and investment strategies. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
31. Central limit theorems for functional Z-estimators with functional nuisance parameters.
- Author
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Bouzebda, Salim, El-hadjali, Thouria, and Ferfache, Anouar Abdeldjaoued
- Subjects
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CENTRAL limit theorem , *NUISANCES , *PARAMETRIC modeling , *LIMIT theorems , *STATISTICAL models - Abstract
We consider an exchangeably weighted bootstrap for function-valued estimators defined as a zero point of a function-valued random criterion function. A large number of bootstrap resampling schemes emerge as special cases of our settings. The main ingredient is the use of a differential identity that applies when the random criterion function is linear in terms of the empirical measure. Our results are general and do not require linearity of the statistical model in terms of the unknown parameter. We also consider the semiparametric models extending Zhan's work to a more delicate framework. The theoretical results established in this paper are (or will be) key tools for further developments in the parametric and semiparametric models. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
32. Application of objective priors for the multivariate Lomax distribution.
- Author
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Kang, Sang Gil, Lee, Woo Dong, and Kim, Yongku
- Subjects
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BAYESIAN analysis , *BAYES' estimation , *PROBABILITY theory - Abstract
For a model incorporating the effect of a common environment on several components of a system, a multivariate Lomax distribution (MLD) is generally considered by mixing exponential variables. Objective Bayesian has very good frequentist properties and provides a moderate solution for the prior elicitation which is one of important and difficult issues on Bayesian analysis. In this paper, we develop noninformative priors, such as the probability matching priors and reference priors, for the parameters of the MLD. We proved that a reference prior for the shape parameter is a first-order probability matching prior, but the reference priors for the scale parameters do not satisfy the first-order matching criterion. In addition, a second-order probability matching prior does not exist for all parameters. We also presented the conditions that make the posterior distributions for the general prior, including the probability matching prior and reference priors, to be proper. In particular, Jeffreys' prior and probability matching priors for all parameters give proper posteriors, whereas reference priors for scale parameters give improper posteriors. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
33. Convergence and parameter estimation of the linear weighted-fractional self-repelling diffusion.
- Author
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Yan, Litan, Guo, Rui, and Gao, Han
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PARAMETER estimation , *STOCHASTIC differential equations , *BROWNIAN motion , *LEAST squares , *ASYMPTOTIC normality - Abstract
Let B a , b be a weighted-fractional Brownian motion with Hurst indexes a and b such that a > − 1 and 0 < b < 1 ∧ (1 + a). In this paper, we consider the linear self-repelling diffusion d X t a , b = d B t a , b + (θ ∫ 0 t (X t a , b − X s a , b) ds + ν) dt with X 0 a , b = 0 , where θ > 0 , ν ∈ R are two real parameters. The process is an analogue of the linear self-interacting diffusion (Cranston and Le Jan, Math. Ann.303 (1995), 87-93). We introduce its large time behaviors, and the behavior presents a recursive convergence which is quite different from the asymptotic behavior of stochastic differential equations without interacting drifts. As a related question, we also consider the asymptotic behaviors of the least squares estimations of θ and ν. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
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34. A new RCAR(1) model based on explanatory variables and observations.
- Author
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Sheng, Danshu, Wang, Dehui, and Kang, Yao
- Subjects
- *
QUANTILE regression , *ASYMPTOTIC normality , *RANDOM variables , *TIME series analysis , *MAXIMUM likelihood statistics , *ASYMPTOTIC distribution - Abstract
The random coefficient autoregressive (RCAR) processes are very useful to model time series in applications. It is commonly observed that the random autoregressive coefficient is assumed to be an independent identically distributed (i.i.d.) random variable sequence. To make the RCAR model more practical, this paper considers a new RCAR(1) model driven by explanatory variable and observations. We use the conditional least squares, the quantile regression and the conditional maximum likelihood methods to estimate the model parameters. The consistency and asymptotic normality of the proposed estimates are established. Simulation studies are conducted for the evaluation of the developed approaches and two applications to real-data examples are provided. The results show that the proposed procedures perform well for the simulations and application. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
35. Stein estimators for the drift of the mixing of two fractional Brownian motions.
- Author
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Djerfi, Kouider, Djellouli, Ghaouti, and Madani, Fethi
- Subjects
- *
BROWNIAN motion , *MAXIMUM likelihood statistics , *PARAMETER estimation - Abstract
In this paper, we consider the problem of efficient estimation for the drift parameter θ ∈ R d in the linear model Z t : = θ t + σ 1 B H 1 (t) + σ 2 B H 2 (t) , t ∈ [ 0 , T ]. Where B H 1 and B H 2 are two independent d-dimensional fractional Brownian motions with Hurst indices H1 and H2 such that 1 2 ≤ H 1 < H 2 < 1. The main goal is firstly to define the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of the drift θ, and secondly to provide a sufficient condition for the James-Stein type estimators which dominate, under the usual quadratic risk, the usual estimator (MLE). [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
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36. Adaptive lasso variable selection method for semiparametric spatial autoregressive panel data model with random effects.
