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Abstract: Driven principally by government regulation and societal expectations, mining companies around the world are seeking to mitigate the environmental impacts of mining through mined land rehabilitation programs. The ultimate goal of rehabilitation is to establish an acceptable and sustainable post-mining land use. Mining companies worldwide face the challenge of specifying just what a sustainable post-mining land use will be. The problem is that while regulations require mining companies to assess post-mining land use sustainability, the mechanism for doing so and the factors that should be considered are not specified. We propose a risk-based approach to post-mining land use assessment with the aim of reducing the uncertainty of mine closure and the potential cost of repair of land degradation caused by inappropriate post-mining land use. Grazing is a commonly suggested post-mining land use, particularly in Australia where most mining activities occur on land previously used for cattle grazing. Grazing is also seen as a use suited to rehabilitated mined land because of the lower land productivity required compared to cropping. In this paper we develop a conceptual model of the factors influencing the land degradation risk posed by grazing on rehabilitated mined land. This was done through a literature review to identify potentially important risk factors, followed by a survey of graziers surrounding six open cut mines within the Bowen Basin Region of Queensland, Australia. The survey results were used to develop a profile of the risk factors likely to influence the land management behaviour of graziers within the Bowen Basin. The results of the research highlight that there are three main sets of factors that affect grazing risk on rehabilitated mined land. These are site biophysical characteristics that influence land productivity and commercial grazing viability, factors that influence the land management style of a grazier (principally stocking rate decisions), and factors that influence the commitment of a grazier to comply with any caveats placed on the management of the land. The profile of risk factors obtained for Bowen Basin graziers showed that grazing is likely to be a low risk post-mining land use where land productivity is high enough to support commercial cattle grazing and where land is managed by local graziers. Both the conceptual model and the profile of risk factors described in this paper are precursors to the development of a predictive risk assessment model. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]

Abstract: Australia has a long history of mixed farming. This paper examines the integration of Australian cropping and livestock production from three perspectives: as a factor in land use change, a consequence of individual management practices and a means of meeting farmers’ multiple objectives. Since about 1995, the proportion of cropped land has increased on Australian cropping farms while livestock numbers have decreased. Land use in the north-eastern, central and south-western regions of the cropping zone have diverged. Despite these changes, mixed farms still dominate Australia’s broadacre farming regions. Previous accounts of the dimensions in which farming enterprises are integrated can be simplified for Australian broadacre agriculture. For most purposes it is sufficient to consider a nested set of four integration options: “specialization” (not integrated organizationally), “separation” (integrated organizationally only), “rotation” (integrated organizationally and spatially, but not temporally) and “synchronization” (integrated in all three dimensions). We illustrate these integration options with a short survey of agronomic practices that affect crop–livestock integration. We review the farmer objectives that enterprise integration can meet and the constraints that limit it, seeking to balance social, economic and agronomic factors. We use a dynamic simulation model to make a first quantification of the economic risk reduction provided by enterprise diversification. Constraints imposed by limited labour, capital, and management attention cannot be overlooked; this is especially relevant in Australia where labour is increasingly in short supply. We characterize our surveyed set of agronomic practices with respect to the farmer objectives they affect. We find that farmers generally have the option of meeting a particular objective through different practices that affect different dimensions of integration. Practices that result in closer integration in time and space generally require greater management attention; practices that do not integrate in space typically require an increase in external inputs. History suggests that current commodity price ratios may be sufficient to slow or reverse the overall land use trend away from livestock production. In the longer term, forecast increases in worldwide demand for meat, energy costs and soil resource constraints will all encourage Australian cropping farmers to maintain mixed systems; however reduced availability of labour relative to capital will push land use toward specialized systems. Valuing the benefits and costs associated with differing degrees of enterprise integration is a major research challenge that will require insightful application of both biophysical and economic models. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]

Abstract: Policy makers in the agricultural sector are confronted with challenges which might drive land use change and ultimately agricultural profitability to a substantial degree. The challenges include questions around climate variability, demographic changes, use of land for bio-fuel production and ensuring an increase in food production. As profitability triggers many agri-business decisions, knowledge about the existing socio-economic landscape and the economic profile of a region as well as potential impacts on profits provides useful contextual information when agricultural policies are designed. Given the upcoming challenges and their associated uncertainties, it is important to ensure that a map of agricultural profit can be reproduced in a scenario and simulation setting which will allow exploring uncertainties around the impacts on agricultural profits as well. There is however currently no flexible system in operation which allows for a consistent update of a map of agricultural profits in Australia or elsewhere. This paper describes a process that has been developed to produce a map of agricultural profit for Australia for the year 2005/2006. The process involves a complex data architecture that accounts for heterogeneous information that is collected by a variety of institutions across different scales. All information can be comfortably queried and query results can be forwarded for immediate processing and subsequent visualisation in a geographic information system (GIS). To facilitate the production of profit maps in the future, the system provides flexibility regarding an update of new economic information but it can also be linked to maps that show an updated distribution of land use. A map of agricultural profit on a large scale and regular updates thereof will help understand profit trends in time and across space. It will help identifying regions that have a lower economic profile and will inform decisions regarding the design of regulatory policies. As these maps are developed using national scale data, we do not recommend using the results at the farm level but we suggest using separate catchment scale profit assessments to calibrate the national scale profit map. The proposed system is well suited to be used in various land use management and economic scenarios and will represent a step forward regarding a scenario impact assessment on agricultural profits. It will also help understand the economic benefit of land use on a large scale. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]

Mixed crop-livestock farming systems provide food for over half of the global population. However, some important food exporting countries, like Australia, are predicted to be vulnerable to climate change and may require transformative adaptations if they are to continue their role in food exportation. This paper assesses the potential impacts of projected climate change by 2030 (0.4–1.6° increase in mean temperature) on Australian mixed crop-livestock systems and examines the consequences of shifts in land allocations to cropping and grazing, in these systems, as an adaptation option. Farm bio-economic simulation models were developed for these mixed enterprise systems in several regions of Australia. These models were based on biophysically coupled crop, pasture, and livestock simulation models that in turn drew on site-based downscaled climate projection datasets. The farm models calculated farm profitability and risk measures. A range of land use changes was investigated. At drier locations facing adverse climate change, results showed a transition towards a greater emphasis on livestock production could be beneficial when assessed against multiple criteria of farm profit, downside financial risk, and environmental damage. We highlight some industry and government actions and policies that could facilitate these preferred adaptation strategies at such locations. • Temperature increase of 0.4–1.6° affect mixed crop-livestock systems in Australia. • Transition towards a greater emphasis on livestock production is often desirable. • Financially optimal land allocations vary between historical and future climate. • Increase in the land devoted to pasture is a strategy to manage future climate risk. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Lucerne (Medicago sativa L.) is valued by producers with integrated crop-livestock systems. The multiple benefits of periods of lucerne leys to either livestock or to crop production have been widely reported; however, the importance of managing lucerne leys to whole farm profit and production has not and is best suited to a whole of system modelling study. This paper reports a simulation study aimed at better understanding the mixed farming systems that include short-term (3-year) phases of lucerne: specifically, the effects of terminating lucerne leys at different times prior to cropping. Simulations of mixed farming systems with the same soil type, crop rotation and proportional land use were conducted along a rainfall transect in a temperate environment in south-eastern Australia. Spring versus summer termination of the lucerne ley prior to cropping in autumn were compared. Although farming systems where lucerne was terminated in spring had higher crop production (mostly because of increased N at sowing) than those where lucerne was terminated in summer, the opposite was true for livestock production. Livestock production was higher in systems with summer termination mostly because of higher ewe condition scores at mating. When these sometimes positive and sometimes negative effects were evaluated at the whole of farm scale, in cases except the low rainfall site, allowing the lucerne ley to grow as late as possible prior to cropping was the most profitable management strategy in medium to high rainfall systems as it resulted in more lambs that were sold at heavier weights and the systems were more profitable, less costly, more efficient and less risky than those where leys were terminated in spring. • The decision when to remove lucerne in leys requires a whole farm analysis. • Differences in removal dates at the farm level were small and yet significant. • Land in transition presents opportunities for increasing water and N use efficiency. • Summer termination of lucerne was overall more profitable, efficient and less risky. • Perennial legume pastures need to be seen as a whole-of-farm resource. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]