- Author
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Liu, Yu
- Subjects
- *
PANEL analysis , *AUTOREGRESSIVE models , *RANDOM effects model , *DATA modeling , *PARAMETER estimation , *COMPUTER simulation - Abstract
This paper investigates variable selection in semiparametric spatial autoregressive panel data model with random effects. A penalized profile maximum-likelihood method is proposed with adaptive lasso penalty which achieves parameter estimation and variable selection at the same time. Under some regular conditions, we prove the theoretical properties of the estimators, including consistency and oracle property. In addition, we develop a feasible logarithm and carry out numerical simulations to examine the finite sample performance of this method. At last, a real data study about the investment influencing factors of the "Belt and Road" initiative is presented for illustration purpose. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
37. Robust circular-circular correlation coefficient.
- Author
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Mahmood, Ehab A.
- Subjects
- *
STATISTICAL correlation , *GAUSSIAN distribution - Abstract
Many classical methods have been proposed to compute circular-circular correlation coefficients. However, these classical methods might be very sensitive to outliers in the data set. To date, no work has suggested a robust method to estimate a circular-circular correlation coefficient. The present paper aims to propose two robust methods to compute a circular-circular correlation coefficient when the circular data has outliers. The first method is computed based on the circular median, rMed, and the second on the circular trimmed mean, rTrim. A simulation study is conducted for two circular distributions: the wrapped normal and wrapped Cauchy distributions. The simulation and practical example show that the results of rMed are close to the results of classical methods. In contrast, the rTrim gives the best results and is the least affected by outliers, even with a high percentage of outliers. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
38. A simple tuning parameter selection method for high dimensional regression.
- Author
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Wang, Yanxin, Xu, Jiaqing, and Wang, Zhi
- Subjects
- *
REGRESSION analysis , *PARAMETER estimation , *SELF-tuning controllers , *DATA analysis - Abstract
The penalized regression is an important technique for high-dimensional data analysis, but penalized estimation method hinge on finding a suitable choice of tuning parameter. In this paper, a simple modified L curve method is proposed to select the tuning parameter for penalized estimation including Lasso, SCAD and MCP in linear regression models. Through data simulation and actual data analysis, we find that the modified L curve method can be simpler and more accurate than traditional tuning parameter selection schemes such as CV and BIC. Furthermore, the method is able to identify the true model consistently and has the less model error, especially for the cases where there is a high correlation between predictors. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
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39. The distribution of the sum of two dependent randomly weighted random variables with applications.
- Author
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Roozegar, Rasool, Toghdori, Abdolsaleh, and Nadarajah, Saralees
- Subjects
- *
RANDOM variables , *CONDITIONAL expectations , *CUMULATIVE distribution function , *GENERATING functions , *VALUE at risk , *DEPENDENT variables - Abstract
There has been much work on the distribution of independent or dependent random variables. But we are not aware of any work giving exact results for the distribution of the sum of randomly weighted random variables. In this paper, we derive exact results for the randomly weighted sum of two dependent random variables. The derived expressions are for the cumulative distribution function, conditional expectation, moment generating function, value at risk, expected shortfall and the limiting tail behavior of the randomly weighted sum of two dependent random variables. Two numerical illustrations are given. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
40. Asymptotic results for expected probability of misclassifications in linear discriminant analysis with repeated measurements.
- Author
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Kanuti Ngailo, Edward and Ngaruye, Innocent
- Subjects
- *
FISHER discriminant analysis , *MONTE Carlo method , *PROBABILITY theory , *COVARIANCE matrices - Abstract
In this paper, we propose approximations for the misclassification probabilities in linear discriminant analysis when the group means have a bilinear regression structure. First, we give a unified location and scale mixture expression of the standard normal distribution for the linear discriminant function. Then, the estimated approximations of misclassification are obtained for the three cases: unweighted case, weighted known covariance matrix Σ , and weighted unknown Σ. It has to be pointed out that larger p is better for classification when Σ is known, also in unweighted case. In the case Σ is unknown, we gain more information if fewer repeated measurements are used compared to when many repeated measurements closer to the number of included sample size are used. Furthermore, the accuracies of the proposed approximations are checked numerically by conducting a Monte Carlo simulation. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
41. Berry-Esseen bound for smooth estimator of distribution function under length-biased data.
- Author
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Zamini, R., Ajami, M., and Fakoor, V.
- Subjects
- *
DISTRIBUTION (Probability theory) , *SAMPLING (Process) - Abstract
In this paper, by using a sampling procedure, subjected to length-bias, the distribution function F is estimated by the kernel-type estimator F n s , and also a Berry-Esseen type bound for the smoothed estimator is established in this setting. Further, it is shown that the rate of the normal approximation is O (n − 1 / 6) under some appropriate conditions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2024
- Full Text
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42. Single-index partially functional linear quantile regression.
- Author
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Jiang, Zhiqiang and Huang, Zhensheng
- Subjects
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QUANTILE regression , *ASYMPTOTIC normality , *FUNCTIONAL analysis , *DATA analysis - Abstract
Tecator dataset has been widely used in the content of functional data analysis. As far as we know, this dataset is only considered under mean regression, which is easily affected by outliers. However, there are 8 more fat samples and 17 more protein samples in this dataset, so, in this paper, we explore this dataset by quantile regression, which is a robust method. Single-index partially functional linear quantile regression is proposed, and B-splines are used to estimate the unknown link function in the single-index component and the unknown slope function in the functional linear component. We establish the convergence rates and asymptotic normality of the estimators. Simulation studies and a real data application are presented to illustrate the performance of the proposed methodologies. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
43. Exponential parametric distortion nonlinear measurement errors Models.
- Author
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Zhang, Jun and Cui, Leyi
- Subjects
- *
ERRORS-in-variables models , *MEASUREMENT errors , *NONLINEAR regression , *REGRESSION analysis - Abstract
This paper considers nonlinear regression models when neither the response variable nor the covariates can be directly observed, but are measured with exponential parametric distortion measurement errors. To estimate parameters in the distortion functions, we propose nonlinear least squares and weighted nonlinear least squares estimation methods under two identifiability conditions. After obtaining calibrated variables, the nonlinear least squares based estimators are proposed to estimate the parameters in the regression model. We studied the asymptotic results of estimators, especially we discuss the difference between the parametric calibrations and nonparametric calibrations. The latter is conducted as if the parametric structures in distortion functions are unknown. Simulation studies demonstrate the performance of the proposed estimators. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
44. Edgeworth expansion of the t-statistic of the whittle MLE for linear regression processes with long-memory disturbances.
- Author
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Aga, Mosisa
- Subjects
- *
REGRESSION analysis , *TIME series analysis , *SPECTRAL energy distribution , *ORDER picking systems - Abstract
This paper establishes an Edgeworth expansion for the t-statistic of the Whittle Maximum Likelihood Estimator (WMLE) of a linear regression model whose residual component is stationary, Gaussian, and strongly dependent time series. Under the widely used set of assumptions and two more mild additional conditions on the spectral density function and the parametric values, an Edgeworh expansion of the t-statistic of arbitrarily large order of the process is proved to have an error of o (n 1 − s / 2) where s is a positive integer. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
45. Theoretical results and modeling under the discrete Birnbaum-Saunders distribution.
- Author
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Vilca, Filidor, Vila, Roberto, Saulo, Helton, Sánchez, Luis, and Leão, Jeremias
- Subjects
- *
STATISTICAL reliability , *MONTE Carlo method , *MAXIMUM likelihood statistics , *REGRESSION analysis , *ORDER statistics - Abstract
In this paper, we discuss some theoretical results and properties of a discrete version of the Birnbaum-Saunders distribution. We present a proof of the unimodality of this model. Moreover, results on moments, quantile function, reliability and order statistics are also presented. In addition, we propose a regression model based on the discrete Birnbaum-Saunders distribution. The model parameters are estimated by the maximum likelihood method and a Monte Carlo study is performed to evaluate the performance of the estimators. Finally, we illustrate the proposed methodology with the use of real data sets. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
46. Extreme value theory for space-time with random coefficients.
- Author
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Diouf, Saliou and Kolani, Yentchabaré
- Subjects
- *
EXTREME value theory , *POINT processes , *SPACETIME , *RANDOM fields , *CONTINUOUS processing - Abstract
In this paper, we study the extreme value behavior of the space-time process given by X i (t) = ∑ j ≥ 1 Ψ ij (t) Z i − j (t) , t ∈ [ 0 , 1 ] , i ∈ Z. We assume that { Z i (t) } t ∈ [ 0 , 1 ] , i ∈ Z is a sequence of i.i.d random fields on [ 0 , 1 ] with values in the Skorokhod space D [ 0 , 1 ] of càdlàg functions (i.e., right-continuous functions with left limits) D [ 0 , 1 ] equipped with the J1 topology. The coefficients { Ψ ij (t) } t ∈ [ 0 , 1 ] , i ∈ Z are processes with continuous sample paths. Our first aim is to establish a limit theory for point processes based on X(t). Secondly, using point processes, we study the limiting distribution of the normalized maximum process { a n − 1 max 1 ≤ i ≤ n X i (t) } t ∈ [ 0 , 1 ] . The result obtained in the second step can be viewed as extension of Balan who postponed the study of the behavior of maxima. It can also be considered as a generalization of Davis and Mikosch from deterministic real coefficients to random coefficients (Ψ ij) i ≥ 1 . [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
47. On tail behavior of randomly weighted sums of dependent subexponential random variables.
- Author
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Geng, Bingzhen, Liu, Zaiming, and Wang, Shijie
- Subjects
- *
RANDOM variables , *ASYMPTOTIC distribution , *DEPENDENT variables - Abstract
In this paper, we revisit the tail behavior of randomly weighted sums and their maxima of dependent subexponential random variables, in which the primary random variables X 1 , ... , X n are real-valued and dependent following two general dependence structures, respectively, and the random weights θ 1 , ... , θ n are another n positive and arbitrarily dependent random variables, but independent of X 1 , ... , X n.. Under some technical conditions, we derive some asymptotic formulas for the tail probability of the randomly weighted sums and their maxima, which coincide with some existing ones in the literature. The merit of our results is that unbounded supports for the random weights are allowed and the distributions of primary random variables can be different. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
48. Prediction variance capability of orthogonal uniform composite designs and orthogonal array composite designs in the spherical region.
- Author
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Oladugba, Abimibola Victoria, Yankam, Brenda Mbouamba, and Asogwa, Oluchukwu Chukwuemeka
- Subjects
- *
ORTHOGONAL arrays , *FORECASTING , *TAGUCHI methods , *RESPONSE surfaces (Statistics) - Abstract
In this paper, the prediction variance capabilities of two new second-order designs orthogonal uniform composite designs and orthogonal array composite designs are examined using the variance dispersion graph and the fraction of design space plot in the spherical region. Also, the D- and G-optimality criteria are evaluated for these two response surface designs. The orthogonal array composite designs were shown to have a better prediction variance in terms of the fraction of design space plot and the variance dispersion graphs over the orthogonal uniform composite designs. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
49. On impurity functions in decision trees.
- Author
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Zeng, Guoping
- Abstract
AbstractImpurity functions are crucial in decision trees. These functions help determine the impurity level of a node in a decision tree, guiding the splitting criteria. However, two primary ambiguities have surrounded impurity functions: (1) the question of their non negativity and (2) the debate over their concavity. In this paper, we address these uncertainties by delving into the characteristics of impurity functions. We establish that the non negativity of an impurity function is inconsequential. Through counter examples, we disprove the equivalence between an impurity function and a concave function. We identify an impurity function that is not concave and a concave function that is not an impurity function. Interestingly, we find an impurity function that results in a negative impurity reduction. Furthermore, we validate several significant properties of impurity functions. For example, we demonstrate that when an impurity function is concave, the impurity reduction remains nonnegative for multiway divisions. We also discuss the sufficient conditions for a concave function to be an impurity function. Our numerical results further indicate that a positive linear combination of the two most popular impurity functions, namely Gini Index and Entropy, may surpass the individual performance of each when applied to the well-known German credit dataset. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
50. Optimal investment problem for a hybrid pension with intergenerational risk-sharing and longevity trend under model uncertainty.
- Author
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Fu, Ke, Rong, Ximin, and Zhao, Hui
- Abstract
AbstractThis paper studies the optimal investment problem for a hybrid pension plan under model uncertainty, where both the contribution and the benefit are adjusted depending on the performance of the plan. Furthermore, an age and time-dependent force of mortality and a linear maximum age are considered to capture the longevity trend. Suppose that the plan manager is ambiguity averse to the financial market and is allowed to invest in a risk-free asset and a risky asset. The plan manager aims to find optimal investment strategies and optimal intergenerational risk-sharing arrangements by minimizing the unstable contribution risk, the unstable benefit risk and the discontinuity risk under the worst-case scenario. By applying the stochastic optimal control approach, robust optimal strategies are derived under the worst-case scenario for a penalized quadratic cost function. Through numerical analysis and three special cases, we find that the intergeneration risk-sharing is achieved in our collective hybrid pension plan effectively. And it also shows that when people live longer, postponing the retirement seems a reasonable way to alleviate the stress of the aging problem. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
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